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-   -   BC: Turf; FMT; Mile (PP's/Odds) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=17418)

Kasept 10-16-2007 01:49 PM

BC: Turf; FMT; Mile (PP's/Odds)
 
Turf

10th (4:50) John Deere Breeders' Cup Turf (G1)

1 1/2 Miles (Turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $3,000,000

1 1 Fri Guy Desormeaux K J Romans Dale 126 LA 50-1
2 2 Red Rocks (IRE) Dettori L Meehan Brian 126 L 7-2
3 3 Better Talk Now Dominguez R A Motion H Graham 126 LA 9-2
4 4 Shamdinan (FR) Leparoux J R Penna Angel Jr 121 L 20-1
5 5 Grand Couturier (GB) Borel C H Ribaudo Robert J 126 L 10-1
6 6 English Channel Velazquez J R Pletcher Todd A 126 LA 5-2
7 7 Dylan Thomas (IRE) Murtagh J P O'Brien Aidan P 126 L 7-5
8 8 Transduction Gold Graham J Glenney John 126 L 30-1


Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta Daily Double

Kasept 10-17-2007 10:07 AM

Mile

8th (3:20) NetJets Breeders' Cup Mile (G1)

1 Mile (Turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $2,000,000

1 1 Rebellion (GB) Coa E M Motion H Graham 126 LA 50-1
2 2 Icy Atlantic Decarlo C P Pletcher Todd A 126 LA 30-1
3 3 After Market Solis A Shirreffs John 126 LA 7-2
4 4 Host (CHI) Gomez G K Pletcher Todd A 126 LA 30-1
5 5 Jeremy Dettori L Stoute Sir Michael 126 5-1
6 6 Trippi's Storm Castellano J J Hough Stanley M 126 LA 8-1
7 7 Cosmonaut Leparoux J R Parisel Francois 126 L 15-1
8 8 Kip Deville Velasquez C Dutrow, Jr. R E 126 L 6-1
9 9 Nobiz Like Shobiz Velazquez J R Tagg Barclay 122 LA 8-1
10 10 My Typhoon (IRE) Castro E Mott William I 123 LA 30-1
11 11 Silent Name (JPN) Desormeaux K J Frankel Robert 126 LA 30-1
12 12 Purim Theriot H J II Proctor Thomas F 126 LA 20-1
13 13 Excellent Art (GB) Murtagh J P O'Brien Aidan P 122 FTL 3-1
14 14 Remarkable News (VEN) Dominguez R A Penna Angel Jr 126 L 12-1


Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10) / Pick 4 (Races 8-9-10-11)

Kasept 10-17-2007 10:09 AM

Filly & Mare Turf

6th (1:55) Emirates Airline Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Turf (G1)

1 3/8 Miles (Turf) | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $2,000,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 All My Loving (IRE) Smullen P J O'Brien Aidan P 118 Blk-On FTL 15-1
2 2 Honey Ryder Velazquez J R Pletcher Todd A 123 LA 9-2
3 3 Nashoba's Key Talamo J Gaines Carla 123 L 3-1
4 4 Passage of Time (GB) Dominguez R A Cecil Henry 118 7-2
5 5 Wait a While Gomez G K Pletcher Todd A 123 LA 4-1
6 6 Lahudood (GB) Garcia Alan McLaughlin Kiaran P 123 LA 10-1
7 7 Argentina (IRE) Desormeaux K J Frankel Robert 123 LA 12-1
8 8 Timarwa (IRE) Kinane M J Oxx John M 118 20-1
9 9 Danzon Leparoux J R Parisel Francois 123 L 12-1
10 10 Arravale Valdivia J Jr Benson MacDonald 123 L 30-1
11 11 Simply Perfect (GB) Murtagh J P Noseda Jeremy 118 FTL 15-1
12 12 Precious Kitten Bejarano R Frankel Robert 123 LA 30-1

hockey2315 10-17-2007 10:19 AM

Suprised to see Nobiz pre-entered in the mile. . . Is he actually going?

my miss storm cat 10-17-2007 10:25 AM

Jeremy has been sitting on a big win all year...

(Nice avatar, Hockey).

NoChanceToDance 10-17-2007 12:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by my miss storm cat
Jeremy has been sitting on a big win all year...

(Nice avatar, Hockey).

If the turf is firm he won't be winning. Or at least, i don't see him winning if it's firm.

Really fancy Excellent Art in the mile, just as long as Spencer doesn't ride him. He has been beaten by the beat miler in europe (maybe the world) at the moment this year, a really class horse with so much natural speed and a turn of foot, which is lethal. He acts on firm/heavy, everything seems to come alike to him. If i'm honest i will be shocked if he is beaten in the mile.

Can't see past Dylan Thomas in the turf. He should win, unless the turf gets soft.

I don't actually think the Euros will be winning the filly and mare this year. All My Loving has no chance, can't believe she has been pre entered. Passage Of Time is a nice horse, but it is a tough ask for her i think.

Simply Perfect won't stay the trip, and Timarwa will probably be a bit outclassed. John Oxx is a legend though and wouldn't be sending her without a very good reason.

brockguy 10-17-2007 04:00 PM

Jermey's best race came when the ground was a road at Ascot... I think he'll do well if it is quick

NoChanceToDance 10-17-2007 04:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brockguy
Jermey's best race came when the ground was a road at Ascot... I think he'll do well if it is quick

Michael Stoute has always said he is best on a good surface, wasn't there some talk of taking him out at Royal Ascot because of the ground?

brockguy 10-17-2007 04:19 PM

still though, trainers dont always know best..

EDIT- any idea of jock.. Kinane please..

brockguy 10-17-2007 04:24 PM

Champs Elysees is keeping up the family tradition of competing in the BC.. He is interesting..

my miss storm cat 10-17-2007 04:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brockguy
still though, trainers dont always know best..

EDIT- any idea of jock.. Kinane please..

Even though he's never won on him (... but been 2nd a few times)... RYAN (please)! :) :cool:

NoChanceToDance 10-17-2007 04:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brockguy
still though, trainers dont always know best..

EDIT- any idea of jock.. Kinane please..

Trainers aren't usually too far wrong when it comes down to ground preferences. I'm not convinced the ground was that quick at Ascot. Our ground when described as good to firm would probably be called good in America. Their firm would be our "hard", which we now cannot race on.

I'm hoping Kinane rides Excellent Art. Kinane is due to be Ballydoyle's "main" jockey over there.

MMSC, i'm not sure if Ryan Moore will be making the trip over there. If he does, then he probably will ride him.

HaloWishingwell 10-18-2007 10:13 AM

Anyone know how long SILENT NAME has been in Frankel's barn? He had the lead to midstretch with last year's group.

Bobby Fischer 10-18-2007 10:39 AM

Looking Jeremy over as a longshot for the Mile exotics...

When foreign horses run in America, I like to generalize that they want a furlong or so more in The States.

This guy Jeremy ran in the 8furlong Queen Anne G1 stakes back in June, and he made the lead in the stretch, and was just beaten by a very good horse in Ramonti.
Kind of interesting the racing post mentions in the Queen Anne comments that he is a 7 furlong horse and that he much prefers a firm going. :eek:
Follows the Queen Anne with a solid 3rd in the Grade1 Sussex(Ramonti,Excellent Art) , and then a real clunker going 7furlongs in a Grade1 on Soft going in his last.

a 7 furlong horse maybe I move him up a little here, with a fair amount of class internationally, and maybe if we get a firm Monmouth Turf - maybe he gets another slight upgrade over any Europeans with a soft preference... PLUS a real clunker in the last to throw the hounds off the trail.

Probably a waste, but I may include him on some vertical exotics

Scav 10-18-2007 10:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
Looking Jeremy over as a longshot for the Mile exotics...

When foreign horses run in America, I like to generalize that they want a furlong or so more in The States.

This guy Jeremy ran in the 8furlong Queen Anne G1 stakes back in June, and he made the lead in the stretch, and was just beaten by a very good horse in Ramonti.
Kind of interesting the racing post mentions in the Queen Anne comments that he is a 7 furlong horse and that he much prefers a firm going. :eek:
Follows the Queen Anne with a solid 3rd in the Grade1 Sussex(Ramonti,Excellent Art) , and then a real clunker going 7furlongs in a Grade1 on Soft going in his last.

a 7 furlong horse maybe I move him up a little here, with a fair amount of class internationally, and maybe if we get a firm Monmouth Turf - maybe he gets another slight upgrade over any Europeans with a soft preference... PLUS a real clunker in the last to throw the hounds off the trail.

Probably a waste, but I may include him on some vertical exotics

I actually love the fact that he ran that way last race, people will overlook that it was on a yielding course. All his other races are very competitive, I'm a pretty big fan......

NoChanceToDance 10-18-2007 01:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
Looking Jeremy over as a longshot for the Mile exotics...

When foreign horses run in America, I like to generalize that they want a furlong or so more in The States.

This guy Jeremy ran in the 8furlong Queen Anne G1 stakes back in June, and he made the lead in the stretch, and was just beaten by a very good horse in Ramonti.
Kind of interesting the racing post mentions in the Queen Anne comments that he is a 7 furlong horse and that he much prefers a firm going. :eek:
Follows the Queen Anne with a solid 3rd in the Grade1 Sussex(Ramonti,Excellent Art) , and then a real clunker going 7furlongs in a Grade1 on Soft going in his last.

a 7 furlong horse maybe I move him up a little here, with a fair amount of class internationally, and maybe if we get a firm Monmouth Turf - maybe he gets another slight upgrade over any Europeans with a soft preference... PLUS a real clunker in the last to throw the hounds off the trail.

Probably a waste, but I may include him on some vertical exotics

I can assure you that he doesn't prefer firm ground. Good ground is perfect for him. If they are calling the turf "firm" in America it could be far to jarring for any of our horses in the mile.

I'm not saying Jeremy won't handle it firm, but according to the trainer he is better on good ground.

The joy with Excellent Art is that he seems to enjoy any ground. Has won on good to firm and heavy.

Bobby Fischer 10-18-2007 01:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NoChanceToDance
I can assure you that he doesn't prefer firm ground. Good ground is perfect for him. If they are calling the turf "firm" in America it could be far to jarring for any of our horses in the mile.

I'm not saying Jeremy won't handle it firm, but according to the trainer he is better on good ground.

The joy with Excellent Art is that he seems to enjoy any ground. Has won on good to firm and heavy.

That makes good sense.

Excellent Art does look very consistent. I would worry about him getting asked early enough to be involved, but Murtagh has a feel for the game and should give him a chance.

NoChanceToDance 10-18-2007 02:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
That makes good sense.

Excellent Art does look very consistent. I would worry about him getting asked early enough to be involved, but Murtagh has a feel for the game and should give him a chance.

What i like about Excellent Art is that he travels so powerfully in his races, and no matter how fast the gallop is in any particular race, his turn of foot can end a race within a few strides. Jamie Spencer has given this horse a couple of dreadful rides this summer (he should have beaten Ramonti last time). He is a hold up horse, so he would need some solid pace in the early stages of the race.

I like Jeremy, but i'm just not sure about his overall class. On all his known form, his run in the Queen Anne does look as if it could have been a bit of a fluke.

Excellent Art has only had four runs thies year and arguably he should have had four wins, all of which were in Gr1 races.

sirbarton 10-20-2007 12:25 PM

In case you haven't found out yet, Frankel took over Silent Name after his last race in July.

sirbarton 10-20-2007 12:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HaloWishingwell
Anyone know how long SILENT NAME has been in Frankel's barn? He had the lead to midstretch with last year's group.

Oops! I think I messed up my first reply. Frankel took over Silent Name after his last race in July.

my miss storm cat 10-21-2007 10:52 AM

Frankie got the Jeremy mount..... :(

NoChanceToDance 10-21-2007 01:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by my miss storm cat
Frankie got the Jeremy mount..... :(

I thought about you when i saw that :(

hockey2315 10-21-2007 02:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by my miss storm cat
Frankie got the Jeremy mount..... :(

What's wrong with Dettori?! That he'll hurt the odds?

gallant bloom 10-21-2007 02:13 PM

we can now
kiss jeremy
goodbye.

NoChanceToDance 10-21-2007 02:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gallant bloom
we can now
kiss jeremy
goodbye.

You said it right there.

How come you're not in Woodbine to see your boy run?

NoChanceToDance 10-21-2007 02:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
What's wrong with Dettori?! That he'll hurt the odds?

Frankie is a dreadful jockey. Probably the most overrated jock in european racing history.

gallant bloom 10-21-2007 02:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NoChanceToDance
You said it right there.

How come you're not in Woodbine to see your boy run?

because i'm going
to the bc
instead.

i will yell
at dettori
for u.

:D

gallant bloom 10-21-2007 02:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
What's wrong with Dettori?! That he'll hurt the odds?

stupid ppl will
think he has
a better shot
now.

he'll be
off the board.

NoChanceToDance 10-21-2007 02:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gallant bloom
because i'm going
to the bc
instead.

i will yell
at dettori
for u.

:D

Good girl. :D

Make sure you take some pics of the euro runners. Especially Annie Skates in the Juvenile fillies race if you can.

I'd owe you a present if you could do that :)

NoChanceToDance 10-21-2007 02:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gallant bloom
stupid ppl will
think he has
a better shot
now.

he'll be
off the board.

I'm not saying he will be off the board, but having Dettori on his back has certainly dented his chances.

If Frankie comes into the stretch with no chance of winning but a chance of being second or third, he will just give up. Like he did on Blue Ksar the other day.

gallant bloom 10-21-2007 02:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NoChanceToDance
I'm not saying he will be off the board, but having Dettori on his back has certainly dented his chances.

If Frankie comes into the stretch with no chance of winning but a chance of being second or third, he will just give up. Like he did on Blue Ksar the other day.

did u see
the replay
from milan?

echo of light
could have
won but
he was 3rd.

thanx frankie.

NoChanceToDance 10-21-2007 02:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gallant bloom
did u see
the replay
from milan?

echo of light
could have
won but
he was 3rd.

thanx frankie.

No, i didn't see it, but it doesn't surprise me.

NoChanceToDance 10-21-2007 03:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I see I am unworthy of a response. Thanks.

Me, Gallant, mmsc and many european racing followers will all agree that Dettori is hugely overrated. He isn't the best when it comes to tactics and compared with a lot of jockeys he is very weak in a finish.

He only cares about winning. Second and third are not good enough to him as he has shown many times in the past. If he has no chance of winning, but still has a chance of hitting the board he will more than likely give up.

People think he's a good jockey because of the media. He gets a lot of media attention, but that doesn't mean he is good.

He has the choice of all the Godolphin horses to ride, and if they have two runners in the same race he will usually choose the 'wrong one', even though he should know the Godolphin horses inside out.

He just isn't very good considering he gets to ride some of the best horses in the world and often gets it all wrong.

NoChanceToDance 10-21-2007 03:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I was kind of hoping the person who called people stupid would reply although I appreciate the response. I don't really know, nor care if he is overrated. I am under the opinion that jocks mean very little and do more harm than good. I don't see Dettori enough to have an opinion on him.

There are certain jocks over here, as i'm sure there are in America, where as a fan/punter, you know that he/she will give it their all and try their hardest on every horse. Frankie isn't one of these jockeys. He cost one of my friends a nice exacta payout the other day when he stopped riding his mount which cost him second place.

He earns so much money outside racing that he doesn't really care. He doesn't care about travelling to the races any great distance, if he doesn't really want to, he won't. People over here who don't follow racing just think Dettori is a good jock because he is probably the only one they have heard of.

People will remember the magnificent seven he did at Ascot, but he was on by far the best horses in most of those races and got very lucky with some of the trips he got through the races.

I've seen him mess up so many times, whethet it's through arrogance or lack of ability i couldn't be sure, but he isn't the sort of jockey you could depend on to get a winner if you really need one.

brockguy 10-21-2007 03:39 PM

I agree that Frankie isnt the best jock riding in Europe, but at a massive international event like the Breeders Cup, he will be fine. I would personally have preferred Kinane but if Frankie can ride him like he did Red Rocks last year, Ill take that..

hockey2315 10-21-2007 03:45 PM

Can one of you Europeans please rank the big jockeys over there for us?

Thanks. . .

my miss storm cat 10-21-2007 03:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
What's wrong with Dettori?! That he'll hurt the odds?

I just wish they had gone with someone else.

He's not been at his best lately to put it nicely.

I think Jeremy still has a shot and will use him but, well..... I wish they had gone with someone else.

Of course Jeremy is sitting on a big win so maybe he can overcome what i see as a slight disadvantage.

By the way I can't find the replay for the Premio Vittorio di Capua (hint, hint) but if he pulled the same crap as he did on Blue Ksar i just assume forget it.

Too bad..... Echo really had a shot.

Cheers to Linngari. Nice horse...


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