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HOL: Bigs/Scavs $30k Hits!
lets team up an beat this thing....find the single and the wide race..
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I would be happy to Commit money to a pool if several dter's want to go after it. I'm not sure logistic wise how exactly that would work, but if we get enough people interested i'd be all for it.
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Someone with a paypal and an online account get working on it, can get our own pool open with 5 DTERS putting together tickets, minimum $10 entry, like the players pool..... As for me, I AM GETTING my trunks on and GETTING IN THE POOL. 7th race is the money race, Idiot Proof looks like a single but there are about 3 more that have a shot to come up and grab him, if speed is dying... anyone know what the last couple Wednesday's have produced, the old Hollywood used to be all speed because they had so much time to mess with the track..... |
Best of Luck to those playing. Unusual Suspect was butchered last out by SMith, Mike E.. lol Smith off angle??
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Great pull right there DH. All ANGLES will be played in this ticket. I am taking it down...
1) This will be hit, there is no way, given the sequence, that this carrys into a second day 2) 4th and 6th are the headscratchers and a must to go deep, 7th is either a single or 4 deep, 3,5 and 8 should be safe with 3-4 per.... |
Nakatini only on two horses, 1st and 5th
he has been cold this meet, won a race today....Something to consider, if stays for the 5th, he has a shot |
Tina Ballerina with her closing kick looks to be a good play in the 8th. With Sexy Operator, a hot pace is ensured. The cutback from 6.5 furlongs to 6 could work in SO's favor though. Go get em Scavs!!
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I like 3,5,6,10 in that race....going at least four deep because if I am alive till then, I want f'n options. Waiting until TG's come out tomorrow night, but I am confident with what I have seen so far. What is great is that I have some ammo for this. Thank you Pedroza for your greating turf riding on FRIDAY NIGHT. |
Guess who just got a allergist appoint at 3pm on Wednesday. The doctor just happened to call and open up a slot for SCAV......
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Have to say nothing really screamed at me first time through. Couple cought my eye. No idea what ML odds are.
R7 - Shem Looks like tons of speed in here to me. $200K purchase, busted maiden running off the pace at 6 1/2 f. Came right back to run gamely stretching out to 1 1/16. Consistent speed figs. Gallager goes Turf/Synth which has worked well - 29% in small sample, 19% route/Sprint. Hooking up with Solis at 22% clip. A definite include for me. Perhaps two deep with Idiot Proof. R6 - Headcoach Started career four races back in MSW's. Looked primed last out when sent off as fav. Never really fired, but maybe blinkers experiment was just a flop. Moves down another level and could be sitting on improved effort against these. Lot's of work to be done here... |
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i dont think we are doing a pool..............
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I'd be down for a player's pool of some sort if we could get enough people to go in and come up with a manageable ticket. . .
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Ahh i think that is a good assumption hooves, I just threw it out there. Always a fun way to attack it because it allows us to go much broader as a group then we could as a single person(well at least me it does.) You never know we could get some people to jump in late.
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I like that horse, they scratched it from yesterdays feature for this spot. Although, this is a tough race....I can see going at least 4 deep here. |
TG's ARE DOWNLOADED. I have class tonight but guess who will be there in SPIRIT and BODY and not mind. Mind will be focused on PRINTED PP's and TG's for 3 hours, while a teacher is yapping away about management.
More to come possibly later tonight |
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HIGHLY considering singling Casual Thunder in the first leg. As much as I want to get sucked into Taylor's Route and Our Partner, I just can't do it. 5 is a rat, 1 is coming back after 11 days and shipping.....8 is a little scary but the board will tell me everything I need to know about the 6, Casual Thunder is 8/5 or 7/5 unload because of 2nd time Canani....
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3: 2,6,7,8
4: 3,5,6,9,10,11 5: 1,4,6,7,8 6: 1,4,5,8,9,10 7: 1,3,4,6 8: 2,3,5,9 Here is what I feel are the only horses that can actually win their respective races. Now before some of your angry internet people gets nuts, in NO WAY am I playing the above ticket. I plan on spending between $900 and $1400 on one ticket. Might not be the right way but whatever. The above is more for a chart, I think that you could toss any horses not mentioned. The only horse I could potentially single is Robbo's Courage in the 5th but given Nakatini's recent struggles and this horse never trying the turf before, the balls have to be feeling mighty big at 4pm on Wednesday for that to get punched. As much as I want to single Idiot Proof (and no not because of the name) with the turn back of a 1/2 furlong and it looks like he could go 44/3 and easily win, I worry about this horse getting tired on the cushion and the 1 or 6 cruising by. 1 is also getting 4lbs on equal TG's numbers, which would be good for about 1 length |
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I know, I KNOW.....but, he is the fastest horse in the race that looks to be loaded with speed and 2nd time Canini. The 2 is a REAL sneaky horse in that race. Race has speed, I hate the jock because I am going to be 5w going into the final turn but Lewis (trainer) has win %'s of 18% (dirt to turf) and 19% (1st time turf) and huge ROI's (3.65 and 4.70) respectively. That is out of 67 samples and 43 samples also. There is a couple jock changes I am praying for on Wednesday, that is one of them, along with Pick Vic in the 7th. |
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Does someone want to organize it? I'd be interested. . .
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I like Taylor's Route and Surf Town in the 3rd
I don't remember though if Mud Route a good turf sire. I like Surf Town simply because he looks like he has plenty of room for improvement. |
id play in a pool....
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the 3rd is very tough. I do like Casual Thunder on figs and connections but hate that he is 8 yrs old with one win. Still have not decided, using 3 of these 4......Behind The Magic, Duty Roster, Our Partner, Casual Thunder. One thing for sure, the pace will be quick....so look for those that will crumble trying to keep up (not necessarily those that will be on the lead) and toss them. |
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I fully expect this thing to pay handsomely, given the sequence, no gimme's |
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I would use but definitely not single Casual Thunder, no way would I trust that one with the numerous past disappoints. Why has no one mentioned River Isalnds, improved last start and now makes third start off layoff, second turf start and was game last time while finishing ahead of Casual Thunder last time. I would also use the O'neil horse on the outside, Surf Town. I think he could be dangerous. |
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the way i see it......
race 3 3 our partner 7 rival islands 2 duty roster race 4 2 kooky kelly 3 steel kitten 10 harrete topper t town sorry folks.. race 5 8 bersconie..my single race 6 8 lotta gamble lost all chance in last derby winning connections 10 weft cassidy owns trains 1 andf 1a race 7 6 shem 1 pick vic 4 idiot proof race 8 2 gotta go sal ...... win it all horse off the claim with impossible post last 3 star quality scrappy effort last out must use 5 obi naki mig fits conditions well.. thats it good luck all 324bucks and scav kiss my ass.. |
Time constraints prevent me from playing. :(
Good luck to all of you...but i'm hoping it triple carries. :D |
I just realized while reading a DRF article while Nakatini has been soo cold, friggin Stevens was his jock agent. Like he has the time for that crap. Nak fired his ass, expect him to heat up soon
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A Very Modest Stab at the Luckiest Day of Your Life
R3 3 running well at the class level, and this sire is on fire 1st time turf
R4 5 should improve second time out... 9 or 10 could win but gotta take stand R5 4 improving 3yo, good turf sire, 2nd off layoff 5 again, improving 3yr, freshened, working well 8 pedigree and strong first effort R6 1a dropping off decent fig from very fast race 8 big drop working lights out R7 2 been running against very tough, handled pace to str at G2, freshened 3 mullins, 2nd of layoff, not a quitter 4 should win, but the kind of single that burns me every time, cut cost or go wider if you believe R8 2 back class, 1st after claim with trainer that produces winners, drop 3 2nd after layoff, seems to like poly OK, trainer, R/S picks up a pace meltdown 10 dropping from open to state bred (I know, not that big a deal in CA) fast fractions, could shake loose $108 $36 if you single Idiot Proof... Should be fun.... I/L |
OK. Here's my shot.
R3 - 6,7 R4 - 3,5,10 R5 - 1,2,4,8 R6 - 1 R7 - 4,6 R8 - 3,5 $192 Good Luck!! |
FYI, Pick Six Central on TVG right now, we can at least see who we can toss out when they LOVE a horse tomorrow. Shrup, Simon(decent) and Carothers
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