Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   The Charles Hatton Reading Room (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=11)
-   -   Attempt to pick 1,000 straight horses who fail to win (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=47847)

Calzone Lord 09-08-2012 10:14 PM

29 horses ran today -- all of them got dusted.

In the 10th race at Suffolk -- one of the bums finished dead last beaten 38 lengths at odds of 18.30

The winner of that race went off at odds of 18.50 -- that's happened a few other times so far as well. An eventual winner going off at longer odds than a bum list horse in the same race.

458 down, only 542 more to go.

herkhorse 09-09-2012 12:07 AM

This is my favorite thread ever. No way in hell IC could pull this off.

ranger5830 09-09-2012 02:23 AM

Today's bums managed to lose another $18,712 bringing the grand total up to $458,291.

Indian Charlie 09-09-2012 08:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by herkhorse (Post 889128)
This is my favorite thread ever. No way in hell IC could pull this off.

Based on what?

You know next to nothing about me.

There are probably only a few people on here who can do it, that's for sure, but given the motivation, I could do this.

Calzone Lord 09-09-2012 10:54 AM

Bums for Football Sunday:


Albuquerque Race 1: Labeled Descent

Belmont Race 9: Tatoo Me

Calder Race 6: Star From Argent and Unreal Reply

Charles Town Race #1: Mr Balboa

Emerald Downs Race 8: Bobbylouie

Fairplex Race #11: Rosita Fresa and Copy Irish

Mountaineer Race #7: Reba's Storm

Monmouth Race #6: Manny Diablo and Derg Master

Monmouth Race #9: Tea Party Boy

Parx Race #3: Mata Da Hot Tomata

Zia Park Race #12: Lily Blue

Calzone Lord 09-09-2012 08:43 PM

14 of them ran today, all lost, but one horse provided a huge scare.





This horse looked like the proverbial free bingo square.

She had no trip excuses at all in those first two races...she simply just broke a bit slow, ran very, very slow early, very, very slow middle, and very very slow late.

Maybe they stiffed this horse in those first two races and bet it today -- I don't know. Either way...what looked like an ultimate gimmie on paper almost blew this up while finishing 2nd beaten 0.75 lengths.

Her big prior performance coming when she was beaten just 44.5 lengths in a 7f race run in a sparkling 1:27.80 ... the next time I see a horse with a form like that owned by someone called "Tonys Investments" -- I will pass. Even the owners name was shady on that one.


472 down, only 528 more to go.

cmorioles 09-09-2012 08:46 PM

She didn't get bet like she was stiffed the first few.

Calzone Lord 09-09-2012 08:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cmorioles (Post 889256)
She didn't get bet like she was stiffed the first few.

Calder is a place where you can get some action offshore and in Europe.

If not that, I have no idea why she improved so much in one week.

MaTH716 09-09-2012 09:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord (Post 889258)
Calder is a place where you can get some action offshore and in Europe.

If not that, I have no idea why she improved so much in one week.

I have never heard of the trainer ( I don't follow Calder at all). Is he considered as one of those guys that have the "special" feed?

Calzone Lord 09-09-2012 09:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 889263)
I have never heard of the trainer ( I don't follow Calder at all). Is he considered as one of those guys that have the "special" feed?

Not at all.

Indian Charlie 09-10-2012 12:26 AM

Deputy Wild Cat's out of Yonaguska mares are always dangerous second time off a DNF.

ranger5830 09-10-2012 01:33 AM

Today the bums made off with $12,203 to bring the new grand total up to $470,494.

To put today's close call in perspective, Unreal Reply was only the second horse out of 472 to be beaten less than a length. And even if the unthinkable had happened and he had won, the ROI for anyone betting on these "picks" would only be $0.30. As it is, of course it remains a stellar $0.00.

Calzone Lord 09-10-2012 07:52 AM

Here's the replay for the two prior runs from that horse -- both at the same class level.

* Breaks from post #2: http://www1.drf.com/displayVideo.do?...=D&country=USA


* Breaks from far outside post position and finishes last in field of 11: http://www1.drf.com/displayVideo.do?...=D&country=USA


Her jockeys took a hold of her early and in the head-on replays of both races -- you can see she was being sort of eased after she got about 20 lengths behind the next to last horse in the field.

It's pretty mysterious how a horse can perform like that one week and almost win a race at the same level the next week. I could see if there was a layoff line and some vet work was done on her and a little time was given to fix an ailment.

Calzone Lord 09-10-2012 11:58 AM

Short list of bums for today as I am behind on making my figures and barely had time to look as I have plans for later tonight:

Suffolk Race #2: Candles Onthe Wind

Parx Race #2: Michaela's Candi

Parx Race #10: Brave Samson

Calzone Lord 09-10-2012 05:06 PM

All 3 of them got dusted ... but upon reviewing the charts -- I was a few minutes late getting Parx Race #2 in.

Only 2 count.

474 down, only 526 more to go.

ranger5830 09-10-2012 08:32 PM

Today's duo made off with a relatively paltry $520 to bring the total so far up to $471,014.

Calzone Lord 09-11-2012 11:51 AM

Bums for today:

Finger Lakes Race #1: Beach Harber Man

Finger Lakes Race #3: Overloud

Finger Lakes Race #5: First Dine

Finger Lakes Race #7: Mom Proof

Hoosier Race #7: Great Sky Dancer

Mountaineer Race #1: Killian's Advice

Mountaineer Race #7: Cihangir

Presque Isle Downs Race #3: Moonshot Monkey

Presque Isle Downs Race #5: Desi's Demon

Parx Race #4: Libbys Legacy

Parx Race #10: Wild And Away

Suffolk Race #6: Tink's Tiger

Calzone Lord 09-11-2012 03:48 PM

The streak has ended on the 480th try.

Mom Proof (20/1 loading into the gate, but ended up going off at 37/1 odds won the 7th race at Finger Lakes)

He won a desperate 3-way photo finish...




It was only a 7 horse field. The horse who finished 7th and last was beaten less than 4 lengths. The final time for the mile was a jaw dropping slow 1:42.31

This was an OPEN claiming race for older males -- not condition -- OPEN! Turned out to be an unbelievably weak race and a 7lbs bug rider taking over for a journeyman beats me.

Dead at 480 and no one is happier about it than me. This challenge was brutally hard ... and anyone who thinks other wise is nuts and should try doing it themselves. Much bigger priced horses than this one have won on a daily basis. I've seen days where three or four different hundred dollar horses have won throughout the country on the same day.

Thanks for all the good record keeping Ranger.

MaTH716 09-11-2012 03:53 PM

Nice run at it Doug. Both attempts (10 wins & 1000 losses) have been very impressive (I can't even imagine the work and time consumed) and fun to watch.

Calzone Lord 09-11-2012 04:02 PM

Thanks.


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:45 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.