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-   -   NoBiz and Shipping... (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=12953)

estreetposse 05-07-2007 01:51 PM

NoBiz and Shipping...
 
Blinkers, cotton, whatever else can't seem to get this horse to run well...I know he didn't really ship in the Wood...do you think this also is a problem for him? Shouldn't Tagg have brought him in a week or two sooner to try and get him used to the enviroment and/or crowds?
I think if this horse can get his head out of his a$$, he could be sitting on top very soon.

Travis Stone 05-07-2007 01:59 PM

Aside from a few bumps here or there, I thought Nobiz had a dream setup in the Derby and simply proved he wasn't good enough.

the_fat_man 05-07-2007 02:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Travis Stone
Aside from a few bumps here or there, I thought Nobiz had a dream setup in the Derby and simply proved he wasn't good enough.

Exactly, right, Mr Stone.

And, if this wasn't evident about NoCOUNT PRIOR to the DERBY it certainly should be subsequently

well, for most, anyway

byalip 05-07-2007 02:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by estreetposse
Blinkers, cotton, whatever else can't seem to get this horse to run well...I know he didn't really ship in the Wood...do you think this also is a problem for him? Shouldn't Tagg have brought him in a week or two sooner to try and get him used to the enviroment and/or crowds?
I think if this horse can get his head out of his a$$, he could be sitting on top very soon.

When's he shipping in? I can go over to Pim and scream in his face for 15 minutes...help toughen him up.

estreetposse 05-07-2007 02:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by byalip
When's he shipping in? I can go over to Pim and scream in his face for 15 minutes...help toughen him up.


That's funny right there!!
Scream like Sam Kinison used to, just might work.

cakes44 05-07-2007 02:25 PM

Is it okay for me to think that he is just another descendant of Storm Cat that didn't get any better from 2 to 3? Everybody seems to think that just because he's big that he has that much more potential than all the other horses. What has he done in any of his races other than his maiden to justify that?

JDank34 05-07-2007 02:25 PM

SlowBiz is just that SLOW...always has been and always will be. He is simply not good enough.

Danzig 05-07-2007 03:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by estreetposse
That's funny right there!!
Scream like Sam Kinison used to, just might work.

why did i suddenly remember the drill instructor from Full Metal Jacket????

Cajungator26 05-07-2007 03:06 PM

Nobiz reminds me of Strong Contender for some reason.

the_fat_man 05-07-2007 03:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cajungator26
Nobiz reminds me of Strong Contender for some reason.

You mean Weak Contender

aka

Strong Pretender?

Grade 1 winner ---- oh yeah

parsixfarms 05-07-2007 03:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cajungator26
Nobiz reminds me of Strong Contender for some reason.

I realize that Nobiz disappointed a bit in the Derby, but don't you think this is a little harsh. Next thing you know, he'll be compared to Dr. Pleasure.

byalip 05-07-2007 03:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by estreetposse
That's funny right there!!
Scream like Sam Kinison used to, just might work.

I was thinking more like Susie Green the Wife from Hell on "Curb Your Enthusiasm."

the_fat_man 05-07-2007 03:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by parsixfarms
I realize that Nobiz disappointed a bit in the Derby, but don't you think this is a little harsh. Next thing you know, he'll be compared to Dr. Pleasure.

I think he 'disappointed a bit' WELL BEFORE the Derby.

boswd 05-07-2007 03:50 PM

he reminds me of Rock Hard Ten

sumitas 05-07-2007 04:21 PM

he's not a Storm Cat. he's by Albert the Great, then Go For Gin back to Ribot. his broodmare sire is Storm Cat. he reminded me of Point Determined who ran a similar race last year at CD. never did much after that race either.

Rileyoriley 05-07-2007 07:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by parsixfarms
I realize that Nobiz disappointed a bit in the Derby, but don't you think this is a little harsh. Next thing you know, he'll be compared to Dr. Pleasure.

Is Dr. Pleasure still in training?

Getaway 05-07-2007 07:24 PM

I would love to own Nobiz. You guys must of lost a whole lot of money on him. This bashing is getting real old.

Hickory Hill Hoff 05-07-2007 07:28 PM

How bout Eddington...he reminds me of him.

Cajungator26 05-08-2007 08:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Getaway
I would love to own Nobiz. You guys must of lost a whole lot of money on him. This bashing is getting real old.

I'm not bashing him. He reminds me of Strong Contender because the talent is there, but he's never really let it all out...

I didn't lose money on Nobiz, either. I lost money on Scat Daddy. :p

jjf1031 05-08-2007 09:04 AM

Guys come on. this horse won a Grade 1 over a horse many of you here selected to run well in the Derby (AGS). He is a nice horse that did not run particularly well in the derby. neither did a bunch of other horses though not only this year but in years past. To compare him to Dr Pleasure? Get real.

This was his only off the board finish yet and I would say jury is still out on what he is or will become to be honest. I think you will see an improved performance in the Belmont given the pace scenario that usually shapes up and the layout of Belmont Park. Just my two cents

The Bid 05-08-2007 09:13 AM

He showed his Albert the Great

ultracapper 05-08-2007 09:29 AM

he's a nice grade 3, maybe grade 2 animal if he ever runs in the handicap division.

LARHAGE 05-08-2007 12:51 PM

I think Nobiz is a beautiful horse that will always be a tad below the top horses, he has never shown a quick turn of foot, or any ability to close particularly well, he just gallops around at the same pace the whole way around. He looks hard to maneuver and has really never inpressed me other than with his looks. :o

jjf1031 05-08-2007 01:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LARHAGE
I think Nobiz is a beautiful horse that will always be a tad below the top horses, he has never shown a quick turn of foot, or any ability to close particularly well, he just gallops around at the same pace the whole way around. He looks hard to maneuver and has really never inpressed me other than with his looks. :o

Hence why I believe he could be a factor in Belmont. He can grind. But after reading other threads here today Belmont might come up saltier than I originally thought

kentuckyrosesinmay 05-08-2007 02:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LARHAGE
I think Nobiz is a beautiful horse that will always be a tad below the top horses, he has never shown a quick turn of foot, or any ability to close particularly well, he just gallops around at the same pace the whole way around. He looks hard to maneuver and has really never inpressed me other than with his looks. :o


I agree. I think the distance was a question for him in the Derby as well. I liked his Remsen and maiden win a lot, but he ran against easy fields and didn't really show much improvement in terms of ability from his two year old year to his three year old year. While he won the Wood, it was also an easy field and wasn't that impressive IMO. Also, the best horse in the race ran horrible. I like AGS much better because I think that he is much more talented, but AGS hasn't ran a good race and shown his true ability since the Tampa Bay Derby. Hopefully, Pletcher can get him straight and we'll see him back to his best.

Cajungator26 05-08-2007 02:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
I agree. I think the distance was a question for him in the Derby as well. I liked his Remsen and maiden win a lot, but he ran against easy fields and didn't really show much improvement in terms of ability from his two year old year to his three year old year. While he won the Wood, it was also an easy field and wasn't that impressive IMO. Also, the best horse in the race ran horrible. I like AGS much better because I think that he is much more talented, but AGS hasn't ran a good race and shown his true ability since the Tampa Bay Derby. Hopefully, Pletcher can get him straight and we'll see him back to his best.

Weren't you the one posting that both AGS and Street Sense looked sore at Tampa Bay?

Coach Pants 05-08-2007 02:09 PM

NoBiz is a big goofy bastard.


On a side note, obviously the best horse didn't win the Derby. LOL LOL LOL had no excuses but in time he could be a monster.

ArlJim78 05-08-2007 02:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cajungator26
Weren't you the one posting that both AGS and Street Sense looked sore at Tampa Bay?

Good memory, you are correct;
Quote:

Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
I haven't talked to Joel for a long time. It's been a month or more. Both horses aren't nearly as pretty moving as they were as two year olds. You can pick stuff like this out if you know what you are looking for. Both looked sore to me, especially Street Sense. He doesn't even look like the same horse because he hits the ground so quick now. Any Given Saturday also hits the ground a little quicker than he did as a two year old. He was much more fluid as a younger horse.

So he ran his best race, and showed is true ability despite being sore.

Cajungator26 05-08-2007 02:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
Good memory, you are correct;

So he ran his best race, and showed is true ability despite being sore.

I guess so! :D

Quote:

Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
You can pick stuff like this out if you know what you are looking for. Both looked sore to me, especially Street Sense. He doesn't even look like the same horse because he hits the ground so quick now. Any Given Saturday also hits the ground a little quicker than he did as a two year old. He was much more fluid as a younger horse.

Hilarious... I'm sorry, but this is too funny. Neither one of those horses were sore at Tampa. And excuse me for saying this, but unless you were THERE, you can't make that assumption. I don't care how many two year old in training videos you watched.

estreetposse 05-08-2007 02:37 PM

My post really wasn't about his speed or if he was sore or if the asst starter had his arm stuck up his arse...With all the supposed problems this horse has had on focusing and running without lugging and fighting the jock, do you think shipping also could be a problem and they need to ship sooner to prepare for his race surroundings. How about a trainer change or jockey change? He just hasn't run a straightforward race that I've seen and I just don't think he should be counted out yet.

kentuckyrosesinmay 05-08-2007 02:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cajungator26
I guess so! :D



Hilarious... I'm sorry, but this is too funny. Neither one of those horses were sore at Tampa. And excuse me for saying this, but unless you were THERE, you can't make that assumption. I don't care how many two year old in training videos you watched.

You are misinformed.

Cajungator26 05-08-2007 02:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by estreetposse
My post really wasn't about his speed or if he was sore or if the asst starter had his arm stuck up his arse...With all the supposed problems this horse has had on focusing and running without lugging and fighting the jock, do you think shipping also could be a problem and they need to ship sooner to prepare for his race surroundings. How about a trainer change or jockey change? He just hasn't run a straightforward race that I've seen and I just don't think he should be counted out yet.

I think he's a nice colt, but he's a headcase. He seems to expend a lot of energy being 'rank' and that was probably the cause of his poor run in the Derby. I'm not so certain that shipping is the problem... he seemed to ship well from Florida to NY etc. I would love to see this guy in the Belmont.

Skip away 05-08-2007 02:49 PM

He will be very tough in the remainder of the races this year. If Tagg took a lesson from Todd in spotting his horses, hed be a legend. Nobiz is the real deal and I suggest you throw out his Derby. He gave up after the first half mile because he knew he couldnt win.

Cajungator26 05-08-2007 02:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
You are misinformed.

I'M misinformed? So you were at Tampa? Damn, you should have introduced yourself.

Coach Pants 05-08-2007 02:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cajungator26
I'M misinformed? So you were at Tampa? Damn, you should have introduced yourself.

No need. She watched the race on a 5" black and white tv.

miraja2 05-08-2007 02:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Skip away
He will be very tough in the remainder of the races this year. If Tagg took a lesson from Todd in spotting his horses, hed be a legend. Nobiz is the real deal and I suggest you throw out his Derby. He gave up after the first half mile because he knew he couldnt win.

This post belongs in the Hall of Fame.

Cannon Shell 05-08-2007 03:41 PM

He wants to run on the lead but for some reason BT wants him to rate.

kentuckyrosesinmay 05-08-2007 03:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cajungator26
I'M misinformed? So you were at Tampa? Damn, you should have introduced yourself.

Yes, you are misinformed about whether or not you can tell if an animal does not move as well as they once did over the television screen.

And no I wasn't at Tampa. I have talked with several people in the business about this and have been doing this for awhile now. I said that the horses were not moving as well in that race, and they weren't. I didn't say that they were necessarily sore or lame. It was publicly known that Street Sense had issues before he ever made his first start back this year. In hindsight, the horse may not have liked the Tampa Bay Derby surface and was probably getting tired at the end of the race. When he ran in the BG Stakes, he was moving much stronger and better and proved that he could run through whatever problems that he has. At Churchill Downs, he was moving beautifully and training like a monster, and that is why I picked him to win the Derby.

On the other hand, AGS did just the opposite. AGS was not moving in that race as well as he moved as a two-year-old, and he proved in the Wood that he could not run through whatever problems he has to cause that kind of action. The Tampa Bay Derby did him in, and he has not been able to show his true ability since that race. Hopefully, Pletcher can get him straight and he can get back to his racing career in as short of an amount of time as possible because I think that he is one of the best of his generation.

Sometimes, these horses are not what you would necessarily call lame but you can tell that something isn't quite right with them when their action while racing is different from their previous race.

Someone who is known for his ability to judge horses in this manner in the horse racing industry agreed with me about these two horses in that particular race by watching them on the tape.

Also, not that the two year old sales have anything really to do with this, but I would also like to point out that trainers like Baffert who have a really good eye for horses do not even watch the previews live at most of the sales. They are sent the videos and can tell everything that they need to know by watching the video including if a horse is off or not. They then look at the Hip Numbers that they are interested in a few days before the sale.

Trainers like Ellis actually watch the horses work live, look at the horses the day after the works to check for soundness, and then rely heavily on the video to get a better idea of what they are looking at because you can judge the way a horse is traveling a lot better watching the videos than you can judge them by watching them go live.

Just like every knowledgeable person who have great reputations that I have talked to in this business about it, I can tell if a horse is sore in the walking ring or post parade easier on the TV than I can live. The truth of the matter is that you're going to see the same bad steps that they take over the TV as you do live.

It is the exact same principle as to why riders like me like to watch vidoes of their horses going. It is also why people like Dr. Bob Mowry teach his learner judges about judging horses through videos before they start their live work. It's just easier to see everything that they are doing.

Coach Pants 05-08-2007 03:51 PM

kentuckyroses = jamie sanders?


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