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5/24: BELMONT ($40k carry)
Thrillingly fun day Wednesday with HOL Carryover Mania, and though taken out early, success of DTers and ATRAB listeners made it riotous.. Congrats to hitters, near-missers and all who took a swipe!
Belmont ($40k) and Golden Gate! ($90k) have carries today... BELMONT PARK (4th-9th) 4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T P6, P3) Testy start to P6 with ugly bunch and interesting Patty Reynolds firster.. 1. #8 Romp 7-2 WON 2. #6 Caught Stealing 4-1 2nd A. #9 Star Studded 3-1 4th B. #4 Five Demon Bag 9-2 5th LONGSHOT: #3 First Grandson 10-1 3rd $1 EX: $18.70 $1 TRI: $140.75 5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (Grand Slam, P3) 1. #3 LEAR'S PRINCESS 9-5 WON 2. #1e Tagg entry 2-1 2nd A. #4 Thrice Charmed 10-1 8th B. #6 Dr. D's Archangel 8-1 4th 6th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 1m (P4, DD) 1. #5 Mansion of Thought 2-1 6th 2. #6 Fiddlers Warrior 9-2 2nd A. #8 Twaummy 10-1 3rd B. #1e Galluscio entry 4-1 WON $1 EX: $28.00 $1 TRI: $109.75 7th: CLM, N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, Super) 1. #8 John's Call 3-1 WON 2. #6 Exton 2-1 2nd A. #5 Gift of Valor 6-1 6th B. #10 Lunenberg 5-1 3rd LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #3 Highland Cat 10-1 5th $1 EX: $12.80 $1 TRI: $52.75 8th: OC/C, 4+, 8.5f (DD) 1. #3 Dark Cheetah 3-1 6th 2. #2 Harlington 2-1 WON A. #1 Thanks Dubya 8-1 3rd B. #5 Mustanfar 3-1 5th 9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super) NOTE: #3 Arcanite a length behind Star Studded (3-1, 4th) a fortnight ago, with #4 Mighty Gigantor another length back after being steadied early.. Big effort by Star Studded, or flop, can offer clue to their use here.. 1. #6 Ravens Fan 9-2 6th 2. #5 Dr. Franklin 3-1 4th A. #1 Star for Tina 10-1 5th B. #7 Party Jones 5-2 WON LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #9 Festival Hall 8-1 3rd <$100 P6 Play: 4: 4-6-8 5: 3 6: 5 7: 3-5-6-8 8: 2-3 9: 5-6 3x1x1x4x2x2 = 48 x $2 = $96 <$50 P4 Play: 6: 5 7: 3-5-6-8 8: 2-3 9: 1-3-4-5-6-7 1x4x2x6 = $48 Good luck! Steve |
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hey stud, I'm heading to calder today also. Where will you be sitting?
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It's a totally impossible race for pretty much all the reasons you gave. There is basically no way to trust anyone in the race. |
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Some thoughts on the card:
R3) Raven H and Stopbluffing are terrible at their ML prices. Neither have run close to par and Stopbluffing's best race was a phony inside post moderate pace waltz on the inner. I like Mission Approved at 4-1 (doubt he ends up at that.) Has enough early pace to stay close and the best closing kick of the bunch plus returns at the same 1-turn mile distance. Would also use Love Abroad in multirace wagers, throw out the last two turf races and the 7.5F dirt effort was very a solid defeat to a decent NYB (Market Psychology). R5) Tagg's entry will be very tough, especially if both go. If I play the pick 6 I will single them. Miracle Moment has the best pace in the race but if she's pressed Bitter Lemon will clean up the pieces. R8) I like Dark Cheetah at 3-1 on the stretchout. Should end up on the lead by default without a whole lot of pressure, and I don't trust Harlington off the layoff, Art Master turf to dirt (although I think he's the main competition), or Mustanfar at anything less than 10F. Will single this leg as well. Still debating on whether to play the P6 as the rest of the legs are a mess and I feel like I could get both singles home and STILL get knocked out by some ridiculous bomb in the MCL's. |
If I play the P6, the tickets:
1,3,4 1 1a,5 3,4,6,10 3 1,3,4,5,6,7,10 6,7,8,9 1 1a,5 3,4,6,10 3 5,6,7 $336 and $192 |
May be a waste, but I am going to try to get the #2 involved in the 6th at BEL.
Third off layoff droping in for tag off two horrible efforts. Tried blinks and sod in those two. Now loses blinkers and returns to dirt Mile where he put in a decent effort last spring. Maybe at big big price.... Good Luck Today! |
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Thanks. Guess there goes my bomb for today...
Think I will play Steve's pick4 and include #9 in the last for extra $8. |
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Take a look at the 10 as well for your pick 4 at a monster price... |
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They shift to the widener course, however, and Bold Buy figures to get a clear late run. Also like the 5 in the 7th and the 3 and 6 in the 9th. |
If I had the 3 in Race 3 in the pick three am I getting a refund on that or was I stuck with the favorite?
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Starting- refund Middle- conso payoff |
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Steve - Nice work in the 4th (5th too for that matter).
I wanted to take shot on First Grandson, so I did $2 Tri Box with your top two. Very nice... |
Playing Highland Cat in the 7'th $20 WP.
Good luck to Alan over at the blog Left at the Gate. |
Wow, the power of a late scratch. A very straightforward P4 sequence paid $639!!
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Wish i knew
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Blew pick 4 in 1st leg. Live to everyone except 2 in last leg of pick3. Come on with a bomb here...
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Fave wins
#7 Party Jones. 5-2
Not much of a Pick 3 - get my $$ back and a little more. PSH |
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Would you believe I have a $100 DD going to this four horse in the last, did he lose by alot or just a nose?
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4 had a nice lead
but the 7 blew by him mid way in the stretch and was much the best.
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Thanks man, that ticket would have been nice also right there, would have given me a load for the weekend, yesterday's cashing has already been distrubited away so I can prevent tiltness. I do have a $250 WP ticket on Sumwon on the horizon though
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Congrats on your pk6 yesterday! |
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What makes no sense (I had neither of these, unfortunately):
The P4 parlay was $355, and it pays $509. The P6 parlay was ~$3,750, and it pays $3,088 WITH A CARRYOVER. What am I missing here?!? |
freakin exton..lazy horse..
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Woo-hoo! No need to worry about tiltness, but I do have a little more to bet on Sumwon this Saturday. Thanks for the inspiration. |
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