7/15: Belmont/Delaware
 

Have been slightly swamped with transition of "At the Races" to Upstate NY; the trip to Arlington for Sumwonlovesyou, and preparations for Saratoga with Carolina Barbecue.. Sorry for the dearth of Selections... Very fun card at Belmont today with an excellent edition of the Bowling Green as the lynchpin. Delaware has the 2nd day of big stakes as well with an 'all-feature' P4 looking like a good play... Also, note that the 2nd leg of the Canadian Triple Crown goes this aft at Fort Erie with the $500,000 Prince of Wales...


BELMONT PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES

4th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P6, P3)

1. #6 La Ransom 4-1: Ran into Glacken's Girl in bow; A. Dutrow 2nd start.. 2nd
2. #4 Dana Dew 5-1: R. Dutrow FuPeg debuter was Nerud-bred.. 4th
A. #1 Bet the Diva 2-1 WON
B. #5 Snare 6-1 8th

'SIRE TO WATCH': #8 Hook's Inca 20-1: Likely not worth a bet, but am anxious to watch these 'Hook and Ladder' babies run. "H&L" was a terrific racehorse.. Late Scratch..

$1 Exacta $7.50


5th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 8.5f-T (Grand Slam, P3, Superfecta)

1. #1 Questioning 12-1: 3rd off break, coming around with better to run back to.. 2nd
2. #2 True to Tradition 5-2: Live Oak homebred with Kimmel returns to lawn.. WON
A. #9 Solewisher 4-1 3rd
B. #7 Grosvenor Square 6-1 6th

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #8 I'm a Fax 15-1 9th

$1 Exacta $54.75
$1 Trifecta $315.50


6th: HCP/S, 3+, 1m (P4, DD)

1. #7 Deeliteful Guy 12-1: Value play with 8yo in sharp form.. 3rd
2. #1e Indian War Dance 3-5: Obvious most likely winner scratched yesterday.. WON
A. #9 Fire Hero 8-1 2nd
B. #4 Fit Faze 12-1 4th

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #6 Hi Time Scott 15-1 6th

$1 Exacta $4.95
$1 Trifecta $22.70


7th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, Super)

1. #3 Sweet Corredor 4-1: Tesher miss has come back '07 a new gal.. 8th
2. #8 Miss Blarney Stone 5-2: Dynaformer ex-patriot negotiated rush hour last.. 2nd
A. #5 Nedjma 5-1 WON
B. #6 Cagey Girl 7-2 7th

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #7 Point Me to It 15-1 3rd

$1 Exacta $21.00
$1 Trifecta $385.50


8th: 50th Bowling Green (Gr. II), 3+, 11f-T (DD)

1. #1 Trippi's Storm 8-1: Reformed Hough claimer continues ascent.. 2nd
2. #5 Shakis 2-1: KMc-Shadwell 7yo has enjoyed his visit to U.S. so far.. 4th
A. #3 Sunriver 9-5: Lawn debut great, but looks underlaid here.. WON
B. #6 Fishy Advice 5-1: Streaky sort from Donk may appreciate added ground.. 5th


9th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super)

To quote a noted NY handicapper, "I loathe" the 5-2 favorite (#7) Kat's Golden Ways..

1. #8 ODETTA ONE 12-1: Sciacca bay is value play o' day; Repeat of last scores.. 4th
2. #4 Karakorum Elektra 8-1: Note 7th results; Exits 6/17 affair (Sweet Corredor/Miss Blarney)..
A. #9 Cori's Star 5-1 WON
B. #7 Kat's Golden Ways 5-2 3rd


@$50 P4 Play:

6: 1e-7
7: 3-7-8
8: 1-3-5
9: 4-8-9

2x3x3x3 = $54


<$100 P6 Play:

4: 4-6
5: 1-2
6: 1-7
7: 3-8
8: 1-3-5
9: 8

2x2x2x2x3x1 = 48 x $2 = $96


DELAWARE PARK

"Pay no attention to the morning lines behind the curtain.."

8th: 12th Light Hearted, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P4, P3, DD, .10 Super)

1. #9 SMART AND FANCY 9-2: Appears to lay over; Will take some to beat.. WON
2. #2 Truly Blushed 6-1: Lake red rarely runs a bad one.. 2nd
A. #10 Spanish Lullaby 7-2 3rd
B. #7 Queen Amira 6-1

$2 Exacta 9-2 $27.20
$1 Trifecta Box $45.10


27th Caesar Rodney, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, .10 Super)

This field heavily hit by scratches.. ML prices especially won't apply.. Jet Propulsion; Host; Woodlander; Drum Major and Yate's BC all ran Saturday..

1. #7 Silent Roar 12-1: Returned '07 a new animal; Should be priced right.. 3rd
2. #1 Silver Tree 9-2: Million dollar winning Mott 7yo always viable.. WON
A. #9 Defer 12-1
B. #4 Ballast 6-1 2nd

$1 Exacta $9.00
$1 Trifecta $22.10


The 'Barabaro' (really the Gr. III Leonard Richards), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, P3, .10 Super)

1. #1 King of the Roxy 2-1: Not thrilled with Team Valor colt, but fits this set well.. 2nd
2. #7 Longley 6-1 On three race roll and time is now for black type move.. 4th
A. #3 Hal's My Hope 8-1
B. #4 Point Blake 10-1


72nd Delaware H. (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 10f (DD, .10 Super)

1. #6 Indian Vale 2-1: Simply the kind of race Pletcher never fails to win..
2. #3 Asi Siempre 3-1: Can't find last time Snake Charmer's mare missed a check..
A. #1 Peak Maria's Way 8-1: Gorham DQ'd from NY Derby win Saturday; Grey a player..
B. #2 Lila Paige 15-1: Inviting tab on 'moved up' Levine 6yo..

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #5 Ice Cool Kitty 12-1: Lansdon Robbins' NY bred not far off top ones..


<$50 P4 Play:

8: 9
9: 1-7
10: 1-3-7
11: 1-2-3-5-6

1x2x3x5 = $30


Good luck!
Steve

Thanks for the selections, Steve. I'll check if the squirrells at DEL agree (they work for peanuts). Might want to watch the top of the card to see how the track is playing. In 7 of the 10 races yesterday, including the upset in the Oaks, the horse on the lead at the first pole won.

Steve, I love that you picked Trippi's Storm on top- gives me more confidence. . .

A Sciacca Pick 6 Key... That's one way to get a Saratoga Bankroll.

Good Luck Today!

See the Trip Notes section for more on Trippi's Storm.

Someone spotted this one a while back I believe.

Best of luck to all today!

12Pt.,

Glad to see people appreciating/utilizing the Trip Notes Room... "There's goldin them thar hills..."

Can you bump it to top in Trip Notes? I didn't see thread...Thanks!

Has been talked about a lot actually...

Thread 1: http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/sho...ippi%27s+storm

Thread 2: http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/sho...ippi%27s+storm

Thanks

Snake Charmer??? LMFAO


Love the fact that S and F is your single in the Del 4.

Good Luck to those playing today!!

What do you think post time odds will be?
 

2-1?
PSH

I can see anywhere's between 9/5 - 5/2...I think Prado, Velazquez, and Rose's mounts will take some money as well.

Steve - Nice work in the 5th. Pleasantly surprised to see that Triple paid $630 on $2...

Late 4 at Belmont
 

6: 1 = 1 = $2.60
7: 6,8,10
8: 1,5
9: 1,2,4,9

$24 x 3 times

6: 1 = 1 = $2.60
7: 6,8,10
8: 5
9: 1,2,4,9

$12 x 3 times

Late Pick 4

6) 1
7) 1,3,6,8,10
8) 1,5
9) 1,7

$20

Good luck

bel
 

steve:
nice single on smart and fancy

Great job in the 8th, Steve, hitting the stone cold tri. Is that a generous pick 4 payout or is it me? My assesment of S and F's post time odds were waaay off.

Puck/Dec,


Thanks...

The Delaware linesmaker does a TREMENDOUS DISERVICE to bettors with the horrible job making lines like he did on Smart and Fancy.. Not reflecting how dominant that one was there scares people off from appropriately judging when formulating plays. 9-2? She looked 1-2 there to me... I'm waiting to see the race (Ch. 12 up here), but I didn't see how she could lose.

Folks, it is of this person's opinion that the best bet you get make this year, and possible of the century is a 1-5 exacta box at Belmont.

5-1 is paying $44
1-5 is paying $66

If you are broke, go sell blood in the next 4 minutes and get to your local OTB, PRONTO

I can't believe that just happened. ****ING SUNRIVER!!!

Steve, nice call on Trippi's Storm. If he doesn't get bumped in the stretch and lose momentum, he may have won this race.

Don't sweat it... Shakis didn't run anyway...

I feel lucky to get the place on Trippi anyways becuase he looked like he just got through the rinse cycle in a car wash....I didn't see that until he was going in the gate

Odetta One opens @ 10-1. I like it.

Live to the #8 in the pick4 here...

Pt.,

Thx.. That's 2 today, Questioning (in the 5th) and Trippi's just now, that I thought had reason to run well at nice numbers. Got square efforts from both running 2nd. I haven't bet particularly well though, and leaving Nedjma off the P4 will be very costly. How about the Longshot Alert try from Point Me to It at 50-1! I managed to screwed that play up as well... :rolleyes:

Stop worrying about that.. Many trainers sponge down their horses in the summer and they come out looking soaked...

Good job.. Smarter than me Pat.. Obviously you included Nedjma! Good luck!

Pat,

That will Pay $1,283 on $2.

Good Luck

Don't be so harsh on yourself Steve, you have had some live longshots today that have performed well. With you on the 8 here, hopefully we'll get em home.

Dang...Close one for second. Would have had Tri if she got second or third there...

Lila Paige 50-1 give me some of that.

Put this horse in my stable mail after her last start, up against monsters but could be competitive today

gl all

-bt-

Thanks for the nice selections today, Steve. I'm a small-time beginning better but have quickly learned to go with your selections for the most part. I had a Sunriver/Trippi's Storm exacta thanks to you. I had a win bet on Odetta's One in Belmont 9th that *almost* worked out!! Very luckily, I also had a small win bet on Cori's Star!! I have a bit of an obsession with Star De Naskra horses and always bet them.

Thanks again for the great job!!
Suzanne

Nice call, hope you wheeled back and forth, ran a good second.

at this point and time im on "the wagon" until 'toga/del mar, but yeah $34 place and $17 to show would have been nice

gl all


-bt-

nice job steve, a nice day at the windows for the dt and atrab faithfull

Trippi's Storm getting second really killed me today. . . I've been waiting for him to move up into a stakes race and think he may have won with a slighty different pace set-up and no interference in the stretch. . . I had a pretty big win bet on him and can't believe what that exacta paid with Sunriver on top. . . Unfortunately, I was working today so someone else had to place my bets and I wasn't able to see will-pays because $57 for that combo was an absolute gift. . . Now the secret's out on Trippi's Storm and his price will drop next out. . .