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-   -   Is Haskin joking? (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=21667)

Cannon Shell 04-16-2008 05:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
didn't a wise man say beer was the cause of and solution to all of lifes problems?

oh wait, that was Homer Simpson.

He is wiser than many

hoovesupsideyourhead 04-16-2008 07:05 PM

according to my top secret figs..lol drf z fortune will end up around 12th

pb72vett 04-16-2008 07:31 PM

Steve-Steve/Stich.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by SteveHaskin
I forgot to add Z Fortune as a potential live longshot; just not sure about his pedigree, but his Arkansas Derby reminded me a lot of Grindstone's and Lil E. Tee's. All opinions can, and likely will, change dramatically after I see the horses train and in the flesh. That's where you find most of your Derby winners, not in the past performances.

Peter B.I LIKE what they see and feel there more on the inside then us most, others seem to think best is chalk toplay,20 horses very hard for chalk to take small prices on last year was avery good time this year much has changed ,just as the market, step in STEVE BYKE also is derby in hydif.tv?

Coach Pants 04-16-2008 07:39 PM

What the hell u just say?

hockey2315 04-16-2008 08:24 PM

hahaha

CSC 04-16-2008 09:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Travis Stone
I think this thread further supports the notion this crop is crazy, wide-open and hard to figure.

Z Fortune could be cycling towards a new top. If the Oaklawn figure is a bit high (there was a dicussion about this), then he realistically could be cycling back to a new top.

The problem with these horses is when a horse does put in an good effort, people act as if they are allergic to it, because we have seen so many average races in the big events all spring long.

I absolutely 100% agree with your 1st paragraph, last year we had the benefit of atleast seeing the major contenders run at CD in the BC juvie. Thus we got an idea how horses performed on the surface they were running on. With the advent of poly/cushion/synthetic tracks it just further muddles the derby selection process. If comparing preps was hard enough before.

I don't mean this in a disrespectful way but anybody making a derby prediction this far out without seeing horses work at CD (this will be invaluable resource) is purely guessing if you ask me. If picking the derby winner was hard before, it is close to impossible now. But with workouts it might just give a glimmer of hope.

The horse or horses I decide on will be based on the reports I read from DRF, Bloodhorse..ect..staff, as unscientic as that may sound. I can't think of a better way to attack this derby. I don't trust one prep with the exception of the Arkansas Derby at this stage.

Danzig 04-16-2008 11:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pb72vett
Peter B.I LIKE what they see and feel there more on the inside then us most, others seem to think best is chalk toplay,20 horses very hard for chalk to take small prices on last year was avery good time this year much has changed ,just as the market, step in STEVE BYKE also is derby in hydif.tv?



que?

cowgirlintexas 04-16-2008 11:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pb72vett
Peter B.I LIKE what they see and feel there more on the inside then us most, others seem to think best is chalk toplay,20 horses very hard for chalk to take small prices on last year was avery good time this year much has changed ,just as the market, step in STEVE BYKE also is derby in hydif.tv?

I think I read it tree times trying to figure it out.. Talk about bad english.
Perhaps he's had one too many"nips" before typing that?

herkhorse 04-17-2008 07:04 AM

we need a special thread for drunk3n poosts

Hickory Hill Hoff 04-17-2008 08:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Hey I hate your picks!!!.............what about a beer?

Beer.....!!!!!:eek:


Hickory Hill Hoff 04-17-2008 08:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
He is wiser than many


CSC 04-17-2008 11:04 AM

Doesn't last yrs crop of 3yr olds Curlin, Street Sense and Any Given Saturday tower over the 2008 crop at their same stage of development this yr?

Pedigree Ann 04-17-2008 11:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt
As analyzed earlier, it didn't work 20-some odd years in a row because only 14 juvenile champs actually made the Derby starting gate. It's really tough taking a stand against a horse who isn't even competing in a given race.

And several of those that did run had dreadful form going into the Derby; if graded winnings at 2 didn't count, they wouldn't have made the cut.

Thunder Gulch 04-17-2008 11:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC
Doesn't last yrs crop of 3yr olds Curlin, Street Sense and Any Given Saturday tower over the 2008 crop at their same stage of development this yr?

Absolutely...and the year before that. That's one of the reasons it's hard to make the "Big Brown/ Curlin 3 starts isn't enough" argument. As we know, Curlin turned into a great racehorse, but he still did manage 3rd with a troubled trip behind two that would trounce this field.

CSC 04-17-2008 11:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thunder Gulch
Absolutely...and the year before that. That's one of the reasons it's hard to make the "Big Brown/ Curlin 3 starts isn't enough" argument. As we know, Curlin turned into a great racehorse, but he still did manage 3rd with a troubled trip behind two that would trounce this field.

As I said above I have absolutely no idea who will be the best horse of this crop or on the 1st week of May. This year is an immense puzzle to me. I'm just mystified. The only thing concrete thing I can go on is the report by track staff on the workouts. Since I am relatively a small player I can live with that. But also the best horse does not always win the derby, as we know know Curlin is head and shoulders the best horse of the crop in 2007, Street Sense got the trip and was a CD horse for the course. Since very few have run over the strip at CD and alot of these are coming in off poly/cushion preps. This race for me is not a race I am going to invest alot of money on.

But I agree with you, any of the top 3 of last year probably would crush...I hate that word as it is over dramatic but probably crush the 2008 field.

sumitas 04-17-2008 12:16 PM

the Churchill strip has been much maligned. a dirt horse like High Yield never fired. countless others never did either. 2006 you had Sharp Humor who was in great position around the first turn. then he broke his knee cap - end of career. ya never know on that track but it's the same for all...

slotdirt 04-17-2008 12:32 PM

^^^^ I think I need another Wilbury for interpreting purposes.

CSC 04-17-2008 12:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sumitas
the Churchill strip has been much maligned. a dirt horse like High Yield never fired. countless others never did either. 2006 you had Sharp Humor who was in great position around the first turn. then he broke his knee cap - end of career. ya never know on that track but it's the same for all...

Eddie D said Hollywood Wildcat didn't handle it in the BC Distaff when she returned as defending champion. Reportedly it is an oval that not all horses can handle.

slotdirt 04-17-2008 01:49 PM

The funny part is someone just corrected him - yesterday, I think - on how Sharp Humor actually raced after the Derby, thus not ending his career.


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