3/8 (FG): LA Derby Day (6 Stakes)
 

pyro should get a pretty good test here ..

yankee bravo.and others .we will see if his last was not quite as good as some thought.......

5th (2:34) Duncan F. Kenner S.

6 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $200,000

1 King of the Roxy Gomez G K 117 L
2 Noonmark Bridgmohan S X 121 L
3 Euroears Zimmerman R 121 L
4 Les Grands Trois Leparoux J R 117 L
5 Truelyonbroadway Graham J 117 L
6 Semaphore Man Doocy T T 117 L
7 Roi Maudit Desormeaux K J 119 L



6th (3:06) New Orleans H. (G2)

1 1/8 Miles | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $500,000

1 Encaustic Leparoux J R 112 L
2 Silver Lord Lanerie C J 115 L
3 Grasshopper Albarado R J 119 L
4 Circular Quay Gomez G K 116 Blk-On L
5 Brass Hat Martinez W 117 L
6 Reporting for Duty Bridgmohan S X 115 L
7 Magna Graduate Prado E S 117 Blk-On L



7th (3:36) Mervyn Muniz Jr. Memorial H. (G2)

About 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $500,000

1 Buffalo Man Prado E S 117 L
2 Yate's Black Cat Desormeaux K J 115 L
3 Brilliant Albarado R J 116 L
4 Jazz Quest Husbands P 115 L
5 Elusive Fort (SAF) Castro E 116 L
6 French Beret Graham J 115 L
7 Fracas (IRE) Bridgmohan S X 117 FTL
8 Proudinsky (GER) Gomez G K 118 L
9 Twilight Meteor Leparoux J R 116 L
10 Daytona (IRE) Solis A 121 L



8th (4:08) Fair Grounds Oaks (G2)

1 1/16 Miles | Fillies | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $400,000

1 Indian Blessing Gomez G K 121 L
2 Proud Spell Saez G 121 L
3 Acacia Bridgmohan S X 121 L
4 Wisconsin Lady Albarado R J 121 L



9th (4:48) Louisiana Derby (G2)

1 1/16 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $600,000

1 Stevil Borel C H 122 Blk-On L
2 My Pal Charlie Leparoux J R 122 L
3 Pyro Bridgmohan S X 122 L
4 J Be K Desormeaux K J 122 L
5 Unbridled Vicar Lanerie C J 122 L
6 Tale of Ekati Prado E S 122 L
7 Blackberry Road Albarado R J 122 L
8 Yankee Bravo Solis A 122 L
9 Majestic Warrior Gomez G K 122 L



10th (5:18) Bienville S.

About 5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) | Fillies and Mares | 4 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $100,000

1 Taletobetold Leparoux J R 116 L
2 Princess Janie Castro E 116 L
3 Bewitching Miss Graham J 116 L
4 Stylish Wildcat Husbands P 120 L
5 Chagall Prado E S 116 L
6 Smitty's Sunshine Albarado R J 116 L
7 Jazzy (ARG) Gomez G K 116 L
8 Spanish Ghost Zimmerman R 116 L
9 Kindling Solis A 116 L
10 Iron Lips (GB) Desormeaux K J 116 FTL
11 Tres Dream Bridgmohan S X 116 L
12 Danceroftherealm (GB) Mena M 122 L

just did steve

Cool!

Louisiana Derby Day
$100,000 guar. Bienville Stakes 22nd 4YO/up F&M 5 1/2 furlongs* (T)
$200,000 guar.# Duncan F. Kenner Stakes 57th 3YO/up 6 furlongs
$500,000 guar. Mervin H. Muniz Jr. Memorial Handicap 16th GII 4YO/up 1 1/8 miles* (T)
$500,000 guar. New Orleans Handicap 83rd GII 4YO/up 1 1/8 miles
$400,000 guar. Fair Grounds Oaks 42nd GII 3YO fillies 1 1/16 miles
$600,000 guar. Louisiana Derby 95th GII 3YO 1 1/16 miles

1-Stevil
2-My Pal Charlie
3-Pyro
4-J Be K
5-Unbridled Vicar
6-Tale Of Ekati
7-Blackberry Road
8-Yankee Bravo
9-Majestic Warrior

Is Kodiak Cowboy running in the Kenner Stakes on the undercard? He should be eating up checks in races like those. I just hope they don't bother routing him again, unless you count the Derby Trial as a route. He could be a nice sprinter.

Oops, nevermind, I thought the kenner was restriced to 3 year olds. That's a nice field.

Always good for an exotics filler. The guy just keeps running into one horse that's too good every time he goes.

And in this case, more like four or five, but he should be a fat price on the board again and nobody can deny that he shows up with his race every time they take him over.

this looks like a nice card that I can't wait to play. I hope its fast and firm.

That's what she said!! :eek:

With the exception of the Oaks, it's a brilliant card of stakes. I think the Kenner is going to be an explosive race.

LA Derby looks very good. FG Oaks.. :rolleyes:

Yup very disappointing, not like there aren't a whole bunch of 3 yr. old fillies already here.
Rest of the card is just wonderful though. Going to be a really fun day.

Here's the forecast.....

without the PPs.. I would guess Majestic Warrior. Just guessing

What the hell is Pletcher doing with A. P. Arrow?

He would have been 1/5 in that lousy Grade 2 350K field at GP last week .. he entered Fairbanks instead!

Now, A. P. Arrow has two nice works into him since his close 2nd to Spring At Last in the Donn Handicap - instead of entering him in this weeks Gr 2 $500K dirt race at nine furlongs - he decides to enter the lousy tag team of Circular Quay and Magna Graduate.

Keep in mind, Magna Graduate was nominated to the Gr 3 Razorback at Oaklawn Park - a prep for the Oaklawn Park Handicap...which seemed like a highly logical route for MG to take.

A. P. Arrow not entering very logical spots two weeks in a row seems like a pretty big tipoff that Pletcher intends to run him in the Dubai World Cup.

When you only have one halfway decent older male dirt router - and no 3yo to take his place - why take him half way around the world to a race he has no shot in hell of winning?

I realize 2nd place in the World Cup pays $1.2 million and A. P. Arrow isn't a synthetic horse so his BC Classic hopes are nill - but, he's also FAR from a sure thing to run 2nd in Dubai ... and Pletcher is really going to miss him in these yearlong dirt routes in his empty division.

With the picture as it stands now, to me, running A. P. Arrow in Dubai looks almost as silly as not running Rags To Riches in the Belmont looked leading up to that race. If you remember, it had to take a Street Sense defection for him to run her!

He's sure as hell no less of likely to run 2nd or 3rd in Dubai as is would have been to win the GP Hcp or would be to win the FG race.

Besides Spring at Last and Daaher, AP Arrow is the only horse in that race that got the trip he wanted. And that was the way the race figured. He was no sure thing to beat Fairbainks on Saturday, much less the winner.

A.P. Arrow would have been 2/5 last Saturday - he's very soundly beaten Fairbanks in his last two races...and Sir Whimsey just isn't much.

Curlin will make a pure mockery of him in Dubai.

It's hard to imagine not wanting to dance all the dances in such a weak yet lucrative division - by leaving the door wide open for a Dubai trip as Pletcher is doing ... he's considering leaving all these easy pickings go ... just for a shot to make $1.2 million for running 2nd beaten a city block to Curlin.

I think ToK (and I guess maybe Majestic Warrior) are the only horses that might even have any chance of beating Pyro here.
This could be a good betting race because of Yankee Bravo being entered. Any race that includes an undefeated, stakes-winning horse that has absolutley zero chance to win usually means there is some money to pick up elsewhere. If Pyro is somehow not odds-on here, I think it will be incredibly easy money.

Circular Quay looked like he wanted to fall asleep at his comeback race at Santa Anita.
Although, this will be the one year anniversary of his last victory
(louisana Derby in 2007)!
:)

i hope alot of people think yankee bravo has no chance......

drugs do you think curlin is a lock?

He had a brutal trip in the Holy Bull - hung very wide on both turns.

Who cares about the LA Derby. What about all the money they are going to be handing out when Solis ****s Daytona up. I can almost guarantee that Solis is going to try and rate him, and he wants none of that. People are going to unload because of how good that victory looked but I would toss him out of the 1st two slots.

Where is Smith on Saturday that he isn't riding Daytona? El Camino Derby? I am not sure what is at SA this weekend, can't be much with Big Cap last weekend

Curlin is an absolute cinch in the World Cup.

The real two questions are how will he come back? - and how will he take to the synthetic tracks?

To me, the only thing standing in the way of him being defeated again are those two obstacles.

I don't see a War Pass developing enough to be good enough to beat him - it would really take WP developing much better than I expect, getting an uncontested lead, and perhaps even needing a real speed friendly racetrack to have a shot at holding him off.

Pyro is a fine animal - I have doubts he will develop enough to beat Curlin for sure. Unlike War Pass - Pyro will never EVER have a chance to win a misleading circumstancial race over Curlin ... while War Pass has the correct style to steal something.

With WP and Pyro being 3-year-olds, and with so many different routes to take in there divisons - I doubt they ever meet up with Curlin on a natural dirt track anyway.

Furthermore, lets chat about Indian Blessing. Four horse field with a horse that just broke its maiden, in the slop, going all kinds of slow. I see zero pace pressure but I am not sure that matters, she seems the type that won't shut off anyways, and her last race she was staggering down the lane. IB also shipped back to California and now back to FG. Proud Spell was coming and finished well, and she might have 'needed' the race, I like how Jones didn't get all nuts with her works these last two, so while the race is unbettable, I think Indian Blessing has her work cut out her this race.

Thoughts?

IB wins Saturday - As brilliant as she is - she's sitting on becoming a fantastic bet against in the right spot...and that day is coming very soon

i know larry jones is very high on proud spell, and said after her last that he 'wouldn't trade places with anyone' with that filly. of course they all say things like that after a loss with a horse brand new to the scene, especially when they show they could have more in reserve. but proud spell does have a lot of upside, while indian appears to have shown everyone that she has limits. but no other horse, as yet, has proven that indian blessing can't finish. altho not looking as strong at the finish as she has at the start, IB has still managed to win them all...so far. of course we all know that most horses don't continue to win them all. but only three horses to push blessing? hmmm...
i know baffert has been trying to teach her to relax more, listen to the rider...but we also all know that not all racehorses are willing pupils.

i agree--but this isn't the right spot. not a bettors race for sure.

It don't matter with who is going with him because Solis is going to try and fight this horse. He tried in his other races. Solis is not an open up on the backstretch jock. Smith just let this horse break and do what he wanted, and then he grabbed him at the end of the 1st turn.

If Smith was on this horse, the 6/5 would be justified and the horse probably wouldn't lose, but for some reason he bailed, and he isn't at Bay Meadows so obviously something is hot on Saturday at Santa Anita for him to pass this mount.

Back to Indian Blessing, do you say she won't lose because there is no pace or because she is that much better then Proud Spell. Proud Spell was off a ~100 day layoff and finished pretty well(in front a couple jumps after the wire). Jones is 26% 2nd off the layoff with two good works coming, all at FG, where IB had to ship in, then ship back out, and now ship back to FG. I'd like to know Baffert's numbers with this 3rd start off the layoff horses. He really has his horses cranked first out (maiden's and off the layoff) and I might be wrong but alot of them tail off until the next layoff. Gomez really rode IB down the lane, alot harder then I realized. I don't think IB has a turn off button, if she did, then I would be agreeing 100% with her lockness. Now, I am obviously not touting what will be a 8/5 shot, into a horse that will be 3/5 or 2/5 but I still think she isn't a lock, given her last performance was not that impressive.

What odds can I get on Elusive Fort?

Daytona will be 7/5 or 6/5 in this race. Proudinsky should take some cash

I am definitely not a ML guy but i will give it a shot

1: Buffalo Man - 10/1
2: Yate's Black Cat - 15/1
3: Brilliant - 6/1
4: Jazz Quest - 10/1
5: Elusive Fort - 15/1
6: French Beret - 20/1
7: Fracas - 12/1
8: Proudinsky - 4/1
9: Twilight Meteor - 12/1
10: Daytona - 7/5

It's nice to see Brilliant back in action.

i would guess j be k is going to run good, especially with kent