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-   -   2/2 (GP): Gr. I Donn; Gr. II Swale (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=19806)

Indian Charlie 02-02-2008 05:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Spring At Last - AP Arrow - Kiss the Kid - Brass Hat.

wow, thanks

what happened to the big fave, daaher?

KirisClown 02-02-2008 05:25 PM

Turned out to be one of the best Donns ever...

fpsoxfan 02-02-2008 05:25 PM

Kiss the Kid ran a very good race to finish 3rd. Dahaar just didn't have it today. Didn't look as though the jockey could really relax him.

Coach Pants 02-02-2008 05:27 PM

Wrong on Fairbanks. Thanks CDI for twinspires being down.

Daaher is a good miler.

ArlJim78 02-02-2008 05:33 PM

there have been 15 9F races at Gulfstream this year.
11 have been won by the 1 or 2 horse.
all other post positions have only 4 wins.

both races today were won by the 2.

fpsoxfan 02-02-2008 05:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
WELL BIG GUY WHAT DID BRASS HAT PAY?...


I had a feeling this post was coming. LOL

ateamstupid 02-02-2008 05:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan
Kiss the Kid ran a very good race to finish 3rd. Dahaar just didn't have it today. Didn't look as though the jockey could really relax him.

Agreed re: Kiss the Kid. Huge race. It looked to me like Daaher had to have gotten hurt. Just speculation, but dude was going backwards in the stretch.

Coach Pants 02-02-2008 05:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Agreed re: Kiss the Kid. Huge race. It looked to me like Daaher had to have gotten hurt. Just speculation, but dude was going backwards in the stretch.

His pride maybe.

hoovesupsideyourhead 02-02-2008 05:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pillow Pants
His pride maybe.

i give km a bit of blame ..luzzi hasent rode one race at gs till this one..weather the horse was short or not..and i know its his mount out of loyalty..but still......

blackthroatedwind 02-02-2008 05:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
i give km a bit of blame ..luzzi hasent rode one race at gs till this one..weather the horse was short or not..and i know its his mount out of loyalty..but still......


Luzzi rode him 100% perfectly. How can you even suggest that the rider had anything to do with it? The horse abdicated going into the turn.

Enough with the jockeys.

The Indomitable DrugS 02-02-2008 05:43 PM

Daheer was obviously very overrated off of his Cigar Mile win - where on a clear lead he set identical fractions to a wire-to-wire 8/1 shot 2yo Lukas maiden (Legacy Thief) ... however, hard to believe he was going to run that bad.

I think even the last holdouts of the Doug O'Neill stinks with shippers arguement are ready to raise the white flags.

What an awful race.

blackthroatedwind 02-02-2008 05:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Daheer was obviously very overrated off of his Cigar Mile win - where on a clear lead he set identical fractions to a wire-to-wire 8/1 shot 2yo Lukas maiden (Legacy Thief) ... however, hard to believe he was going to run that bad.

I think even the last holdouts of the Doug O'Neill stinks with shippers arguement are ready to raise the white flags.

What an awful race.


Obviously you can't use this race as a true measure of Daaher's ability. Something went wrong.

However, as you said, even right after the race, his Cigar Mile wasn't as good as many thought upon disection. As usual, the truth lies somewhere in the middle. Right now he looks like a horse that needs things to go his way to shine. Maybe he's a slower version of Commentator. I'm sure you will agree that Commentator would have dominated that Cigar Mile if given an identical trip.

justindew 02-02-2008 05:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Obviously you can't use this race as a true measure of Daaher's ability. Something went wrong.

However, as you said, even right after the race, his Cigar Mile wasn't as good as many thought upon disection. As usual, the truth lies somewhere in the middle. Right now he looks like a horse that needs things to go his way to shine. Maybe he's a slower version of Commentator. I'm sure you will agree that Commentator would have dominated that Cigar Mile if given an identical trip.

Dominated?

blackthroatedwind 02-02-2008 05:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by justindew
Dominated?


What was the confusing part for you? Was it the number of syllables?

pgardn 02-02-2008 05:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SentToStud
Daaher can obviously win and if you like him, he'll probably be a worthwhile bet simply because Einstein will take far more $$ than he's worth. In fact, Einstein in the Donn alone makes it worth wagering on the race. Daaher looks to me like he'll be within a tick of 7/5.

The horse that could get lost on the board is Spring at LAst. I think he and Daaher and perhaps AP Arrow are the only contenders certain to get the trip they want. I think Spring can rate enough and if he goes off over 4/1, that will be a win play for me. I'll also use him over/under with Daaher and over AP Arrow in the ex.

Thats 14.00

Excellent job.

And the exacta...37.60
Damn.

The Indomitable DrugS 02-02-2008 06:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by justindew
Dominated?

I think he would have won the Cigar for sure.

Amazingly, even with the dream pace/setup he had in the Cigar Mile - Daheer actually ran a few lengths slower than Midnight Lute on the sheet figures...and the sheet figures don't even take pace, trip, and trainer intention into consideration.

The Cigar Mile was flat out CONCEDED to Daheer.

Even if you don't believe - or downgrade stuff like weight and ground loss (like I do) - it was still a race where the winner had every little angle known to man in his corner...while the 2nd place finisher had every little angle known to man against him in that race.

Besides Daheer and Midnight Lute.... there was crap in that field.

Of course Commentator wins the Cigar if allowed the once-in-a-lifetime trip and setup Daheer got.

justindew 02-02-2008 06:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
What was the confusing part for you? Was it the number of syllables?

No, the syllables I can handle. Just not sure I agree that it's a given he would have dominated that race.

The Indomitable DrugS 02-02-2008 06:07 PM

If you subtract Daheer - added Commentator - and assumed Commentator would get the same trip as Dahher (which he has the speed to) - of course he would have won in fashion every bit as similar as Daheer won.

And I say think thinking a little less of Commentator than BTW does.

justindew 02-02-2008 06:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
If you subtract Daheer - added Commentator - and assumed Commentator would get the same trip as Dahher (which he has the speed to) - of course he would have won in fashion every bit as similar as Daheer won.

And I say think thinking a little less of Commentator than BTW does.

I don't disagree that he would have won. It's just difficult for me to visualize Commentator DOMINATING anything these days other than an optional claimer at Gulfstream on a Thursday over a fast surface around one turn after going the opening 1/4 in 23:4 against the likes of Wood Be Willing.

But whatever.

The Indomitable DrugS 02-02-2008 06:22 PM

He would have got the same pace and trip in the Cigar that he did in that optional claimer.

He ran a 119 Beyer in the Opt Claimer.

Please explain to me, how he wouldn't have run just about the same figure with that same trip in the Cigar.

Would the "class" of Midnight Lute ... who would have been well behind him .. somehow slowed Commentator down??

Think this one through.


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