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-   -   Asmussen: No Rachel for Blossom (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=34961)

miraja2 03-15-2010 05:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gales0678
again here are the facts:

1 horse off from sept to late jan , 1 horse working regurlaly even though she was supposed to be retired since oct

they both race sat and will go again in 3 weeks - who has the fitness edge ?? are we to believe that Z has no fitness edge?

are we to believe that if the roles were reversed moss and sheriffs would acclerate Z's training from late jan to get her ready to run against a horse that hasn't missed a beat since oct in the AB?

So are you saying that Ass/Jackson never should have agreed to run in the OP race in the first place because there is simply no way they had enough time to get her ready for it?

gales0678 03-15-2010 05:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by smuthg
the proof is out there from last year... Zenyatta didn't race until June; they took their time with her off a hard campaign.


horses are a lot like humans , if you try to make them do things they are not comfertable doing then how do you think they will respond , these horses are not machines you just can't turn the key on and hit the gas pedal

gales0678 03-15-2010 05:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miraja2
So are you saying that Ass/Jackson never should have agreed to run in the OP race in the first place because there is simply no way they had enough time to get her ready for it?


yes -( Assmussen had no inital say in my opinion , you can put up all the quotes about what he said , they are all just sound bites to the media, in my opinion it was the owners decision )

would you care now to answer my questions since i answered yours ?

miraja2 03-15-2010 05:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gales0678
yes -( Assmussen had no inital say in my opinion , you can put up all the quotes about what he said , they are all just sound bites to the media, in my opinion it was the owners decision )

would you care now to answer my questions since i answered yours ?

What questions? The ones about what Moss would do in an alternate universe where the situation was reversed?
I have no earthly idea.

All I do know is that both horses ran pretty well on Saturday, although both ran considerably slower than they did at the end of their respective campaigns last year. Personally, I know of no reason why both couldn't run better in a race four weeks down the road.
What did Rachel run on saturday in terms of BSFs? A 100? Is it really imposible to think that she could run considerably better four weeks later, and that that might be good enough to win the race? I don't think so. I realize BSFs certainly aren't the only way to judge the quality of a performance, but it would seem possible - and perhaps even probable - for her to run a 105+ in four weeks. That could very easily be good enough to win.

gales0678 03-15-2010 05:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miraja2
What questions? The ones about what Moss would do in an alternate universe where the situation was reversed?
I have no earthly idea.

All I do know that is both horses ran pretty well on Saturday, although both ran considerably slower than they did at the end of their respective campaigns last year. Personally, I know of no reason why both couldn't run better in a race four weeks down the road.
What did Rachel run on saturday BSF-wise? A 100? Is it really imposible to think that she could run considerably better four weeks later, and that that might be good enough to win the race? I don't think so.


if you and another similar human being were going to run a race , let's say a distance race , last year you both ran a lot were in shape were both winning races and were working out reguarly

now you take off in sept and totally shut down until late jan , you start up training again , you have to change up your regiemen to get ready for a race in april

your oppoent let's say danzig, ran his last race in oct, told you he was going to call it quits and retire , but, you see him out there doing his daily work and not missing a beat all throughout the winter

would you really want to take him on with only 2 1/2 months of training , while he hasn't missed a beat since oct - who do you think would be better fit to run the race???? .................it's the same with horses , these are animals these are not machines with keys in them

miraja2 03-15-2010 05:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gales0678
if you and another similar human being were going to run a race , let's say a distance race , last year you both ran a lot were in shape were both winning races and were working out reguarly

now you take off in sept and totally shut down until late jan , you start up training again , you have to change up your regiemen to get ready for a race in april

your oppoent let's say danzig, ran his last race in oct, told you he was going to call it quits and retire , but, you see him out there doing his daily work and not missing a beat all throughout the winter

would you really want to take him on with only 2 1/2 months of training , while he hasn't missed a beat since oct - who do you think would be better fit to run the race???? .................it's the same with horses , these are animals these are not machines with keys in them

Who am I running against, Danzig the horse, or Danzig the DT.com member?
If it is Danzig the horse....I'm pretty sure I'd lose.
If it is Danzig the DT member....I'm not sure. I've met her before and although she looked like she keeps in pretty good shape, I'd have the advantage of a longer stride......so.....it could go either way.

Listen, based on her race Saturday, I just don't think RA's fitness looked as dismal as you and others seem to believe. The reason I don't think that is becasue she ran a fast race. Was she short? Yeah probably, but not ridiculously so, and I don't see how that ensures that she won't be "ready" for the next start.

gales0678 03-15-2010 06:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miraja2
Who am I running against, Danzig the horse, or Danzig the DT.com member?
If it is Danzig the horse....I'm pretty sure I'd lose.
If it is Danzig the DT member....I'm not sure. I've met her before and although she looked like she keeps in pretty good shape, I'd have the advantage of a longer stride......so.....it could go either way.

Listen, based on her race Saturday, I just don't think RA's fitness looked as dismal as you and others seem to believe. The reason I don't think that is becasue she ran a fast race. Was she short? Yeah probably, but not ridiculously so, and I don't see how that ensures that she won't be "ready" for the next start.


what does ready mean ? ready for 5,000 rats from beaulah park or ready for another possible horse of the year ?----- again the simple facts are 1 horse has been rushed back to the races by her connections , the other hasn't missed a beat ----why not wait until the summer , let RA build back her stamina that she lost from taking off 4 months ..... why not let them run when they both are at peak condition and ready to go? do you really think that zenyatta won't have an edge over ra if they both go in the ab?

miraja2 03-15-2010 06:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gales0678
do you really think that zenyatta won't have an edge over ra if they both go in the ab?

No I don't.
If they both end up running, my money will still probably be on RA.

gales0678 03-15-2010 06:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miraja2
No I don't.
If they both end up running, my money will still probably be on RA.


fair eneough , that's your opinion

Cannon Shell 03-17-2010 08:05 AM

http://leftatthegate.blogspot.com/20...-zenyatta.html

Some great lines...

richard 03-17-2010 12:42 PM

Rachel could have an injury or problem sustained prior to the last race . That's the conjecture . Is it a breathing problem or bleeding that caused her to flatten out ? We're guessing, of course .

Smooth Operator 03-17-2010 01:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by AeWingnut
ok, Zetcher cost all parties a chance at $5 mil

happy

Somehow I don't think Shirreffs is losing any sleep over this, AeWingnut


Picking off that filly (which STOLE the HotY trophy that your mare deserved) with your third-stringer … PRICELESS...

gales0678 03-17-2010 01:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Smooth Operator
Somehow I don't think Shirreffs is losing any sleep over this, AeWingnut


Picking off that filly (which STOLE the HotY trophy that your mare deserved) with your third-stringer … PRICELESS...


stole , yup , she stole it alright

Riot 03-17-2010 01:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by richard
Rachel could have an injury or problem sustained prior to the last race . That's the conjecture . Is it a breathing problem or bleeding that caused her to flatten out ? We're guessing, of course .

Or, "flattening out" could be nothing more sinister than, "first race off a layoff". You know, where they just are not cranked up and completely fit yet? :rolleyes:

Did nobody look at Rachel in the paddock before the race? Compare that physical to what she looked like last time she ran? There was a pretty noticable difference.

freddymo 03-17-2010 06:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot
Or, "flattening out" could be nothing more sinister than, "first race off a layoff". You know, where they just are not cranked up and completely fit yet? :rolleyes:

Did nobody look at Rachel in the paddock before the race? Compare that physical to what she looked like last time she ran? There was a pretty noticable difference.

Like 120lbs?

Merlinsky 03-18-2010 04:56 AM

Did they ditch the tv coverage (I think it was ESPN2) of the Apple Blossom or are they going ahead with it? I realize they can easily put something else there, I just didn't know if they had.

johnny pinwheel 03-18-2010 07:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot
Or, "flattening out" could be nothing more sinister than, "first race off a layoff". You know, where they just are not cranked up and completely fit yet? :rolleyes:

Did nobody look at Rachel in the paddock before the race? Compare that physical to what she looked like last time she ran? There was a pretty noticable difference.

i doubt its the first race back and shes not cranked up. if that were the case i think she would be racing. they expected to win that race. forget the paddock, she did not look good running the race.it looked like she was pulling borail to the front because the inside horse was ahead. i think its more than just being short. if she can't win a race like that and runs that way again, if they race her again, its retirement time. she really has not run "great" since the haskell which was months and months ago. anyone that watches races objectively and is not caught up in rachelmania could see the woodward was not that good a race and she was life and death to hit the wire. it was kind of like barely beating chop liver. the horses she beat were absolute duds after the race. macho again could not come within a city block of the top males and bullsbay was worse. rachel did run her eyes out but at what price, that campaign was tough for any horse.

Smooth Operator 03-18-2010 12:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gales0678
stole , yup , she stole it alright

Grand Theft Eclipse, in my estimation, gales0678


Thought they had her a bit overrated last year. She never had to face much in those races.

Would be hilarious if she drops a couple more this season...

alysheba4 03-18-2010 01:35 PM

it is o.k. to be a fan of both fillies right, dont understand the " hope zen or rach " do bad thing.....as more of a zan fan i still think rachael is a fantastic horse.

CSC 03-18-2010 01:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Smooth Operator
Grand Theft Eclipse, in my estimation, gales0678


Thought they had her a bit overrated last year. She never had to face much in those races.

Would be hilarious if she drops a couple more this season...

I wonder how our pal Kgar is handling it, Serotonin perhaps? I suspect there is abit of that flowing around here. Seriously I feel a bit sorry for all that bought into her supposed superiority over Zenyatta, based on one win in one of the weaker Woodward's in recent memory and obcourse the inflated win over Summer Bird in the Haskell. She did enough to win HOY, that's fine, I have no problem with the decision. Never had. However I never believed she was better than Zenyatta was, especially after what she did in the BC. Some of us cab adjust, reanalyse...If there is a silver lining in this, it did show just how devious Jess Jackson really is and secondly it showed just because a horse was a good 3 yr old, it isn't necessarily a sure thing they come back better at 4. It's not all rain and gloom around here.


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