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-   -   Handicapping 101 (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=20169)

Mortimer 02-16-2008 09:59 AM

Now here's a youngster who knows championship handicapping when he sees it.






Good.







Now then------rule one said to never handicap speed.


Do you understand this? What is your prime factor in handicapping ( I guarantee you it's wrong.)

Mortimer 02-16-2008 10:06 AM

You know ---this is a very common mistake made by junior handicappers.




Now why is this ?



I'm going to tell you.









It's because too many public handicappers spew out this method. Oh they cloak it in the jargon,but 90% of them are doing the very same thing. It's the black and white of it.




Get that method out of your mind right now.




And DO NOT handicap speed because ,as you know, speed will kill you.



Look at DialDirt.








You are not looking for the fastest horse. You ar looking for the one who will finish first.





Let me say that again.







You are not looking for the fastest horse. You ar looking for the one who will finish first.







Think the tortise and the hare ....here.











Sinking in?

Mortimer 02-16-2008 10:15 AM

Good. I'll come back later and review rule 2.



You're doing well.























Dullest Dust:


Consider playing football along the East Coast today.

2Hot4TV 02-16-2008 10:39 AM

A Morty Clone or a Flea?

Mortimer 02-16-2008 01:36 PM

Some day you will learn how foolish it is to type away without using ThoughtCheck.





Until then--- better renew that Mike Warren subscription.

my miss storm cat 02-16-2008 01:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MISTERGEE
ive got the melody down storm cat, but the words are mostly expletives

That works.

Are you done yet, or shall we wait for next years birthday? :p

Late Fires 02-16-2008 03:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Meridian_Artisan
Some day you will learn how foolish it is to type away without using ThoughtCheck.





Until then--- better renew that Mike Warren subscription.

M/A,

H/B

Hope your 34th is as wildly successful as your first 33.

L/F

Mortimer 02-16-2008 07:20 PM

Hello L/F;




You know it.


Some things just are.




As a matter of fact----I was just thinking to myself that very thought.

















"You know,Prime Time, you have been an incredible success in life. Amassing wealth ,breaking hearts and kicking serious azz to boot ( More of that patented Dullest humor there). You really have set yourself up for failure over the ensuing years. Your first 34 are almost impossible to top."






My first take on this was------looks like I'm right again.



But if there is one thing a Dullest can do----it's topping ones self.




So as much as I appreciate your wish ,LF--------thanks,but no thanks. Don't need it. It's in the stars for select wonders such as myself.













Hey---hope you got a taste today.



I notice most of the other dart throwers went hungry---but that's just the way it is for the masses.Sometimes I almost feel bad for you little people.









You keep punching.







If only because----you never know.












Hickory Dickory Dock sure never will.













Best regards,

Bill Dullest











( I'm considering throwing out a Prime Time Bone to the dregs here for tomorrow---keep checking back.)

Rileyoriley 02-16-2008 08:46 PM

Mr. Artisan
I have read your handicapping thread. Very informative sir. I now know never to bet the speedy gray horse named Carly especially if the handicappers have picked it and it's trained by a fool. I head to the local OTB well-armed. Bless you.

Mortimer 02-16-2008 09:42 PM

Now there's a girl who knows what's what.

Always a pleasure to help the blind begin to see.










DULLEST NET RESULTS FOR 2-16-08:



$12,365.00



That's a little on the south side for Prime Time-----but no biggie.


I'll take it.





Dullest made up for it with 25 large won in poker this afternoon.












Stay with it O'Riley.


There is hope with the Dull One leading your way .

Mortimer 02-17-2008 10:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Prime Time,

first and foremost congrats on the scores yesterday. I was wondering if you had any advice on poker? Mom's going away for a week and I plan on leaving the basement and having a poker party and I really want to cheat, errr I mean beat my friends at the game. Any tips you can share?

Thanks in advance


Hello Ha Doss;




Thank you---the ability to recognize excellence in handicapping is rare.




I admire your deceptive nature and would be happy to give you some poker basics.







Now here's one that has always worked well for me. If no one calls it----well then when you deal play low hole.Now Dullest doesn't feed cards to himself nor anyone else nor does he come armed with "spare" cards.What he will do is manipulate his own hand.


Let's say you have just dealt yourself the third and last down card with the 4 up cards.---and that you have 2 3's and 2 10's up ----- and not much else down with a duece as your low hole. There are 3 others still in the hand who are not afraid of what has to be at least a full boat.

So what you do first is create a"distraction".Hopefully a woman is still playing because they make excellent marks. Point at her quickly and shreik----"HEY!! Did you just switch an up card and a down card!!!?"



While everyone looks at her......you switch your down duece for an up 3.


Now you have 4 tens.



And you have the mark in tears sobbing in denial to the point she drops out....and probably with the winning hand,too.

So now you only have two players left and your hand strength just went up.



















I love poker.




Best regards,

Wild Bill Dullest

Mortimer 02-17-2008 12:12 PM

Happy to oblige.







!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!





























A PRIME TIME BONE WILL NOW APPEAR

































Looks like your lucky day,my friend.










Rises The Phoenix in the Big A's 5th today.

CapperZeke 02-18-2008 11:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Meridian_Artisan
Happy to oblige.







!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!





























A PRIME TIME BONE WILL NOW APPEAR

































Looks like your lucky day,my friend.










Rises The Phoenix in the Big A's 5th today.



Dear Mr. Dull,


I owe you big time. I put $589 to win On Rises The Phoenix.


Your amazing.



CZ

Mortimer 02-18-2008 12:15 PM

Always happy to be of monumental help to the handicapped----I mean handicapper,Zeke.

Perhaps Bill can toss out another.


Stand by.

Mortimer 02-18-2008 12:18 PM

Let's sprinkle some Dullest Dust on Gulfstreams 5th today,Zeke.




HOLY LAND.


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