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Worst BC favorite?
I don't want this to be a horse bashing thread, but I want to know who you guys think was the worst betting choice in a BC race. Mine would have to be Peace Rules in the 2003 Mile. That was one of the easier tosses I've ever had in a BC race, and he went off at 3-1 somehow.
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Dylan Thomas '07 Turf:wf |
And on the opposite end of the spectrum, how Ouija Board was able to go off at 7-5 in the 06 F&M Turf is still mind boggling to me.:zz:
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I remember discussing at length with a friend (BT) that Ouija Board was actually stepping DOWN in class with the F&M Turf. She had been traveling the world winning G1 races in mixed company. That was a chalkeaters delight if ever there was one. |
Aptitude at 5/2?
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Yeah...Wait A While at 5/2 in that race was a joke. |
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He was 8-5. Bordonaro was second choice at 4-1. I will forever hate Thors Echo.:wf |
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Only reason I made any kinda :$: on that day was because my girl Round Pond won :tro: :tro: and Asi Siempre was taken down and Happy Ticket was placed 2nd.
I was alive to 5 horses in the Sprint for a pick 4 after singling both DOA in the Juv Filly and Ouija Board. Have I mentioned I still hate Thors Echo? |
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Now that I think about it, there has been a LOT of terrible Frankel favorites. Aldebaran & Midas Eyes in back to back years, while outstanding horses, were terrible bets at their respective odds in the 6F Sprint.
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I think Arazi was favored in the Mile, even though he had established he was toast numerous times during the course of the year.
Caltech I think was favored in the '89 Turf. He was an allowance horse that won the Bud International. Somehow, Euro horses that had ran decent races in the Arc, had prior Group 1 form, and came from two of the biggest stables in France (ie Star Lift and Sierra Roberta), went off at ridiculously huge odds ). They ran 2-3 as Prized won the race at 5-1 or so. Can't remember if she was favored, but I remember Ragin Fever's performances getting worse and worse (despite winning) as the distances got longer during her 2yo campaign. |
Yeah, the BC Mile has a record of puzzling bettors. Gorella went off in '06 as the 3/1 lukewarm favorite, even though everyone knew how vulnerable she was.
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Either way, I totally agree. The Mile is always the toughest for me to figure out and the public seems to have the same problem. |
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yea...3-1. Aragorn was 4-1 |
This sounds bad after he won the year after, but IMO Artie Schiller had no business being the favorite in the Mile at Lone Star in 2004.
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The bad fav this year will be whoever is favored in the sprint... Lute or Fab strike would be my guess.
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Yes, I checked the BC stats, and it was Araafa (finished 9th) that went off at 3/1. Gorella (finished 7th) was second favorite at 7/2.
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e channel ..? when mesque a.put on a school..:tro:
gpk ball bust!! |
I've never been more sure of a favorite losing a race as I was with Rubiano in the 1992 sprint.
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What about Riboletta in the '00 Distaff? Left the gate at 2/5 and finished 7th in a 9-horse field. Spain was the winner at about 55/1 (whoo, I would have liked some of that action).
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oh, and groovy against very subtle, that had to be the least likely win by a favorite in BC history.
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Cuvee from the 12 hole at 8-5 I think, 1st time around 2 turns, and a son of Carson City was a solid toss in '03 as well. He finished last I believe.
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Mogambo, 1985 Juvenile. Hated Aqueduct, loved Belmont.
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Fu Peg at 6/5. Finished 6th beaten by 4 other 3 yos and Lemon Drop Kid
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Cuvee was coming off two impressive wins if I remember correctly, but he screamed sprinter and I don't think anyone was enthusiastic about him stretching out (Asmussen and Bailey). I don't remember who it was, but I think only one horse in the field had a two turn win. Anyway, Cuvee was last, but he got beat about 100 lengths and walked across the wire. Eric |
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Yeah, I thought Henny Hughes was a sure thing. I think I suckered myself into the Bernardini - Discreet Cat hype figuring he could piggyback off their success since the connections were the same. |
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Eric |
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Just now saw this:rolleyes: Miesques Approval won the Mile. EC ran in the Turf all 3 attempts and never went to post as the favorite.:D |
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