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eurobounce 10-05-2006 01:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
You are reading me a chart call. You are't telling me what you saw. Which I take to mean that you can't. You haven't given me any specifics about her trip or things like who she chased and when she was put in a drive.

Well that is what I saw. She chased everyone as she broke last. She had a nice trip around the outside. The first horse she chased was Cappozenne and then Sabatinni. But a horse who breaks 9th and ends of being 3rd losing by 1 length tells me she didnt spin her wheels. Now, again----how can a horse who spins her wheels finish 3rd when breaking last?

SniperSB23 10-05-2006 01:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
With A City's form on dirt was absolutely dreadful, and I mean woeful. It wasn't like he had ever been even remotely competitive in anything. He failed in claimers.
Seaside Retreat was just about as bad. When they ran 1-2 I said ok, thats it.
You devils advocate guys are piss poor. You can make that argument in hindsight with any horse.
So how much did you guys have on him? You musta made one hell of a killing because if you can justify him winning that race(of course now its in hindsight, as usual) then you should have had a bundle on him at those odds.
WHo exactly is bull****ting who here?
You guys wanna get on me because I think an impossible horse won and admit it. Then you guys wanna tell me how he figured. Gee, how much did you guys have on him then? If you didn't bet him then its pretty obvious who the bull****ters are.

I liked Silent Times so I didn't do too well in that race.

With a City actually broke his maiden on dirt and then ran 3rd and 4th in two stakes races before falling to the claiming ranks. He then won two in a row on the turf before flopping on the polytrack first race back off the layoff. I've said twice now that I think turf horses do well on polytrack and that is the only big difference in the surface. I'm yet to see an established dirt horse go to polytrack and not take to it. Lawyer Ron was not established when he ran on the poly and Lemons Forever has a first and a third in two starts on poly and they are running her in a G1 against older mares on it this weekend so her connections certainly don't think she has a problem with it.

oracle80 10-05-2006 01:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by eurobounce
Well that is what I saw. She chased everyone as she broke last. She had a nice trip around the outside. The first horse she chased was Cappozenne and then Sabatinni. But a horse who breaks 9th and ends of being 3rd losing by 1 length tells me she didnt spin her wheels. Now, again----how can a horse who spins her wheels finish 3rd when breaking last?

When the race is VERY slow, and the horse though breaking last is given a good pace to close on because horses hook up on the front end, and in addition gets a clean trip with no steadying or blocking the whole way adn is put into a HARD drive being asked for everything she has on the turn and is beaten by horses who PASS HER FROM BEHIND. You grasp this?
You are fraudulently trying to represent this is a situation where she was closing on horses she couldnt quite get to, rather than she was behind a duel and got a great trip and got swallowed up by horses who passed her from behind.
The race got an awful fig too.
Other than that it was a "stellar performance".

oracle80 10-05-2006 01:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
I liked Silent Times so I didn't do too well in that race.

With a City actually broke his maiden on dirt and then ran 3rd and 4th in two stakes races before falling to the claiming ranks. He then won two in a row on the turf before flopping on the polytrack first race back off the layoff. I've said twice now that I think turf horses do well on polytrack and that is the only big difference in the surface. I'm yet to see an established dirt horse go to polytrack and not take to it. Lawyer Ron was not established when he ran on the poly and Lemons Forever has a first and a third in two starts on poly and they are running her in a G1 against older mares on it this weekend so her connections certainly don't think she has a problem with it.

Ok so basically you chastised me for saying I thought he was impossible and didn't bet him, and you made a case on how he could havebeen played, yet didn't bet a nickel on him at a zillion to one.
I understand.

Coach Pants 10-05-2006 01:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
When the race is VERY slow, and the horse though breaking last is given a good pace to close on because horses hook up on the front end, and in addition gets a clean trip with no steadying or blocking the whole way adn is put into a HARD drive being asked for everything she has on the turn and is beaten by horses who PASS HER FROM BEHIND. You grasp this?
You are fraudulently trying to represent this is a situation where she was closing on horses she couldnt quite get to, rather than she was behind a duel and got a great trip and got swallowed up by horses who passed her from behind.
The race got an awful fig too.
Other than that it was a "stellar performance".

Heaven forbid he read a chart call but it's ok for you to speak of the fig? Unbelievable.

eurobounce 10-05-2006 01:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
When the race is VERY slow, and the horse though breaking last is given a good pace to close on because horses hook up on the front end, and in addition gets a clean trip with no steadying or blocking the whole way adn is put into a HARD drive being asked for everything she has on the turn and is beaten by horses who PASS HER FROM BEHIND. You grasp this?
You are fraudulently trying to represent this is a situation where she was closing on horses she couldnt quite get to, rather than she was behind a duel and got a great trip and got swallowed up by horses who passed her from behind.
The race got an awful fig too.
Other than that it was a "stellar performance".

She actually bumped Sabatini so she didnt get a clean trip. And I dont consider the horses hooking up front playing into the equation. Point is, she closed nicely to get 3rd beaten by 1 length. That was a very nice performance.

SniperSB23 10-05-2006 01:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
Ok so basically you chastised me for saying I thought he was impossible and didn't bet him, and you made a case on how he could havebeen played, yet didn't bet a nickel on him at a zillion to one.
I understand.

You just said that you completely gave up on handicapping polytrack because of With a City winning the Lane's End. I didn't bet him but can see how someone could have and considering the other horses in the field I don't think it was that unusual of an outcome. If I swore off betting every track where a field of mediocre 2yos or 3yos met in a stakes race and a longshot won I'd be out of tracks to play by now.

oracle80 10-05-2006 01:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
You just said that you completely gave up on handicapping polytrack because of With a City winning the Lane's End. I didn't bet him but can see how someone could have and considering the other horses in the field I don't think it was that unusual of an outcome. If I swore off betting every track where a field of mediocre 2yos or 3yos met in a stakes race and a longshot won I'd be out of tracks to play by now.

I never said I " gave up" betting polytrack and you guys spend a lotta time trying to lie about what I said.
I said it was my first and last time betting it.
I still try and handicap it, doesn't everyone? I still watch the races run there and still try and make sense of them.
I had the same view on Polytrack this past March when they ran those races as I did when it opened last fall and ran this past winter.
That was the only day I gave playing it a shot, mostly because of the big fields and stakes races that were being run.
I took a swing that day, didn't like what I saw, and after the With A City race, decided that I had the right idea in the first place.
You may have noted I said I also had been watching Poly in Woodbine(on tv). I still handicap the races and try to make sense of it, its just that up to this point they don't make sense.
You can handicap and follow something without BETTING on it. Its prudent to still pay attention to races being run there. But it won't get my gambling dollar.

oracle80 10-05-2006 01:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pillow Pants
Heaven forbid he read a chart call but it's ok for you to speak of the fig? Unbelievable.

Is that what you are reduced to? I didn't quote the fig, I don't recall it exactly, but I recall it being slow. And I didn't have to "look it up".

eurobounce 10-05-2006 02:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
I never said I " gave up" betting polytrack and you guys spend a lotta time trying to lie about what I said.
I said it was my first and last time betting it.
I still try and handicap it, doesn't everyone? I still watch the races run there and still try and make sense of them.
I had the same view on Polytrack this past March when they ran those races as I did when it opened last fall and ran this past winter.
That was the only day I gave playing it a shot, mostly because of the big fields and stakes races that were being run.
I took a swing that day, didn't like what I saw, and after the With A City race, decided that I had the right idea in the first place.
You may have noted I said I also had been watching Poly in Woodbine(on tv). I still handicap the races and try to make sense of it, its just that up to this point they don't make sense.
You can handicap and follow something without BETTING on it. Its prudent to still pay attention to races being run there. But it won't get my gambling dollar.

I agree with this 100%. I do the same thing with PolyTrack. I watch and watch and watch and handicap but dont bet. I only placed maybe 4 bets all meet at Turfway. Of course, I did tell you guys about Sunday Blessing $13.60. But I didnt share anything else because I wasnt even 50% confident. But I do the same as Oracle.

Cajungator26 10-05-2006 02:01 PM

It'd be nice if you all could BE NICE! ;)

SniperSB23 10-05-2006 02:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
Then WIth A City won, and that was enough polytrack for me thanks!!!

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
I never said I " gave up" betting polytrack and you guys spend a lotta time trying to lie about what I said.

Sure sounds like you said you gave up betting polytrack to me.

Coach Pants 10-05-2006 02:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
Is that what you are reduced to? I didn't quote the fig, I don't recall it exactly, but I recall it being slow. And I didn't have to "look it up".

So you accuse euro of not watching the race and give him crap for using a chart yet it's ok for you to recall the fig was slow? Don't you see the hypocrisy? You demand all of this evidence from everyone yet you're the naysayer and it's your duty to prove the surface is unbettable. You haven't. Get over it. You can't always be right. Don't be so condescending and elitist about the subject. You come off as a petty bastard.

Cajungator26 10-05-2006 02:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pillow Pants
So you accuse euro of not watching the race and give him crap for using a chart yet it's ok for you to recall the fig was slow? Don't you see the hypocrisy? You demand all of this evidence from everyone yet you're the naysayer and it's your duty to prove the surface is unbettable. You haven't. Get over it. You can't always be right. Don't be so condescending and elitist about the subject. You come off as a petty bastard.

Maybe I need to repeat my post, Listerfiend. LMFAO! :D

BE NICE! :p

oracle80 10-05-2006 02:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Sure sounds like you said you gave up betting polytrack to me.

Thats like saying a guy who smoked one cigarette "gave up smoking" when he didn't smoke again after that!! LOL!!!!!

oracle80 10-05-2006 02:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pillow Pants
So you accuse euro of not watching the race and give him crap for using a chart yet it's ok for you to recall the fig was slow? Don't you see the hypocrisy? You demand all of this evidence from everyone yet you're the naysayer and it's your duty to prove the surface is unbettable. You haven't. Get over it. You can't always be right. Don't be so condescending and elitist about the subject. You come off as a petty bastard.

Talk about the pot calling the kettle black.
I said its unbettable for ME!!!! I also said that Joel's theory of taking 5-1 or better on this surface might be great idea and proposed taking 10-1.
You'll never beat me on any horse knowledge in any area, never, ever.
But you are a funny guy. Don't take it personally.

Coach Pants 10-05-2006 02:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cajungator26
Maybe I need to repeat my post, Listerfiend. LMFAO! :D

BE NICE! :p

Listerfiend hasn't been doing his job. The river will run red with blood if he continues to slack on the job.
:D

Coach Pants 10-05-2006 02:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
Talk about the pot calling the kettle black.
I said its unbettable for ME!!!! I also said that Joel's theory of taking 5-1 or better on this surface might be great idea and proposed taking 10-1.
You'll never beat me on any horse knowledge in any area, never, ever.
But you are a funny guy. Don't take it personally.

With the full fields of course you should look for value. I thought that was common knowledge? I don't know what I would do without the brilliant advice you two give. It's great that we've got so many professional horsemen such as yourself to let us little people know where we stand.

And they wonder why the sport is dying.

oracle80 10-05-2006 02:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pillow Pants
With the full fields of course you should look for value. I thought that was common knowledge? I don't know what I would do without the brilliant advice you two give. It's great that we've got so many professional horsemen such as yourself to let us little people know where we stand.

And they wonder why the sport is dying.

Are you really a little person like the chick Shatner's gonna bang on Boston legal? That kinda little?

Coach Pants 10-05-2006 02:22 PM

Oh yeah here's some advice. Bet trainers who have experience training and running horses on polytrack.

You can thank me later for my brilliance.

Sincerely,

Captain Obvious

P.S. Bernardini is a great horse

Coach Pants 10-05-2006 02:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
Are you really a little person like the chick Shatner's gonna bang on Boston legal? That kinda little?

Are you fat from the meds or the food? Or is that pic of you old and you've gone on the Slimfast diet?

TitanSooner 10-05-2006 02:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
You just said that you completely gave up on handicapping polytrack because of With a City winning the Lane's End. I didn't bet him but can see how someone could have and considering the other horses in the field I don't think it was that unusual of an outcome. If I swore off betting every track where a field of mediocre 2yos or 3yos met in a stakes race and a longshot won I'd be out of tracks to play by now.

agreed.


My rule of thumb for betting Keeneland.. bet whoever you want, it's your money!!! I'm no better handicappar than anyone else here, but I actually am looking forward to Hollywood Park for the first time, I am always sad when SA ends.

Geez.. get over it. Whining isn't going to keep these tracks from doing what is economical and good for the horses.

pba1817 10-05-2006 02:26 PM

People, I am posting this again because I posted it on the second page of this thread and it seems that everyone is missing the real point of Polytrack, at least the reasons for it in California.


http://www.chrb.ca.gov/

Read the sections, Administration Hearings and Complaints/Accusations.

IMO, this is the real reason the people in control are leaning to Polytrack, and thats to hopefully reduce/eliminate the necessity for trainers to cheat just to get their horses healthy enough to be competitive. Yes there is the fact that the people who manufacture and produce the Polytrack are going to profit as well, but I do not think the conspiracy runs that deep.

Do you all remember when Jeff Mullins said anyone who bets on horses is a moron or stupid???? Well he knows exactly what is going on out there on the backside at racetracks and he was simply trying to be honest and do people a favor... The game in its current form its not on the up and up, maybe it never has been, but right now the cheating is out of control.

oracle80 10-05-2006 02:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pillow Pants
Are you fat from the meds or the food? Or is that pic of you old and you've gone on the Slimfast diet?

Your mom likes her lovers on the heavy side.

Cunningham Racing 10-05-2006 02:27 PM

For example, here's what I'd do in the Alcibaides ---

Bet $2 (or whatever units your comfortable with in your wagering system) to WIN on the following horses and sit back and watch:

-X Star (10-1 ML)
-Bel Air Beauty (30-1 ML)
-Pro Pink (30-1 ML)
-Get Ready Bertie (20-1 ML)
-Gatorize (12-1 ML)
-Her Majesty (12-1 ML)


......it'll cost $12 (or whatever your units are) and you'll at least get even money and likely better if any of these fillies wins...

Good luck!

oracle80 10-05-2006 02:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pba1817
People, I am posting this again because I posted it on the second page of this thread and it seems that everyone is missing the real point of Polytrack, at least the reasons for it in California.


http://www.chrb.ca.gov/

Read the sections, Administration Hearings and Complaints/Accusations.

IMO, this is the real reason the people in control are leaning to Polytrack, and thats to hopefully reduce/eliminate the necessity for trainers to cheat just to get their horses healthy enough to be competitive. Yes there is the fact that the people who manufacture and produce the Polytrack are going to profit as well, but I do not think the conspiracy runs that deep.

Do you all remember when Jeff Mullins said anyone who bets on horses is a moron or stupid???? Well he knows exactly what is going on on the backside at racetracks and he was simply trying to be honest and do people a favor... The game in its current form its not on the up and up, maybe it never has been, but right now the cheating is out of control.

Thats nice to believe but don't you think its because of the supposed savings on track maintenance moreso than anything else?

SniperSB23 10-05-2006 02:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cunningham Racing
For example, here's what I'd do in the Alcibaides ---

Bet $2 (or whatever units your comfortable with in your wagering system) to WIN on the following horses and sit back and watch:

-X Star (10-1 ML)
-Bel Air Beauty (30-1 ML)
-Pro Pink (30-1 ML)
-Get Ready Bertie (20-1 ML)
-Gatorize (12-1 ML)
-Her Majesty (12-1 ML)


......it'll cost $12 (or whatever your units are) and you'll at least get even money and likely better if any of these fillies wins...

Good luck!

I'm probably betting Pro Pink, Her Majesty, and X Star so that pretty much guarantees that one of the other three you mentioned winds up winning.

pba1817 10-05-2006 02:29 PM

Oracle-

Economics are a part of it too. California racing is in poor shape.

Coach Pants 10-05-2006 02:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
Your mom likes her lovers on the heavy side.

She did. Unfortunately she's dead, just like your comeback skills.

oracle80 10-05-2006 02:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pba1817
Oracle-

Economics are a part of it too. California racing is in poor shape.

I find it hard to believe that economics arent ALL OF IT!!
If they cared so much about hosrse health, why didnt they give us a deeper surface years ago? Just deeper dirt.

oracle80 10-05-2006 02:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pillow Pants
She did. Unfortunately she's dead, just like your comeback skills.

Sorry man, for real.

Coach Pants 10-05-2006 02:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
Sorry man, for real.

Oh it's ok. Teachers have it rough. She'll come alive next week for fall break.

Haha sucker. :D

pba1817 10-05-2006 02:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
I find it hard to believe that economics arent ALL OF IT!!
If they cared so much about hosrse health, why didnt they give us a deeper surface years ago? Just deeper dirt.


I think that might just be a case of trying to put the cat back into the bag....

The TOC(Thoroughbred Owners of California) obviously cares about horse health, they own the dang horses, the TOC is a large part of the CHRB(California Horse Racing Board) with TOC members holding positions on the CHRB board of directors. So no, I do not believe that this is all about economics.

oracle80 10-05-2006 02:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pillow Pants
Oh it's ok. Teachers have it rough. She'll come alive next week for fall break.

Haha sucker. :D

You bastard, ok you got me good on that one. Here I was feeling awful and hoping it wasn't just a recent thing. *******.

Cajungator26 10-05-2006 02:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cunningham Racing
For example, here's what I'd do in the Alcibaides ---

Bet $2 (or whatever units your comfortable with in your wagering system) to WIN on the following horses and sit back and watch:

-X Star (10-1 ML)
-Bel Air Beauty (30-1 ML)
-Pro Pink (30-1 ML)
-Get Ready Bertie (20-1 ML)
-Gatorize (12-1 ML)
-Her Majesty (12-1 ML)


......it'll cost $12 (or whatever your units are) and you'll at least get even money and likely better if any of these fillies wins...

Good luck!

Gotta love the filly named "Gatorize." Isn't that what's going to happen this weekend in Gainesville? LOL!!! :D

Coach Pants 10-05-2006 02:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
You bastard, ok you got me good on that one. Here I was feeling awful and hoping it wasn't just a recent thing. *******.

Hehe. All gloves are off on yo momma jokes. :D


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