Trying To Make Money On Big Brown Today...
 

Can somebody let me know if this is a wise betting scenario.

First and foremost, I believe BIg Brown will win the Haskell today. While there is no real money to be won on him as a 1-2 favorite, I was thinking about trying another bet.

That is to bet every possible trifecta, as long as Big Brown wins. Any thoughts?

I think it's pretty safe to say that if you bet every trifecta possible with Big Brown on top you will def. be losing money.

That isnt the worst play in the world.....it will cost you 30.00 for every 1.00 tri....you will need the longest shot to run second and 3rd....to make money.
good luck
Maybe try a pik 3 or 4 ?

It's not even close to a good play, unless you're just looking for a little action and not to make money.

Why do you say that? If he wins, then I am guaranteed a trifecta. How is that losing money?

Again, if he wins, how is that not a good thing?

it is not a good thing because -
if you key him on top and have to invest $30 and it pays $6 you lose. The only way to make money on the race is for Big Brown to be pulled up like he was in the Belmont.

I'm not betting the race. The field is too short and the chances of BB being beat by this group is slim

It's losing money if all your bets cost $30 and you get back $18 for the trifecta.

$18 plus the $30 = $48 which is a net gain of $18. I am not trying to be smart, just confirming my math is correct?

No, lets say you bet all the tri's which I guess would be $30. You hit the bet and the trifecta pays $18. That means that out of the $30 you bet, you only get $18 of it back. So it would be a net loss of $12.00. You don't get back what the tri pays and your original bet.

*smacks forehead*

He's saying the trifecta is likely to pay around $18 TOTAL, not $18 profit. Personally, I think you're unlikely to even get your money back.

Oh......then that is not a good bet. Damn I still want to root for Big Brown and get some action. I still have Derby and Preakness winnings on him to burn even though I gave back a little at the Belmont. ANY OTHER SCENARIOS AS LONG AS I CAN STILL BET BIG BROWN?

Save your money and bet him if he runs in the Travers, I'll be glad to take your money! :p

No I have been waiting two long months to watch Big Brown atone. Something went wrong in The Belmont. He wasn't himself. I must bet him today.

$2 win

put $2 on him to win and call it a day.



No money to make in the race but I'm still going to play a $10 tri Big Brown with Atoned with Nistles Crunch.

If that is the way you feel, nobody can help you here.

There is a huge wagering menu out there today. Find something that you can make money on and root root root for your boy Big Brown without betting on him. There is nothing wrong with rooting for a horse without a betting interest in the race.

No one can help me now. I'm possessed! I'm leaving to place my bets right now. I'm spending at least $150.00 today for Big Brown winning or trifectas. I'M AN IDIOT!!!

WRONG

:D

put $50 to win on Atoned just incase.

:wf :wf :wf

:zz:

I think someone said it already, but the only way to really make money in that race would be if BB ran up the track again. If you really think that he is only going to be 1/2, just bet him to win. That could be considered a gift in itself. I personally think he will eventually be at least 1/5. Bigs is right though, they have 14 races there today, there has to be a better spot to make some cash.

Play the pick 4 and single the last. If you can get the a price in the first three legs, you'll make some money.

Just play $2 to show on the whole field. For $14, you are guaranteed a $6.30 return. If the bridgejumpers are out and Brown runs out, you will do okay. He has already proven that he can throw in a clunker.

It's, it's like PG1985 meets Morty, all rolled up into one!

So I ended up putting $50 on Big Brown to win and invested on a $30 trifecta on all horses as BB winning. Did I win anything?

not really.

I invested $80.00 total. Did I lose money?

all depends if you had to drive to the OTB or track to bet it.

;)

the dollar tri paid $32
and Big Brown paid $2.40

13th race - Monmouth Park - August 03, 2008
Pgm Horse Win Place Show
4 Big Brown 2.40 2.10 2.10
6 Coal Play 8.00 4.20
2 Cool Coal Man 2.80


$2 Exacta 4-6 25.20
$1 Superfecta 4-6-2-3 218.80
$1 Trifecta 4-6-2 32.70
$1 Pick 3 1-4-4 (3 correct) 78.80
$1 Pick 4 3-1-4-4 (4 correct) 849.10



you got a whopping 2.70 back on your $30 tri bet. .40 back for every $2 bet for him to win. so, you made less than $9.

I rekon you made $12.70 on an $80 bet. You won. But I think the point everyone was tryiing to make is chasing such a low return with $80 over the long run is a losing proposition.

If you're happy so be it but it's not a way to play the ponies in general.

I can't really complain since you did better than be today....but tomorrow that's a different story.

Spyder

You might be right. My X5 requires Premium Unleaded. I should factor in about $7.00 for gas. Boy am I stupid :) How come nobody on this board advised me against my strategy.

Hey at least I had fun watching the race and I don't think I lost anything. Big Brown finished strong and regardless of whether he is Travers, BCC bound or stud, he gave me a few thrills this summer.

For those of you calling him Big Crap, I think that is a little out of line. He still beat 19 horses in the KD from a post that nobody had in nearly a century. And his Preakness and FL Derby was not too shabby either.

Or maybe there is still something left in this horse.

ooops--i forgot it was $50 to win, i based his payoff on a $30 win bet....

:rolleyes:

You have to go back to 1999 to find a better winning time in the Haskell. War Emblem (2002) tied Big Brown's time today if what I read is correct. With that said, doesn't Big Brown deserve a little more credit for today's victory?

yeah, a real historical undertaking today. :rolleyes:

I ask myself the same question Hossy.

You realize that you left yourself WIDE open with that statement...:rolleyes:

While I agree with you, look at the P4 yesterday at Monmouth and tell me that wasn't a missed opportunity, $900 per $1 with a 1/5, and two other horses that were until $12 (I think)