Smooth Air
 

Contender/Pretender?? All the talking heads say he can't get the mile 1/4. Am I the only one who thinks he's got a pretty good shot in the derby, especially if the pace is hot?

Pretender.

Winner. :cool:

i laughed mmsc. sorry.

If Smooth Air is a pretender.....so is Big Brown. He chased that "monster" all around the Gulfstream course.

he Might be this derby's afleet alex.

suits me.

Steve Davidowitz says contender - mentions including him in his Derby Super and other exotic plays.

He had a very good trip and didn't have to send hard from the 12 hole and still got totally smoked.

Someone had to run 2nd.

That could be Court Vision.

At this point, seems to be a definite include in the exotics based on his fitness level alone (and I might key him in the three bottom spots for the super), but I have doubts about whether he can win. I might upgrade him if there's good work reports from the Downs.

court vision doesn't impress me. IF Eight Belles runs i'll take my chances with her, Smooth Air and Pyro.

No one was beating Big Brown that day.....but the Kenucky Derby, that's another story. If he puts in another effort like that, my hat's off to him...but at 4-1 or less with only three lifetime starts.....I'll let him beat me.

he won't.

Not even with the latest work out? :D

Agreed, like I said Arazi

when you start getting money on workout bets, lemme know.

scary, someone thinking like me. or me thinking like you...whichever.:D

I have a $100 future wager from Pool 1 that will pay me $16,030. If anyone wants to buy it from me, let me know. I am willing to sell.

I'll give you your $100 back

Not really worth selling in my opinion.

Put it on Ebay to see how much it would get, put a large top on it, like 8k or something, I bet you could get 1k for it

Maybe if the auction closed after they ran the Derby.

They have exchange markets - where he will probably trade at around 35/1 or 40/1 on Derby day.

You could bet $100 against him which will result in about a $4K liability.

That way, if you aren't crazy about his chances anymore, you could recoup your initial investment and still make a 12K profit if he somehow wins.

It would be more of the curious side of me seeing what people would pay for something like that.

one of the contenders.

Believe you me, this horse is a contender. This horse ran very well in the FL Derby and is probably sitting on a huge performance. Is it good enough to win? Who Knows? One thing is for sure to me is that he is going to run very well in the Derby.

I'd pay $300 for it

i know the exchange markets are available in europe. how does an american participate in this?

do i need a canadian address?

What does this mean exactly? Didn't Afleet Alex lose the Kentucky Derby as the favorite?

I think Bellamy Road was the favorite that year...

However, Smooth Air is as much Afleet Alex as Freddy Mitchell was Randy Moss.

Smooth Air is reminiscent of about a billion other local Florida horses that deflated when they lost home court advantage in the classics. Hey Byrn is in the same boat.

See Suave Prospect, Built For Pleasure, Notebook, Pistols And Roses, Certain, Hal's Hope, Bull In The Heather, Technology, Mecke, Ride The Rails, Booklet, Meadow Flight, Trust N Luck, and Frisk Me Now for further details.

The rich Lone Star Derby would be the logical next spot.

'4th and 26'

me too...and ive already got one pm me im serious

bellamy road was the favorite. AA was a fast closing and close third. a little less traffic and AA wins.
AA was the best conditioned and hardest working horse that year. i think smooth air could be the same this year.

Very serious shot

He will be in all my bets on Derby Day.

[b][i]This crop should be compared to past harness horses NOT to anyone in the past. COURT VISION with AFLEET ALEX? Not in record, talent or ability to eat hay.

I can't think of a single legitimate reason why anyone would consider this colt to be a contender to win the race.
He's a nice animal with a smart trainer, and he certainly gives an honest effort, but the day this colt wins a 10f, G1 race is the same day merasmag wins a pulitzer.