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Wayne Catalano-Frank Calebrese
A few months ago I posted the question.... "When will we see a trainer win 100% for a meeting"? It was made in jest but what is happening with Wayne Catalano (owner Frank Calebrese) is not to be believed.
Arlington Park 2008 meet: 17 starts 12 wins (71%) 15 in the money (88%) Last 6 months overall: 88 starts 43 wins (49%) 62 in the money (71%) Watch the winner he had in race #4 at AP on Sunday, May 11, 2008. The #3 Housebout was ridden by first time rider Brandon Meier. She was checked back to last yet still cruised up to win by 6 lengths in a hand ride. We thought Mullins, Lake, etc was bad in the late '90's, this is borderline absurd. |
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They are on fire right now yes, but you have to realize that they plan for this meet. Arlington tests ALL winners I think |
its getting ridiculous, even to the point that they can let anyone ride the horse whether its the ancient Earlie Fires who needs victories so he can retire, or a kid like Brandon Meier who in his very first race rode a cat/cal horse to a romping win.
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He is not getting movements, he is spotting correctly. Listen, I don't know what is going on, but the board tells you everything you need to know about Calabrese horses. If you can't beat them, which you can't right now, join them... |
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i'm going to play lightly until this madness is over. no sense joining them because you can't make money. did you see brandons race? he found trouble but it didn't matter. |
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How do you know they are reaching lifetime tops, I am speaking in relation to figures?? A horse like Rebounded is strictly a good claim, Tagg offered him for 30k and they took him. I am not saying they are choir boys, but they usually win at 40% anyways, so now they are just hot, they have had plenty of weekends where they have won 5 out of 8 races they have run in. It wasn't like the horses that are winning haven't made 100% logicial sense, there hasn't been an illogical winner yet from them |
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proof that they're moved up is that they all drop off drastically when they're done with them. |
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I hate to say it, but the game of horse racing is not being governed by anyone. There is absolutely no accountability. The trends Catalano is hitting should be a red flag for investigation. Nothing will happen. |
What is really touching is their love and mutual respect for each other. I think this year is the 1ST I can remember with a public falling out
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the avg win % of all trainers in the hall of fame is 17%, these guys make them look like crap then
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Since 2003 horses claimed by Catalano (next start): 35% wins and 67% in the money (385 starters. 136 wins and 257 in the money) Since 2003 horses claimed away from Catalano (next start): 9% wins and 39% in the money (479 starters. 44 wins and 187 in the money) |
only one explanation
catalano=miracle worker |
Jamie Ness owns Catasoprano.
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The statistics are distorted, and if you need someone to explain why, then this is a futile discussion. Pick up a condition book and you can read why. By the way -- does anyone know when was the last time Catalano got a positive test? What about a "high" test? Eric |
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and I would think the claimed away win % is getting higher as there aren't as many who will claim off a Cat/Cal claim and drop anymore |
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Eric |
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Here in NJ, it appears the harness industry has made far more progress on "catching" cheaters. I think they are still doing a lot of barking absent of biting, but they are getting better. Catching is one aspect, but enforcement is just as important. I am sure this will open another Pandora's box of an arguement, however, regardless, I don't care what anyone says -- milkshaking is not getting these guys the results they are getting. Meet after meet, track after track, different states, on track from what I gather, surprise visit(s), and so on. Eric |
Folks,this is supposed to be about an entertainment product. In this case(horseracing,) the entertainment being sold is a product called competition. If you don't have competition,then you don't have something to sell. People are standing around waiting until something competitive does happen. Regardless of whether you think these 2 people are right or wrong,they are hurting the entertainment value of this sport.The sport would be much better off if they replaced these uncompetitive races with competitive ones. When it gets boring enough,then they will have to do something about it.The competitive races are subsidizing these uncompetitive displays these two are putting on. That's the truth.You can say they are within the rules etc. etc., but most people go to the track to watch competition.They just put up with these boring races in order to finally get to the competive ones. They are paying these two, and these two are not providing anything entertaining in return. They just provide boring mismatches, and it is not good for the entertainment value of this sport. At some point, people are gunna wake up, and realize that they need to provide a more entertaining product than what these two offer up.
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What size of barn do these guys have compared to other trainers at Arlington? If they are bringing lots of animals and filling cards and stalls... The other trainers can run elsewhere if the condition book is lopsided. |
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Catalano seems to be using jocks like Meier (rookie), David Bourque(horrible), and Fires (too old) because these horses are so juiced up they cant possibly lose. Now maybe you see my frustration with AP now. |
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It's also interesting to note that these accomplishments never make the radar screen. This is pretty amazing stuff in the horse world yet no one talks about it. Probably because everyone knows it's not legitimate. |
so it all comes down to knowing how to read a condition book and spotting horses? why are they so brilliant at it while others don't catch on to this simple system? also how does reading the condition book and spotting horses make them run faster?
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They are going to go 0-8 pretty soon over a weekend and there will be a lot of opportunties to make money... |
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Catalano is firing all his bullets now. It seems pretty clear to me that they got the first condition book, pointed horses for races, and got runners that could come in and dominate early meet claiming races. They enter two in a race, realize that one can win the next day, and they scratch and get two for one. The man puts horses where they can win, and in all honesty, all he's really been doing is winning like crazy at a meet in which the first few weeks are just an ever so slightly improved version of Hawthorne's spring meet. Just like Cat gets hot every year like this, he goes ice cold every year, and I think it's going to happen sooner than later. Just wait for his 1-for-20 streak that inevitably comes every year. What gets lost in all of these arguments about the Catalano/Calabrese horses and their insane win percentages is the fact that nearly all of the horses who win look the best on paper going into the race. He doesn't win that often when they look overmatched (Porticipation and Rusty Bucket on Saturday, for example). You give a guy like Chris Block, who nobody is ever going to accuse of juicing horses, the same stock and the same entries against the same competition that Cat has sent to post so far this year, and Block wins at 70% too. I'll call the waaaaahmbulance for the rest of you. |
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So if a trainer goes on a losing streak to drop the win % to 30%-35% that automatically clears him of any wrongdoing.
Fantastic logic. D'awesome. I want a whaaamburger happy meal with the MAC eyeliner prize. |
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If you're paying any attention, these horses would be 8-5 regardless of their trainer in about 80% of his wins so far, and he's got fresh stock and recent acquisitions from OP and Kee that fit these conditioned races perfectly. Forget Block, give them to Williamson, Robertson (either one) and they win just as often; hell, give them to Ida Spagnola and they still win at 50%. Which...you would know if you: 1.) paid any attention 2.) had any desire to actually have a conversation, instead of just going with the usual M.O. of just being a prick and offering nothing of substance. |
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So when they win by several lengths because they're put in easy spots where they're several lengths the best, it's really hard for me to have sympathy for anyone who wants to complain. |
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There is no need to go into great detail over this subject because you would have to be a complete and total ****** to believe that the high win percentage is simply by reading a condition book properly and placing horses in the right races. If that was the case, why doesn't it happen when they're in Florida, genius? |
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You again (intentionally, I'm sure) overlooked the portion about how the beginning of the Arlington meet is just a slightly classier Hawthorne meet. So either you're not actually watching Arlington and following it to know that, or you're clueless as to the class level of racing in Chicago and the quality of stock up here. |
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I don't think they are saints though, but they aren't Asmussen or Dutrow |
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