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-   -   10/5: Belmont ($73k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=25434)

Kasept 10-05-2008 09:25 AM

10/5: Belmont ($73k C/O)
 
Had a handful of good opinions on "Best Value" types Saturday, particularly in the Woodbine stakesfest, and hope it helped you score. I was on the road for the day and was a tad anguished to be unable to play...

Grand Adventure (Summer - $18.10); True to Tradition (Nearactic - $18.40) and Chamberlain Bridge (Woodford - $39.40) were all Best Values that came through, but day ended agonizingly when I missed 2 enormous P4's going into last legs live. 4th choice 'Exotic Adds' Radical Sabbatical and Marsh Side both won setting off jumbo Quad returns of $11,925 in New York and $8,970 in Toronto. Hope everyone did well and the selections were helpful...

$73,000 carryover at Belmont has been looked at and appears approachable. At Keeneland, the underplayed P6 there has reached $121,000...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Lieutenant Ron 6-5 WON
Best Value: #7 Kaper Lake 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1e Jacobson entry 5-2


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2e SCR
Best Value: #1 SCR
Next Best: #5 Ain't Love Grand 7-2 WON
Exotics Use: #7 It's My Day 10-1
MTO #11 In the Evening 3-1


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Holy Rock 9-2
Best Value: #2 Pay in Kind 8-1
Next Best: #10 Sacred Icon 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 McLovin 15-1


7th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Tempest Storm 7-2
Best Value: #3 SCR
Next Best: #6 SCR
Exotics Use: #2 Flibberjibit 3-1 WON


8th: CLM, 3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Steel Light 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #12 Caesar Beware 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Big Brian T 10-1
Exotics Use: #8 Winzalot 8-1


9th: 139th Jerome (Gr. II), 3yo, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Harlem Rocker 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Visionaire 5-2 6th
Best Value: #3 You and I Forever 5-1 2nd


10th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super)

Most Likely: #9 Walkabout Winner 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Can She Dance 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Here Comes Rita 6-1 WON
Exotics Use: #4 Who Is Lady 8-1

$1 Trifecta Paid $52.50


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 5-7-11
6: 1-2
7: 1
8: 6-12
9: 1-3-4-5
10: 9-11

3x2x1x2x4x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1
8: 2-6-12
9: 1-3-4-5
10: 2-4-9-11

1x3x4x4 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

cowgirlintexas 10-05-2008 10:32 AM

Been an awesome weekend of racing thats for sure!
Looking forward to todays Jerome with "You and I Forever" to top it off :)

golfer 10-05-2008 10:33 AM

Races 5 and 7 are off the turf, many scratches.

Coach Pants 10-05-2008 01:00 PM

Race 3
3,7,8 ex box $30

rkinnin 10-05-2008 01:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by golfer
Races 5 and 7 are off the turf, many scratches.

A sloppy track today? Was it even forecast to rain in NYC?

Wish I was in Keeneland.

Coach Pants 10-05-2008 01:31 PM

Race 4
ex box 3,7 $10

cowgirlintexas 10-05-2008 01:33 PM

4th race

3-4-7 Tri box

3kings 10-05-2008 01:35 PM

p3 3/1,7,11/1,2,6,10

ateamstupid 10-05-2008 01:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rkinnin
A sloppy track today? Was it even forecast to rain in NYC?

Wish I was in Keeneland.

I was shocked when I woke up and saw that. I went to sleep real late and didn't see/hear any rain, so I have no idea when all the rain snuck in.

cowgirlintexas 10-05-2008 01:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
Race 4
ex box 3,7 $10

Sweet! Congrats! :)

Hickory Hill Hoff 10-05-2008 01:38 PM

Nice 3rd for the "Doc" in the 4th! :)

Coach Pants 10-05-2008 01:52 PM

Race 5
4,5,11 ex box $18
wp 4 $12

Coach Pants 10-05-2008 02:13 PM

Another Darley dud. I could've beat him down the stretch.

the_fat_man 10-05-2008 02:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
I was shocked when I woke up and saw that. I went to sleep real late and didn't see/hear any rain, so I have no idea when all the rain snuck in.

The most interesting race of the day was the 2 year old filly turf race. Didn't rain much in my area (Brooklyn) but, then again, I don't have a turf course to nurse through a FULL WINTER of turf racing. :rolleyes:

Luckily, KEE and OSA offer BETTER racing.

Coach Pants 10-05-2008 02:34 PM

Race 6
6,10/2,4,6,10/2,4,6,10 tri $12

wp 6 $20

hoovesupsideyourhead 10-05-2008 02:39 PM

2k to place on the 9 by proxy

pointman 10-05-2008 02:47 PM

Belmont late pk4:

7- 1,2
8- 2,6,12
9- 4,5,6
10- 4,7,9,11

Good Luck!

cowgirlintexas 10-05-2008 02:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
2k to place on the 9 by proxy

:eek: :(

Coach Pants 10-05-2008 03:10 PM

Race 7

Fibberjibit
$50 win

Coach Pants 10-05-2008 03:34 PM

Late pick 3
2,8,11,12
1,5
2,6,7,9,11
$40

Need an upset or two for it to pay anything.

hoovesupsideyourhead 10-05-2008 03:37 PM

renee douglas... moron..x2:zz:

the_fat_man 10-05-2008 03:40 PM

Can't Refuse is an overlay here. I have no idea who David Cardoso is.

ateamstupid 10-05-2008 03:41 PM

Late Pick 3

2,6,9,12 / 1,5,6 / 9,11

GPK 10-05-2008 03:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man
Can't Refuse is an overlay here. I have no idea who David Cardoso is.


3rd at 44-1


This is the one you and I discussed the merits of not too long ago

Coach Pants 10-05-2008 03:51 PM

Ferraro has been burning money like crazy all year and I overlooked his current record this meet. Awww titties.

the_fat_man 10-05-2008 04:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
3rd at 44-1


This is the one you and I discussed the merits of not too long ago

If Cardoso switches the whip EARLIER (and this is relative, as it took him forever not only to realize that he needed to do it but to actually do it) he wins.

I believe he went off 57:1.

This one was even more painful than Invisible Lee

Coach Pants 10-05-2008 04:06 PM

Race 9
$10 ex 1/3,5
$20 win 1

GPK 10-05-2008 04:08 PM

Late DD

$10 4,6/2 $93 x 5 = $465

$5 1,5/2

GPK 10-05-2008 04:19 PM

Well...Tale Of Ekati wins a 1 turn race....who would thought that?:rolleyes:

hoovesupsideyourhead 10-05-2008 04:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
Well...Tale Of Ekati wins a 1 turn race....who would thought that?:rolleyes:

corny:rolleyes:

GPK 10-05-2008 04:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
corny:rolleyes:


get this 2 home for me in the last Hooves.

hoovesupsideyourhead 10-05-2008 04:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
get this 2 home for me in the last Hooves.

hes no 2 on my list..good luck kev.... put a place bet on the 12..you too fatman.......:tro: :$:

Coach Pants 10-05-2008 04:35 PM

Ehh

Ex box 2,6,11,12 $24

ateamstupid 10-05-2008 04:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
Late DD

$10 4,6/2

$5 1,5/2

Kev!!! Nice payday!

hoovesupsideyourhead 10-05-2008 04:53 PM

good man kev..:$: :$: :wf :tro: he could turn into t3b.......

GPK 10-05-2008 04:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Kev!!! Nice payday!


Thanks Joe. Like you, I really liked Ekati moving back to 1 turn today.

Coach Pants 10-05-2008 05:01 PM

good job kev

GPK 10-05-2008 05:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
good job kev


Thanks Coach

cowgirlintexas 10-05-2008 05:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
Race 7

Fibberjibit
$50 win

:)

pgiaco 10-06-2008 10:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hickory Hill Hoff
Nice 3rd for the "Doc" in the 4th! :)

Thanks Mark. Up against it with Lt. Ron in there and the weather did us no favors.


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