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-   -   Belmont today? Carryover leftover? (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=23232)

Kasept 06-12-2008 09:41 AM

Belmont today? Carryover leftover?
 
Having been prepared to play today had the BEL carry gone unhit, probably worthwhile to look at a few of today's tough events. 4 maiden affairs and 2 ALW's... Casual glance..

4th: #2 DIRTY WATER DOG WON (8-5) appears to have this bunch over a barrel. No super available but a key of Tagg's gelding with #1 I'll Make it Up (5-1), #7 Mail Heroics (20-1) and #9 Sir Cryptonite (9-2) is my thought...

5th: Dreadful bunch.. 1-5-6-8 I suppose if forced to play.. 6-1-8-5

6th: #3 DIXIELAND STAR (7-2) and #5 BLAZING BUDDHA (3-1) look better than the rest here. #9 New York Style (10-1) and #6 Bad Decision (8-1) are the right prices to use under/with, etc..

7th: Angel Penna's #5 DIAMONDRELLA (3-1) is strictly the one to beat. #3 Psycho D J (6-1), who has kept my interest since spring, #1e Frankel entry, #2 That Girl is Mine (8-1) and #4 Shopit (6-1) are all worth employing in triple keys.

8th: Not that interested in this feature, but #4 Iron Curtain, #6 Raynicks Cat, #9 A Zero Trap and #11 Halation are the ones I'd want to use to varying degrees.

9th: #2 More Than Thunder (5-1) from Tom A. and #9 Manitoba Miss (10-1) seem the major players to me. #8 Goo Goo Eyes (6-1) is OK and #6 Tessitura (6-1) would be a good super add.


P4 Play?

6: 3-5
7: 5
8: 4-6-9-11
9: 2-8-9

2x1x4x3 = 24 x $2 = $48

Backup:

6: 3-5
7: 1-2-3-4
8: 4-11
9: 2-9

2x4x2x2 = $32


Good luck!
Steve

docicu3 06-12-2008 09:54 AM

It is amazing how much a card can deteriorate in a single day.

Kasept 06-12-2008 10:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by docicu3
It is amazing how much a card can deteriorate in a single day.

Racing offices are at the mercy of the horses on the grounds. They can only write races for what they know will fill. It's not as good as Wednesday's fun series, but it's not unplayable today either...

ELA 06-12-2008 11:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Racing offices are at the mercy of the horses on the grounds. They can only write races for what they know will fill. It's not as good as Wednesday's fun series, but it's not unplayable today either...

Excellent point. Not only that Steve, but also when you front end load a day, or a weekend, you tend to fall victim to getting light on the back end. Common problem. At the same time, we are deep in the meet. That too can have an effect, as well as other, nearby tracks. Monmouth has apparently seen a spike in stall requests since going full time, but I don't think the field size has seen it yet.

Eric

Mike 06-12-2008 11:46 AM

Pletcher/Velazquez have Lacadena in the 7th. Fast work coming in, last may just have been a warmup for this horse's real calling, on grass

Iron Curtain, in the 8th, lost to Cannonball in the fall, otherwise trounced competition in other grass race Hope for the 3-1 to stay intact

Int he 9th, one of my favorite angles turns up with Elusive Moment. Horse gets a positive trainer switch who immediately tries the horse on grass, attracts Gomez as jockey

geeker2 06-12-2008 12:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cmfhb411
i say start your day triboxing 1-2-3.
Everyone will have the 1, but I think the 2 and 3 are live in this event,
and I couldn't seperate either of'em.
Good luck :D


Nice call on the 2

Channing Hill turning into $$$ rider :D

hockey2315 06-12-2008 12:22 PM

R2
 
If I were playing this race I'd probably use the 7.

hockey2315 06-12-2008 12:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
If I were playing this race I'd probably use the 7.

Good thing I didn't play. . .

declansharbor 06-12-2008 12:55 PM

Will watch the tote's before I call them in, but I have a few in mind at scattered tracks.

Belmont R5- Philosophizer
Belmont R8- Thunder Minister
Belmont R9- Manitoba Miss

Monmouth R6- Gianna's Princess

H-Wood R4- Famous Touch

GL to everyone today!!

GPK 06-12-2008 01:29 PM

Race 4
 
2/6,9,11

jcs11204 06-12-2008 01:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
2/6,9,11

nice call

GPK 06-12-2008 01:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jcs11204
nice call


thanks.

the_fat_man 06-12-2008 01:41 PM

what a tough beat on the 11

GPK 06-12-2008 01:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man
what a tough beat on the 11


Yeah...2 was fortunate to find some running room late.

the_fat_man 06-12-2008 01:44 PM

The ironic thing is that CHop CHop rode him perfectly, given the setup and the post position. I was more concerned about the ride than anything else.

GPK 06-12-2008 01:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man
The ironic thing is that CHop CHop rode him perfectly, given the setup and the post position. I was more concerned about the ride than anything else.


I certainly figured him to give him a better ride than KB gave him last time.

Kasept 06-12-2008 01:46 PM

Kev,

Nice include on the 11... I needed the 7 to get underneath the winner... Keyed him second but at least got out most of the way on a rare W-SH bet!

GPK 06-12-2008 01:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Kev,

Nice include on the 11... I needed the 7 to get underneath the winner... Keyed him second but at least got out most of the way on a rare W-SH bet!


I don't play tri's, but between us we would have did ok:o

cliff 06-12-2008 01:58 PM

I Love Philosophizer In The 3th At Belmont :d

cliff 06-12-2008 02:00 PM

PHILOSOPHIZER IN THE 5TH I MEAN :zz:

hurricanefrank 06-12-2008 02:02 PM

Elusive Moment
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mike
Int he 9th, one of my favorite angles turns up with Elusive Moment. Horse gets a positive trainer switch who immediately tries the horse on grass, attracts Gomez as jockey

also interesting to note that one is kin to Smarty Jones

GPK 06-12-2008 02:04 PM

Race 5
 
box 5,6,9 and then box 1/5,6,9

GPK 06-12-2008 02:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hurricanefrank
also interesting to note that one is kin to Smarty Jones

Yes...full to Smarty.

slotdirt 06-12-2008 02:06 PM

Wow, didn't realize Elusive Moment was a full to Smarty Jones.

GPK 06-12-2008 02:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
box 5,6,9 and then box 1/5,6,9


Ok...two exactas in a row. I'm quitting now.

damn...$35.60 was pretty generous IMO.

GPK 06-12-2008 02:13 PM

Trifecta for ya in the 5th Steve. Hope you played it.

Kasept 06-12-2008 02:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
Trifecta for ya in the 5th Steve. Hope you played it.

No... :rolleyes: I :{>:'d the 5 at the price and bet her.

Payson Dave 06-12-2008 02:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
No... :rolleyes: I :{>:'d the 5 at the price and bet her.

Everything that Contessa is running from upstate seems to be coming up short..

Payson Dave 06-12-2008 02:30 PM

He should now be a lock in the 6th...:zz:

ateamstupid 06-12-2008 02:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Payson Dave
Everything that Contessa is running from upstate seems to be coming up short..

He's getting an early start on his Saratoga form.

GPK 06-12-2008 02:37 PM

Race 6
 
Box 10/3,4,5

GPK 06-12-2008 02:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
Box 10/3,4,5

:cool:

oilertige 06-12-2008 02:46 PM

Sizzlin!
 
GPK: nice - keep 'em coming!!!

GPK 06-12-2008 03:01 PM

Race 7
 
Pick 3's

3,4,5/4/2,4,8,9

3,5/4,11/2,9

ateamstupid 06-12-2008 03:03 PM

Kev, are you coming up to Saratoga so we can go six wide in the last leg of a pick four and miss?

GPK 06-12-2008 03:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Kev, are you coming up to Saratoga so we can go six wide in the last leg of a pick four and miss?


Dude...we suck. That would have been pretty damn funny if it wasnt so sad:D

GPK 06-12-2008 03:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
Pick 3's

3,4,5/4/2,4,8,9

3,5/4,11/2,9


Blah....up yours JV


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