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-   -   Wed. 4/30: $555k C/O @ HOL!!! (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=21979)

Kasept 04-27-2008 08:39 PM

Wed. 4/30: $555k C/O @ HOL!!!
 
$555,000 C/O at HOLLYWOOD WEDNESDAY... $2,000 CONTEST...



3rd (2:23)

4 1/2 Furlongs (All Weather Track) | Fillies | 2 Year Olds Maiden Special Weight | Purse: $48,000

2 Hey Feathers Enriquez I D 120
1 Atka Court J K 120
3 Warren's Wild One Talamo J 120 L
4 Makasi Rosario J 120
1a Chilliwack Garcia M 120 L
5 Slew of Candy Espinoza V 120
6 Listisimo Campos J L M 115
7 Glitter City Baze T C 120
8 By Far Quinonez A 120



4th (2:54)

1 1/8 Miles (All Weather Track) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Maiden Special Weight | Purse: $50,000

1 Go All In Talamo J 124 L
2 Exuma Rosario J 117 L
3 Matty's G Force Baze T C 117 L
4 Tote's Humdinger Espinoza V 124 L
5 Sincity Glow Garcia M 117 L
6 Holy Humor Flores D R 117 Blk-On L
7 Cambridge Blue Migliore R 117 L
8 Dakota Phone Baze M C 117 L



5th (3:25)

6 Furlongs (Turf) | Fillies | 3 Year Olds Allowance Optional Claiming ($80,000) | Purse: $51,000

1 Love Happens Campos J L M 115 $80,000 L
2 Expressive Diva Garcia M 120 L
3 Exquisite Timing Smith M E 122 L
4 Wickednwackyingrid Pedroza M A 122 L
5 Yogi'ssplashofgold Garcia J A 122 L
6 Ever So Pretty Valdivia J Jr 122 L
7 Another Aleyna Baze M C 122 L
8 Mini Do Baze T C 122 L
9 Ididntmeantoo Quinonez A 122 L
10 Excitement (IRE) Espinoza V 122 L



6th (3:55)

6 1/2 Furlongs (All Weather Track) | Fillies and Mares | 4 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($20,000 - $18,000) | Purse: $23,000

1 Ann's Plan Baze T C 120 $20,000 L
2 Irish Express Rosario J 120 $20,000 L
3 Perfect Rhyme Potts C L 120 $20,000 L
4 Zaya (BRZ) Berrio O A 120 $20,000 L
5 Anearlyfil Arias S 119 $18,000 L
6 Getnhotnhere John K 120 $20,000 L
7 Tiz Next Garcia M 120 $20,000 L
8 Jazzerin Baze M C 120 $20,000 L
9 Da Svedonya Solis A 120 $20,000 L
10 Angel Eyed Talamo J 124 $20,000 Blk-On L
11 Bold Cleo Migliore R 120 $20,000 L
12 O Bee Naki Campos J L M 114 $18,000 L
13 Beyla (ARG) Flores D R 120 $20,000 L



7th (4:25)

1 1/16 Miles (All Weather Track) | Open | 3 Year Olds Allowance | Purse: $53,000

1 Power Blitz Rosario J 123 L
2 High Stakes Silver Garcia M 119 L
3 Meetingwithdestiny Valdivia J Jr 123 L
4 Tangled Tango Espinoza V 121 L
5 Trevor's Clever Blanc B 119 L
6 Coast Guard Talamo J 123 L
7 Chop House George Solis A 123 L
8 Winsome Charm Baze T C 121 L
9 Overextended Baze M C 123 L
10 Madeo Smith M E 121 L



8th (4:55)

1 Mile (Turf) | Fillies | 3 Year Olds Claiming ($62,500 - $55,000) | Purse: $44,000

1 Princess Susan M Campos J L M 112 $55,000 L
2 Amybelle Smith M E 120 $62,500 L
3 Snow Delicious Baze M C 120 $62,500 L
4 Respecttheofficer Baze T C 117 $55,000 L
5 Winky Blanc B 120 $62,500 L
6 Barbara's Love Rosario J 117 $55,000 L
7 Dixie Jo Garcia M 120 $62,500 L
8 Rapid Goose Pedroza M A 120 $62,500 L
9 Brides Folly Solis A 120 $62,500 L

tiggerv 04-27-2008 09:33 PM

Sequence is very playable. There is at least one stand out single so if you can throw the right dart in the first leg you can take this one down with a reasonable ticket.

SCUDSBROTHER 04-28-2008 06:50 PM

Snow Delicious is a single in the final.......toss last...wasted kick by going wide at apex of turn down the hill.She wants it.Live or die with her.She will own them late.

Bigsmc 04-29-2008 03:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tiggerv
Sequence is very playable. There is at least one stand out single so if you can throw the right dart in the first leg you can take this one down with a reasonable ticket.

Easier said than done...

I've got 5 races 'capped and am just sitting on the first waiting for something to jump off the page at me. I can't afford to go too wide...I've got to do some more reasearch and a bit of board watching on Wednesday.

SCUDSBROTHER 04-29-2008 04:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc
Easier said than done...

I've got 5 races 'capped and am just sitting on the first waiting for something to jump off the page at me. I can't afford to go too wide...I've got to do some more reasearch and a bit of board watching on Wednesday.

My guess is that if Mullins spent 110k of some guy's money (2 months ago at the sale in Florida,) then he wants to win right now.That seems like a lot for he and his clients to spend on a horse.Must be wicked.Be nice if they didn't have these baby races in the p6 ,but people seem to love to have to guess at this ****.

Bigsmc 04-29-2008 06:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
My guess is that if Mullins spent 110k of some guy's money (2 months ago at the sale in Florida,) then he wants to win right now.That seems like a lot for he and his clients to spend on a horse.Must be wicked.Be nice if they didn't have these baby races in the p6 ,but people seem to love to have to guess at this ****.

Race 1 would be a great spot for this one.

The Mullins is definitely on the short list.

Rootdog1 04-29-2008 10:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
Snow Delicious is a single in the final.......toss last...wasted kick by going wide at apex of turn down the hill.She wants it.Live or die with her.She will own them late.

I was on Snow Delicious as a single, but the fact she has not worked in 1 month is a bit of a concern...right? I have a feeling Rapid Goose is going to run well going 1mile on the grass.

SCUDSBROTHER 04-29-2008 11:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rootdog1
I was on Snow Delicious as a single, but the fact she has not worked in 1 month is a bit of a concern...right? I have a feeling Rapid Goose is going to run well going 1mile on the grass.


This barn is always playing games.They're trying to win,or get her sold. I think if she was questionable to finish the race,then he would of put up somebody like Sherman did in the 6th race.Price seems a little high for a filly who hasn't worked in a month.Fact is it and Madeo are the only 2 possible singles I see in the 6 races(and if Madeo regresses at all,then he'll get beat,too.)I like those 2 horses in the last 2 races,but would rather go all/SNOW,and MADEO/ALL.I really despise those baby races,but their gunna always say if it's in the 1st leg ,then it's kool.4th,5th,6th are tough races.I guess I could go ANN'S PLAN,O BEE,and Beyla in the 6th.They probably will wake somebody up though.As far as the Goose horse in the last goes,I know the percentage is decent(between Sadler-Pedroza,)but I just find that he gives him stuff he doesn't really like that much.

Rootdog1 04-29-2008 11:55 AM

The fact Snow Delicious scratched April 5th from a $150k stakes race and is now entered for a claim with no works in a month tells me something is amiss. Now, this obviously doesnt mean she cant win...just means I would never claim the horse. Also means I would never single a horse like that.

Also, you mentioned Sherman in the 6th...watch out for that bomb - those works look very very strong, going back to Jan. You dont work that consistantly for that long unless the horse is healthy. The 6th is the most difficult. I like Perfect Rhyme, Zaya, Tiz Next, Jazzerin, Angel Eyed, and Belya.

SCUDSBROTHER 04-29-2008 12:04 PM

4 out of the 6 races have females competing.....Dart board, baby.

SCUDSBROTHER 04-29-2008 12:24 PM

Jeff Metz really got 50k his own money involved with that officer filly in the last? Needless to say,Tyler will be on a mission to get that filly to open up and be a thief.He loves these horses that try every 3rd or 4th time they run.

Bigsmc 04-29-2008 07:10 PM

Contest Picks
 
Main Ticket:

1,5,7/ 3,4,7/ 8,10/ 1,3,10,12/ 4,5,6,10/ 3,6,8 = $1,728

Back-ups:

4,6,8/ 3,7/ 8/ 3,10/ 4,6/ 3 = $48

1,5/ 2/ 8/ 3,10/ 4,6/ 3 = $16

1,5/ 3,7/ 1,4,9/ 3,10/ 4,6/ 3 = $96

1,5/ 3,7/ 8/ 4,7,13/ 4,6/ 3 = $48

1,5/ 3,7/ 8/ 3,10/ 1,8/ 3 = $32

1,5/ 3,7/ 8/ 3,10/ 4,6/ 7 = $32

Exactly $2,000

GL

Lava 04-29-2008 07:33 PM

3)1,2,4,5,7
4)3,4,6,7
5)4,8
6)1,10,11
7)6,8
8)2,3,6,8

$1920

ryonker 04-29-2008 10:29 PM

1,3,4,5,6,7/3,6,7/1,4,8,10/1,2,11,12/6/3,6,8 =$1728
1,5,7/4/1,4,8,9,10/1,10,11/6/3,6,8 =$270

thanks
Ron

declansharbor 04-29-2008 10:39 PM

Swamped tomorrow, so I won't even have time to turn on the laptop and make changes for scratches...If Coast Guard scratches, insert Madeo. Thanks....

1,5,7 / 3,7,8 / 4,6,8,9,10 / 1,7,10,11,13 / 6,10 / 3,8 = $1800

4,5 / 3,4,8 / 6,8 / 1,13 / 6 / 3,5,8 = $144

7 / 3,7 / 1,4,5,6,8,9,10 / 10,13 / 6 / 3 = $56

2k on the button...Best of luck to those tackling this one!!

dylbert 04-29-2008 11:07 PM

Holly-WEIRD Carryover will it ever get HIT!
 
1,5 // 6,7 // 4,8 // 1,10 // 6 // 2,3 = 64

2,3,7 // 6,7 // 4,8 // 1,10 // 6 // 2,3 = 96

1,5 // 3,4 // 4,8 // 1,10 // 6 // 2,3 = 64

1,5 // 6,7 // 1,5 // 1,10 // 6 // 2,3 = 64

1,5 // 6,7 // 4,8 // 2,3,11 // 6 // 2,3 = 96

1,5 // 6,7 // 4,8 // 1,10 // 3,4,8,9 // 2,3 = 256

1,5 // 6,7 // 4,8 // 1,10 // 6 // 6,7,8 = 96

1,2,3,5,7 // 3,4,6,7 // 1,4,5,8 // 1,2,3,10,11 // 6 // 3 = 800

1 // 6,7 // 4,8 // 1,10 // 3,4,6,8,9 // 2,3,6,7,8 = 400

3,5 // 1,6 // 2,6 // 2,7 // 4,6 // 3 = 64

All-in with $2000

Good Luck to All Tomorrow... this is a lot more fun than Powerball!!!

mhall985 04-29-2008 11:21 PM

Mullins didn't spend the $110K. The horse was a buy back by the pinhooker and was sent to Mullins to race to hopefully generate enough interest to actually sell.

Scav 04-29-2008 11:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mhall985
Mullins didn't spend the $110K. The horse was a buy back by the pinhooker and was sent to Mullins to race to hopefully generate enough interest to actually sell.

Great info right there, welcome to the board

mhall985 04-29-2008 11:25 PM

Hollywood Carryover
 
For all of you singling Coast Guard, check out Talamo's stats. He would get one on a merry-go-round in trouble right now. He should have never gotten rid of Ebanks. His momentum stalled right then, and he hasn't ridden for Frankel since. Typical pin-head move!

mhall985 04-29-2008 11:31 PM

Always great to talk to quality horse players. The Mullins can reportedly run, but might be very green. His FTS stat is pretty low, but you would think top notch gate man T. Baze lands there for a reason. Risky single, though.

SCUDSBROTHER 04-30-2008 12:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mhall985
Mullins didn't spend the $110K. The horse was a buy back by the pinhooker and was sent to Mullins to race to hopefully generate enough interest to actually sell.


What about some of the other City Place 2 year olds that were bought in that sell.Those are actual buys? Why are some of them going for over 100k,are they working fast befiore the auction? Isn't the horse's stud price just like 5k ?

Bigsmc 04-30-2008 03:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mhall985
Always great to talk to quality horse players. The Mullins can reportedly run, but might be very green. His FTS stat is pretty low, but you would think top notch gate man T. Baze lands there for a reason. Risky single, though.

Check out the work at the OBS Sale (She was hip 159). She definitely looked green there. Now, Mullins has had time to work with her, so we'll have to see....

http://www.obssales.com/febpreview/ scroll down to hip 159.

Also, the results of the sale show Mullins as the purchaser. Wouldn't a buyback show up in the results show as NOT SOLD? I'm not a sales expert by any means, maybe someone can explain it to me.

herkhorse 04-30-2008 05:56 AM

2-5-6-7-8/3-4-8/1-4-8-9/1-8-12//1-5-6-8-10/3

2-7/4-8/4-8/1/6/3-7-8

1-2/3-4-8/1-4-8-9/1/6/3-7-8

cowgirlintexas 04-30-2008 07:26 AM

1,2,5
3
1,4,6,8
1,11
6
3,8
_____

$96.00

Good Luck to all :)

swedejxn 04-30-2008 07:46 AM

4,6,5,1//7,2,3//4,1//13,1,3//6,10,5//3,8,6 $1296
4,6,5,1//7,2//1,4//13,11//6,10,5//3,8 $384
4,1//7,6//1,10//13,3//6,1//3,4 $128

Rootdog1 04-30-2008 08:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mhall985
Always great to talk to quality horse players. The Mullins can reportedly run, but might be very green. His FTS stat is pretty low, but you would think top notch gate man T. Baze lands there for a reason. Risky single, though.

I think this one will be ready, for the reasons you mention. Also, I see the owner as Murry Smith. Stute works all his horses very fast, but the Candy Ride offspring gets Espinoza...which is intereting. I have a feeling Matlow's horse can run a little as well. I am not crazy about either Swiss Yodeler - best thing about them is you get two due to the entry...sometimes that is enough in these 4.5 scrambles.

Rootdog1 04-30-2008 08:21 AM

Also, after watching some race replays last night here are a few thoughts...Hope it helps some - just wanted to share.

Race 4 = Matty's G Force was wide but this one appears to be one paced. The way they all hit the wire together tells me the last race is suspect. Exuma ran a fantastic race for 2nd start, and first going two turns - had a troubled trip in the lane. Watch this one at 15-1. Both Totes humdinger and Cambridge Blue finished full of energy in their last starts, and look like the standouts.

Race 5 = Mini Do looked decent last time down the hill, but shortens stride significantly. I think this one packs it in unless way clear turning for home. Excitment looked good and really ran on well when she finally changed leads. Wildwacky looks to be the only threat to Excitment.

Race 7 = Madeo was geard down to a crawl and looked very good winning last out. Tangled Tango will need some 2 turn experiance before I play this one. Watch out for the Power Blitz - that was an impressive last to first run last time out...beating the group in race #4 today.

Race 8 = Snow Delicious looked pretty good both starts, lack of works is still a concern. Rapid Goose was pinned down on the rail last time and was prob intimidated a bit - has a good shot. MY BOMB is Dixie Jo...really liked the way this one was moving last time out going 6.5 and should love the grass. The other xfactor is #5 Winky..should love the long going on grass.

Rootdog1 04-30-2008 09:31 AM

Contest Tickets
3)5,7
4)2,4,7
5)4,8,10
6)3,4,7,8,10,13
7)6,10
8)2,3,5,7
$1728

3)1,4,7
4)4,7
5)4,10
6)1,4,8,10,13
7)1
8)2,3
$240

Since this things looks too difficult to me, here is my small real play..saving my cash from the big Sunday score for this weekend!
3)7
4)2,4,7
5)10
6)3,4,10,13
7)6
8)3,7
$48

LAte pk4
5)4,10
6)3,4,8,10,13
7)6,10
8)2,3,5,7
$80

cassie 04-30-2008 10:17 AM

1,5,7/2,3,7/4,8,10/1,3,10,13/3,7,10/1,3,8 $1944:)

tiggerv 04-30-2008 12:31 PM

1,6,7 / 3,4,7 / 4,8 / 1,3,10,13 / 6 / 3,8 $288
1,6,7 / 3,4,7 / 4,8 / 1,3,10,13 / 10 / 3,8 $288
1,6,7 / 3,4,7 / 10 / 1,3,10,13 / 6 / 3,8 $144
1,6,7 / 6,8 / 4,8 / 1,3,10,13 / 6 / 3,8 $192
4,5 / 3,4,7 / 4,8 / 1,3,10,13 / 6 / 3,8 $192
1,6,7 / 3,4,7 / 10 / 1,3,10,13 / 10 / 3,8 $144
1,6,7 / 6,8 / 4,8 / 1,3,10,13 / 10 / 3,8 $192
4,5 / 3,4,7 / 4,8 / 1,3,10,13 / 10 / 3,8 $192
1,6,7 / 6,8 / 10 / 1,3,10,13 / 6 / 3,8 $96
4,5 / 3,4,7 / 10 / 1,3,10,13 / 6 / 3,8 $96
4,5 / 6,8 / 4,8 / 1,3,10,13 / 6 / 3,8 $128

$1952

Bigsmc 04-30-2008 01:44 PM

Hollywood Park
Spring/Summer Meet – Day 6
Wednesday, April 30, 2008
First Post: 1:20 PM (PDT)

Track: Cushion
Turf: Firm – rail at 15 feet

$555,186 Pick Six Carryover
Races 3-8

$150,000 Guaranteed Pick 4 – Presented by TVG
Races 5-8

PROGRAM CHANGES

Race 1:
No Program Changes

Race 2:
Additional Workouts;
#2 Mar 27 Sunland 3f fast :37 Bg
#2 Apr 03 Sunland 4f fast :47 4/5 h

Race 3:
Scratch - #2 Hey Feathers

Race 4:
No Program Changes

Race 5:
Scratch - #2 Expressive Diva

Race 6:
No Program Changes

Race 7:
Scratch - #9 Overextended

Race 8:
No Program Changes

Heels1989 04-30-2008 01:54 PM

Tix 1 ($1680)

R3 1/3/4/5/6/7/8
R4 3/4/7/8
R5 8/10
R6 1/7/10/11/13
R7 6
R8 3/8/9

Tix 2 ($240)

R3 1/5/7
R4 5/6
R5 1/4/8/9/10
R6 8/13
R7 6
R8 3/8

Tix 3 ($48)

R3 1
R4 3/7
R5 8
R6 11
R7 1/4/8/10
R8 1/2/6

Tix 4 ($32)

R3 7
R4 4/8
R5 8
R6 7/13
R7 6/10
R8 7/8

$2000

G/L

a_rookie 04-30-2008 02:00 PM

R3 All
R4 1 4
R5 1 8 10
R6 2 12
R7 6 10
R8 3 8 9

hoovesupsideyourhead 04-30-2008 02:04 PM

race 3 3/5/4/7
race 4 2/8
race 5 8 single
race 6 3/9
race 7 1/2/4/7
race 8 1/2/10

SCUDSBROTHER 04-30-2008 02:05 PM

3)1,7
4)2,3,4,6,7,8
5)1,4,5,6,7,8,9,10
6)1,3,4,7,8,9,10,11,12,13
7)10
8)3

3)7
4)2,3,4,7,8
5)3
6)1,3,4,7,11,12,13
7)10
8)3

stonecutter 04-30-2008 03:19 PM

lets try...
1-5-6-7 with 1-3-4 with 8 with 1-13 with 1-6 with 2-9
1-5-6-7 with 1-3-4 with 4-10 with 1-13 with 1-6 with 2-9
1-5-6-7 with 1-3-4 with 8 with 2-4-9 with 1-6 with 2-9
1-5-6-7- with 1-3-4 with 8 with 1-13 with 10 with 2-3-9
1-5-6-7 with 1-3-4 with 8 with 1-13 with 1-6 with 3

PeteMugg 04-30-2008 03:19 PM

1,3,7
2,4
1,4,10
1,7,13
5,6
2,3,5,6,8 $1080

All (7)
3,4,7
10
1,3,7,11,13
5,6
5,6 $840

7
4,8
8,10
1,7
6,10
3,6 $64

AeWingnut 04-30-2008 03:58 PM

can't win unless you play but ...it would take a miracle of some sort
 
My $36 pick 6 play

Race 3

#1A Chilliwack 3-1 >< Looks like the horse to beat and I will try to beat him with
#8 By Far 12-1 >< E Dubai sired horses are winning at a fair 17% clip
#5 Slew Of Candy 7/2 >< Horse has decent works however gary Stue is low % 1st time out
#6 Listisimo 5-1 >< Very nice work on 4/18 Can't bet them all

Race 4

#2 Exuma 12-1 >< I probably like the odds better than anything else
#3 Matty's G Force 5/2 >< Top choice
#7 Cambridge Blue 3-1 >< 2nd race after a layoff

Race 5

#8 Mini Do 5/2 >< The scratch of #2 Expressive Diva only improves chances
#10 Excitement 3-1 >< Decent late kick with a preferable post over
#4 Wickednwackyingrid 9/2 >< Left out because of $$$ and post

Race 6

#1 Ann's Plan 9/2 >< Rail is winning at 18% and is trained by Jeff Mullins who is winning at 30% 1st after a claim
#5 Anearlyfil 20-1 >< Should be part of the pace with Perfect Rhyme - but that one has been off for a year. ok it's the works and the odds I like most.
#13 Beyla 7/2 >< Huge late kick could gather all of them late

Race 7

#1 Power Blitz 8-1 >< Just broke his maiden with a nice late run
#4 Tangled Tango 6-1 >< Should like the stretch out.
#6 Coast Guard 9/5 >< Just got beat by a couple derby horses

Race 8 like I'll still be live going into the 2nd leg let alone the last

#5 Winky 8-1 >< Hey, maybe this one will give me the entire pool :rolleyes:
#6 Barbara's Love 6-1 >< Has a better post than Snow Delicious. eh, it's something
#8 Rapid Goose 5/2 >< if I had to single this would be the horse.

Race 3: 8
Race 4: 2,3,7
Race 5: 8,10
Race 6: 5
Race 7: 4
Race 8: 5,6,8

sorry if I mushed anyone's ticket

TitanSooner 04-30-2008 04:25 PM

All
3,4,8
1,5,8,10
1,13
6
2,3,6,8

$1152

6
3,4,8
1,5,8,10
1,13
6
2,3,6,8

$192

Rootdog1 04-30-2008 05:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rootdog1
Also, after watching some race replays last night here are a few thoughts...Hope it helps some - just wanted to share.

Race 4 = Matty's G Force was wide but this one appears to be one paced. The way they all hit the wire together tells me the last race is suspect. Exuma ran a fantastic race for 2nd start, and first going two turns - had a troubled trip in the lane. Watch this one at 15-1. Both Totes humdinger and Cambridge Blue finished full of energy in their last starts, and look like the standouts.

Race 5 = Mini Do looked decent last time down the hill, but shortens stride significantly. I think this one packs it in unless way clear turning for home. Excitment looked good and really ran on well when she finally changed leads. Wildwacky looks to be the only threat to Excitment.

Race 7 = Madeo was geard down to a crawl and looked very good winning last out. Tangled Tango will need some 2 turn experiance before I play this one. Watch out for the Power Blitz - that was an impressive last to first run last time out...beating the group in race #4 today.

Race 8 = Snow Delicious looked pretty good both starts, lack of works is still a concern. Rapid Goose was pinned down on the rail last time and was prob intimidated a bit - has a good shot. MY BOMB is Dixie Jo...really liked the way this one was moving last time out going 6.5 and should love the grass. The other xfactor is #5 Winky..should love the long going on grass.

If I could construct a ticket I would be dangerous....I suck. Left out the 1 in the first leg and then get a price in the second leg.

Alot of people alive after two legs....good luck to those that are still chugging along!


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