11/17: Big A (C/O); CD (Late P4)
 

$25k carryover into Aqueduct 4th-9th today with card highlighted by some tough maiden sets and the Gr. III Stuyvesant. Very tough looking sequence for the sextet... Churchill features the Gr. III Cardinal and also has a modest carry for its' less popular P6... Hollywood has a $125k carry as well, and we may get to it later this a.m.


AQUEDUCT


4th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3)

Difficult to read maiden affair with all but three making career bows..

Best Value: #7 Put Him Back 12-1 8th
Most Likely: #5 He's the Commander 9-2 4th
Exotics Must: #4 Mint Lane 4-1 3rd
Other Add: #10 Bang Bang Bang 3-1 5th


5th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, G/S, Super)

Also eligible Haze My Man the strong choice if he gets in.. Otherwise it's a spread race for multis..

Best Value: #9 Stormy Success 6-1 7th
Most Likely: #12 SCR
Exotics Must: #1 Highly Spoken 3-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Dubliner 8-1 10th


6th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, DD, Super)

Best Value: #10 Final Resolution 8-1 8th
Most Likely: #8 POST EXCHANGE 4-1 5th
Exotics Must: #4 Walker's Cay 12-1 6th
Super Add: #5 New York Style 15-1 10th

.10 SUPER PLAY: 8 over 2-4-5-10 over 1-2-4-5-6-9-10-11 (1x4x7x6 = 168/10 = $16.80)


7th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 7.5f (P3)

Best Value: #4 DON'T KNOCK AMERICA 15-1 8th
Most Likely: #6 Bayou Timber 5-2 7th
Exotics Must: #8 Run With the Lark 3-1 4th


8th: 57th Stiyvesant H. (Gr. III), 3+, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #7 Who What Win 12-1 4th
Most Likely: #8 Barcola 5-2 6th
Exotics Must: #2 SCR


9th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (Super)

Best Value: #11 SCR
Most Likely: #5 VIVACIOUS VIVIAN 7-2 7th
Exotics Must: #10 Kristi With a K 3-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Eurodollar 8-1 8th


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 1e-2e-4-5-7-10
5: 1-9
6: 8
7: 4-6
8: (2/SCR)7-8
9: 5

6x2x1x2x2x1 = 36 x $2 = $72


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-4-5-8
7: 4-6-8
8: (2/SCR) 6-7-8
9: 5

4x3x3x1 = $36



CHURCHILL DOWNS


7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, O/U, Super)

Best Value: #1 Cleverdale 8-1 10th
Most Likely: #10 Even Tempo 7-2 4th
Exotics Must: #8 SCR
Super Add: #5 Lauren's Music 5-1 WON


8th: OC/N$Y, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, O/U, Super)

Best Value: #3 CITY NUMBER 9-2 5th
Most Likely: #6 Elite Squadron 7-2 WON
Exotics Must: #4 Deputy Glitters 8-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Carnack's Choice 5-1 3rd


9th: Cardinal H. (Gr. III), F&M-3+, 9f-T (DD, O/U, Super)

Best Value: #3 Nottawasaga 12-1 3rd
Most Likely: #6 Argentina 2-1 2nd
Exotics Must: #4 Criminologist 8-5 WON
Super Add: #8 Love Handles 12-1 5th


10th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (O/U, Super)

Best Value: #3 Cielo Song 10-1 2nd
Most Likely: #1 Mama's Lil' Mon 4-1 3rd
Exotics Must: #10 Chief Export 3-1 WON
Super Add: #9 Delta Charlie 6-1 7th


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-5-(8/SCR)-9-10
8: 3-6
9: 6
10: 1-3-5-9-10

4x2x1x5 = $40


Good luck!
Steve

9th race aqueduct
 

Steve,

In your pick 6 and pick 4 for the 9th race you have singled #2, yet in your picks you don't have the 2 listed at all. Typo? By the way big fan of the webiste and appreciate all that you do for us racing fans. Thanks, John (Troy, NY)

John..

Thx! Of course it's the 5.. The Mott filly.. Change made..

And thanks for the kind compliment though clearly as cited here, I have no idea what I'm actually doing!!!

In the 9th race Kristi With a K, who's a half to Bit of Whimsy, was entered in one of these maiden turf races a couple of weeks ago and ran off in the post parade. As the horse was running off, and before the scratch was announced, she dropped from 6-1 to 3-1 in one flash.

Good to know. Thanks.

Interesting...

Scratches
 

At Aqueduct, all the also eligibles and entered for MTO are scratched in Race 5. The 3, Come On Over is scratched in Race 6. Naughty New Yorker and Malibu Moonshine are scratched in Race 8. Also eligibles and MTOs are scratched in Race 9.

Steve,

Naughty New Yorker has scratched. With Naughty New Yorker out, do you see any possibility of Evening Attire getting into the mix. The race has a lot of speed in it and he seems to be the only deep closer. I know his form hasn't been great this year, but I'm hoping to get him at good odds.

CD Late P4...

7: 6,7,10
8: 2,5
9: 3,4,5,6,8
10: 6,9,10

Gona try Boss Tiffany in early DD 2 / 1,4,5

Happy Birthday......get up with that early double.

Thanks. Had the exacta there for a few bucks too :) .

I'm going to try a late pick 3 ticket today.

7th: 5,6,7
8th: 1,5,7
9th: 3,10

Good information to know, thanks Andy. I liked the horse to begin with, but this seals the deal on playing this one.

Going a large with Pointman on late pick4. Maybe sniff out a couple prices...

Ticket #1
R6 - 1,2,4,5,6,8,10,11
R7 - 4,5,6
R8 - 5,6,7,8
R9 - 5,10

Ticket #2
R6 - 8
R7 - 1,4,6,7,8
R8 - 1,5,6,7,8
R9 - 5,10

Good luck!

What the hell is Jan Rushton wearing today? :confused:

Cardiff Road almost ensured another carryover. Nice ride by Alan Garcia on Dantastic.

took a shot at Steve's super with Post Exchange at 5/2 on top.

Wow that race sucked. Race 6 at the Big A. I hope everyone is ok.

Time to hang it up. :mad:

Pathetic.

Ha ha, race 7 at the Big A I didn't have one of the top 3 to win. What is going on here?

That race was brutal. My pick 3 ticket is already done.

Utopia is overbet....Even money favorite.

Potential for double Carryover, only bright spot as of now...

Start preparing your $600 ticket for tomorrow

Based on how this pick4 is going, I think I will play my phone number.

I'm going to try a 1,5,7 Tribox in the Aqueduct 8th.

I'll try to help people out, I really like the 5 here at 5-1. It is safe to toss him.

Well I don't like the 1, so he may win.

I have 1,4 on the bottom of my selections. Expecting a 1,4 exacta.

This is a joke.

Garcia having a pretty good day....I like the way this kid rides

Evening Attire always breaks too slow.....If he would have gotten out of the gate a little faster, he would be in the winners circle.

I love the old man, but you can't really call what he does out of the gate "breaking," perhaps you can call it walking out of the gate...

and what the hell is with the costumes in the winners circle?!?

Thanksgiving.

Thats a joke...it just looks stupid...

in the 9th, I like 5,9,10. Toss em. Have 1,4,6,8 as tosses. Box em.

I really like the way he rides. McLaughlin has finally found a talented young kid to ride first call.

Can the 5 win here, or is this a crapshoot?