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Cannon Shell 11-13-2008 02:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
While he's accurate in his assessments of what ails the auto industry (union labor has CRUSHED autos & airlines), I'm shocked you read this guy- he's the most conservative right out there in national print.

If you dont read the other sides views you can never hope to enlighten yourself enough to become anything but partisan. The sad but true part of the piece is that politics are going to continue to hamper any economic recovery. Whether it is right or wrong Obama's presidency is going to be judged by how he muddles through this economic mess while holding party lines and keeping his far left base and allies like labor unions and trial lawyers happy. If he can accomplish this he really is the messiah.

philcski 11-13-2008 02:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
If you dont read the other sides views you can never hope to enlighten yourself enough to become anything but partisan. The sad but true part of the piece is that politics are going to continue to hamper any economic recovery. Whether it is right or wrong Obama's presidency is going to be judged by how he muddles through this economic mess while holding party lines and keeping his far left base and allies like labor unions and trial lawyers happy. If he can accomplish this he really is the messiah.

Agreed. You need perspective of all the sides.

gales0678 11-13-2008 02:40 PM

the people wanting the autos bailed out are driving lexuses and toyota's and bmers' - what is going on here folks?

dalakhani 11-13-2008 02:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gales0678
the people wanting the autos bailed out are driving lexuses and toyota's and bmers' - what is going on here folks?

Thats a pretty blanket generalization isnt it?

gales0678 11-13-2008 02:57 PM

there is a reason why the big 3 , or just the big 2 now are failing , why pump gov't money into an industry where we have lost our competitive advantage??

philcski 11-13-2008 02:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gales0678
the people wanting the autos bailed out are driving lexuses and toyota's and bmers' - what is going on here folks?

i don't think that's true.

i drive a foreign car but i don't want the autos bailed out- they made their bed, now sleep in it. enough of the bailouts due to poor decisionmaking.

Mortimer 11-13-2008 03:01 PM

Let them fail.

Let nature run its course.....it would be the best thing believe it or not.

gales0678 11-13-2008 03:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
i don't think that's true.

i drive a foreign car but i don't want the autos bailed out- they made their bed, now sleep in it. enough of the bailouts due to poor decisionmaking.


i agree , but a lot of dems want the autos saved , but , what is the reason

Scav 11-13-2008 03:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mortimer
Let them fail.

Let nature run its course.....it would be the best thing believe it or not.

Predator style my friend, predator style

Coach Pants 11-13-2008 03:04 PM

I was told by an unreliable source that the big 3 are indirectly responsible for 10% of the workforce in the U.S.

alysheba4 11-13-2008 03:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Predator style my friend, predator style

......morty is 100% correct.

gales0678 11-13-2008 03:11 PM

dying industry should not get gov't aid , these co's have cost structures that are no longer vialble , why should the taxpayer spend money to bail out an industry that is going to fail

Scav 11-13-2008 03:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by alysheba4
......morty is 100% correct.

I heard someone say this on CNN last night also...I don't know the right answer

gales0678 11-13-2008 03:18 PM

if they fail , more foreign compt s/b allowed to come in and build plants and give jobs to americans here who need them

the gravy train days of workin at the big 3 are over as long as americans want auto from japan and europe

Scav 11-13-2008 03:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gales0678
if they fail , more foreign compt s/b allowed to come in and build plants and give jobs to americans here who need them

the gravy train days of workin at the big 3 are over as long as americans want auto from japan and europe

Easy Anti Lou Dobbs

Mortimer 11-13-2008 03:52 PM

How long do you think it would take for a "group" to buy the physical plant of these defunct companies and start buildling cars the right way with a work force of people that have to work the right way and not be paid like hospital employed doctors?



How long did they expect people to buy American while taking the hit for the auto companies incompetence at the same time?

Coach Pants 11-13-2008 04:09 PM

How long until the collapse of the United States?

Not long.

Mortimer 11-13-2008 04:11 PM

Ah don't thank so.

Coach Pants 11-13-2008 04:13 PM

We've got to switch to Natural Gas and force the big 3 to make cars that can run on it.

We can't continue wasting trillions of dollars trying to take oil from nomads. It's not working.

Mortimer 11-13-2008 04:15 PM

Well I think not.




That'd be a bad ah-dee-er.


But soon all the evil doers will be recognized and things will begin to change...and for the right reasons.


How long it lasts...I don't know.

Coach Pants 11-13-2008 04:20 PM

The problem isn't finding the evil doers...it's trying to find the honest one, if any, out of the bunch.

Mortimer 11-13-2008 04:23 PM

These are the times they get discovered.




By the way....we are also paying for all the buy outs and take overs the federalies let happen.



This has happened in every field; and all it has done is take away jobs from people directly and indirectly. The money lost to these people went 10 fold into the pockets of the evil doers.

Mortimer 11-13-2008 04:28 PM

Dala and CowGirl have to get in here and cross their legs in short skirts.





Thebby won't because she never wears a skirt.

Maybe Steve could take her place.

2 Dollar Bill 11-13-2008 04:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mortimer
How long do you think it would take for a "group" to buy the physical plant of these defunct companies and start buildling cars the right way with a work force of people that have to work the right way and not be paid like hospital employed doctors?

The Robots are paid that much ??? No wonder we cant get health care. :rolleyes:

Mortimer 11-13-2008 05:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 2 Dollar Bill
The Robots are paid that much ??? No wonder we cant get health care. :rolleyes:



Yer breakin' my heart----shut up.

Danzig 11-13-2008 05:52 PM

i wonder if the union is what's pushing obama and the dems to try to rescue the big three? unions always give a great amount of money to the dems-and dems generally support them right back. a lot of jobs, a lot of union funds go out the window if the big three go tits up.

GenuineRisk 11-13-2008 06:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GBBob
Good article on the math behind the automaker's problems...Numbers are pretty crazy..

http://www.middletownjournal.com/o/c...308thomas.html

I would be a bit suspicious of an article that only quotes the Heritage Foundation. Even within the article itself there are things that don't make its argument:

What about Chrysler's bailout 30 years ago? It was a loan. Didn't Chrysler pay back the government? Wasn't it worth the risk to save jobs? According to the Heritage Foundation, the $1.2 billion in loan guarantees made by the Carter administration still resulted in a partial bankruptcy for Chrysler. "Most of the company's creditors were forced to accept losses just as they would if Chrysler had gone through Chapter 11, and the company ended up firing almost half its workforce, including 20,000 white-collar workers and 42,600 hourly wage earners. The only people who benefited from the bailout were Chrysler shareholders."

The shareholders would be the investor class, not the union workers. Looks like a lot of employees got fired, and I imagine many of those were union members.

Health care costs are crippling industries, no question, but that's not the union's "fault." There's plenty wrong with the current state of unions, but their job is to negotiate the best possible deal for their members. Just like a business' is to get the most profits for its shareholders. The article listed the average hourly wages including health care costs- I would be curious to know what the hourly wage was with that amount for health care deducted, but the article didn't say.

In all the screaming about how expensive a national health care system would be for this country, no one ever brings up what to me, is an important point- it would make manufacturing jobs in America attractive again to international companies, because they wouldn't have to factor health care in their costs. The thing about the insurance industry is that they only make money by not providing service. In cases like flood or fire or theft insurance it makes perfect sense- you pay a relatively little amount of money over time so that in the unlikely event something bad happens, you will get more than what you are paying in to cover catastrophic damages. Odds are, you'll never need it, and the insurance company makes money and you pay a little money for peace of mind and everyone's happy. In the case of health care, it's not a case of a rare instance where you might need care- we all need health care at one point or another. And so we, or an employer, pay a pretty big chunk of money to a company that is going to have to pay out at some point, but doesn't make a profit if it pays out more than it gets in, so it refuses to pay whenever possible. It doesn't make sense. Could you imagine paying money to a restaurant that then says, "Sorry; no food for you."

I'm not saying Europe or Canada have it figured out, but they do pay less per citizen than we do AND they have lower infant mortality rates and a higher life expectancy than we do, so they must be doing something right, as they're getting more for less.

As for the auto companies- I blame some of their problems on them putting all their eggs in the SUV basket, because the profit on them was so great, compared to small cars. They could have been improving gas mileage (and Congress could have required it), but preferred to pay money to lobbyists so that they could continue business as usual. Do any of these people ever think the ride will ever end? I swear, it seems like America is one big grasshopper, and we sure could stand to embrace the ant sometimes.

It's easy to bash the unions, but it's also worth remembering the labor movement are the folks who brought us the weekend. "Not Automatic" is a very dry read, but the accounts of conditions in the GM plants prior to the Sit-Down Strike of 1936 are pretty upsetting.

GenuineRisk 11-13-2008 06:54 PM

Which is not to say I didn't appreciate you posting the link, GBBob- I also like to read both sides of the argument. Thanks for posting it.

Mortimer 11-13-2008 06:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GenuineRisk
I would be a bit suspicious of an article that only quotes the Heritage Foundation. Even within the article itself there are things that don't make its argument:

What about Chrysler's bailout 30 years ago? It was a loan. Didn't Chrysler pay back the government? Wasn't it worth the risk to save jobs? According to the Heritage Foundation, the $1.2 billion in loan guarantees made by the Carter administration still resulted in a partial bankruptcy for Chrysler. "Most of the company's creditors were forced to accept losses just as they would if Chrysler had gone through Chapter 11, and the company ended up firing almost half its workforce, including 20,000 white-collar workers and 42,600 hourly wage earners. The only people who benefited from the bailout were Chrysler shareholders."

The shareholders would be the investor class, not the union workers. Looks like a lot of employees got fired, and I imagine many of those were union members.

Health care costs are crippling industries, no question, but that's not the union's "fault." There's plenty wrong with the current state of unions, but their job is to negotiate the best possible deal for their members. Just like a business' is to get the most profits for its shareholders. The article listed the average hourly wages including health care costs- I would be curious to know what the hourly wage was with that amount for health care deducted, but the article didn't say.

In all the screaming about how expensive a national health care system would be for this country, no one ever brings up what to me, is an important point- it would make manufacturing jobs in America attractive again to international companies, because they wouldn't have to factor health care in their costs. The thing about the insurance industry is that they only make money by not providing service. In cases like flood or fire or theft insurance it makes perfect sense- you pay a relatively little amount of money over time so that in the unlikely event something bad happens, you will get more than what you are paying in to cover catastrophic damages. Odds are, you'll never need it, and the insurance company makes money and you pay a little money for peace of mind and everyone's happy. In the case of health care, it's not a case of a rare instance where you might need care- we all need health care at one point or another. And so we, or an employer, pay a pretty big chunk of money to a company that is going to have to pay out at some point, but doesn't make a profit if it pays out more than it gets in, so it refuses to pay whenever possible. It doesn't make sense. Could you imagine paying money to a restaurant that then says, "Sorry; no food for you."

I'm not saying Europe or Canada have it figured out, but they do pay less per citizen than we do AND they have lower infant mortality rates and a higher life expectancy than we do, so they must be doing something right, as they're getting more for less.

As for the auto companies- I blame some of their problems on them putting all their eggs in the SUV basket, because the profit on them was so great, compared to small cars. They could have been improving gas mileage (and Congress could have required it), but preferred to pay money to lobbyists so that they could continue business as usual. Do any of these people ever think the ride will ever end? I swear, it seems like America is one big grasshopper, and we sure could stand to embrace the ant sometimes.

It's easy to bash the unions, but it's also worth remembering the labor movement are the folks who brought us the weekend. "Not Automatic" is a very dry read, but the accounts of conditions in the GM plants prior to the Sit-Down Strike of 1936 are pretty upsetting.


^^^^ Member of Actors Guild.

No wonder.




Hopefully more 70 year old + stories having nothing to do with today are lost.


What a dysfunctional beast.

Mortimer 11-13-2008 07:44 PM

But she's MommyDearest's best friend...don't ya know.




More closet fodder.

2Hot4TV 11-13-2008 09:08 PM

People with money are sitting on the cash waiting for something they can invest in and not be taken for a ride.

The Banks are not loaning money because they have increased the cash on hand to cover any run on the bank.

The amount of jobs that will be lost due to Ford and GM shutting down or large cut backs will funnel down to all the smaller suppliers and then you will have a depression that you cannot recover from with any amount of bailouts.

We have seen layoffs in all job markets ( with more to come) on the west coast except areospace, but that can be just around the corner as poeple stop traveling.

The best position to be in right now is debt free and hang on.

I think our worst fears have come to past and we are just waiting for someone to put a fork in it.

I sure hope I am wrong.

Mortimer 11-13-2008 09:12 PM

You tell 'em .







:rolleyes:

geeker2 11-13-2008 09:20 PM

If I had a second floor ..I'd jump

Rudeboyelvis 11-13-2008 09:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 2Hot4TV
People with money are sitting on the cash waiting for something they can invest in and not be taken for a ride.

The Banks are not loaning money because they have increased the cash on hand to cover any run on the bank.

The amount of jobs that will be lost due to Ford and GM shutting down or large cut backs will funnel down to all the smaller suppliers and then you will have a depression that you cannot recover from with any amount of bailouts.

We have seen layoffs in all job markets ( with more to come) on the west coast except areospace, but that can be just around the corner as poeple stop traveling.

The best position to be in right now is debt free and hang on.

I think our worst fears have come to past and we are just waiting for someone to put a fork in it.

I sure hope I am wrong.

This was Bernake's excuse for taking the bailout cash and giving it to the banks to loan - and it is complete horsesh!t. What they are really saying is they don't have the cash to loan at higher rates to less than stellar credit risks (the people they have been preying on for decades) because the risk now hits home - They need the coffers filled back up to go after the moderate credit risks which is their bread and butter but they don't want to assume the risk with their money -

If you have decent credit, they are still climbing over each other to loan you money. I just bought a new truck and financed from a local bank 4.25%apr for 72 months. A local bank, not some dealer financed scheme... and for what it's worth, the banks I inquired at and did not use are STILL calling my house to see if I want their money.

The bailout now loads the vaults back up - with your cash - so it can be loaned back to you.
So you get to borrow your own money and pay them interest to do it, and if the loans default, no biggie we just go back to the money tree and get more to loan... Friggin' Brilliant. These criminals never cease to amaze

dalakhani 11-13-2008 10:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis
This was Bernake's excuse for taking the bailout cash and giving it to the banks to loan - and it is complete horsesh!t. What they are really saying is they don't have the cash to loan at higher rates to less than stellar credit risks (the people they have been preying on for decades) because the risk now hits home - They need the coffers filled back up to go after the moderate credit risks which is their bread and butter but they don't want to assume the risk with their money -

If you have decent credit, they are still climbing over each other to loan you money. I just bought a new truck and financed from a local bank 4.25%apr for 72 months. A local bank, not some dealer financed scheme... and for what it's worth, the banks I inquired at and did not use are STILL calling my house to see if I want their money.

The bailout now loads the vaults back up - with your cash - so it can be loaned back to you.
So you get to borrow your own money and pay them interest to do it, and if the loans default, no biggie we just go back to the money tree and get more to loan... Friggin' Brilliant. These criminals never cease to amaze

Rudeboy, im sorry, but this isnt really the case. Many banks dont have much money to lend...AT ALL regardless of risk. Notice I said "many" banks as opposed to "all" banks.

The bank that you got your loan from is probably a good healthy small to medium size bank. Thats great. They are getting fed funds at a rate that is effectively zero and lending it to you for 72 at 4.25. Decent spread. Thats what they were supposed to do. Most likely, they have a healthy amount of deposits and don't have a lot of mortgages on their books. This isnt the type of bank going to the TARP window.

There are many banks that didnt make risky subprime loans commercial or residential and are STILL IN TROUBLE. Such is the peril of borrowing short and lending long. Securitization was the name of the game until last summer. Many millions of dollars of loans were made to GOOD clients that are still paying on time but can't get sold. Those loans are clogging the balance sheets and banks cant get those loans off of the books to get more money to lend.

There is some liquidity coming back into the markets and consumer loans are easier to get now than they were a month ago. This is not true for mortgages. There is still absolutely no execution for triple AAA rated jumbo mortgage backs. In plain english? Even if you have perfect credit and qualifications, you have to pay a huge premium to get financed unless it can be purchased by a fannie/freddie or FHA/VA.

miraja2 11-14-2008 09:19 AM

I feel bad for Obama.
If McCain had won, I would have felt bad for him too.

Of course, the two of them are still doing quite well financially, but winning that election is like getting voted captain of the Titanic after it already hit the iceberg.

Rudeboyelvis 11-14-2008 09:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miraja2
I feel bad for Obama.
If McCain had won, I would have felt bad for him too.

Of course, the two of them are still doing quite well financially, but winning that election is like getting voted captain of the Titanic after it already hit the iceberg.

Makes ya wonder why Obama spent 150 million to get it

Mortimer 11-14-2008 12:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dalakhani
Rudeboy, im sorry, but this isnt really the case. Many banks dont have much money to lend...AT ALL regardless of risk. Notice I said "many" banks as opposed to "all" banks.

The bank that you got your loan from is probably a good healthy small to medium size bank. Thats great. They are getting fed funds at a rate that is effectively zero and lending it to you for 72 at 4.25. Decent spread. Thats what they were supposed to do. Most likely, they have a healthy amount of deposits and don't have a lot of mortgages on their books. This isnt the type of bank going to the TARP window.

There are many banks that didnt make risky subprime loans commercial or residential and are STILL IN TROUBLE. Such is the peril of borrowing short and lending long. Securitization was the name of the game until last summer. Many millions of dollars of loans were made to GOOD clients that are still paying on time but can't get sold. Those loans are clogging the balance sheets and banks cant get those loans off of the books to get more money to lend.

There is some liquidity coming back into the markets and consumer loans are easier to get now than they were a month ago. This is not true for mortgages. There is still absolutely no execution for triple AAA rated jumbo mortgage backs. In plain english? Even if you have perfect credit and qualifications, you have to pay a huge premium to get financed unless it can be purchased by a fannie/freddie or FHA/VA.

Ah love Dala Coulter....don't you?

Mortimer 11-14-2008 12:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
i wonder if the union is what's pushing obama and the dems to try to rescue the big three? unions always give a great amount of money to the dems-and dems generally support them right back. a lot of jobs, a lot of union funds go out the window if the big three go tits up.

Fine point.

Following the money is so revealing.

Danzig 11-19-2008 05:13 PM

well...i said it would drop into the 7's...wish i was wrong tho...


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