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-   -   I would like to be the first to suggest.... (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=22905)

justindew 05-31-2008 05:45 PM

I would like to be the first to suggest....
 
..that we might see Zenyatta in the Breeders' Cup Classic.












(unless somene else has already suggested this)

10 pnt move up 05-31-2008 05:49 PM

Well I thought of all her races she did not like the Santa Anita track at all, in fact dirt seems to be her best surface based on visuals. She should boycott santa anita like Curlin.

Rupert Pupkin 05-31-2008 07:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by justindew
..that we might see Zenyatta in the Breeders' Cup Classic.












(unless somene else has already suggested this)

I'd be kind of surprised. Shireffs is pretty conservative. I think they will run in the Distaff.

eajinabi 05-31-2008 07:48 PM

She is by far the best filly since Nashobas Key

justindew 05-31-2008 07:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by eajinabi
She is by far the best filly since Nashobas Key

Too soon.

jcs11204 05-31-2008 08:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by justindew
Too soon.

rip to Nashobas Key, she was a very nice filly.
but i think zenyatta is already better

hockey2315 05-31-2008 08:08 PM

Zenyatta was always better.

Rupert Pupkin 05-31-2008 08:10 PM

The more I think about, it is pretty doubtful that they would run her in the Classic because they will be running Tiago in the Classic. I would doubt that they would want to run their horses against each other when they can run one in the Classic and the other in the Distaff.

RolloTomasi 05-31-2008 08:34 PM

Not that I think she can't handle it, but Zenyatta has never raced beyond 8.5f.

jcs11204 05-31-2008 08:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin
The more I think about, it is pretty doubtful that they would run her in the Classic because they will be running Tiago in the Classic. I would doubt that they would want to run their horses against each other when they can run one in the Classic and the other in the Distaff.

i have always been a big tiago fan, BUT....is it realistic that he will do anything in the classic ? when i say a big tiago fan, i mean big, i bet him in the santa anita derby as a maiden, i bet him in the derby and in the belmont, always liked him, but he is a dirt horse, not a synthetic horse

RolloTomasi 05-31-2008 08:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jcs11204
i have always been a big tiago fan, BUT....is it realistic that he will do anything in the classic ? when i say a big tiago fan, i mean big, i bet him in the santa anita derby as a maiden, i bet him in the derby and in the belmont, always liked him, but he is a dirt horse, not a synthetic horse

A big fan? He wasn't a maiden in the Santa Anita Derby.

Also, his synthetic record is not much different than his conventional dirt record (6-2-2-1 versus 8-3-0-2). One could argue that his losses on synthetics were due to poor race dynamics when you consider the ridiculous manner in which the San Fernando and Strub were run. Even today's race didn't set up well with a lack of pace. His loss in the Big Cap, much like the Derby, Belmont, and BC Classic seemed to be the product of a horse who's stretch punch is ineffective at classic distances (hence the Met Mile suggestion by several board members).

jcs11204 05-31-2008 08:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi
A big fan? He wasn't a maiden in the Santa Anita Derby.

Also, his synthetic record is not much different than his conventional dirt record (6-2-2-1 versus 8-3-0-2). One could argue that his losses on synthetics were due to poor race dynamics when you consider the ridiculous manner in which the San Fernando and Strub were run. Even today's race didn't set up well with a lack of pace. His loss in the Big Cap, much like the Derby, Belmont, and BC Classic seemed to be the product of a horse who's stretch punch is ineffective at classic distances (hence the Met Mile suggestion by several board members).

i think he was... and if not he was put up on dq, im going to check now . he was running against that ny bred time squared, i think

Ronnie 05-31-2008 08:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jcs11204
i bet him in the santa anita derby as a maiden, i bet him in the derby and in the belmont


didn't we all?

justindew 05-31-2008 08:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi
A big fan? He wasn't a maiden in the Santa Anita Derby.

But wasn't his win by DQ? I think that's what he meant.

RolloTomasi 05-31-2008 09:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by justindew
But wasn't his win by DQ? I think that's what he meant.

It was meant to be a harmless dig at a self-professed "big, big" Tiago fan. The important part of the post was the stuff underneath.

jcs11204 05-31-2008 09:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ronnie
didn't we all?

whatever, i did, and i might be wrong but i think i gave it out on this site.

horseofcourse 05-31-2008 09:10 PM

I agree with justindew...she's more than good enough to run against the boys. She was much better than the other Shireffs horse today.

jcs11204 05-31-2008 09:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by horseofcourse
I agree with justindew...she's more than good enough to run against the boys. She was much better than the other Shireffs horse today.

i agree with that, especially with this group of boys....if the classic was run today or in a week or a month.... and curlin is not there, and big brown is not there... which is very very possible, ZENYATTA IS THE FAVORITE !!!!!

philcski 05-31-2008 11:16 PM

If Big Brown and Curlin aren't in the Classic, Heatseeker is the favorite... end of story.


Zenyatta is a SUPER nice filly, obviously the best out there right now. Almost Azeri-esque. Overcame a LOT today and still won for fun. But I'm not sure she's ready for the Classic... yet.

justindew 06-01-2008 07:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
If Big Brown and Curlin aren't in the Classic, Heatseeker is the favorite... end of story.


Zenyatta is a SUPER nice filly, obviously the best out there right now. Almost Azeri-esque. Overcame a LOT today and still won for fun. But I'm not sure she's ready for the Classic... yet.

Azeri may have won the 2002 Classic.

justindew 06-01-2008 08:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
The Classic? However will she be able to match up with Zanjero?

At the end of the day, if Curlin and Big Brown don't run in the BCC, who is there to be afraid of?

justindew 06-01-2008 08:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Besides Zanjero?

With the race being more than 5 months away, it's a bit tough for me to give you others pointing towards it. It's much easier to throw out names of horses that won't be pointing towards it like you did. However, I don't see her beating Heatseeker. She's very nice, I'm not trying to take anything away from her. But, put her in the Californian yesterday. Does she beat Heatseeker? No way.

I don't think Lukas/Paulson saw Azeri beating Ghostzapper.

There aren't many years where it looks like a good time for a girl to tackle the boys at the Grade I level. But this looks like it could be one of those years to me. That's all I'm sayin'.

horseofcourse 06-01-2008 09:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Besides Zanjero?

With the race being more than 5 months away, it's a bit tough for me to give you others pointing towards it. It's much easier to throw out names of horses that won't be pointing towards it like you did. However, I don't see her beating Heatseeker. She's very nice, I'm not trying to take anything away from her. But, put her in the Californian yesterday. Does she beat Heatseeker? No way.

Look at the fractions of the two races side by side. She could have gone a little faster. Yeah, she can run with Heatseeker.

hockey2315 06-01-2008 10:50 AM

I'm just hoping the Euros send over some good turf horses to run in the classic to make this thing even remotely interesting.

horseofcourse 06-01-2008 11:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Seriously?

Yeah seriously. Tell me the major differences in the two races yesterday??

10 pnt move up 06-01-2008 11:37 AM

I need to see Zenyatta in a fast pace race, I mean like a 115-120 type pace to see how she would do, on pure talent though she is scary, she runs by horses like they are tied to the hitching post, even when those horses are Ginger Punch and got nice soft cushy perfect trip leads.

10 pnt move up 06-01-2008 11:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
The difference is Heatseeker crushed Tiago and Surf Cat. Zenyatta beat Santa Teresita and Kris' Sis. I'd say that's a pretty major difference.

Tiago could not beat Zenyatta with a head start, IMHO.

horseofcourse 06-01-2008 11:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
The difference is Heatseeker crushed Tiago and Surf Cat. Zenyatta beat Santa Teresita and Kris' Sis. I'd say that's a pretty major difference.

Tell me the difference in how the races were run and the times?? I'd say there is virtually zero difference. At this point in his career I'd say beating Surf Cat is not a major accomplishment. Beating Tiago is nice but that one is hardly a slayer type t-bred. Basically, Heatseeker beat the 2nd best horse in Shirrefs stable.

Again, zero difference basically in the two races if you eliminate the names of the horses.

King Glorious 06-01-2008 12:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
If Big Brown and Curlin aren't in the Classic, Heatseeker is the favorite... end of story.


Zenyatta is a SUPER nice filly, obviously the best out there right now. Almost Azeri-esque. Overcame a LOT today and still won for fun. But I'm not sure she's ready for the Classic... yet.

If BB and Curlin aren't there and Heatseeker is the favorite, even if he beats her, running second in the race wouldn't be bad at all. A second or third in the Classic would be better on her resume, IMO, than a win in the Distaff.

10 pnt move up 06-01-2008 12:45 PM

How about the dopes on TVG....saying its been a long long time since Hollywood has seen a filly like this....um Azeri raced there 4 years ago, man people just cant help but getting caught up in todays moment.

King Glorious 06-01-2008 12:50 PM

I posted earlier without thinking things through. Upon further thought, I'd take Zenyatta over Big Brown at this point. She's been every bit as impressive and has beaten better horses. Ginger Punch is light years better than anything Big Brown has beaten and she looked like a claimer against Zenyatta. And before anyone reminds me that Big Brown has much more room for improvement considering that he's only run five races, think about how many Zenyatta's run.

Scurlogue Champ 06-01-2008 02:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
The difference is Heatseeker crushed Tiago and Surf Cat. Zenyatta beat Santa Teresita and Kris' Sis. I'd say that's a pretty major difference.

Just a slight one.

justindew 06-01-2008 02:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scurlogue Champ
Just a slight one.

Ashley!!!!

RolloTomasi 06-01-2008 05:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious
And before anyone reminds me that Big Brown has much more room for improvement considering that he's only run five races, think about how many Zenyatta's run.

How about reminding you that Big Brown has run at 9f or further 3 times while Zenyatta hasn't been further than 8.5f.

Also, Ginger Punch, a weak champion in a weak division last year has been subpar even for her in all 3 of her 2008 starts. I'd predict an impending retirement as soon as she lines up against another decent horse this year.

King Glorious 06-02-2008 08:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi
How about reminding you that Big Brown has run at 9f or further 3 times while Zenyatta hasn't been further than 8.5f.

Also, Ginger Punch, a weak champion in a weak division last year has been subpar even for her in all 3 of her 2008 starts. I'd predict an impending retirement as soon as she lines up against another decent horse this year.

I'm not sure how that addresses the fact that both have only run five times and have further room for improvement. In fact, I'd even say that means that Zenyatta has more room since we already know what BB can do at 10f but haven't seen Zenyatta try it yet.

As weak as you may think Ginger Punch is, do you think any of the 3yo's that Big Brown have faced this year are better than her?


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