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-   -   Privman: Let the Horse of the Year Debate Begin (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=39383)

Scav 11-09-2010 10:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 721391)
I'm done for a while. Honestly.

Right when CBB starts, COME ON!

RockHardTen1985 11-09-2010 10:07 PM

Don't tiff...

RockHardTen1985 11-09-2010 10:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav (Post 721393)
Right when CBB starts, COME ON!

I'm done with bball. If I make a move w/ football I'll be back in Jan. Plus I made that future NBA bet.

Scav 11-09-2010 10:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 721396)
I'm done with bball. If I make a move w/ football I'll be back in Jan. Plus I made that future NBA bet.

What NBA future bet?

RockHardTen1985 11-09-2010 10:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav (Post 721399)
What NBA future bet?


$500 on the celtics at sportsinteraction.com got them at an insane overlay. I got 7-1 at the time I made the bet, they were 4-1 on sportsbook.com.

The Indomitable DrugS 11-09-2010 10:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 721305)
As we have seen in recent years, I don't think the gap is big at all, if it even exists between some of the better males and females in this country.

Historically speaking - it's pretty damn wide. I will agree though - the last four years or so have featured some awfully weak crops of 3yo males and older males.


Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 721305)
My understanding of HOY is horse that had the best year. I factor in what races they won, who they beat and how that compared to other horses. Had Zenyatta run in one other race against males this year, I think she would be a pretty solid favorite for HOY, even with the narrow defeat in the BC. But, her connections rolled the dice and she didn't win the race. She ran really well, but just fell short. That compared with the fact Blame beat her and had a pretty decent (by todays standards) year of his own means IMO he should win and win convincingly.

I hear you.

There have been a lot of times when the best 2-year-old in the country wouldn't be good enough to defeat anyone of several hundred horses aged 3 and up.

There have been times when the best 3-year-old filly wasn't among the 60 or maybe even 100 best horses in the entire country age 3 and up.

There have been times when the best mare isn't among the 25 or 30 best horses in the country.

It's mind-boggling how bad the 3yo male and older male division is in relation to the leaders in the other divisions.

tector 11-10-2010 12:01 AM


Scav 11-10-2010 12:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tector (Post 721410)


Wow! :) LOL

Merlinsky 11-10-2010 01:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav (Post 721312)
I can't remember but did Azeri clearly have the best year when she won HOY? Wasn't there someone else that was pretty good that year and people bitched and moan about her winning it. I can't remember if she won it the year she got drilled in the Classic or not.

No, she got it in 2002. 2004 was year o' the Ghostzapper. Here's her 2002 Distaff: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KxD_V...eature=related She was an impressive gal, and I wish we hadn't lost her to Japan. The horses in the Distaff that year included Farda Amiga, Imperial Gesture, Take Charge Lady, Starrer, Summer Colony,  Mandy's Gold, and Two Item Limit. She got (not drilled but a rather respectable) fifth in the Classic in 2004. Beyer was totally dogging on her and I think said something about how she wouldn't finish in the top half of the field, but she did. The fact that her races were on dirt I'm sure mattered. If they were on synthetic, maybe less support for HOY.

I don't remember it being terribly controversial that she won over War Emblem or Medaglia D'Oro, but maybe somebody was saying it. I don't think the vote was very tight. People were complaining more about how that the 3yo colt and older male divisions fell apart. Either one could've gotten it, but the only horse that didn't have issues was Azeri. She did manage to travel for the Apple Blossom. If Zenyatta comes along in that year instead, running on dirt, she probably gets it even running in the Distaff.

herkhorse 11-10-2010 06:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 721391)
I'm done for a while. Honestly.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KyK0y02HvVc

Danzig 11-10-2010 06:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Merlinsky (Post 721413)
No, she got it in 2002. 2004 was year o' the Ghostzapper. Here's her 2002 Distaff: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KxD_V...eature=related She was an impressive gal, and I wish we hadn't lost her to Japan. The horses in the Distaff that year included Farda Amiga, Imperial Gesture, Take Charge Lady, Starrer, Summer Colony,  Mandy's Gold, and Two Item Limit. She got (not drilled but a rather respectable) fifth in the Classic in 2004. Beyer was totally dogging on her and I think said something about how she wouldn't finish in the top half of the field, but she did. The fact that her races were on dirt I'm sure mattered. If they were on synthetic, maybe less support for HOY.

I don't remember it being terribly controversial that she won over War Emblem or Medaglia D'Oro, but maybe somebody was saying it. I don't think the vote was very tight. People were complaining more about how that the 3yo colt and older male divisions fell apart. Either one could've gotten it, but the only horse that didn't have issues was Azeri. She did manage to travel for the Apple Blossom. If Zenyatta comes along in that year instead, running on dirt, she probably gets it even running in the Distaff.

i know there was a lot of discussion about it on the message board. tons of folks were unhappy that a horse with zero open races was in the running for hoy. but the group of males that year had spotty records-street cry tailed off after a good spring, left bank made a brief impressive fall run. hers was the only good, year-long campaign.
and i believe ghostzapper won hoy with only four races that year he got the award. some wanted him to get hoy the following year with just a met mile under his belt.

The Indomitable DrugS 11-10-2010 07:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig (Post 721420)
hers was the only good, year-long campaign.

It was a good - long - easy one.

johnny pinwheel 11-10-2010 08:23 AM

As usual the 9 pages of tripe as if there is a debate....i remember reading the same sh^t saying she was not going to run in the classic. (it went on for months!)....lol........this is live theater (kind of like the three stooges or its always sunny in philadelphia)lol. I think people just like bitching and stirring the pot. because this sh^t can't be serious???? can it??? of course Blame is it. the winner gets the spoils. there will be some stupid votes of would of , could of , should of. but voters with integrity will vote for blame or the game is worse off than i think it is. this whole internet thing is viral....stupidity spreads quickly............the other horse ran a hell of a race...in fact the naysayers should shut up because you really look stupid. first you said she would not run, now you are bragging like she humiliated herself. Yeah, zenyatta ran like an untested piece of sh^t, making up 18 and half lengths . are you happy now? ...MORONS. Blame was better though and is the champ....i now live in a world where results and reality no longer count.....God bless us all! PS. please keep betting this way too. its getting cold i need vacation money....lol

slotdirt 11-10-2010 08:56 AM

Why do folks keep talking about this awful trip Zenyatta had? Really, was it that bad?

The Indomitable DrugS 11-10-2010 09:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt (Post 721439)
Why do folks keep talking about this awful trip Zenyatta had? Really, was it that bad?

Her trip was excellent. Every time a deep closer in a collapsing race doesn't get through like Street Sense or Mine That Bird did - people exaggerate the trip.

tector 11-10-2010 09:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt (Post 721439)
Why do folks keep talking about this awful trip Zenyatta had? Really, was it that bad?

She had the typical type of trip deep, deep closers routinely have in fields of any size (something unfamiliar in SoCal). That's it. Her running style is what it is, and you have to take the good and the bad with it. It is far from ideal which is what makes her record--even with the many tin-can races--even that much more remarkable. It is harder to win constantly if you have a one dimensional running style, either deep closer or need-to-lead (the latter is even tougher, I think, because any rabbit can kill you).

Princess Doreen 11-10-2010 09:28 AM

^^^ Good post. :tro:

Indian Charlie 11-10-2010 09:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 721373)
Im not even allowed back to 2 local spots. 1 in Albany that I got hooked up through a poker game, more of poker w/ Madden. Same thing in Ballston Spa, Poker w/ madden. I talk so much **** when Im winning they dont want me back.
I always win, I will play my back up quarterback, I sub him in and take a knee with him. I say, I gotta let these little digital back up's get some burn, they part of the team. Its classic in person, when I actually pause the game and go from Aaron Rodgers to Matt Flynn. Do you know how mad people get when your up 21-3, your defense is amazing... The entire game they are hearing NON STOP **** TALKING, IM THIS GOOD I CAN ONLY BEAT MYSELF.... There $100 or $200 is up in front of the flat screen, and Im pausing the game, delaying the inevitable to put my back up's in. What a feeling...

That's it. I'm no longer calling you Rock Hard Ten. Your new name is Rock Tard Hen.

Antitrust32 11-10-2010 10:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 721371)
Rock of Gibralter got something like 7 votes for Horse of the Year that year - and he didn't even win the BC Mile in his only lone North American start.

that was a heck of a 2nd place performance though!

CSC 11-10-2010 10:14 AM

If a precedent was going to be set for 1 BC race winning HOY it would have been Arazi and probably the best juvenile performance I can remember, Black Tie Affair won it that year on the strength of his Islin, Foster and Classic wins, but he certainly will not be rememered as one of the greats, his soft wire wire win in the classic over Twilight Agenda was mediocre. Goldikova simply doesn't deserve it off a single performance in the mile.

Antitrust32 11-10-2010 12:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC (Post 721466)
If a precedent was going to be set for 1 BC race winning HOY it would have been Arazi and probably the best juvenile performance I can remember, Black Tie Affair won it that year on the strength of his Islin, Foster and Classic wins, but he certainly will not be rememered as one of the greats, his soft wire wire win in the classic over Twilight Agenda was mediocre. Goldikova simply doesn't deserve it off a single performance in the mile.

She deserves Horse of the World... but not Horse of America's year..

slotdirt 11-10-2010 12:59 PM

Never say an unkind word about Black Tie Affair. He was a beast.

Merlinsky 11-11-2010 12:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig (Post 721420)
i know there was a lot of discussion about it on the message board. tons of folks were unhappy that a horse with zero open races was in the running for hoy. but the group of males that year had spotty records-street cry tailed off after a good spring, left bank made a brief impressive fall run. hers was the only good, year-long campaign.
and i believe ghostzapper won hoy with only four races that year he got the award. some wanted him to get hoy the following year with just a met mile under his belt.

Yeah I had a rant about the 4 race thing for Ghostzapper, but I deleted it because it was going on too long, and I was trying to write about Azeri. Running in so few races leading to HOY requires an insane amount of dominance, and even then it's still unsatisfying. I know folks love Uncle Mo, for example, and I really enjoyed what he did as a 2yo, but when I hear HOY speculation for him it just seems bizarre. Favorite Trick got it undefeated as a 2yo over Skip Away, but he ran 8 times to earn it. I don't care if Uncle Mo is the second coming of Seattle Slew--he's run 3 times. You can be a 2yo baby to justify that number of starts, and it'll get you 2yo champ, but Horses of the Year shouldn't win like that. I'd say he needs another G1, maybe a couple more starts, and all the BCC favorites off the board. They bend over backwards wanting an older male dirt router for the HOY. If they hadn't had one, they'd go with Zenyatta over Uncle Mo.

One thing about GZ, he did win from 7 to 10 furlongs in 2004 so I want to give him credit for that range. Also, he seemed so fast that he might honestly have hurt himself if he ran every 3-4 weeks. In a way he did after his Met Mile. Those bones can only stand up to so much, and he had pretty crazy Beyers, e.g a 128 in the Iselin. Letting him do what he wanted to do and letting him do it too often might've caused something catastrophic. I think they were protecting him from himself.

Arletta 11-11-2010 07:01 AM

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