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-   -   $364k Hollywood Carryover (11/10) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=18061)

whodey17 11-10-2007 12:37 AM

$364k Hollywood Carryover (11/10)
 
Lets see if someone from this board can hit the pick 6. Please post your thoughts. Thanks

cowgirlintexas 11-10-2007 07:17 AM

Here's my stab at it.

race 4- 2,9
race 5- 1,4
race 6- 1,5
race 7- 1,3,9
race 8- 3,6
race 9- 5,7,8

swedejxn 11-10-2007 11:19 AM

$150 to try

2-8-10
4
3-7
3-9
3-2
9-13-15

philcski 11-10-2007 11:58 AM

"Dunce cap" horse for me in the sequence is R5 #1, Ever a Friend. Horse will take a lot of money and will be a serious underlay. Note the one win since mid-'06 was over Southern Prince, who would be 20-1 against this group. If I use any other horse besides Silver Stetson Man in the P6 it'll be Bushwacker, who could find himself loose on the lead and the turnback in distance should help.

GPK 11-10-2007 12:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
"Dunce cap" horse for me in the sequence is R5 #1, Ever a Friend. Horse will take a lot of money and will be a serious underlay. Note the one win since mid-'06 was over Southern Prince, who would be 20-1 against this group. If I use any other horse besides Silver Stetson Man in the P6 it'll be Bushwacker, who could find himself loose on the lead and the turnback in distance should help.

Broke his maiden at first asking...without looking, who finished 2nd to him that day?

Bigsmc 11-10-2007 12:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
"Dunce cap" horse for me in the sequence is R5 #1, Ever a Friend. Horse will take a lot of money and will be a serious underlay. Note the one win since mid-'06 was over Southern Prince, who would be 20-1 against this group. If I use any other horse besides Silver Stetson Man in the P6 it'll be Bushwacker, who could find himself loose on the lead and the turnback in distance should help.

Silver Stetson Man looks to be the real deal. The place horse in his last two races immediately came back and won at the same level with Beyers of 98 (Mi Rey) and 99 (Johnny Eves). Third off the layoff, he's my single.

Bigsmc 11-10-2007 12:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
Broke his maiden at first asking...without looking, who finished 2nd to him that day?

You knew that without looking? I can't remember who won the 4th at Aqueduct 5 minutes ago.

GPK 11-10-2007 01:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc
You knew that without looking? I can't remember who won the 4th at Aqueduct 5 minutes ago.


Yep...Sunriver:cool:

Ever A Friend went gate to wire that day at pretty big odds. Javier Castellano was in the irons if I remember correctly.

Bigsmc 11-10-2007 01:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
Yep...Sunriver:cool:

Ever A Friend went gate to wire that day at pretty big odds.

You've got issues...

GPK 11-10-2007 01:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc
You've got issues...


Its taken you how long to figure that out?

GPK 11-10-2007 01:36 PM

Im about 99% certain that Saint Damian finished 3rd that day.

ArlJim78 11-10-2007 01:47 PM

R4) 2 7 8 10
R5) 4 6
R6) 7
R7) 1 3
R8) 2 3
R9) 3 9

$128

Bigsmc 11-10-2007 02:04 PM

Pick 4:

R1 - 3,6
R2 - 5,7,8
R3 - 2,3,4
R4 - 2,8,10

$54
GL to all today.

PeteMugg 11-10-2007 02:34 PM

10-4-7-9-5-15

not sure if any of them can win that finale

SCUDSBROTHER 11-10-2007 03:31 PM

Only concern about Stetson is running 109'4 in workout last Sunday.Hasn't raced in over a month,so maybe can handle it.

Bigsmc 11-10-2007 03:45 PM

P6
 
R4 - 2,8,10
R5 - 4
R6 - 3,7
R7 - 3,6,9
R8 - 1,5
R9 - 9,13

GL to all.

SCUDSBROTHER 11-10-2007 03:51 PM

Leg 1: 2,8,10
Leg 2: 4
Leg 3: 5,7
Leg 4: 2,3
Leg 5: 3
Leg 6: 9,13

whodey17 11-10-2007 03:52 PM

Here is my pick on this pick 6

Leg A - 2-8-10
Leg B - 1-4
Leg C - 3-7-11
Leg D - 1-2-3
Leg E - 1-3-5
Leg F - 12-13

$648

-BT- 11-10-2007 03:56 PM

Wood PK6

29 10
4
37
13
36
3 13 = $96


gl all


-bt-

SCUDSBROTHER 11-10-2007 04:12 PM

Why they paying Sarg a check if he is holding out on horses until they are loading the gate? That exacta horse(LIFE AT TEN) is a horse he had a chance to buy,and is precocious...Either give it out,or don't.

Scav 11-10-2007 04:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
Why they paying Sarg a check if he is holding out on horses until they are loading the gate? That exacta horse(LIFE AT TEN) is a horse he had a chance to buy,and is precocious...Either give it out,or don't.

They do that all the time Scuds, all of them. When Christina comes on when there is 1MTP, everyone should just push all in

whodey17 11-10-2007 04:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
They do that all the time Scuds, all of them. When Christina comes on when there is 1MTP, everyone should just push all in

I am with you Scavs. Drives me crazy.

SCUDSBROTHER 11-10-2007 04:28 PM

Kristina may not get the info that much earlier,but Sarg had all day to talk about that 7 horse who came runnin' for 2nd.I mean do one or the other.Sarg is like any other fatboy.Wants it both ways.Either keep it to himself,or give it out(and get credit.)What he did is wait until people had their pick 6 tickets in,and then he gave out a live 14-1 shot.

ArlJim78 11-10-2007 04:37 PM

do you guys really wait to see what horses the hosts of tvg are "giving out".
i thought the horse was live based on the 1:11 workout, also with Tyler and Hendricks being on fire.

Scav 11-10-2007 04:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
"Dunce cap" horse for me in the sequence is R5 #1, Ever a Friend. Horse will take a lot of money and will be a serious underlay. Note the one win since mid-'06 was over Southern Prince, who would be 20-1 against this group. If I use any other horse besides Silver Stetson Man in the P6 it'll be Bushwacker, who could find himself loose on the lead and the turnback in distance should help.

Straight up good handicapping right there. Good job

SCUDSBROTHER 11-10-2007 04:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
do you guys really wait to see what horses the hosts of tvg are "giving out".
i thought the horse was live based on the 1:11 workout, also with Tyler and Hendricks being on fire.

We don't care what you think.We care about what a guy like that(who had a chance to buy her) knows about her.We can all guess about these maidens.He knew she was precocious.We could all say she had a shot(using the info you described,) but this was extrafrom that info.We all know you can't use everybody who has a decent work in there.We could all go 5 deep in maiden fantasyland.I mean no matter what somebody writes,you're gunna be the prick to contradict it.I say the sky is blue,and you're gunna say it actually ain't quite blue.

philcski 11-10-2007 05:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Straight up good handicapping right there. Good job

except i couldn't talk myself into using him in the end :(

i hate this 7 at 6/5 in the 6th.

ArlJim78 11-10-2007 05:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
We don't care what you think.We care about what a guy like that(who had a chance to buy her) knows about her.We can all guess about these maidens.He knew she was precocious.We could all say she had a shot(using the info you described,) but this was extrafrom that info.We all know you can't use everybody who has a decent work in there.We could all go 5 deep in maiden fantasyland.I mean no matter what somebody writes,you're gunna be the prick to contradict it.I say the sky is blue,and you're gunna say it actually ain't quite blue.

the sarg babbled on about every horse in the race. if you're paying any attention to what he says you're in a fantasyland. its not always a conspiracy or a "fatboy" trying to have it both ways.

SCUDSBROTHER 11-10-2007 05:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
except i couldn't talk myself into using him in the end :(

i hate this 7 at 6/5 in the 6th.

I was gunna say he said "if" he used another horse.It's difficult to trust this horse.We all knew he would clear.I didn't think he would hold on for 6 and a half,but obviously he did.Bafferts horse ran his race on Sunday.

philcski 11-10-2007 05:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
I was gunna say he said "if" he used another horse.It's difficult to trust this horse.We all knew he would clear.I didn't think he would hold on for 6 and a half,but obviously he did.Bafferts horse ran his race on Sunday.

agreed on both points.

That's the difficulty of the pick 6, you can't "throw in" horses like you can in a pick 4, etc. Should have used on a backup ticket, however.

Scav 11-10-2007 05:29 PM

Carrothers is 3 for 3 right now with below left, and this was on a $120 budget....

7: 3
8: 5
9: 7,9,12,13

SCUDSBROTHER 11-10-2007 05:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
the sarg babbled on about every horse in the race. if you're paying any attention to what he says you're in a fantasyland. its not always a conspiracy or a "fatboy" trying to have it both ways.

He said he had a chance to buy her.That means he knew a lil more about this one than the others.He said she was suppose to be precocious.Horse went off 14-1.Obviously pretty good information that he held until people had put their p6 tickets in.If you had a pile of dog pooh in front of you,you would see it as common shoe lubricant(nothing more.)I'm not saying he has to divulge what he knows,but the way he does it is not great.Not when he is getting checks from TVG.

whodey17 11-11-2007 11:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Carrothers is 3 for 3 right now with below left, and this was on a $120 budget....

7: 3
8: 5
9: 7,9,12,13

That was sort of a tough loss in my opinion. He loses to Gomez and the fav in the 8th and then to Smith and a 3-1 horse in the least going 4 deep. But still very good handicapping by Matt with a limited budget. I wonder if he had at least 5 of 6 on his "larger" ticket he played.


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