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Sightseek 08-16-2007 05:15 PM

The Alabama
 
Alabama Stakes (gr. I), $600,000, Aug. 18, 3-year-old fillies, 1 1/4 miles, approx post 5:20 p.m.

PP. Horse, Weight, Jockey
1. Moon Catcher, 121, Kent Desormeaux
2. Panty Raid, 121, Edgar Prado
3. Tough Tiz's Sis, 121, Rafael Bejarano
4. Octave, 121, John Velazquez
5. Folk, 121, Garrett Gomez
6. Lear's Princess, 121, Eibar Coa
7. Lady Joanne, 121, Calvin Borel

No Rags to Riches, but at least the rest of the top of the class showed up.

fpsoxfan 08-16-2007 06:50 PM

Wow...I go away to my camp on Sacandaga for 10 days...No TV...No Computer.....I come back and Cornholio is ahead in the jockey standings, Kent is in 2nd, another teacher is in space, Karl Rove is out and they are running a 2 mile race at Saratoga. What am I going to hear next? A record crowd on chair day?

hoovesupsideyourhead 08-16-2007 06:53 PM

folk wont be short this time....

Danzig 08-16-2007 07:06 PM

panty ride and prado.

letswastemoney 08-16-2007 07:25 PM

I lost $100 to win on Lear's Princess :(

Sightseek 08-16-2007 07:42 PM

5% of Octave's winnings will be donated to the Make a Wish Foundation. :)

Go Girl Go!

gales0678 08-16-2007 08:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek
Alabama Stakes (gr. I), $600,000, Aug. 18, 3-year-old fillies, 1 1/4 miles, approx post 5:20 p.m.

PP. Horse, Weight, Jockey
1. Moon Catcher, 121, Kent Desormeaux
2. Panty Raid, 121, Edgar Prado
3. Tough Tiz's Sis, 121, Rafael Bejarano
4. Octave, 121, John Velazquez
5. Folk, 121, Garrett Gomez
6. Lear's Princess, 121, Eibar Coa
7. Lady Joanne, 121, Calvin Borel

No Rags to Riches, but at least the rest of the top of the class showed up.

Lear's Princess training outstanding in the AM - look for a big effort

ddthetide 08-16-2007 08:42 PM

very nice field. i like octave, moon catcher, folk.

Hickory Hill Hoff 08-16-2007 10:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
It looks like a very nice race and the whole card is pretty intriguing. They are running a 2 mile race, crazy.

That one I can't figure out...nobody in the field even has remotely gone that distance. :confused:

SniperSB23 08-16-2007 11:01 PM

Just box up Lear's Princess, Lady Joanne, and Folk and you'll get a nice tri with Pletcher not hitting the top three. If Panty Raid somehow gets under 4-1 then throw in Octave for a guaranteed payout.

5,6/4,5,6,7/4,5,6,7

Hickory Hill Hoff 08-17-2007 05:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I'm not sure what the price will be, but from a pedigree standpoint Nite Light is interesting. Thunder Gulch won the Belmont at 12 furlongs and his mother the recently deceased Lite Light was a beast. Multiple grade 1 winner who won the Coaching Club Oaks.

Isn't he also entered on Friday's card? That spot looks better than this one.

boswd 08-17-2007 08:48 AM

OCTAVE - Mother Goose and CCAO winner
Panty Raid - Black Eye Susan and American Oaks winner
Lear's Princess - 2nd in the CCAO
Folk - UAE Oaks winner
Lady Jo Ann - 2nd in Mother Goose
Tough Tiz's sis - Hollywood Oaks winner
Moon Catcher - Deleware Oaks winner


This is what a major Grade I is supposed to look like. Not one Auto toss in the field IMHO. This is one fantastic field.
That's why I torn when Rags opted out. On one hand you want the best filly to run in arguable the biggest race of the year for the 3 yr old filly's but we probably would have been looking at 4 horse field.
Now we have the best of the best well excluding Rags that is.

miraja2 08-17-2007 08:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Yeah, entered going 7 today. I actually think the 2 mile would be better off for him. Especially with that pedigree.

Oops, I just unknowingly duplicated what you said here on another thread. I agree 100%. His sire and broodmare sire were both G1 winners at 12f (although Majestic Light's was on the turf) and his dam was a G1 winner at 10f. Not bad for this distance. It will be interesting to see what the odds do for this race. I like him, but if everybody falls in love with his pedigree and the odds get crazy on him (like 8/5 crazy) there could be some value elsewhere, especially since I believe this is only his third lifetime start.
Oh right, this thread was supposed to be about the Alabama, but the 3yo filly division without Rags can't really hold my attention this year.

miraja2 08-17-2007 12:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I agree. I actually thought the Levine and Gorham were interesting in there as well.

In the Alabama I think Lady Joanne is going to be real tough. I might use Folk and Panty Raid as well.

After a quick look at the PP (http://www.drf.com/row/pps/07alabama.pdf) I really like Panty Raid here. She seems to be able to run anywhere on anything, and that 5f in :59.3 on Aug 12th makes it seem that she will like running at Saratoga.

letswastemoney 08-17-2007 05:29 PM

It's not often you'll get 10-1 on Lear's Princess......I'm going with her again

Antitrust32 08-17-2007 06:20 PM

Lear's Princess all the way to the bank. She will love 1 1/4.

Antitrust32 08-17-2007 06:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I doubt Lear's Princess will be 10-1.


I agree but I'll take 8-1, 6-1, whatever she shall be! **** even 5-2.

letswastemoney 08-17-2007 06:29 PM

Okay maybe she won't be 10-1....but her beyer numbers are low compared to the rest of this field so I think 6-1 is a reasonable guess.

Sightseek 08-17-2007 06:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cardus
This race is an example of what happens when the monster horse is not entered; other nice horses run, and in this case, the field is terrific by current American racing standards.

Though I'm a little concerned that there will be pace pressure, I think Folk will win. I liked her race just as much as Octave's last time. I know it didn't get a big (BSF) fig -- and I haven't seen the sheet numbers -- I thought the 1-2-3 horses ran well.

True, and it will probably feature more blacktype than the field of the Travers. :mad:

Benny Leger 08-17-2007 08:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hickory Hill Hoff
That one I can't figure out...nobody in the field even has remotely gone that distance. :confused:

I've got a feeling Panty Raid is going to love the 10 panel distance. I love her in this spot .

letswastemoney 08-18-2007 01:46 AM

I don't see Lady Joanne lasting 10 furlongs. I mean she's by Orientate...and she has a front running/press the pace style.

I also think Folk will be hard pressed by Lady Joanne, Moon Catcher, and Octave. Tough Tiz's Sis might have some speed as well.

I'm liking a Lear's Princess over Panty Raid exacta.

Bobby Fischer 08-18-2007 09:29 AM

Panty Raid looks like a good turf horse to me. I think she is special enough to keep on the turf. She certainly has a shot here so its hard to turn down huge opportunities.
Octave is tough as well and likely the better of the two on dirt. It will be interesting to see how Octave finishes at 10furlongs.

hockey2315 08-18-2007 10:55 AM

I'll take Lear's Princess to win and boxed with Panty Raid and Folk. . .

FGFan 08-18-2007 11:59 AM

I'm sticking with Octave.
Octave, Panty Raid, Folk box.
Not sure who to throw in for the super.
This is a nice race, really hard to pick.

Merlinsky 08-18-2007 09:55 PM

Can I ask a question about pronunciation? Lady Joanne's name, to me, seems fairly obvious...at least until the announcer (in two races, I assume same track but I can't remember) and at least one of the guys at TVG pronounced it "Lady Joanie"...where are they getting "Joanie" from? Is that seriously it?

Indian Charlie 08-18-2007 10:00 PM

how did anyone not hit that trifecta?

lady joanne to lear's princess to octave was an immortal lock!

i thought that tri would pay closer to 17.70 than the 177 it paid!

the bigger lock though would have been the super if they had one in there :(

i have to go see who won the del mar oaks now.

Danzig 08-18-2007 10:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Durkin was pronouncing it correctly. It's Joan-ee after the owner's wife.


hmmm, didn't know that--it is spelled to be pronounced joe ann.


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