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-   -   Rachel Alexandra to Woodward (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=31361)

SniperSB23 08-25-2009 11:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC
Are you kidding me, MTB? The Travers is no where close to being as interesting without RA in it!

Dude, look at the fields the past couple years. This one blows them away.

The Indomitable DrugS 08-25-2009 11:33 AM

At least they didn't run into Careless Jewel on short rest.

SniperSB23 08-25-2009 11:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
At least they didn't run into Careless Jewel on short rest.

Why, cause then no one would have noticed how far back it was from Careless Jewel to third place?

Cannon Shell 08-25-2009 11:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32
If he wanted an easy spot he'd run in the Personal Ensign. In my opinion he's looking for the biggest challenge and what would do the most for his horses' legacy. As fans, we are lucky that she is owned by someone with enough guts to throw his young filly in a race against anyone. I doubt there would be many owners out there willing to run her in the Woodward. This may be once and a lifetime stuff for us (well people my age who werent around for Ruffian/Go For Wand, etc). Owners duck competition these days, she runs in the top races in open competition where anyone could show up to face her.

I liked racing better when owners owned, trainers trained and horses ran. There wasnt talk of legacy or sportingness, just racing. When a guy would say here is where we are going to run, I dare you to beat me. Instead every little thing is micromanaged and we are supposed to bow down when a billionaire runs a horse he paid 8 million dollars for in a race where she will be a big favorite. As the Haskell was, this race makes sense for the filly based upon the schedule. And extra week after a huge run, a distance he knows she can handle and a weak field. What exactly is the stretch here?

Cannon Shell 08-25-2009 11:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by boswd
I don't agree with you on the reasoning why she is racing in the Woodward but I do agree with you on her winning the Traver's against this field is more impressive then winning against the field that is being assembled in the Woodward.

I think the whole The Traver's would have a Triple Crown like atomosphere, more so than usual, especially with a national TV coverage. having all three triple crown winner's, Florida Derby Winner and former KY Derby pre race favorite all entering the starting gate.

It would have been a major Spectacle.


Traver's is still going to be a fantastic race but if RA was there, with this deep field it would have Ky Derby feel to it.

Agree

The Indomitable DrugS 08-25-2009 11:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Why, cause then no one would have noticed how far back it was from Careless Jewel to third place?

They have similar styles and she would not have won that race without a fight.

You look far better beating up on older males than winning a stretch battle with a 3yo filly who doesn't bring in a fancy resume.

Cannon Shell 08-25-2009 11:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
I think the head to head win over both Quality Road and Mine that Bird is far more important than which race he wins.

Head to head isnt that big of a deal if he is beating "older" horses in a grade 1, especially if they lose the Travers to RA. Quality Road has virtually no chance of winning 3 yo of the year without winning the Travers and possibly the BC or at least the Gold cup or something like that. It is ridiclous that we are even talking about three year old of the year and poutting QR and Kensai in the conversation with the sparse resumes they have at this point.

Cannon Shell 08-25-2009 11:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Dude, look at the fields the past couple years. This one blows them away.

You cant seriously say that the Travers with RA in it wouldnt be a much better race. That point cant be disputed. While you say that the race is still a good one which I agree you cant help think that there will be something missing regardless of what happens.

The Indomitable DrugS 08-25-2009 11:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
You cant seriously say that the Travers with RA in it wouldnt be a much better race. That point cant be disputed. While you say that the race is still a good one which I agree you cant help think that there will be something missing regardless of what happens.

We had a Travers two years ago that didn't include Curlin, Hard Spun, and Any Given Saturday... all Haskel horses like RA

cakes44 08-25-2009 11:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
We had a Travers two years ago that didn't include Curlin, Hard Spun, and Any Given Saturday... all Haskel horses like RA

Yes, and it was awful.

johnny pinwheel 08-25-2009 11:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
You cant seriously say that the Travers with RA in it wouldnt be a much better race. That point cant be disputed. While you say that the race is still a good one which I agree you cant help think that there will be something missing regardless of what happens.

i agree, thats why i said she took the easier route. c'mon, if she went the travers it would of been BIGGER than the derby. it would of been the biggest travers since affirmed and alydar. which is when i got into horse racing. its been many years. jackson usually does not "duck" the competition. i feel he did this time.

Cannon Shell 08-25-2009 11:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
We had a Travers two years ago that didn't include Curlin, Hard Spun, and Any Given Saturday... all Haskel horses like RA

And...

SniperSB23 08-25-2009 11:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
You cant seriously say that the Travers with RA in it wouldnt be a much better race. That point cant be disputed. While you say that the race is still a good one which I agree you cant help think that there will be something missing regardless of what happens.

Oh, I agree that the Travers would have been much bigger with her in it. Personally I prefer both the Travers and Woodward being interesting instead of just the Travers especially since I am looking for excuses to skip the Travers.

Cannon Shell 08-25-2009 11:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Oh, I agree that the Travers would have been much bigger with her in it. Personally I prefer both the Travers and Woodward being interesting instead of just the Travers especially since I am looking for excuses to skip the Travers.

:tro:
At least you are honest!

Antitrust32 08-25-2009 11:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC
I understand your reasoning however historically things are starting to change in regards to horseracing in general, we simply do not see quality horses campaign into years 4 or 5 anymore, there is much more emphasis being placed on breeding that the best races often seem to be the 3 yr old series of races. Gone are the days of The Cigar's, Forego's ect...For me personally a Travers win in 09 far outweighs a win in the Woodward. I don't think even the intermediate horseracing fan would have heard of Bullsbay prior to his win in the Whitney nevermind the novice. On the other hand even the novice's know who wins the derby.


I understand your reasoning also.. for me, she's been there done that.. I'd love to see her beat older horses in September of her 3yo year.

Sightseek 08-25-2009 11:55 AM

Looks like they are still on the fence with MTB for the Travers and the Goodwood could be his next start instead:

http://www.drf.com/news/article/106660.html

The Indomitable DrugS 08-25-2009 11:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
And...

Jones went to Turfway next for the fake dirt, Pletcher took on Tasteyville next, and your boy Jess Jackson took his horse and ran him against the red hot Lawyer Ron.

The Indomitable DrugS 08-25-2009 11:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek
Looks like they are still on the fence with MTB for the Travers and the Goodwood could be his next start instead:

http://www.drf.com/news/article/106660.html

They are ducking Warrior's Reward.

Sightseek 08-25-2009 11:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
They are ducking Warrior's Reward.

I laughed

Indian Charlie 08-25-2009 12:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie
Wow.

The day is still young and the promise for more such retardation is great!


Great call dude, and it's not even been another two full hours!

Antitrust32 08-25-2009 12:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Your argument would hold more sway if you actually named the older horses that she will face without breaking out into hysterical laughter....


I dont think Bullsbay, Cool Coal Man, Macho Again, Asiatic Boy, Quality Road, Mine That Bird, Summer Bird, Warriors whatever, kensai, etc. scare Assman and jackson at all.

The Woodward is a joke w/out Rachel. But honestly would you really want to throw down big money on all the 3yo's listed, besides Quality Road maybe, beating the older horses listed?

the_fat_man 08-25-2009 12:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie
Great call dude, and it's not even been another two full hours!

I'm waiting to see how many more times the Preakness will be brought up as an indication that RA is distance challenged.:rolleyes:

Indian Charlie 08-25-2009 12:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man
I'm waiting to see how many more times the Preakness will be brought up as an indication that RA is distance challenged.:rolleyes:

Yeah man! This is a very rich thread!

Antitrust32 08-25-2009 12:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man
I'm waiting to see how many more times the Preakness will be brought up as an indication that RA is distance challenged.:rolleyes:


lol.. exactly

While I think 1 1/8th is a perfect distance for Rachel... I dont think she'd have any problems with 1 1/4th in the Travers.

If the Haskell was 1 1/4th instead of 1 1/8th she would have won by 12 instead of 6..

I thought she'd win by 5 in the Preakness, I thought she'd win by 5 in the Haskell. I'd have the exact same opinion if she was running in the Travers.

Cannon Shell 08-25-2009 12:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Jones went to Turfway next for the fake dirt, Pletcher took on Tasteyville next, and your boy Jess Jackson took his horse and ran him against the red hot Lawyer Ron.

and...

Cannon Shell 08-25-2009 12:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32
I dont think Bullsbay, Cool Coal Man, Macho Again, Asiatic Boy, Quality Road, Mine That Bird, Summer Bird, Warriors whatever, kensai, etc. scare Assman and jackson at all.

The Woodward is a joke w/out Rachel. But honestly would you really want to throw down big money on all the 3yo's listed, besides Quality Road maybe, beating the older horses listed?

Sure. Bullsbay, Cool Coal man, Macho Again and Asiatic boy have all been beaten with regularity their whole careers by mediocres. While running in the Woodward is a nice achievement it isnt exactly Holy Bull, Cigar and Skip Away lining up against her.

Cannon Shell 08-25-2009 12:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32
lol.. exactly

While I think 1 1/8th is a perfect distance for Rachel... I dont think she'd have any problems with 1 1/4th in the Travers.

If the Haskell was 1 1/4th instead of 1 1/8th she would have won by 12 instead of 6..

I thought she'd win by 5 in the Preakness, I thought she'd win by 5 in the Haskell. I'd have the exact same opinion if she was running in the Travers.

However some of like to actually see the horse do it before giving them credit for it. She may or may not be at a disadvantage at 1 1/4 but i suppose we will never know.

Revidere 08-25-2009 12:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Sure. Bullsbay, Cool Coal man, Macho Again and Asiatic boy have all been beaten with regularity their whole careers by mediocres. While running in the Woodward is a nice achievement it isnt exactly Holy Bull, Cigar and Skip Away lining up against her.

I guess it's similar to Personal Ensign beating males in the Whitney.

Gulch and Kings Swan

Cannon Shell 08-25-2009 12:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Revidere
I guess it's similar to Personal Ensign beating males in the Whitney.

Gulch and Kings Swan

Gulch and Kings Sawn would drown those mutts.

Danzig 08-25-2009 12:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
I think it is pretty simple. Kensei is training well and with wins in the Dwyer, Dandy, and Travers will have a shot at champion 3yo male especially beating Quality Road and Mine that Bird head to head. Winning the Woodward with Kensei wouldn't have helped him in that regard.


like jackson said, rachel can't win 3 yo colt-and that competition is wide open. kensei has a shot at it..hell, it's probably why pletcher is risking bringing quality road back off one sprint effort.

also, the woodward has never been won by a female...

the_fat_man 08-25-2009 12:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
However some of like to actually see the horse do it before giving them credit for it. She may or may not be at a disadvantage at 1 1/4 but i suppose we will never know.

This may be so. But this is distinct from misinterpreting her OBVIOUS trip in the Preakness and then concluding that she's distance challenged. The former allows some room for speculation; the latter is just an embarrassingly poor opinion and a waste of time (no matter how often it's advanced).

CSC 08-25-2009 01:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Dude, look at the fields the past couple years. This one blows them away.

What was wrong with last years Travers? That was one of the best betting races I have been a part of last year, that Travers Day card was probably the single most memorable card of the year with the exception of BC day 2.

CSC 08-25-2009 01:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32
I understand your reasoning also.. for me, she's been there done that.. I'd love to see her beat older horses in September of her 3yo year.

Normally I would agree with you, however we haven't had anything in the older horse category to be excited about this year and probably last year with the exception of a couple of races from Curlin.

Sightseek 08-25-2009 01:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC
What was wrong with last years Travers? That was one of the best betting races I have been a part of last year, that Travers Day card was probably the single most memorable card of the year for me with the exception of BC day 2.

It was a good betting race but the quality wasn't all that great....

SniperSB23 08-25-2009 01:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC
What was wrong with last years Travers? That was one of the best betting races I have been a part of last year, that Travers Day card was probably the single most memorable card of the year for me with the exception of BC day 2.

How about none of the top three from the Derby showed up which also included the Preakness winner who was the only remotely talented horse from his crop? If you are talking from a betting standpoint that is different but I don't see how Rachel going in the Travers made it a better betting race.

Linny 08-25-2009 01:25 PM

Last years Travers was a great betting race but the Col John of 2008 would be 40-1 in this field. Hell, if they could smuggle him into the race right now, he'd be 50-1, as a 4yo. The 3yo crop of 2008 never failed to disappoint me.

This is a great lineup, even without RA. MTB won the Derby and was 2nd then 3rd in the rest of the TC. Summer Bird won the Belmont off a decent Derby. QR wond the Florida Derby, Kensei won the Jim Dandy and is a horse for the course. Warrior's Reward appears to be about as good as Kensei. It's a very good lineup of proven stakes quality 3yo's. I do with that a Cal based runner was shipping in though.

Look at who we have in late Aug and imagine what the bunch might look like had we not lost IWR, The Pamplemousse and Fresian Fire. This is a very nice bunch of horses.

CSC 08-25-2009 01:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek
It was a good betting race but the quality wasn't all that great....

I think this is a debatable point, Harlem Rocker, Pyro and Colonial John all have been or were sidelined with injuries, despite this Harlem Rocker did win abeit Dq'd the Cigar Mile beating Bribon among others...That race went to Travers entrant Tale of Ekati...Macho Again won the Foster and Cool Coal Man is stating to have the looks of a promising horse. Give it more time and we may see the quality of last year's Travers even more so.

Edit-Court Vision also won the Hollywood Derby last year.

CSC 08-25-2009 01:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
How about none of the top three from the Derby showed up which also included the Preakness winner who was the only remotely talented horse from his crop? If you are talking from a betting standpoint that is different but I don't see how Rachel going in the Travers made it a better betting race.

I'm really talking about both points, I don't understand how you can say Rachel in the Travers is not more interesting or a better race. Okay we will have to agree to disagree.

Sightseek 08-25-2009 01:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC
I think this is a debatable point, Harlem Rocker, Pyro and Colonial John all have been or were sidelined with injuries, despite this Harlem Rocker did win abeit Dq'd the Cigar Mile beating Bribon among others...That race went to Travers entrant Tale of Ekati...Macho Uno won the Foster and Cool Coal Man is stating to have the looks of a promising horse. Give it more time and we may see the quality of last year's Travers even more so.

Someone has to win those races.

Gander 08-25-2009 01:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Linny
Last years Travers was a great betting race but the Col John of 2008 would be 40-1 in this field. Hell, if they could smuggle him into the race right now, he'd be 50-1, as a 4yo. The 3yo crop of 2008 never failed to disappoint me.

This is a great lineup, even without RA. MTB won the Derby and was 2nd then 3rd in the rest of the TC. Summer Bird won the Belmont off a decent Derby. QR wond the Florida Derby, Kensei won the Jim Dandy and is a horse for the course. Warrior's Reward appears to be about as good as Kensei. It's a very good lineup of proven stakes quality 3yo's. I do with that a Cal based runner was shipping in though.

Look at who we have in late Aug and imagine what the bunch might look like had we not lost IWR, The Pamplemousse and Fresian Fire. This is a very nice bunch of horses.

I would agree strongly. This race doesnt need Rachel. Its probably the best Travers both from a quality standpoint to a betting standpoint in over 10 years. I love it.


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