7/23 (SAR): Schuylerville (Gr. III); High Rock (L)
 

8th (4:55) High Rock Spring S.

5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $80,000

1 Metro Meteor Coa E M 121 L
2 Can't Refuse Samyn J L 119 L
3 Allaboutmack Chavez J F 119 L
4 Mohegan Sky Garcia Alan 118 L
5 Redefined Velasquez C 121 L
6 Victorious Affair Castellano J J 119 L
7 Ahvee's Destiny Velazquez J R 116 L
8 Johnie Bye Night Carr D 121 L
9 Silver Timber Desormeaux K J 121 L
10 Posted Prado E S 119 L
MTO Gold and Roses Carr D 121 L
MTO Stormin Normandy Velasquez C 121 L



9th (5:30) Schuylerville S. (G3)

6 Furlongs | Fillies | 2 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $100,000

1 Ocean Colors Bridgmohan S X 119 L
2 Mani Bhavan Velazquez J R 119 L
3 Collegiate Prado E S 119 L
4 Renda Castellano J J 119 L
5 Chartreux Hill C 119 L
6 Ouchy Night Desormeaux K J 119 L
7 Mine All Mine Trujillo E 117 L
8 Boom Town Sally Coa E M 119 L
9 Cameron Crazies Leparoux J R 119
10 Girlfrienontheside Velasquez C 119 L
11 Jardin Albarado R J 119 L

Looking for a Linda Rice Trifecta in the turf sprint.

The Opening Day card looks great, a tough turf race to kick off the meet also. :cool:

Followed, I can only assume, by a herd of pigs flying over the infield.

very original comment

It was a far nicer response than your horrendous opinion deserved.

She is live to win with any of her horses running in that race

You should try learning to read the pps sometime.....even if it's just to break up the monotony.

I agree that any of those horses could win although i dont think i would box them up in a tri (and i know what you were saying).

What did you think about the 5 or the 1 for that matter (edit)? Has anyone seen a morning line?

1 1 Metro Meteor Coa E M Baker Charlton 121 L 8-1
2 2 Can't Refuse Samyn J L Persaud Randi 119 L 20-1
3 3 Allaboutmack Chavez J F Lostritto Joseph A 119 L 50-1
4 4 Mohegan Sky Garcia Alan Rice Linda 118 L 5-2
5 5 Redefined Velasquez C Dutrow Anthony W 121 L 3-1
6 6 Victorious Affair Castellano J J Kelly Patrick J 119 L 15-1
7 7 Ahvee's Destiny Velazquez J R Rice Linda 116 L 6-1
8 8 Johnie Bye Night Carr D Baker Charlton 121 L 15-1
9 9 Silver Timber Desormeaux K J Rice Linda 121 L 6-1
10 10 Posted Prado E S Bush Thomas M 119 L 6-1

Thanks Ateam.

That 1 horse looks pretty good if the odds stay anywhere close to 8-1. He will need some luck but it seems on paper like he might be worth a play.

Thoughts?

Interesting there's no Pletcher runners on opening day with 3 baby races carded.

I'm of the belief that Metro Meteor is over the hill. The Ramseys and Baker saw fit to drop $50,000 for him, so they obviously feel differently. I have to watch the race again, but I don't remember him having any valid excuse last time out.

I'd give Silver Timber a shot if the ground is firm (looks shaky right now) and Redefined seems to always run his race. I'd like to make Mohegan Sky repeat his last and 5-2 is too short to take on anyone in this field.

Looking at Mohegan Sky, I see that she has racked four straight beyer figure increases with her last being his highest ever. That bubble is going to pop soon. I dont see her repeating that figure however even if she bounces only a bit she can still contend but like you said 5-2 doesnt sound appealing.

For this race I am looking at Ahvees Destiny. 2 for 3 at SAR and 3 for 8 at the distance. Look back 3 starts back at GP. Sat right behind some crazy fractions and closed to win by a length in a time of :54.80. Second place horse in that race comes to win in next race back. That race was against the boys as well. She most definteltley can improve third off layoff.

Linda Rice probably feels this horse to do her best damage going less than 6 F thats why she did not put this horse at the Belmont meet going 6 F. Also Rice is raking 34% winners at Saratoga for 6f or less (on turf) for the past 5 years. Very good value play. What the heck

The Bet:

$40 WP on Ahvees Destiny

The good news for you is that the absolutely hopeless Avees Destiny will probably scratch.

Just how bad is the weather looking?

the fact that corny is on none of them should say something

I dont have th PPs yet, but going off memory, cant Posted be tough here on the front end? Last race was excellent nearly resulting in a win. Worth inclusion on pick tickets and maybe a win bet at what should be 6/1 to 8/1 range.

I agree about Mohegan Sky not being worth the short price albeit she likes it here. And also about Metro Meteor being over the top. Wont be using either one of these two.

Silver Timber is probably going to be heard from but thinking the price wont be as good as it should be with Kent up.

A horse I can see getting up at a big number is All About Mack. May look hopeless on paper but if the pace falls apart, he should be flying and this isnt a stellar group of horses.

It says that none of the three will be CHOKED OUT early. That pleasure will go to Redefined; again.

?

Has Corny given up the crack pipe for the meet?

Posted has been horrible his last several, I'd be surprised if he even makes it 3 furlongs on the lead. He's obviously a fragile one, which is probably why they're running on the grass, because clearly he is better on dirt.


I hate turf sprints.

Linda Rice has won her fair share of turf sprints here, it will be interesting if that trend continues.

It's a good angle, however trends change. Just look where's Pletcher? For better or for worse he has no entries to speak of on opening day.

Maybe I am thinking of the wrong horse :confused: Didnt Posted very recently lose a race by a nose and run 2nd? It was a sprint race on the turf. I thought it was his last race but I may be wrong.

really....just like last year ..huh..where he smoked all the others..

It's not even worth it...

So, you're going on last year's form rather than the way he's been riding lately?

Moreover, I saw a stat recently that Rice's 'go to guy' is Garcia and not Screnelio.

I dont mind 2-3 a week. I just think NYRA has taken it to extremes with 2-3 a day.

ok dont play the guy..its all good..when mott made kent d his go to guy last year..corny made him pay..often..

and you are wrong on rice also

from toga stats jocky trainer combos

linda rice
starts win place show

coa 5 1 0 0
garcia 10 5 1 0
luzzi 5 0 0 0
corny 35 7 5 4

I don't understand how people can complain about this race in particular. It's a very good field. When they get to running three or four statebred races a day in grass sprints, it gets tiresome, but if the quality is good, I love turf sprints.

This race is fine, an excellent betting race, I agree- it's the 3-4 a day that gets to me.

its gonna rain anyway..

Not referring to Toga stats but rather what Rice has been doing lately; and Garcia is now her goto guy. Moreover, given his extremely high win percentage in your stats, it appears he was last year as well.

whatever

Don't let the facts (from YOUR stats, no less) get in your way.

your wrong again..who got the most mounts from lr last year at the spa..

are you really that shallow that you would defend that weak ass position..tell me the king of waching races is abit sharper than that..

Can't Refuse!!!!

We are about to hit with a big storm here. Predicting 1-2 inches of rain between now and morning, so consider this and all races tomorrow off the turf. Rain is suppose to continue on and off tomorrow so there is a good chance Thursday may be off the turf too. Cant imagine we'll miss anything too spectacular.

It's irrelevant now since they're off the turf, but yes he did- but that was a pretty weak group. The winner isn't much and Posted got an ideal trip and still couldn't beat him. I was referring to the previous 5 races where he got smoked by better competition...

You really need to sharpen you REASONING SKILLS.

Look at your data again, DOOFUS. In what universe is 20% better than 50%? And I guess, there, they also prefer to bet 35 races to get 7 winners RATHER THAN 10 races to get 5 winners.

Guess that'll teach me to never criticize your WEAKASS evaluation of a race again.

Figured you were a bit better than that but I must've hit a nerve.