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-   -   2/26 (GP): Fountain of Youth, Hutcheson, Davona Dale (G2's) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=41123)

Kasept 02-26-2011 05:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo (Post 756511)
Steve didn't Mott rell EVERYONE the FOY was not going to be the colts finest hour?

Pretty much. Had him fit but not tight. He looked a couple works short.

The Indomitable DrugS 02-26-2011 05:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt (Post 756548)
So...Gourmet Dinner isn't horrible. That is all.

I still think his best game would be a fast paced 7f race. I wasn't watching him close - but he seemed to have a perfect position and looked ultra menacing on the far turn only to hang in the stretch. I would have made a strong bet on him today had he run in the Hutcheson instead.

I liked To Honor And Serve's race. He was wide on both turns and had every right to be flat off of the layoff. It was the kind of performance that gets people to overreact. Funny Cide was like a fading 5th with a similar wide trip in his 3yo debut -- he was a very fast 2yo and after that race - I think he was an incredible high price in Derby futures.

Soldat had every advantage in the world going for him coming into this race - he had a great draw, you knew he would send, and speed typically dominates these Derby prep races - especially at 9fs. Soldat's going to be another in a long line of speed horses who brings strong form into the Ky Derby only to see himself get cooked by sprinter/miler speed.

Kasept 02-26-2011 05:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants (Post 756552)
You did and Steve is ultra-sensitive to them, Betsy. It is worse than the N word!

:tro:

Coach Pants 02-26-2011 05:31 PM

I like Gourmet Dinner. Just imagine if he went to a trainer with no ethics?

The Indomitable DrugS 02-26-2011 05:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants (Post 756562)
I like Gourmet Dinner. Just imagine if he went to a trainer with no ethics?

Seeing how so many Alchemist trainers - and Bob Baffert - have moved WAY up on Bill Mott... imagine if To Honor And Serve went to one as well.

freddymo 02-26-2011 05:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 756560)
I still think his best game would be a fast paced 7f race. I wasn't watching him close - but he seemed to have a perfect position and looked ultra menacing on the far turn only to hang in the stretch. I would have made a strong bet on him today had he run in the Hutcheson instead.

I liked To Honor And Serve's race. He was wide on both turns and had every right to be flat off of the layoff. It was the kind of performance that gets people to overreact. Funny Cide was like a fading 5th with a similar wide trip in his 3yo debut -- he was a very fast 2yo and after that race - I think he was an incredible high price in Derby futures.

Soldat had every advantage in the world going for him coming into this race - he had a great draw, you knew he would send, and speed typically dominates these Derby prep races - especially at 9fs. Soldat's going to be another in a long line of speed horses who brings strong form into the Ky Derby only to see himself get cooked by sprinter/miler speed.

What is the Hutch fig going to be 106/7

Kasept 02-26-2011 05:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 756560)
I still think his best game would be a fast paced 7f race. I wasn't watching him close - but he seemed to have a perfect position and looked ultra menacing on the far turn only to hang in the stretch. I would have made a strong bet on him today had he run in the Hutcheson instead.

There ya go... Same approach that would have benefitted Jackson Bend.


Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 756560)
I liked To Honor And Serve's race. He was wide on both turns and had every right to be flat off of the layoff. It was the kind of performance that gets people to overreact. Funny Cide was like a fading 5th with a similar wide trip in his 3yo debut -- he was a very fast 2yo and after that race - I think he was an incredible high price in Derby futures.

And Funny Cide was in the 13 hole that day in the Holy Bull. Hit the gate too. 73-1 (or maybe 93-1) in the first round of KDFW. Agree Honor/Serve gets value of multiple works out of this.


Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 756560)
Soldat had every advantage in the world going for him coming into this race - he had a great draw, you knew he would send, and speed typically dominates these Derby prep races - especially at 9fs. Soldat's going to be another in a long line of speed horses who brings strong form into the Ky Derby only to see himself get cooked by sprinter/miler speed.

A reminder of the last several FOY winners...

Eskendereya
Quality Road
Cool Coal Man
Scat Daddy
Corinthian-DQ (First Sam)
High Fly
Read the Footnotes
Trust N Luck
Booklet
Songandaprayer

herkhorse 02-26-2011 05:46 PM

Am I the only one who wants to puke every time someone writes "THAS"?

ateamstupid 02-26-2011 05:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by herkhorse (Post 756566)
Am I the only one who wants to puke every time someone writes "THAS"?

THaS crazyyyyy man

Kasept 02-26-2011 05:49 PM

From Mrs. Weber regarding Honor/Serve: "Pulled up fine. We survive to fight the next battle."

The Indomitable DrugS 02-26-2011 05:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo (Post 756564)
What is the Hutch fig going to be 106/7

It's hard to say - at a glance. I'm playing a few night tracks now and this figure isn't going to be an easy one imo.

The race went a little less than 2 full seconds faster than some lightly raced bums in the first race at the same distance. The 7f and 8f races there require seperate variants.

Sightseek 02-26-2011 05:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 756569)
It's hard to say - at a glance. I'm playing a few night tracks now and this figure isn't going to be an easy one imo.

The race went a little less than 2 full seconds faster than some lightly raced bums in the first race at the same distance. The 7f and 8f races there require seperate variants.

Anything good at Charles Town?

freddymo 02-26-2011 06:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek (Post 756570)
Anything good at Charles Town?

He is dating a male groom that is very good to him

The Indomitable DrugS 02-26-2011 06:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo (Post 756572)
He is dating a male groom that is very good to him

The male grooms I date are all small potateo's ... you date the ones working for the star trainers at Palm Meadows. First class FreddyMo all the way.

freddymo 02-26-2011 06:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 756574)
The male grooms I date are all small potateo's ... you date the ones working for the star trainers at Palm Meadows. First class FreddyMo all the way.

paysons only

blackthroatedwind 02-26-2011 06:25 PM

Thinking this was anything other than a very disappointing effort by To Honor and Serve feels like seeing what you want to see as opposed to what you really saw. For the first time he hasn't had an absolutely perfect trip, and he didn't exactly set the world on fire, and his trip was far from bad. How good is Gourmet Dinner....and he buried him. Yes, he had a better trip, but To Honor and Serve is supposed to be a superior horse to him....and it wasn't close today.

Sorry, but it seems to me that horses that are going to the Derby off two preps are likely a lot more cranked up than people seem to want to believe. To Honor and Serve packed it in after seven furlongs today. After today I am inclined to go to the " horse he was dressed up by two straight dream trips " side of the fence.

miraja2 02-26-2011 06:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 756579)
horses that are going to the Derby off two preps are likely a lot more cranked up than people seem to want to believe.

Do you think it there might be a difference when it is a horse like this who doesn't need the graded earnings to get in?

On the one hand I'm always a bit hesitant to write off a disappointing performance on the grounds that the trainer didn't have the horse "cranked," because I'm somewhat skeptical of trainers ability to control when a horse is "cranked." On the other hand, with horses on the Derby Trail, where there is one definite goal race, I suppose it is possible that connections hold something back with a horse like this whose position in the field is already assured if he's healthy.

randallscott35 02-26-2011 07:03 PM

If Drosselmeyer can win a classic then there is hope for To Honor.

The Indomitable DrugS 02-26-2011 07:05 PM

Even if To Honor And Serve was fully cranked and had preps in him for this - The other speeds were herding there way out going into the first turn - and he got caught miserably wide around that first turn on what was a solid early pace being set by a very sharp horse.

When he was struggling to go with a perfectly positioned Soldat - and a good closing sprinter like Gourmet Dinner was positioned so perfectly and about to come by him on the turn- it's when horses can just hit the reset button and plain quit...even fit ones going 9fs off a layoff.

To me - that was the exact race I wanted to see if I was going to like anything about To Honor And Serve going forward.

If Soldat wasn't involved in that race - To Honor And Serve gets to control the pace rating just off that silly Maker longshot ... Dominguez's hand is forced to move early on Gourmet Dinner - he is sent along to confront a fresh To Honor And Serve on the turn - and he gets shrugged off in the stretch. To Honor And Serve wins the race and does it by putting late margins on the field...and his reputation grows.

blackthroatedwind 02-26-2011 07:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miraja2 (Post 756582)
Do you think it there might be a difference when it is a horse like this who doesn't need the graded earnings to get in?

On the one hand I'm always a bit hesitant to write off a disappointing performance on the grounds that the trainer didn't have the horse "cranked," because I'm somewhat skeptical of trainers ability to control when a horse is "cranked." On the other hand, with horses on the Derby Trail, where there is one definite goal race, I suppose it is possible that connections hold something back with a horse like this whose position in the field is already assured if he's healthy.

You are sort of suggesting it is some exact science where a horse has a certain amount to give and his trainer can sort of dole it out at will. That is not the case.

I guess what it really hinges on is Uncle Mo. If he keeps it together, the others are in trouble, but if he doesn't, it's wide open. But, it's hard to be overly encouraged by To Honor and Serve today, especially given the questions his 2YO races offered. He didn't give the right answer today. But, I suppose it's early. I just don't want him going forward. But, I also hated Soldat today.


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