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-   -   6/15 carryover belmont..fri (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=14237)

hoovesupsideyourhead 06-14-2007 06:09 PM

6/15 carryover belmont..fri
 
steve toss this under yours ...ive got time now..so here it is for me..

race 4 1 mile and 1/16th turf 44k

getting my singles out of the way early

pp 6 uncle indy ml 2-1 corny/penna 3rd start just think hes the best here


race 5 6f inner turf claiming 35k


pp 1 jillys cape ml 7/2
pp 11 egypt lane 12-1
pp 5 spenny ml 3-1




sorry wide open ..

race 6 7f turf 50o/c

pp 5 accruired cat ml 2-1
pp 4 passquina ml 7/2,,,,,,,holds on

race 7 1 mile and 1/18th inner turf 30 o/c

pp 9 acadamy royal ml 6-1
pp 6 mr sam i am ml 5-1

race 8 1 mile 75k 0/c

pp 7 lost ett ml 8-1
pp 8 ruman blue ml 5/2
pp 4 perdita ml 5-1

race 9 1 mile on the turf mdn spec wt 42k

pp 1 sky dragon ml 15-1 this could be his race..
pp 9 brians cat can do ml 8-1
pp 5 striking rizzi ml 7/2
pp 2 dantastic ml 6-1


so 6 with 1/11/5 with 5/4 with 9/6 with 7/8/4 with 1/9/5/2 288 bucks..

Scav 06-14-2007 07:11 PM

Contessa is going to have alot of say in this sequence, All his horses have a shot.....

hoovesupsideyourhead 06-14-2007 07:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Contessa is going to have alot of say in this sequence, All his horses have a shot.....

how the **** do you know..

Scav 06-14-2007 07:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
how the **** do you know..

Because I am looking at the form numnuts.....His horses look live on paper tomorrow, O/U 2 wins....and I'll take the over

hoovesupsideyourhead 06-14-2007 07:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Because I am looking at the form numnuts.....His horses look live on paper tomorrow, O/U 2 wins....and I'll take the over

num nutz,,,ok pork chop ill see you in toga..did you go pro yet...........

Coach Pants 06-14-2007 08:01 PM

Has Contessa gone a day when he's had less than 3 entries at Belmont? Seems like that guy has 1000 horses in his stable.

hoovesupsideyourhead 06-14-2007 08:11 PM

his horses in th 5/6/7/9

in the 5th mutakaway cant win for 35 k

in the 6th the 1 fly away princess will be bet by fools like you jv takes ithe mount but a 69 wont do it here..

race 7 no 2 got away easy last out ..other speed and this horse will give up the last 8th ..or be passed..

race 9 brians cat can do i used em in my play..but he has some neg too...

blackthroatedwind 06-14-2007 09:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Because I am looking at the form numnuts.....His horses look live on paper tomorrow, O/U 2 wins....and I'll take the over


You can have over two wins for as much money as you would like.

Scav 06-14-2007 09:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
his horses in th 5/6/8/9

in the 5th mutakaway cant win for 35 k

in the 6th the 1 fly away princess will be bet by fools like you jv takes ithe mount but a 69 wont do it here..

race 8 no 2 got away easy last out ..other speed and this horse will give up the last 8th ..or be passed..

race 9 brians cat can do i used em in my play..but he has some neg too...

I think the 2 explodes in the 8th, first time turf, improving line. My single

blackthroatedwind 06-14-2007 10:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
I think the 2 explodes in the 8th, first time turf, improving line. My single

I assume you mean the 7th race and if you single that horse you need to have your head examined.

Scav 06-14-2007 10:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I assume you mean the 7th race and if you single that horse you need to have your head examined.

:)

7th.....I'm a fan of horse, think he has alot of positives

blackthroatedwind 06-14-2007 10:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
:)

7th.....I'm a fan of horse, think he has alot of positives


I think he has mostly negatives and will be a huge underlay.

hurricanefrank 06-14-2007 10:47 PM

Belmont Race 7
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I think he has mostly negatives and will be a huge underlay.

I side with you Andy. Contessa's horses are typically overbet. One need only look at some of his horses today. They burn a ton of cash. I am looking at Good Going Darl (3-1) whose first off the shelf was good on May28 and if he can run back to '06 turf form he should be tough. Also think SS Crafty (12-1) may provide nice value. He needed his last and Rice is very good with runners making 2d starts off long layoffs.

blackthroatedwind 06-14-2007 11:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hurricanefrank
I side with you Andy. Contessa's horses are typically overbet. One need only look at some of his horses today. They burn a ton of cash. I am looking at Good Going Darl (3-1) whose first off the shelf was good on May28 and if he can run back to '06 turf form he should be tough. Also think SS Crafty (12-1) may provide nice value. He needed his last and Rice is very good with runners making 2d starts off long layoffs.


His last win is a total phony set up by a slow pace and all the horses out of that race ran horrendously Wednesday at Belmont. He has a little turf breeding but who needs a horse, trying the turf for the first time, who is overbet due to dirt form.....and phony dirt form at that.

GPK 06-15-2007 05:55 AM

For a price, I would take a flyer with Ready Enough.

Hickory Hill Hoff 06-15-2007 06:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
For a price, I would take a flyer with Ready Enough.

Didn't he run a "bang up" race on the weeds at the Spa last summer and he was a good price?

blackthroatedwind 06-15-2007 08:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
For a price, I would take a flyer with Ready Enough.


He had a tough trip last time and is dangerous.

Mortimer 06-15-2007 08:47 AM

May I have the cards please?












Boy did it just get quiet in here.

















I was kidding.





No Featherfoots...I mean hands Freebies today.

Payson Dave 06-15-2007 10:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Because I am looking at the form numnuts.....His horses look live on paper tomorrow, O/U 2 wins....and I'll take the over

How is the new career going??

Scav 06-15-2007 10:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Payson Dave
How is the new career going??

Still working...hatin it.....I am going to Vegas next week, and the Toga at the end of next month, after those two debacles we are going to evaluate the financial situation and see if I can quit or not.....

GPK 06-15-2007 11:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
He had a tough trip last time and is dangerous.


yet another confirmation that great minds think alike....

Scav 06-15-2007 11:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
yet another confirmation that great minds think alike....

When is the last time you picked a winner?

Scav 06-15-2007 11:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Payson Dave
How is the new career going??

Also, if I plan on trying it, I am going to let all in on the excitement, probably tell people before I play and keep track on one thread.....What the hell, might as well make success or failure public :)

GPK 06-15-2007 11:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
When is the last time you picked a winner?


Nixon administration...

Scav 06-15-2007 12:21 PM

Not playing BUT
 
here is my thoughts

4: 2,3
5: 1,9,11
6: 1,4
7: 2
8: 4,8
9: 1,4,7,9

2x3x2x1x2x4 = $192

GPK 06-15-2007 05:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
He had a tough trip last time and is dangerous.


Andy....not sure we will see 12-1 again anytime soon.


A case of too far back, too early? Clearly was widest of them all at the top of the stretch.

blackthroatedwind 06-15-2007 06:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
Andy....not sure we will see 12-1 again anytime soon.


A case of too far back, too early? Clearly was widest of them all at the top of the stretch.


Getting steadied out at the start certainly didn't help things. Couple that with the absolute dream trip the winner had and you get my usual second place at a huge price.

It's frustrating.

GPK 06-15-2007 06:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Getting steadied out at the start certainly didn't help things. Couple that with the absolute dream trip the winner had and you get my usual second place at a huge price.

It's frustrating.


yeah...just watched the replay a few more times and the winner could not have had it any easier.

This Garcia kid is growing on me very quickly. I like the efforts I am seeing from him. Doesn't always make the correct decisions (but what jockey does?), but again, I have always been able to say I appreciate the effort he gives.

blackthroatedwind 06-15-2007 06:18 PM

Garcia is growing on you?

Like mold I assume.

GPK 06-15-2007 06:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Garcia is growing on you?

Like mold I assume.


well...considering mold lives and feeds on dead organic matter...


wait...are you calling me what I think you are calling me????

GPK 06-15-2007 06:27 PM

Andy....for extra credit....

name the Sanford Goldfarb bred horse in my avatar.

blackthroatedwind 06-15-2007 06:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
Andy....for extra credit....

name the Sanford Goldfarb bred horse in my avatar.


Fortunately for me I have avatars turned off.

paisjpq 06-15-2007 06:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Fortunately for me I have avatars turned off.

it's a good thing too....wouldn't want you to see yours:D

GPK 06-15-2007 06:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Fortunately for me I have avatars turned off.


well sh*t....your no fun.

How about you B? Do you or Ms. P know who the mystery horse is?

the_fat_man 06-15-2007 07:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
yeah...just watched the replay a few more times and the winner could not have had it any easier.

This Garcia kid is growing on me very quickly. I like the efforts I am seeing from him. Doesn't always make the correct decisions (but what jockey does?), but again, I have always been able to say I appreciate the effort he gives.

Garcia has blown more rides on the the turf this meeting than any jock not named Samyn.

I liked this horse as well. He made a wide bid on the turn and finished decently. Figured to improve off the layoff. But I wondered how he was going to get the distance. Used him with the 9, who I figured could get the distance.

He may've been wider than the winner but after playing pinball with Rice's horse entering the stretch, I wouldn't exactly say that the winner couldn't have had it easier. Ask Rice's horse, who had the jump on the 5 and quit real quick after the incident.

paisjpq 06-15-2007 08:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
well sh*t....your no fun.

How about you B? Do you or Ms. P know who the mystery horse is?

nope.


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