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Which of the "contenders" are you tossing?
Of the Derby horses that are contenders less than 10-1 on the morning line...which two will you not be using in any of your exotic plays?
For me it's - NoBiz Like Shobiz & Curlin |
curlin
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Street Sense.
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Curlin .... half this field will start making their moves near the mile mark...
Curlin, Hard Spun, and Scat will probably be on or near the lead as we approach the 1/8 pole... Curlin hasn't faced that before and will fold and be passed by the deep closers... see 7th place or worse for the m/l fav... |
Curlin, If he doesn't win he won't be in the super. If he wins Oh well, I lose, there will be more races on Sunday.
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Curlin and Hard Spun...somewhere somebody reads this and runs to the exacta window.
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Circular Quay
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I'm having a hard time liking HARD SPUN.
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Nobiz like Shobiz.
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I'm throwin' Scat Daddy out. News of the bar shoes did it for me.....
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Curlin, Scat Daddy and Hard Spun. Probably No Biz as well unless he comes out as focused as Al Sharpton in a cash grab machine.
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Hardspun
No Biz Curlin |
Curlin
No Biz Scat Daddy Great Hunter Hard Spun |
Curlin
Hard Spun Scat Daddy |
Curlin- has to many obstacles to overcome and hasnt faced this type of animal before..(could be moving forward though, but I will bet against it)
Scat Daddy- hasnt really improved.. Seems to run identical races every time out, and wont cut it here.(gotta respect Prado's choice) NoBiz Like ShoBiz- see Scat Daddy, the extra furllong will be his undoing..Would be tough to hold off charging horses for another panel. Any Given Saturday- would love to see it happen, although his draw and the fact that Hammerhead Hank likes him are major hurdles. (Johnny V aint no dummy) |
Curlin
no biz great hunter;) |
No Biz- Albert the Great, thats a good enough reason
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nobiz
scat daddy |
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nobiz, cowtown, scat daddy.....
there's your trifecta. |
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I'm tossing Sedgefield, Curlin, Storm in May (sorry B-Dub), Imawildandcrazyguy, Teuflesberg, Stormello, Dominican and Great Hunter so far. (Unless Steve says otherwise... I value his opinion highly.)
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I'll toss Scat daddy ---Curlin----CQ. You have to eliminate some of the contenders and these are my three.
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cowtown cat. i have no basis for this other than i don't believe that name sounds like a derby winner.
i don't think a derby horse should have "cow" anywhere in their name. same goes for "rat", "donkey", and "zebra". war admiral...assault...northern dancer...secretariat...cowtown cat. nope. sorry. won't happen. |
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Circular Quay.
And thats a toss for a win. |
tossing Indian Ch... I mean Curlin and Circular Quay
hesitate to include Nobiz Like Shobiz, Hard Spun and I've always said I like Street Sense.. Hopefully he won't get compromised. I've got it down to a 10 horse box $780 for the Trifecta whadya think? |
Well as of right now i got 10 tossed- Not on any
WildCrazy Liquidity Storm in May Great Hunter Teufles Domincian Curlin Scat Daddy Sedgefield Stormello Looking to throw(But not sure) Sam P NoBiz Tiago Would get me down to 7 for all my exotics with SS,Hard Spun,CQ on top all others 3 or 4 Zanjero Cowtown Cat SS Hard Spun Bwana Bull CQ AGS Any thoughts?? Love to here what u guys think |
I hesitate to throw out Nobiz.
but I'd let anyone coming from Santa Anita beat me. |
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ALostTexan |
Cowtown Cat does not sound like a winner but does sound like a horse that hits the board at a nice price
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All three syllables as well, so you're still in good graces there. As for my throw outs, I am getting nowhere near Curlin and Circular Quay. Perhaps CQ on the bottom of tris and supers. |
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The only horses that will get a spot on my exacta and tri tickets are Curlin, Circular Quay, Scat Daddy, Hard Spun, and Nobiz. I won't play a single other horse. Street Sense and Any Given Saturday both have no shot in my opinion. Saturday, they will pay the price for the Tampa race.
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