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-   -   9/12: BEL C/O ($608k Friday!!) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=24949)

ateamstupid 09-10-2008 11:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
So what's wrong with Millenium Jet then?

I actually agree with you, his last two races were good considering circumstances and if I had to pick one horse, it'd probably be him. I just would hate to be leaning on a horse that's still winless on the grass after 11 tries.

blackthroatedwind 09-11-2008 06:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
I actually agree with you, his last two races were good considering circumstances and if I had to pick one horse, it'd probably be him. I just would hate to be leaning on a horse that's still winless on the grass after 11 tries.


I don't disagree. If I played the Pick-6 for reasonably small money, as I think it's somewhat managable, I would single him. However, I don't trust him either. He's got a little of that fool's gold feel to him.

GPK 09-11-2008 06:28 AM

How come noone has mentioned Munition? I'm willing to toss the last 2 races (his last was first off a 8 month layoff and his prior was over the Aqu Inner) and prior to those he has run a few races good enough to compete with these.

This race is beyond dreadful.

blackthroatedwind 09-11-2008 06:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
How come noone has mentioned Munition? I'm willing to toss the last 2 races (his last was first off a 8 month layoff and his prior was over the Aqu Inner) and prior to those he has run a few races good enough to compete with these.

This race is beyond dreadful.

I thought he was a little interesting as well and actually picked him second for today's show.

GPK 09-11-2008 07:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I thought he was a little interesting as well and actually picked him second for today's show.


I'm not a huge fan of Saymn, but in a field like this, anything near the 15-1ML makes him very playable.

GPK 09-11-2008 07:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
joey see who classick impact ran 2nd to 1 back...


Matt....Kettle Two couldn't have gotten a better trip yesterday. Once Edgar tipped out on Cardinal Hill, the rail opened right up for Channing and took advantage. I needed Triple Bogey Blues for a nice score yesterday. As a matter of fact, both of Channing's wins yesterday cost me big time. Corny on Estimator was sitting on alot of horse behind a wall of horses with nowhere to go but widest of all...and then to lose by 1/2 neck:wf

GPK 09-11-2008 07:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
no love for the 6 classic campain..his race 1 back vs yesterdays winner of the 8th was strong a positive jock sw to me and a cutback in dist..the 7 has its faults as does most of these..

read post above this one.

GPK 09-11-2008 08:03 AM

Matt, I think we also need to take into consideration that even though Classic Impact ran 2nd to Kettle Two 2 races back, he also ran a few lengths behind Dos Hombres in his last race. Dos Hombres was in the same race yesterday as Kettle Two...and he showed very little life.

I would be more open to Classic Impact if he had shown more than just one decent race on the grass. And even then I hesitate to call that race decent as he mainly took advantage of two long shots setting decent fractions for them to run at. If I am not mistaken, the top 3 finishers from that race were last, 8th and 2nd to last at the first call.

blackthroatedwind 09-11-2008 08:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
no love for the 6 classic campain..his race 1 back vs yesterdays winner of the 8th was strong a positive jock sw to me and a cutback in dist..the 7 has its faults as does most of these..


If Classic Campaign was in this race I would definitely single him ( assuming he was somehow made eligible ).

hoovesupsideyourhead 09-11-2008 09:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
Matt....Kettle Two couldn't have gotten a better trip yesterday. Once Edgar tipped out on Cardinal Hill, the rail opened right up for Channing and took advantage. I needed Triple Bogey Blues for a nice score yesterday. As a matter of fact, both of Channing's wins yesterday cost me big time. Corny on Estimator was sitting on alot of horse behind a wall of horses with nowhere to go but widest of all...and then to lose by 1/2 neck:wf

he did have a good trip .due to some nice planning on c hills part..imo..but he also had a nice burst of speed..and he takes the mount..in the end the 3/6/ and if no huge trouble andys 7 should be around.late

GPK 09-11-2008 09:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
he did have a good trip .due to some nice planning on c hills part..imo..but he also had a nice burst of speed..and he takes the mount..in the end the 3/6/ and if no huge trouble andys 7 should be around.late


Good luck Bro. Depending on scratches, the 9 horse looks to get most of my $$

philcski 09-11-2008 09:29 AM

I think the single in here is in the last race, Better than Swiss. Troubled start last time but rallied strongly, and the only one that seems to be on the same talent level is the hanger Sweet Bama Breeze.

hoovesupsideyourhead 09-11-2008 10:43 AM

you may be right phil..but id hate to get that far and be singled..as its happend to me before....the 7/3/ look good..the 8/6 look sneeky..good luck to all today

philcski 09-11-2008 10:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
you may be right phil..but id hate to get that far and be singled..as its happend to me before....the 7/3/ look good..the 8/6 look sneeky..good luck to all today

yeah it sucks singling the last, but its just as painful losing the first leg. haha

NoLuvForPletch 09-11-2008 11:03 AM

How has Frenchman's Cove not come up for a pick in the 7th?

I know the owners of EZ Dollar. He's not a very good horse. Don't live or die with him.

philcski 09-11-2008 11:16 AM

theoretical $2k play:
1,7/1,2,3,5,6/1,5,6/2,3,4,7,8,9,10/2,8/4
1,7/3,5,6/7,9/3,7,10/2,8/4
1,7/3,5,6/1,5,6/5,6/2,8/4
1,7/3,5,6/1,5,6/3,7,10/2,8/3,7
1,7/3,5,6/1,5,6/3,7,10/6,9,10/4

jms62 09-11-2008 11:18 AM

ditto

1,7,8 / 2,3,5 / 1,2,3,6 / 2,7,8,10 / 2,6,8 / 4,7 = 1728

NoLuvForPletch 09-11-2008 11:39 AM

My Real Play...can't afford 2K, so I won't fantasize

Race4 - 1
Race5 - 2/5
Race6 - 1/2/8
Race7 - 3/7
Race8 - 2/8
Race9 - 3/4/7

Good Luck All...

ateamstupid 09-11-2008 11:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
I think the single in here is in the last race, Better than Swiss. Troubled start last time but rallied strongly, and the only one that seems to be on the same talent level is the hanger Sweet Bama Breeze.

I like Better Than Swiss a lot as well, and considered singling her, but would probably use Intoxicatingbeauty in some capacity as well. She had no chance in her last after stumbling at the break and trailing behind a very average pace, but still ran on decently to be third. Better Than Swiss, though also having trouble at the start last out, at least had some pace to run into. BTS is my 'A', but I might make Intoxicatingbeauty a 'B'. Hopefully with the two snappy three-furlong breezes, Corny can keep her in striking distance today.


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