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-   -   3/2: AQU $65k C/O (Pants tabs $2,200 P4!!) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=20567)

Kasept 03-02-2008 05:06 AM

3/2: AQU $65k C/O (Pants tabs $2,200 P4!!)
 
Took as agonizing a beat as can recently be recalled Saturday as head bob loss in the SA 4th (Leg C) cost the Magna 5 and likely a $15,000+ hit. $60 winner from Gulfstream 7th (Leg B) had assured a big M5 payout, but in a matchup of sons of training legends, Dollase's Super Strut fell short at the wire to Mandella's Chancellor. Wager paid $35,000 to 12 punters..

Leg A: Gattopardo ($5.20), Laurel Park 9th
Leg B: Highly Honored ($61.20), Gulfstream Park 7th
Leg C: Chancellor ($25.60), Santa Anita Park 4th
Leg D: Nistle’s Crunch ($8.00), Gulfstream Park 8th
Leg E: Roar of Eagles ($4.40), Santa Anita Park 5th

Carryover of $65,200 at the Big A Sunday..


AQUEDUCT


POST SCRATCHES


4th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (P6, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Ambidaxtrous 4-5 4th
Best Value: #3 Madam Commander 6-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Worth a Shot 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Roman Queen Mary 10-1 7th


5th: S/HCP, 4+, 6f (P3, G/S)

Best Value: #7 SCR
Most Likely: #3 Rushbuckler 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Warwick Wonder 9-2 4th
Exotics Add: #1 (POE) Contessa entry 5-2 5th


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-70y (P4, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Serious Vow 1-1 WON
Best Value: #4 Fada Run 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Vesper 6-1 5th
Exotics Add: #1a (POE) Jerkens-Evans entry 8-1 7th


7th: NYB-OC/N1X, 4+, 9.75f (P3, Super)

Best Value: #2 Senor Freddie 12-1 4th
Most Likely: #5 Dantastic 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Tergesti 5-1 WON
Super Add: #1 (POE) Northern Storm 10-1 3rd


8th: 29th Broadway H., F&M-3+, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #4 Laurentide Ice 8-1
Most Likely: #6 Wishing Wishes 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Karakorum Startlet 9-5 WON


9th: CLM, 4+, 6f (Super)

Best Value: #8 Vikrant 8-1 3rd
Most Likely: #7 (LATE SCR)
Next Best: #2a (POE) Jacobson entry 6-5 2nd
Super Add: #5 SCR


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 3-4
5: 3-6
6: 9
7: 2-5-8
8: 1-4-5-6
9: [7 Late SCR]-8

2x2x1x3x4x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 4-9
7: 2-5-8
8: 1-4-5-6
9: [7 Late SCR]-8

2x3x4x2 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

Hickory Hill Hoff 03-02-2008 10:23 AM

Daddy Joe is in for 7,500 in today's 9th.....could be a nice "DT" horse for the N.Y. circuit.

Kasept 03-02-2008 10:33 AM

4
9 Island Rose Early


5
1A Mithaal Early
7 Gambler's Prize Early
8 Mighty Gulch Early


6
1 (poe) Kobla Road Early


7
1A Rodando Early NO SUPERFECTA
3 Phil's Blue Way Early


9
1A Voryias Early
2 (poe) Daddy Joe Early
5 Dynergy Early

Kasept 03-02-2008 10:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hickory Hill Hoff
Daddy Joe is in for 7,500 in today's 9th.....could be a nice "DT" horse for the N.Y. circuit.

Scratched..

Holland Hacker 03-02-2008 11:33 AM

Am I out of my mind for liking Just le Facts in the nightcap? I'm thinking he ran back and pressed the pass going long and cuts back and drops down? Other than the breakdown what am I missing?

Kasept 03-02-2008 11:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Holland Hacker
Am I out of my mind for liking Just le Facts in the nightcap? I'm thinking he ran back and pressed the pass going long and cuts back and drops down? Other than the breakdown what am I missing?

Problem is, how does he keep up with a :23+.. :46+.. :58+.. etc.? He couldn't do it when he was right last summer.

Holland Hacker 03-02-2008 11:51 AM

Good point. I guess your right. 24, 48 3/5 & 1:15s not going to get it done.

Scav 03-02-2008 12:50 PM

4: 4
5: 1,3
6: 9
7: 5,8
8: 3,6
9: 7,8,9

pmacdaddy 03-02-2008 01:01 PM

Steve - Nice call to kick off the pick6!

blackthroatedwind 03-02-2008 01:05 PM

That race was a good example of what can happen if you watch races carefully and play against horses that were trip/bias aided....and on ones severly hindered by trips.

Now, Maragh obviously butchered the favorite, but thats what happens when you never get out of the gate cleanly, you often end up behind the eight ball, especially with outside posts on the inner track.

blackthroatedwind 03-02-2008 01:24 PM

For anybody that is seriously confused as to why I think Marawful is, just that, awful, watch the replay, with head on, of the 4th race. It encapsulates everything that is bad about race riding.

Kasept 03-02-2008 01:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pmacdaddy
Steve - Nice call to kick off the pick6!

:) thx Pat..

Coach Pants 03-02-2008 01:45 PM

Pick 4
9/5,6,8/1,6/1,2,9

blackthroatedwind 03-02-2008 03:20 PM

Carryover.

blackthroatedwind 03-02-2008 03:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
Pick 4
9/5,6,8/1,6/1,2,9


This feels like a big winner. Congrats.

Coach Pants 03-02-2008 03:27 PM

Thanks guys.

What's up, bbb? Suck on that.

Kasept 03-02-2008 03:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
Pick 4
9/5,6,8/1,6/1,2,9

$2 Pick 4 (9/8/1/1) Paid $2,252.00 (4OF4)

Congrats Pants... Tremendous score.. Well played/Well earned!

blackthroatedwind 03-02-2008 03:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Wow, that was a hell of a payout too. Nice man.

The last winner was much bigger than 12:1 in the Pick-4 because of the late scratch in the finale.

blackthroatedwind 03-02-2008 03:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
Thanks guys.

What's up, bbb? Suck on that.


Poor BBB......has one 3:1 result in a Pick-4 in 15 months since declaring himself the greatest horseplayer in the world.....and still talks down to everyone.....everywhere.

cal828 03-02-2008 04:03 PM

Way to go Coach.

pmacdaddy 03-02-2008 04:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
Pick 4
9/5,6,8/1,6/1,2,9

Real nice score on a small ticket.

Hickory Hill Hoff 03-02-2008 04:03 PM

Nice job Pants!

ddthetide 03-02-2008 04:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
$2 Pick 4 (9/8/1/1) Paid $2,252.00 (4OF4)

Congrats Pants... Tremendous score.. Well played/Well earned!

ROLL TIDE !! nice score !

hoovesupsideyourhead 03-02-2008 04:33 PM

nice job coach......

3kings 03-02-2008 05:05 PM

Way to go Pants, great handicapping!

Coach Pants 03-02-2008 06:01 PM

Thanks everybody!!

I keep watching the finale. :D

Bogey 03-02-2008 06:24 PM

Congrat Pants

GPK 03-02-2008 06:27 PM

Atta boy P....:cool:

Holland Hacker 03-02-2008 06:35 PM

Great Score Coach. Totally didn't see the 1.


I was live to the 2,3,7 & 8 in the Pick 4.

I bought some insurance with a $5 exacta 1,4 / 4,7,8. HOW LUCKY AM I that it finished 1 - 4 instead of 4 - 1. Anyway I was happy with the outcome of the day. I suvive to play another day.

I just couldn't couldn't throw out Just Le Facts, even though Mr. Byk did best to save me some $. (What can I say I have a thick skull.)

Rootdog1 03-02-2008 08:22 PM

HOLLA - sweeet job Pillow

docicu3 03-02-2008 08:54 PM

Great play Pillow....so much for wider and deeper is better!! Very strong!

tiggerv 03-02-2008 11:14 PM

Nice job PP

Bigsmc 03-03-2008 03:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
Thanks guys.

What's up, bbb? Suck on that.

Atta boy Pillow.

Post of the day.

GPK 03-03-2008 07:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Wow, that was a hell of a payout too. Nice man.


that was a helluva payout...the parlay was right around $900

jms62 03-03-2008 11:08 AM

Nice Score Pants!!


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