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-   -   Roger Stein on Beyer on Zenyatta (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=39579)

Antitrust32 11-18-2010 08:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 724761)
How does it feel to be the message board equivalent of Rich Kotite?


HAHAH!!

Dumb and Dumber!

TouchOfGrey 11-18-2010 08:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin (Post 724729)
I assume you guys know that Mike Smith admitted that he contemplated pulling Zenyatta up early in the race. I think he knows the horse pretty well. If she felt like her normal self and was travelling fine, do you think he would have been thinking about pulling her up?

I think he choked.

The Indomitable DrugS 11-18-2010 08:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by santana (Post 724768)
I have NO IDEA how old you are Fartman, but it is 1/5 that Drugs knows way more than you. The only thing i would say against his Classic selection was putting Haynesfield 2nd...just his breeding alone would make him a auto toss for me.

I put Haynesfield 3rd. QR-Blame-Haynesfield was my 1-2-3 in the paper.

Breeding didn't worry me about Haynesfield - he's already proven he could get 10fs.

Dale Romans came out and told the press several days before the BC Classic that he wanted to be "laying about 4th" with First Dude and "about 3 or 4 lengths off of the lead"

When Romans said he was going to instruct his jockey to take First Dude off of the pace ... I expected a slow pace. Anyone who knows anything - knows that Ramon Dominguez and John Velazquez are two guys who are notorious for avoiding duels.

I expected a similar scenerio to the Whitney to unfold. Quality Road to walk on the lead - and Haynesfield to sit about a length back while rating. Instead, not true to Dale Romans word .. First Dude ran off to the lead and baked the speed horses - and setup the closers.

The Indomitable DrugS 11-18-2010 09:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TouchOfGrey (Post 724775)
I think he choked.

Smith rode a very good race. He's lucky Jose Lezcano wasn't still on Fly Down and Julian Leperoux was... Julian was oblivious to Zenyatta while riding his own horse - and he let her out of a trap. Smith would have been stopped cold had Julian not angled Fly Down out so soon.

RockHardTen1985 11-18-2010 09:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32 (Post 724550)
Would Zenyatta have beaten Icon Project on the dirt in some of those races last year?

Icon Project would have beat her by DAYLIGHT IN THE PERSONAL ENSIGN. Zenyatta would just be making her move when the Icon opens up by 7. It would have been ugly for big Z that day.

hockey2315 11-18-2010 10:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 724800)
Icon Project would have beat her by DAYLIGHT IN THE PERSONAL ENSIGN. Zenyatta would just be making her move when the Icon opens up by 7. It would have been ugly for big Z that day.

Ya but Icon Project was an all-time great.

Rupert Pupkin 11-18-2010 04:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 724743)
Just like Joel Rosario considered pulling up Make Music For Me after he was 20th and 28 lengths behind after just a quarter mile in the Kentucky Derby...before he closed to finish 4th and will now go down in history as the single worst horse to ever make a Superfecta ticket in the KY Derby.




Ice Box was 24 back - I'm shocked Lezcano didn't come out and say he almost pulled him up. If only a Horse of the Year vote was on the line for Ice Box and Make Music For Me might we be treated to such stupidity.

You really are trying to be a wet brained tard. It would be a lot more amusing if you were some deranged clueless pretty poney woman sprinkling each one of your posts with about 7 emotocons.

I assume you know that I contemplated playing a $100 straight Pick 6 of Chamberlain Bridge - Uncle Mo - Goldikova - Dakota Phone - Dangerous Midge - Blame ... I think this proves that I should win an eclipse award for Handicapper of the Year.

Joel Rosario never said he thought about pulling Make Music For Me up. Jockeys don't pull up come-from-behinders for being too far back. They pull them up when they don't feel right.

Your opinion is the one that is amusing. My opinion is shared by every trainer on the west coast that I've talked to. It's also shared by Mike Smith. But I guess you know Zenyatta better than Mike Smith since you thought she wouldn't finish within 10 lengths in the Classic.

Rupert Pupkin 11-18-2010 04:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 724763)
Math obviously isn't your strong suit.

Let me see. They went the first 3 furlongs in :35. Zenyatta was 20 lengths back. She went the first 3 fulongs in about :39. She finished in 2:02 1/5. You do the math.

Rupert Pupkin 11-18-2010 04:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 724767)
Is this the same Mike Smith who is generally regarded as being pretty simple minded?

And thinks Z is the greatest horse that ever was, or ever will be?

Most jockeys and exercise riders may not be geniuses, but they can certainly tell when a horse they ride regularly doesn't feel right.

Rupert Pupkin 11-18-2010 04:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 724776)
I put Haynesfield 3rd. QR-Blame-Haynesfield was my 1-2-3 in the paper.

Breeding didn't worry me about Haynesfield - he's already proven he could get 10fs.

Dale Romans came out and told the press several days before the BC Classic that he wanted to be "laying about 4th" with First Dude and "about 3 or 4 lengths off of the lead"

When Romans said he was going to instruct his jockey to take First Dude off of the pace ... I expected a slow pace. Anyone who knows anything - knows that Ramon Dominguez and John Velazquez are two guys who are notorious for avoiding duels.

I expected a similar scenerio to the Whitney to unfold. Quality Road to walk on the lead - and Haynesfield to sit about a length back while rating. Instead, not true to Dale Romans word .. First Dude ran off to the lead and baked the speed horses - and setup the closers.

If they would have gone :48 and 1:12, the outcome would have been no different. Maybe Quality Road loses by 20 lengths instead of 25. Maybe First Dude loses by 8 lengths instead of 11 lengths.

The Indomitable DrugS 11-18-2010 05:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin (Post 724997)
Let me see. They went the first 3 furlongs in :35. Zenyatta was 20 lengths back. She went the first 3 fulongs in about :39. She finished in 2:02 1/5. You do the math.

Wow - you are truly weapons grade stupid. You actually think there are 5 lengths in a second? Tears, Jerry, Tears.

Mathematically speaking, a length should equal 1/5th of a second only when a horse travels a furlong in 15 seconds. Do you have a harness racing background or something?

It obviously depends on the rate of speed....but as a rule of thumb, one full second equals about six lengths.

I told you already - based on the information in the result chart - Zenyatta ran her final mile in 1:36.27 - and final six furlongs in 1:12.59 - those times come from Formulator's chart.

You - keep saying she ran her final seven furlongs in 1:23 1/5.

Which means you keep insisting that she ran the 4th furlong of the race in 10.61 seconds... after running her 3rd furlong of the race in 13.07 seconds.

The Indomitable DrugS 11-18-2010 06:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin (Post 724996)
Jockeys don't pull up come-from-behinders for being too far back. They pull them up when they don't feel right.

Your opinion is the one that is amusing. My opinion is shared by every trainer on the west coast that I've talked to. It's also shared by Mike Smith.

Every trainer on the West Coast thought Zenyatta didn't feel right to them early on ... and yet she overcame this ailment that plagued her so terribly through the first three furlongs of the race?

Yeah, ok.

The Indomitable DrugS 11-18-2010 06:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin (Post 725000)
If they would have gone :48 and 1:12, the outcome would have been no different. Maybe Quality Road loses by 20 lengths instead of 25. Maybe First Dude loses by 8 lengths instead of 11 lengths.

Are you implying 7/1 shot Quality Road put in a non-effort - gee, no kidding.

By the way - I watched Cowboys Get Even get dusted by double digits at Charles Town last week to a horse that was in for a $12,500 claiming tag...he's yet to win and has burned a lot of money since that brilliant thread you started about him ....

http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=33856

Here's a chart of his most recent race in case you've finally given up and stopped following him.

http://www1.drf.com/drfNCWeeklyHorse...01112&raceNo=8

alysheba4 11-18-2010 06:37 PM

uncle.....

randallscott35 11-18-2010 06:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by alysheba4 (Post 725033)
uncle.....

Winter in Erie is looooooooonnng.

brianwspencer 11-18-2010 06:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by alysheba4 (Post 725033)
uncle.....

Opposite of uncle.

This is beyond mind-blowing in its awesomeness.

blackthroatedwind 11-18-2010 06:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 725030)
Are you implying 7/1 shot Quality Road put in a non-effort - gee, no kidding.

By the way - I watched Cowboys Get Even get dusted by double digits at Charles Town last week to a horse that was in for a $12,500 claiming tag...he's yet to win and has burned a lot of money since that brilliant thread you started about him ....

http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=33856

Here's a chart of his most recent race in case you've finally given up and stopped following him.

http://www1.drf.com/drfNCWeeklyHorse...01112&raceNo=8

Thanks. There's some good entertainment in that thread.

The Bid 11-18-2010 06:48 PM

Yikes

Rupert Pupkin 11-18-2010 06:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 725025)
Every trainer on the West Coast thought Zenyatta didn't feel right to them early on ... and yet she overcame this ailment that plagued her so terribly through the first three furlongs of the race?

Yeah, ok.

If you ever watch horses train in the morning or if you ever read any of the clockers' reports (Mike Welsch's for example), then you know that there are plenty of horses that are stiff when they first come on the track and they may take a half-mile to warm up. Some of them look very choppy in the beginning of their gallops but once they warm up they look much better.

Zenyatta looked very stiff early in the race. That's not debatable. Anyone that knows what they are looking at will tell you this. The most likely reason she was so stiff in the early going of the race was because they did not warm her up in the post parade. It was 40 degrees out. That was a big mistake.

I know why they never warm her up. They never warm her up in the post parade because they want to keep her calm. They can get away with that when it's 70 degrees out, but not when it's 40 degrees. I can't really fault Mike Smith though because the guy obviously did not want to change a routine that has worked 19 out of 19 times.

randallscott35 11-18-2010 07:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin (Post 725043)
If you ever watch horses train in the morning or if you ever read any of the clockers' reports (Mike Welsch's for example), then you know that there are plenty of horses that are stiff when they first come on the track and they may take a half-mile to warm up. Some of them look very choppy in the beginning of their gallops but once they warm up they look much better.

Zenyatta looked very stiff early in the race. That's not debatable. Anyone that knows what they are looking at will tell you this. The most likely reason she was so stiff in the early going of the race was because they did not warm her up in the post parade. It was 40 degrees out. That was a big mistake.

I know why they never warm her up. They never warm her up in the post parade because they want to keep her calm. They can get away with that when it's 70 degrees out, but not when it's 40 degrees. I can't really fault Mike Smith though because the guy obviously did not want to change a routine that has worked 19 out of 19 times.

She didn't look stiff to me. Life at Ten looked stiff.


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