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-   -   Trying To Make Money On Big Brown Today... (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=24320)

Cannon Shell 08-06-2008 12:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dunbar
But Big Brown's 3 race run from the Florida Derby through the Preakness was impressive in its own right.

--Dunbar

Is that really all it takes now days?

RollerDoc 08-06-2008 12:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dunbar
Giacomo, and possibly others.

Would Street Sense or Hard Spun have had a problem? We can only guess, but probably not. I doubt either would have shown that explosive move that Big Brown demonstrated when he spurted away from the field, though.

Winning from the outside at Gulfstream was considered near impossible before this year's Florida Derby. Despite that, when Big Brown drew the outside at Churchill, many cappers (including some here) were ecstatic that they would be able to bet against him while the "clueless" would bet him regardless of post.

Here are some very good recent horses that didn't win the Derby from better post positions than Big Brown's: Cat Thief, Point Given, Medagia d'Oro, Came Home, Empire Maker, Afleet Alex. Granted, these horses faced more solid competition than Big Brown (though Point Given finished behind Invisible Ink and Thunder Blitz), but my point is that the Derby is not a 'gimme'.

There's no question that Curlin has run against significantly better horses than Big Brown. I, too, think he is the better horse and has by far the greater accomplishments. Dutrow's comments were idiotic. But Big Brown's 3 race run from the Florida Derby through the Preakness was impressive in its own right.

--Dunbar

Very well crafted post. I agree with just about everything. Good job.

RollerDoc 08-06-2008 12:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Is that really all it takes now days?


It does if you factor in the degree of difficulty (post positions) in at least two of those races. Yes correct!

Cannon Shell 08-06-2008 12:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
It does if you factor in the degree of difficulty (post positions) in at least two of those races. Yes correct!

Dr. Fager just rolled over in his grave

RollerDoc 08-06-2008 12:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Doesn't the incredibly poor level of competition sort of offset that?

And what you say seems to be the sentiment of many. Would you be willing to say that on any given race, anything is possible (by any horse)?

I just think all of Big Brown's wins were impressive. I wish we really knew what happened at The Belmont? The Haskell was a comeback race for Big Brown and an impressive final furlong. He showed something he never had to before.

Alfleet Alex is my favorite horse of all time. But who did he really beat in the Preakness and Belmont other than Giacomo (a 50-1 KD winner). And don't say Scrappy T :) Yet most agree that Alex was a great horse. This is one example of why I don't buy into the lousy competition vs. Big Brown argument.

RollerDoc 08-06-2008 12:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Dr. Fager just rolled over in his grave

It sounds like a clever retort. Jokes on me because I don't know who Dr. Fager is. Will you complete the joke for my purpose?

hockey2315 08-06-2008 12:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
And what you say seems to be the sentiment of many. Would you be willing to say that on any given race, anything is possible (by any horse)?

I just think all of Big Brown's wins were impressive. I wish we really knew what happened at The Belmont? The Haskell was a comeback race for Big Brown and an impressive final furlong. He showed something he never had to before.

Alfleet Alex is my favorite horse of all time. But who did he really beat in the Preakness and Belmont other than Giacomo (a 50-1 KD winner). And don't say Scrappy T :) Yet most agree that Alex was a great horse. This is one example of why I don't buy into the lousy competition vs. Big Brown argument.

Really?

Cannon Shell 08-06-2008 12:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
Really?

See the post above yours...

Cannon Shell 08-06-2008 12:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
It sounds like a clever retort. Jokes on me because I don't know who Dr. Fager is. Will you complete the joke for my purpose?

Do you follow any sports or movies?

RollerDoc 08-06-2008 12:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
Really?

Afleet Alex doesn't leave a leagcy as a great horse? When did this happen?

RollerDoc 08-06-2008 12:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Do you follow any sports or movies?

I guess not close enough to catch this hidden gem. C'mon who is he?

ateamstupid 08-06-2008 12:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
It sounds like a clever retort. Jokes on me because I don't know who Dr. Fager is. Will you complete the joke for my purpose?

http://www.pedigreequery.com/dr+fager

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
Alfleet Alex is my favorite horse of all time. But who did he really beat in the Preakness and Belmont other than Giacomo (a 50-1 KD winner). And don't say Scrappy T Yet most agree that Alex was a great horse.

I don't think Afleet Alex was anywhere close to great, though the comparison with Big Brown is a good one.

Cannon Shell 08-06-2008 12:25 PM

You dont know who Dr Fager is but you can determine the greatness of a horse? Who did you measure him against? Cat Thief?

SniperSB23 08-06-2008 12:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
Afleet Alex doesn't leave a leagcy as a great horse? When did this happen?

Please tell me you're kidding.

Cannon Shell 08-06-2008 12:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
I guess not close enough to catch this hidden gem. C'mon who is he?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dr._Fager

Not knowing who Dr Fager is is like being a baseball fan who never heard of Willie mays

ateamstupid 08-06-2008 12:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
Afleet Alex doesn't leave a leagcy as a great horse? When did this happen?

LOL.

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
I guess not close enough to catch this hidden gem. C'mon who is he?

LOL again.

SniperSB23 08-06-2008 12:29 PM

Next we'll hear how Big Brown's Derby was a tougher field than the 67 Woodward cause he's never heard of any of the horses that ran in it.

RollerDoc 08-06-2008 12:29 PM

I don't think Afleet Alex was anywhere close to great, though the comparison with Big Brown is a good one.[/quote]

Afleet Alex (1 1/2 lengths from winning Triple Crown) + amazing recovery at Preakness + Top 3 yr old 2005 = Great Horse IMHO

ateamstupid 08-06-2008 12:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
Afleet Alex (1 1/2 lengths from winning Triple Crown) + amazing recovery at Preakness + Top 3 yr old 2005 = Great Horse IMHO

So again, you don't take level of competition into consideration. I can see we're making progress.


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