1/13: Santa Anita ($160k C/O)
 

Saturday was a day that tested resolve as a horseplayer. Never one interested in accepting short prices in selections, bombs flew at the Fair Grounds and Santa Anita all day and I caught nearly none of them. The stakes string at New Orleans, which had been heavily disected all week on 'At the Races', ended up a stunning series of monster prices until two logicals reset some order in the Tiffany Lass and LeComte.

At Santa Anita, the three year old stake almost could not help itself from being formful, but the San Pasqual and San Fernando produced outlandish winners that produced a huge carryover of $160,000 into Sunday. While El Gato Malo proved out handsomely in the in the San Rafael, setting a track record in the process, Zappa, the longest shot on the Pasqual board at 13-1, and Air Commander, 52-1 and the 2nd longest tab in the Fernando, set off mutuel explosions.

At NOLA, French Beret (11-1-Bradley), Silver Lord (14-1-Louisiana) and Danceroftherealm (9-1-Leggio) triggered a $6,227 Pick 3; helped the all-stakes P4 come back at $10.4k; gave one winner a $25k P5 hit and left the P6 as a carryover. Steve Asmussen swept the soph features as Jim Graham gave Jolie the Cat ($10.40) a heady front-end trip in the Tiff, and Shaun Bridgmohan booted Z Fortune ($12.00) home in the LeComte.

Let's try to offset some of yesterday's drubbing with the 2nd big stakes card at Arcadia..


SANTA ANITA


3rd: 57th Sant Ynez (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Champagne Eyes 12-1 4th
Most Likely: #3 INDIAN BLESSING 2-5 WON
Next Best: #2 Izarra 5-1 5th


4th: ALW/S, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Havens Lake 10-1 2nd
Most Likely: #7 Love Happens 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #8 Quid Non 7-2 4th
Exotics Add: #6 Testify to Love 4-1 WON

$1 Exacta (6-5) $50.20
$1 Trifecta (6-5-7) $232.50
$1 Superfecta (6-5-7-8) $509.90


5th: 41st Santa Ysabel (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Initiation 5-1 5th
Most Likely: #3 Turn Away 8-5 6th
Next Best: #1 Grace Anatomy 7-2 2nd
Exotics Add: #2 Kazamira 5-2 3rd


6th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Quityerbellyaching 8-1 10th
Most Likely: #2 Recoil 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Andrew's Courage 15-1 7th
Exotics Add: #5 Charm N Chuck 6-1 WON

$1 Exacta (5-2) $28.90


7th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6.5f-DHT (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Heathersdaddysbaby 15-1 WON
Most Likely: #4 Udriga 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Pindaric 9-2 5th
Exotics Add: #6 Squeeze Me Tight 5-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (2-4) $71.40
$1 Trifecta (2-4-6) $311.50


8th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Strip Mine 8-1 9th
Most Likely: #1 Tiz Now Tiz Then 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Alonzo 6-1 8th
Exotics Add: #2 Dreamed Day 9-2 5th


9th: 44th El Encino (Gr. II), 4yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Zenyatta 7-2 WON
Most Likely: #6 Tough Tiz's Sis 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Indescribable 6-1


10th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Raebar 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #6 Chelcee's Hope 7-2 10th
Next Best: #9 Whimsical Miss 6-1 9th
Exotics Add: #10 Zoemeg 10-1 5th


11th: MDN CLM, 4+, 7f (Super)

Best Value: #7 Knoblock 6-1 5th
Most Likely: #10 Army Officer 5-1 WON
Next Best: #9 Street Number 4-1 12th
Exotics Add: #13 Chewy Carmello 12-1 11th


<$150 P6 Play:

6: 2-6
7: 2-3-4
8: 1-2-3-9
9: 2
10: 6-7
11: 7-10

2x3x4x1x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

8: 1-2-3-4-8-9
9: 2-6
10: 7
11: 7-9-10-13

6x2x1x4 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

Thanks Steve. Absolutely zero feel for the Aqueduct card today, so think I will move west... Appreciate the input.

I like LOOKS GREAT in the last race.Might foul though. So,would also use Army Officer,Ringmaster,and Golada King.Don't like Army Officer,but I guess I would have to include.Street just can't finish.Knoblock lugs in too much at the exact wrong time.

Love the 7 horse in race 1.
Gilchrist went back and reclaimed him for $18 more than he lost him for previously. Plus, the Mike Smith "off" angle never fails.
Looks like he can sit off the speed and power home.

In the 8th at SA, #12 On The Virg trained by Pletcher will go to the front and not look back. Word is Pletcher believes this horse is a runner. At 8-1, I'll play!!

Talamo didn't give him the best ride. He's a bet back next time.

Taking a shot with the 6 and 9 in race 2.

No one likes Alonzo in the 8th? I mean I know I'm just going on family history...but if you just look at the sprint debut as a prep race.. I think he'll be dangerous at this distance.

I love Alonzo,but it's not an easy race.I guess it's more realistic to come 3rd today,and win next time.Then win various stakes.

On a separate note if the #1 wins the finale at Aqueduct, I may be jumping out a window...

Decided to pass on significant play, mainly because of 7th race which I could not get any feel at all in as well as last where I liked the #1 at a price, but was tough after that. Only proposed play was a $1 ticket 1 / ALL / 1,2 / 1.

$16 ticket with willpay at half of $33K... Of course I passed. This one would put me over the edge...

Thank God he lost the photo... Sorry about the outburst.

Should of won.Chick wasted a winner.

Decided against playing Zenyatta vertically, so will single her in the pick 3 races 8-10.

8- 2,3,4,5,9,10
9- 2
10- 1,3,7,9


This leaves me with 7 dollars in my account, which will go to a straight exactor over R i Diane if the will pays say its worth it.(Knowing myself, I will end up putting it on Bejarano in another race) This drought that I'm in must end, it feels like I work all week for nothing. Im at the bottom of the betting roller coaster.

Best of luck to everyone playing this evening!!

THAT absolves all sins of the weekend! Can't believe Chantal Sutherland bails me out... Her first CA win.

Heathersdaddysbaby jumped off the page at me this morning.. (despite Chantal..)

nice call steve and a total balls move with chantal up

O.K.,I'm live with Alonzo for a Heathersdaddy/Alonzo double.Don't think he will win 1st time around 2 turns,but hate for him to win without having him.....oooooooo...he just opened as the favorite...hmmmm...I think he will need another start,but lets bring him in.

Very nice Steve...way to go my man!!

Nice one!!

Suggest Shirreffs fans listen to his 'ATR' visit Friday.. First time on and was pleased to get him. Talked extensively about this race...

Starts at 4:15 (Hour One)..
http://www.thoroughbredracingradione...,11/Itemid,35/

Hooves; Spydee; PMac..

Thx.. Needed it after dropping $280 yesterday, which would have been $400 if not for Jolie the Cat.. As J.J. used to say, if I get beat up bad one day, look out the next day..

Six horses between 9-2 & 6-1 in this curious 8th.. Not a single result imaginable would shock me here.

Great pickin Steve.

Unbelievable, I can't hit anything this weekend. I go 6 deep in a 12 horse field and not one of em even hits the board. Laughable.

NICE...When is Pletcher going back to Florida?

T/F,

Great piece of info... I'll speak for the group and say that everyone who got to it and employed it says 'Thx!'...

That's twice now that Smith has brought Alonzo outside of horses after the wire,and let him run as if the race is still going on.Horse ain't tired...Clueless though...I.Q. of 2.

Okay, time to break this awful drought. Not playing again until next Friday if this doesnt work.

2$ DD
2 with 6,7
3$ DD
2 with 7

Account is dunzo.

Race 9 Santa Anita

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PICK 3

Leg 1: 2
Leg 2: 1,2,3,5,6,7,8,9,10,13
Leg 3: 2

Thanks. Very nice call.

She A Monster.....

99/100 Horses Would Not Have Gotten Up With That Much Left TO DO,and Not Much Time Left.

I was afraid that she wouldnt have much to close into when I seen the splits. I was too elated to have finally picked a winner, albeit a 3/2 shot, that I didnt even check the winning time. Anyone have it??

1:40.61

Thanks Titan.

Come on Raf, bring home Raebear.

I really don't know how he could have ever come up with that 3rd favorite at 7/2 morning line.He's like 1 of 5 people on Earth that thought she would go off 3rd favorite.

10th race - Allisons Art
 

I like the three here. Yes, maybe I go overboard for Danehill runners but has the breeding, maybe the break was good for the horse, and like the style.

WHIMSICAL getting hammered in doubles.

I know this may not be the thread, but how good is she? I mean I don't remember a colt/filly in a long time being so impressive to begin a career. Her 3 races are simply amazing and Flores didn't touch her in any of them yet and takes her out to the parking lot everytime and she still does it easily.

19-1........you Would Think We Get A Carryover,but These Pricks Probably Will Be Still Live.

Just Army Can Kill A Carryover

DAG VOMIT......Leave it to Tyler to kill a carryover.

Your welcome!
Nice pick 3! Pletcher amazes me how well he knows his huge stable.
This horse could be on the "Derby Trail."