7/27: Saratoga (Jim Dandy; C/O)
 

Yesterday was a very weird day in terms of capping versus wagering. I had no shortage of winners within the selections but personally didn't string them together properly. Were plenty of opportunities for those that spread to score including on both P4's, but 'Super Adds' Acai and Forever Together were both left off the P4's that brought back $1200 and $400 respectively. A frustrating day to be honest... Hope you did OK.

Carryovers at Spa and DMR with Left Coast pot at $1.5MM and certain to approach $4,000,000...!


SARATOGA RACE COURSE

PRE-SCRATCHES...

1st: CLM, 3yo, 7f (P#, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Dutrows entry 8-5 3rd/8th
Best Value: #2 SCR
Next Best: #6 Personal Good 30-1 4th


2nd: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Hernandez entry 5-1 8th
Best Value: #4 Natty Meboy 10-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Tall Poppi 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Footnote This 7-2 6th


3rd: NYB/ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 City Roar 6-5 7th... at 3-5
Best Value: #6 Palmetto Bluffs 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Critical Cathy 4-1 WON
Super Add: #2 Kevazinga 12-1 5th


4th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Mister Nobody 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Acclimate 5-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Bill Place 5-1 WON
Super Add: #9 Mithaal 6-1 6th


5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Keltish Lass 10-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Spirited Seacat 15-1 3rd
Next Best: Off the turfers-13-14 (2nd)-15 (SCR)


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-4-6-7
3: 8
4: 3-5-6-8-9
5: 2-8-15

5x1x5x3 = $75


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Pearl of Valor 5-2 6th
Best Value: #9 Pumpkin Shell 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Ride With the Herd 7-2 5th
Super Add: #6 Northern Harbor 12-1 9th


7th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Bella Attrice 3-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Kitty Nip 15-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Dose of Reality 4-1 6th
Super Add: #3 SCR


8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Pretty Carina 3-1 WON
Best Value: #2 Disperse 8-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Nurture 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Constance 5-1 8th


9th: The Henry Walton, 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Amped 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Cosmic 6-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Tizbig 8-1 5th


10th: 45th Jim Dandy (Gr. II), 3yo, 9f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Mint Lane 5-2 6th
Best Value: #7 Macho Again 10-1 WON
Next Best: #1 Tiz Now Tiz Then 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Tale of Ekati 10-1 4th


11th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 5.5f-T (Super)

Absolutely wild nightcap... Demand price(s)...

Most Likely: #3 Inside Info 20-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Minister's Appeal 20-1 6th
Next Best: #6 The Zipster 10-1 8th
Super Add: #9 Mondo Diverso 20-1 9th


<$200 P6 Play:

Very difficult sextet... Double carryover distinct possibility.. Will likely sit this out myself and concentrate on big P4 play...

6: 5
7: 6-7
8: 2-9
9: 2-3-4-6
10: 1-3-7
11: 2-3

1x2x2x4x3x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


@$100 P4 Play:

8: 2-6-9
9: 2-3-4
10: 1-3-7
11: 2-3-6-9

3x3x3x4 = $108


Good luck!
Steve

Ditto for me. Except I went the opposite way. The three horses I keyed in race 3 for the pick-3 finished 1-2-3 for a 333.50 Tri. But did I play the Tri??
Nope.................... One of many dumb plays on the day.

Steve - Like your value plays in R1 and R2. Hoping for a BIG DD.

Good Luck!

Steve, glad to see you have my brothers horse Spirited Seacat picked as your sleeper in race 5. Lets hope we all score on that one. She will be trying.

Steve, I just wonder: There is two good horses for races 6 and 8 that you didnt concern. I think they had some chances.
Race 6.- War Echo 3/4 sister to MGSW Pyro.
Race 8.- Wicked Beauty, from a family of Cahmpions as a Dayjur, Pleasent Home, Tale of Ekati, and been working sharply for her second star.
I will included with part of your selections.:)
Thank You.

Greetings from the Big's Family road trip somewhere in the vicinity of Santee, SC northbound on I-95. Mrs. Bigs is at the wheel, the internet signal is slow and the video is sketchy, but it beats driving. :D

Early P4:

2 - 1,2,6,7
3 - 8
4 - 1,3,6,8
5 - 1A,13,14

GL

Nice to see the 1st winner out of one of my favorites, Read the Footnotes. Much the best, winner by 14 lengths.

Impressive run, nearly a track record.

I am clueless. I go deep in the second and the chalk rolls. I single the chalk in the third and she forgets to get out of the gate and is no factor.

Blah.

Race 4

1/3,5,6,8 Exacta and reverse.

Pedro says, "South of the Border 32 miles".....

Here is my pick 6 ticket for saratoga and del mar. I have to head to work so this will be quick.

saratoga
4-5-8-9/1-5-7-11/8/5/1-3-4/4-5-6-7 - $384

del mar
2-3-4-7-8-13/2/7-9-13/5/1-2-4-7/5 - $144

I had the 8 singled in the p4 as well, so your not alone. I did catch half the triple though, but outta the p4.

I bet Heretic (#7 to place in R4) and did a tri with 6 over the 3,5,7,8.

Best of luck to those playing today!!

Greetings from steamy North Carolina as the trek continues north....

Race 5

1A - Boss Tiffany win/place

GL

I am forced to use dial up internet or nothing right now, so I know how you feel with the slow signal and sketchy video lol.

Race 5
$20 win on the 8

Nice job, Bigs!

North of Fayetteville now. Kids asking "how much longer" for the 5,000th time (first request was 40 minutes after we left the driveway).

Pick 3

6 - 3,4,5,7,8
7 - 1,7,11
8 - 5,9

GL

Didn't break the bank, but I will take it p-man.....:)

Just got it in, next to last action of the day besides Jin Dandy and poker at The Taj tonight..
P3...R6...4,5,8,9 with 7,8 with 2,5,6,8..GL

Should have played Miss Ocean City straight up for namesake only...If it was Mr. OC, then yeah...

GL Bigs the rest of the way!!

Late Pick 4.........
 

2-5-6-8-9-10
5
3-4
1-2-4-5-7-9

$72
Good Luck All!

Any chance of them taking the nightcap off the turf at this point ?

Late Pick 4 from MM 132 approaching Rocky Mount, NC.....

8 - 5,9
9 - 2,6,7
10 - 1,3,4,7
11 - 1,4,7

GL

I would hope not, as the P6 is well underway....

Trying a deep ticket split with pmac today as the last drives me nuts:

8- 2,5,9
9- 3,4,5,6
10- 3,4
11- 1,2,3,4,6,7,9

Good luck to all playing!

The exacta will pays for the Jim Dandy look enticing. Still not sure how Im going to play it, but at 6-1 currently, Mint Lane is very bettable.

Agree with you here, 6-1 is awfully generous.

I figure it will drop, since from here on out, few people will be reluctant to throw their money Pyro's way (6/5). If they are looking for value, they have to see ML's odds as the alternative.

I'm also surprised to see Da' Tara at 9/2. I thought he would drop to 3-1, even 5/2 second choice behind Pyro. I had it Pyro at even money, Da' tara at around 5/2-3/1, and ML at 7/2.

Starting to drop, but still worth a play IMO. $20 WP on Mint Lane. Good Luck!

I landed on Mint Lane to WP. $20 to win and $30 to place.
$5 tri 3,6 with 3,6 over 1,4,7 and a $10 tri 4 over 3,6.
Totaling a hundo...GL everybody!!

Off to the Taj for a little hold 'em around 8...Wish me 'good skill'...:D

Exactly what I did not want to happen, what was Coa thinking? Pyro couldn't have asked for a better setup and still couldn't get the job done.

No clue, I kept waiting for him take back and set second, and he kept pressing Da'tara and was toast, ridiculous ride!:mad:

[quote=pointman]Exactly what I did not want to happen, what was Coa thinking? Pyro couldn't have asked for a better setup and still couldn't get the job done.[/QUOTE Your right, I needed Pyro to get up to stay alive in the P4, would have been 6 deep in the finally!:mad:

[quote=mclem0822]I hear you, I would have 7 in the last in that sucker could get up, no excuse there. My big mistake was should have just 3,5 in the 8th and 3,4,6,7 in last, as usual I made the wrong choice when putting this one together.

Steve, nice call on Macho Again!

You're wondering why Coa rode that way? To that point, was nightmare for anybody trying to make up ground on that track. This is why you don't want them to create artificial bias like they did with this track. Jocks are taken out of their game. I guess they sealed it last night. They should just let people have the "off" tracks. Instead, they create an artificially speed-favoring track, and you see Coa and Garcia doing the FRYBABY. On that track, they probably thought they couldn't allow each other any type of clear lead. These 2 animals are pretty much the same(other than Tara can go further if gets easy lead.) I was thinking one would be smart enough to scratch out, but they didn't.