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-   -   How to ruin a horse: Jamie Sanders Edition (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=12565)

brianwspencer 04-30-2007 01:09 PM

How to ruin a horse: Jamie Sanders Edition
 
From DRF.com:

She said she has not decided whether to enter him in Friday's Crown Royal American Turf at Churchill Downs as an alternative race in case Teuflesberg is excluded from the Derby. Entries for that race are taken Tuesday.

She said Monday that she might race Teuflesberg against older horses in Saturday's Grade 1 Woodford Reserve at Churchill if he does not get into the Derby.
That race, like the Derby, is drawn Wednesday.

Cajungator26 04-30-2007 01:10 PM

It's a shame too...

He's an awfully nice colt. Would be a hell of a miler if allowed to be one...

horseofcourse 04-30-2007 03:39 PM

I applaud Jamie Sanders for actually having the audacity to RACE her nice horse. Imagine that. She runs her boy...anywhere. Not that I think the Woodforde is a good place for him...certainly not, but I admire her gumption...she's running her boy this weekend come hell or high water!! This horse reminds of days gone by...I love it. 15 races for this 3 yr old...make that 16 by Saturday!!

SniperSB23 04-30-2007 03:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by horseofcourse
I applaud Jamie Sanders for actually having the audacity to RACE her nice horse. Imagine that. She runs her boy...anywhere. Not that I think the Woodforde is a good place for him...certainly not, but I admire her gumption...she's running her boy this weekend come hell or high water!! This horse reminds of days gone by...I love it. 15 races for this 3 yr old...make that 16 by Saturday!!

There is a huge difference between racing your horse often and racing your horse often in no chance spots. This horse should have run in the Derby Trial and then gone to the Lone Star Derby.

Cajungator26 04-30-2007 03:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by horseofcourse
I applaud Jamie Sanders for actually having the audacity to RACE her nice horse. Imagine that. She runs her boy...anywhere. Not that I think the Woodforde is a good place for him...certainly not, but I admire her gumption...she's running her boy this weekend come hell or high water!! This horse reminds of days gone by...I love it. 15 races for this 3 yr old...make that 16 by Saturday!!

Let her run him... but for God's sake, spot the horse a bit better... put him somewhere where he can win. He could be a really nice sprinter type or miler, but he's just not a distance type horse. What is so wrong with running the horse where he can actually WIN?

Scurlogue Champ 04-30-2007 03:42 PM

Sanders and her partner remind me of skinny versions of Roseanne and Dan Conner.

PWT

Hickory Hill Hoff 04-30-2007 03:44 PM

ANY race but the Derby!
this is a nice horse, but I'm afraid she might "go to the well" once too often with him in tough spots.

horseofcourse 04-30-2007 03:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
There is a huge difference between racing your horse often and racing your horse often in no chance spots. This horse should have run in the Derby Trial and then gone to the Lone Star Derby.

And you were of the opinion Blue Grass week that this horse would be within a half length of winning that grade 1 at 9f??? And I dont' want to hear about the pace, polytrack, any of that crap. Most gave that horse zero shot in that race, myself included. There is no reason for her not to try this horse in the Derby or use the Woodforde on turf as a prep for the Preakness if she wants. I personally think this horse has a better chance than either Bwana Bull and Xchanger who are keeping T out of the Derby which is a shame.

SniperSB23 04-30-2007 03:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by horseofcourse
And you were of the opinion Blue Grass week that this horse would be within a half length of winning that grade 1 at 9f??? And I dont' want to hear about the pace, polytrack, any of that crap. Most gave that horse zero shot in that race, myself included. There is no reason for her not to try this horse in the Derby or use the Woodforde on turf as a prep for the Preakness if she wants. I personally think this horse has a better chance than either Bwana Bull and Xchanger who are keeping T out of the Derby which is a shame.

Time Squared was about two lengths back in that race as well. That's wonderful that you don't want to hear anything about that crap but it was a race scenario that will never be duplicated on dirt and certainly not in the Stampede sponsored by Yum.

ArlJim78 04-30-2007 03:53 PM

Her record speaks for itself, its abysmal.

i guess if you like to see frequent racing with infrequent wins, she's your trainer.

parsixfarms 04-30-2007 03:57 PM

This is why she is winning races at a microscopic percentage.

horseofcourse 04-30-2007 03:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Time Squared was about two lengths back in that race as well. That's wonderful that you don't want to hear anything about that crap but it was a race scenario that will never be duplicated on dirt and certainly not in the Stampede sponsored by Yum.

Is the Southwest Stakes a race scenario that will ever be duplicated on dirt?? I'm just sick of the absolute bashing of Sanders on here. The horse is 1-1 against Hard Spun and has a 1st, 2 3rds and a 4th in 4 major preps this year and the 4th was less than a half length back. This horse is better than Sedgefield, Bwana Bull, Xchanger, Cobalt Blue, Liquidity, Storm in May, off the top of my head. Is distance a question...of course it is. I can name about 18 horses that that question applies to however. The bashing of Sanders is nonsensical at best.

slotdirt 04-30-2007 04:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by horseofcourse
This horse is better than Sedgefield, Bwana Bull, Xchanger, Cobalt Blue, Liquidity, Storm in May, off the top of my head.

No.

Cajungator26 04-30-2007 04:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by horseofcourse
Is the Southwest Stakes a race scenario that will ever be duplicated on dirt?? I'm just sick of the absolute bashing of Sanders on here. The horse is 1-1 against Hard Spun and has a 1st, 2 3rds and a 4th in 4 major preps this year and the 4th was less than a half length back. This horse is better than Sedgefield, Bwana Bull, Xchanger, Cobalt Blue, Liquidity, Storm in May, off the top of my head. Is distance a question...of course it is. I can name about 18 horses that that question applies to however. The bashing of Sanders is nonsensical at best.

The horse is better than Sedgefield, Bwana Bull, Xchanger, Cobalt Blue, Liquidity and Storm in May at distances less than 8.5 furlongs.

Scurlogue Champ 04-30-2007 04:02 PM

I think they should keep her out of the Derby just so we don't have to see her and the boyfriend in the paddock on camera trashing it up.

SniperSB23 04-30-2007 04:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by horseofcourse
Is the Southwest Stakes a race scenario that will ever be duplicated on dirt?? I'm just sick of the absolute bashing of Sanders on here. The horse is 1-1 against Hard Spun and has a 1st, 2 3rds and a 4th in 4 major preps this year and the 4th was less than a half length back. This horse is better than Sedgefield, Bwana Bull, Xchanger, Cobalt Blue, Liquidity, Storm in May, off the top of my head. Is distance a question...of course it is. I can name about 18 horses that that question applies to however. The bashing of Sanders is nonsensical at best.

I don't think anyone here is questioning that he is a solid horse at a mile. No one thinks he has any business going onto the Derby and the idea that he might go to the Woodford Reserve is laughable. He may be better than those horses but they all have more graded earnings than him. If those trainers were 2 for 86 on the year and talking about running in the Woodford Reserve if they got shut out of the Derby then they'd be getting the same treatment.

horseofcourse 04-30-2007 04:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cajungator26
The horse is better than Sedgefield, Bwana Bull, Xchanger, Cobalt Blue, Liquidity and Storm in May at distances less than 8.5 furlongs.

HOw many of THOSE horses have you seen run more than 9f?? I saw Teuflesberg actually finish well ahead of xchanger at 8.5 furlongs unless I'm crazy...yeah...xchanger didn't like the track...hard spun disease I guess!!

parsixfarms 04-30-2007 04:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by horseofcourse
The bashing of Sanders is nonsensical at best.

I'm willing to give her the benefit of the doubt with Teuflesberg and the Derby. But the older turf race? Please. She runs one horse after another over its head. That's why she's winning less than five percent of her starts. She certainly hasn't accomplished enough to merit the kind of attention that she's attracted.

Cajungator26 04-30-2007 04:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by horseofcourse
HOw many of THOSE horses have you seen run more than 9f?? I saw Teuflesberg actually finish well ahead of xchanger at 8.5 furlongs unless I'm crazy...yeah...xchanger didn't like the track...hard spun disease I guess!!

Come off it... everyone on here knows what a huge fan I am of Teuflesberg... but let's be real here. How did he look in the Blue Grass to YOU? He looked staggering exhausted to me coming down the stretch! Geesh. Unreal.

horseofcourse 04-30-2007 04:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
I don't think anyone here is questioning that he is a solid horse at a mile. No one thinks he has any business going onto the Derby and the idea that he might go to the Woodford Reserve is laughable. He may be better than those horses but they all have more graded earnings than him. If those trainers were 2 for 86 on the year and talking about running in the Woodford Reserve if they got shut out of the Derby then they'd be getting the same treatment.

I know nothing of Sanders...I actually never heard of her til Teuflesberg. It seems people are putting their feelings of Sanders as the main focus for what Teuflesberg should do. TEUFLESBERGS PERFORMANCES THIS YEAR WERE IN THE RIGHT SPOTS AND HAVE EMBARRASED THE HORSE ZERO. Those are the facts. Sanders may be the worst trainer on earth. I have no idea. I have not seen overwhelmingly bad performances from this horse since the BC Juvenile last year. None. So you're gonna tell me Sanders is the first trainer to take a shot with a "no chance" horse in the Derby?? Lukas has done it, Pletcher has done it, Baffert has done it, Zito has done it. This horse is better than some those guys have sent to the gate.

horseofcourse 04-30-2007 04:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cajungator26
Come off it... everyone on here knows what a huge fan I am of Teuflesberg... but let's be real here. How did he look in the Blue Grass to YOU? He looked staggering exhausted to me coming down the stretch! Geesh. Unreal.

Looked to me like he hated the left hand whip from Prado. Then really how bad are Street Sense, Dominican, Zanjero, Great Hunter that they can Barely or not even beat a staggering exhausted Teuflesberg at 9f??

OH that's right...polytrack...we can toss all those guys runs...but not Teuflesberg...duplicity is as duplicity does!!

horseofcourse 04-30-2007 04:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by parsixfarms
I'm willing to give her the benefit of the doubt with Teuflesberg and the Derby. But the older turf race? Please. She runs one horse after another over its head. That's why she's winning less than five percent of her starts. She certainly hasn't accomplished enough to merit the kind of attention that she's attracted.

AS I said, I know nothing about Sanders. All I know is what I've seen in Teuflesberg's 4 races this year and he would be far from the worst entrant I've seen in the Derby. I'm not saying he's the winner or top 10 even, but I think he is better than several entrants ahead of him. I'm looking at the this horse alone...not what she's done with her entire fleet. This horse has been handled fine this year.

Coach Pants 04-30-2007 04:19 PM

I think they should run him in the Arc.

Danzig 04-30-2007 04:21 PM

hmmm....

fickle humans. some think horses don't run enough, others too much. take a risk, but then they're in over their head...

i think i'll fall over dead and make one of those THUD noises that morty likes so much if i ever see a consensus thread that someone did something just right.

horseofcourse 04-30-2007 04:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pillow Pants
I think they should run him in the Arc.

Only on a yielding course! Wire to wire baby!

horseofcourse 04-30-2007 04:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
hmmm....

fickle humans. some think horses don't run enough, others too much. take a risk, but then they're in over their head...

i think i'll fall over dead and make one of those THUD noises that morty likes so much if i ever see a consensus thread that someone did something just right.

If someone actually did something right we'd have nothing to talk about here!!

Danzig 04-30-2007 04:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by horseofcourse
If someone actually did something right we'd have nothing to talk about here!!

lol

nah, because there's no way everyone would agree that something was done just right!!

ArlJim78 04-30-2007 04:30 PM

I think the Woodford Reserve would be a perfect spot for Tueflesberg.
Maybe Time Squared will go along for the ride as well.

Danzig 04-30-2007 04:34 PM

hell, if cobalt blue can run in the derby, why not sent teuf to the woodford??

ArlJim78 04-30-2007 04:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
hell, if cobalt blue can run in the derby, why not sent teuf to the woodford??

How often has the Woodford Reserve been used as a alternative for horses that can't get in to the Derby? I don't know the answer, I'm asking.
My guess is not very often.

If you have been pointing your horse to the derby, a 10F dirt race restricted to 3yo's, and you can't get in because of a lack of earnings, I have serious doubts that a reasonable alternative is a GR1 turf race for older horses.

blackthroatedwind 04-30-2007 04:46 PM

I'm happy she keeps running Teuflesburg, and she's been rewarded, but even SAYING she is thinking about the Woodford Reserve just makes her look bad. Hopefully she will learn from this recent episode and perhaps not open herself up to ridicule in the future. She hasn't been around this kind of exposure in the past, and while she may be enjoying it, in time she will learn to be more prudent ( I hope ).

brianwspencer 04-30-2007 04:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
How often has the Woodford Reserve been used as a alternative for horses that can't get in to the Derby? I don't know the answer, I'm asking.
My guess is not very often.

If you have been pointing your horse to the derby, a 10F dirt race restricted to 3yo's, and you can't get in because of a lack of earnings, I have serious doubts that a reasonable alternative is a GR1 turf race for older horses.

I personally don't care if she runs him in the Derby, I would certainly not be able to say no if I had a horse like that who might possibly get in.

But what you said is exactly why this concept is so laughable. Most agree that the horse has no shot in the Derby whatsoever. So if he can't handle straight three year olds going ten furlongs on dirt, how on earth is he going to handle older horses in one of the most prestigious early season turf Grade I races? That the Woodford is a viable alternative to the Derby is ridiculous. If he can't get in, what's the problem with waiting for the Preakness instead of throwing him to the wolves against horses he has even less of a chance against than he does against those in the Derby?

King Glorious 04-30-2007 05:17 PM

At first, I couldn't stop laughing. Then I thought about it more. Let's see:

Kentucky Derby=no chance in hell.
Woodford=no chance in hell.

What's the difference? He's not going to win either race. I actually think that because of the conditions of the Derby, he'd look worse there than in the Woodford. He'd be running 10f, which he can't get unless he's got a van. He'd be facing more horses and probably more pace pressure, which won't be beneficial to him. He'd be doing it at equal weights, which gives him no advantage. In the Woodford, he'd be more likely to get a pace scenario that he likes than in the Derby. He'd also be in there with a very low weight. He might have only 110 lbs or so in that race. The distance of the race is better for him than the Derby too. If he can just about beat the 2yo champ and current Derby second choice (Street Sense) in a race that was run like a turf race, he might be able to run with horses like Einstein and Better Talk Now in the Woodford if he's able to control the race like he did the Blue Grass. Do I expect that he'd have a shot to win the Woodford? No I don't. But I think that if the choice were between the Derby and the Woodford, he'd have less chance of embarrassment in the Woodford.

The Bid 04-30-2007 05:29 PM

He would have a very good chance in the Derby. The horse that will go favorite beat him by a head. Hes got a big edge on experience, and hes coming into the race right. Why would he not have a chance? Last time I checked NONE of the horses going to the gate have ran a mile and a quarter. Its funny to hear everyone armchair QB, then bitch on other posts about horses being retired early, and raced sparingly. I know one thing, Im glad you guys arent training him.

ArlJim78 04-30-2007 05:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Bid
He would have a very good chance in the Derby. The horse that will go favorite beat him by a head. Hes got a big edge on experience, and hes coming into the race right. Why would he not have a chance? Last time I checked NONE of the horses going to the gate have ran a mile and a quarter. Its funny to hear everyone armchair QB, then bitch on other posts about horses being retired early, and raced sparingly. I know one thing, Im glad you guys arent training him.

Saying you don't like his chances in the derby is not the same as bitching about horses being retired early. they are separate arguments. I don't see anyone complaining about racing frequency.

Saying that he has as good a chance as any because he was only a head back of the favorite is the worst rationale I've ever heard. It totally ignores some some very obvious circumstances that brought about that head loss and that would make it unlikely that he would have been in the same zip code as the winner in the derby.

Bobby Fischer 04-30-2007 05:50 PM

Good horse for cheap dirt or turf or poly miles.
Not all that fast but needs to lead.
a mile or 8.5 is the limit.
Prado couldn't win with the horse in the bluegrass after getting a dream pace, a surface edge over SS and GH, and swinging out into horses paths - says the horse isn't that good. Really needs to get a nice start to succeed and usually has gate trouble so that somewhat limits this one.

brianwspencer 04-30-2007 06:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Bid
Its funny to hear everyone armchair QB, then bitch on other posts about horses being retired early, and raced sparingly. I know one thing, Im glad you guys arent training him.

You've missed the point. Nobody is castigating Sanders for wanting to run him in the Derby. He belongs in the Derby just as much as any of the others who have also-ran written all over them because he earned his way there.

It is the ludicrous suggestion that the Woodford Reserve is a logical or viable alternative if excluded from the Derby that is in question. It would be like Bill Kaplan stating that if Imawildncrazyguy doesn't make it in the field, that they will just wait for the Breeders' Cup Turf. It makes no sense to jump from one to the other. Dropping the horse into a race on a surface he's never run on against older seasoned horses in one of the premier early season turf races because the Derby is oversubscribed makes no rational sense.

pmayjr 04-30-2007 06:12 PM

If Teuflesburg does run in the Woodforde reserve, he's not completely hopeless. Here's why: Who was that horse that looked completely hopeless in the BC Mile last year? Silver Tree? Silver Wagon? Badge of Silver? Silver Axe? One of those "Silver" horses. His turf efforts were dull and he was in against some tough company. And he got 4th... somehow... still boggles the mind actually.

So who says Teuflesburg couldn't finish mid-pack in that race lol?

King Glorious 04-30-2007 06:15 PM

Obviously, the Crown Royal on Friday would be a better option. Or the Lone Star Derby. There are plenty of better options than either the Derby or the Woodford, or the Preakness. But if they were intent on it either being the Derby or the Woodford, I think he'd make a better showing in the later.


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