Derby Trail Forums - Arlington Stakes Contest

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)

- Contests (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=5)

- - Arlington Stakes Contest - Race 1 (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=12685)

I actually only got $65+ with my two P3's (races 3 & 4) - it was the $189 tri in the 5th that really did it for me... I also got the winner in all 6 races :eek:

I'll never pick that well again for the rest of my life... just call it the luck of 7/7/07 :D

Quote:

Originally Posted by DerbyCat

Personally.......I wish you'd have bought a lotto ticket!

Quote:

Originally Posted by DerbyCat

Even better for you -- I was just going back doing some spot checking on some of the calculations I made, and I had completely overlooked your first pick-3.

So actually, you're $21.70 further in the lead than we originally thought!

Everything else seems to be correctly calculated, though. Your correct total is reflected in my original standings post.

CONGRATS DC!!!!

I will live happily in the moment (for now) that I am over the $100 mark. Mira may take it away but I will be happy for now. :)

Thanks for adding all that up brian.

Quote:

Originally Posted by brianwspencer

I'm going to need all the lead I can get, I'll probably never pick this well again for the rest of the Arlington meet :o

I have no doubt that Brian and Scav will catch up soon enough :( But until then, I'm going to enjoy this! :D

p.s. Good picks Buffy, maybe you'll take the lead soon!

Quote:

Originally Posted by brianwspencer

In lieu of Miraja's witty contest remarks, which will no longer be at my expense now that I'm nowhere near the lead, I've totaled the payoffs for this past weekend's Prairie State Festival. Feel free to check your payoffs and I can edit accordingly.

A little business first -- and this is pending Miraja's approval as that one created the contest. I did pull up the original contest thread, and there was no mention of having to split entries and pick a specific horse, so I used regular wagering rules that a bet on either part of the entry counted as a bet on the entire entry (and that counts for exotics as well, Buffy! as long as Miraja says it's okay :o ).

And it appears Avance did not get the memo after posting his picks, so I translated them for him using the original post's "program numbers," so that he didn't get totally shut out...once again, pending Miraja's decision on how cutthroat we want to be.

Huge congrats to DerbyCat, who took a huge lead now thanks to a wonderfully played Pick-3 and hitting half of the trifecta that got kicked into the stratosphere by Lady Lionel sucking up into fourth to claim the kicker slot in that exotic in the Lincoln Heritage.

Name - Previous Total - This Wk - Current Total

1) DerbyCat - $23.00 + $353.10 = $376.40
2) brianwspencer - $111.00 + $19.70 = $130.70
3) ArlJim78 - $76.30 + $42.50 = $118.80
4) Buffymommy - $21.20 + $94.80 = $116.00
5) avance2000 – $7.40 + $82.60 = $90.00
6) 2 Dollar Bill - $11.00 + $76.50 = $87.50
7) miraja2 - $16.00 + $68.80 = $84.80
8) Gaines2b - $0.00 + $80.80 = $80.80
9) Angelsita - $14.00 + $60.80 = $74.80
10) Cajungator26 - $26.20 + $34.80 = $61.00
11) dylbert - $10.80 + $39.40 = $50.20
12) Scav - $9.80 + $39.80 = $49.60
13) timmgirvan - $26.10 + $9.20 = $35.30
14) Swedejxn - $9.80 + $19.30 = $29.10
15) trifecta124 - $26.20 + NP = $26.20
16) viscount26 - $14.80 + NP = $14.80
17) gamblin4ever – $10.80 + NP = $10.80
18) Aewingnut – $0.00 + NP = $0.00
19) kickslions – $0.00 + NP = $0.00

Thanks Brian for doing these numbers. I will just trust their accuracy. The last few nights on Bourbon Street may have permanently damaged my brain's ability to add, so your help is greatly appreciated. Just one more night to survive and then I'll be back in Chicago.
I agree that Buffy should get credit for betting the whole entry, and that avance2000 should get credit made for his picks from the original list.
As for DerbyCat, she needs to be immediately thrown out of the contest. Going six for six and tossing in some high-priced exotics in one day is quite simply unfair. She is just running up the score on us now.
I had not originally intended to include multi-race wagers like the pick-3 in the contest, but since I never actually excluded it, and there isn't any harm in it, we might as well leave it in. Hitting a pick-3 with $4 is tough, so if people can do it.....why not?
With the way that DerbyCat was picking on Saturday, we are probably lucky that she played pick-3s and not superfectas.

The good news is, we still have 16 races left - including the Round Table Stakes this coming Saturday - so there are still plenty of opportunities to hit that big exotic and catch her.

YEAH! I get to stay in my happiness for breaking the $100 mark! :) Thanks Mira!

Congrats again to Derby Cat. She deserves it. I seriously doubt I (or anyone else) can catch her.

Well, I got lucky on 7/7/07 but I didn't get lucky with my job interview in Austin - I got the "thank you for your interest but we have offered the job to another candidate" call yesterday... guess I'm stuck in Spokane for awhile longer :(

Now I've just got to buckle down and finish my master's thesis :o

Quote:

Originally Posted by DerbyCat

Dont worry its toooooooooooooooooooo hot in texas anyway !

Looks like DC has set the bar high, time to sharpen the pencils and start doing some capin !

Arlington Stakes Contest - Race 12

Round Table Stakes
Arlington Park - July 14th, 2007 - Race 9
Estimated Local Post Time: 4:58 PM
Age Restriction: Three Year Old
Purse: $100,000
Distance: One And One Eighth Miles
Surface: All Weather Track

Post Horse
Jockey
Owner Age Sex Weight
Trainer
Breeder Odds

1 Snowblind Friend (KY)
Jesse A. Lantz
Hugh H. Robertson and Regatta Stables (Jess Rutledge)
3 Colt 118
Hugh H. Robertson
Lochness & I. Wechsler 8/1

2 Time Squared (NY)
Julien R. Leparoux
Fab Oak Stable (Fabien Ouaki) and Lakin Giacopelli, et al
3 Colt 116
Patrick L. Biancone
Chester Broman & Mary R. Broman 5/1

3 Dashes N Dots (KY)
Eduardo E. Perez
Richard S. Kaster, Frederick Wieting and Peter Hickey
3 Filly 111
Gregory Fox
Scott E. Ricker & Richard S. Kaster 10/1

4 Pavarotti (KY)
Rene R. Douglas
Mrs. John Magnier, Michael Tabor and Derrick Smith
3 Colt 116
Todd A. Pletcher
Mt. Brilliant Farm LLC & W. S. Farish 9/2

5 Prom Shoes (KY)
Christopher A. Emigh
Patricia B. Blass
3 Colt 116
William H. Fires
Patricia Blass & David Harris 7/2

6 Mandurah (KY)
Jesse M. Campbell
Darley Stable (J. Bell, et al)
3 Colt 116
Eoin G. Harty
Gainsborough Farm LLC 4/1

7 Dominican (KY)
Rafael Bejarano
Silverton Hill LLC (Tommy and Bonnie Hamilton)
3 Gelding 123
Darrin Miller
Barak Farm 8/5

Since I'll be away from a puter for the next few days

2 WPS Times Squared

1 triple.... 7 -5 - 4
1 triple......2 -7 -5
1 triple.....2 - 4 - 3
1 triple.... 7 - 2 - 4

Good luck all.... [ lets hope DC forgets to play this week :p ]

2 WPS on Dashes N Dots

1 tri 7,3,6
1 tri 3,7,2
1 super 3,7/3,7/2/6

$2 across on the 4 (pavarotti)
$2 exacta, 5-4
$2 exacta, 7-4

$2 WPS on the 5 (Prom Shoes)

$2 exacta 5-7 (Prom Shoes and Dominican)
$2 exacta 7-5 (Dominican and Prom Shoes)

$2 WPS #6 Mandurah

$2 Trifecta 1,7/6/1,7

$2WPS Prom Shoes
$1 Tri Prom Shoes/Snowblind,Dominican/Snow, Domican, Pavarotti

$2 WPS #4 Pavarotti
$1 TRI 4/5,6/5,6
$1 TRI 4/5,6/7

$2 WPS - Prom Shoes
$2 Exacta - Prom Shoes/Dominican
$2 Exacta - Dominican/Pavarotti

Well, if nobody is going to pick Dominican......I guess I will.
$2 WPS (7) Dominican
$2 Exacta, 7-6
$1 Trifecta, 7/2,4/6

I'll follow

2 wps dominican

tri's $1

7,4,6
4,7,6
7,4,2
4,7,2

Wps-prom Shoes
$2tri--prom Shoes/pav/times Squared
$1tri--prom Shoes/pav/dominican
$1tri--prom Shoes/dominican/pavorotti

$2 WPS #7

$1 Tri 67/67/12

GL!!:cool:

$2WPS Dominican (this is my brain pick)

MY GUT PICK: $2WP Time Squared

Good Luck to everyone!

WPS #3 Dashes N Dots

$1 Tri 3,7 // 3,7 // 4,6

$2 WPS Dominican

$2ex Dominican/Mandurah

$1tri key Dominican/Time Squared, Mandurah

Well....that sucks!!

Quote:

Originally Posted by timmgirvan

Well....that sucks!!

I respectfully disagree with you :D ;)

I've had Pavarotti on my watch list since his maiden race, he's got some serious heart and desire - you've got to admit that was a great finish.

Quote:

Originally Posted by DerbyCat

I respectfully disagree with you :D ;)

I've had Pavarotti on my watch list since his maiden race, he's got some serious heart and desire - you've got to admit that was a great finish.

Congrats on your score! I just seem to be out of sync in recent contests.

Quote:

Originally Posted by timmgirvan

Congrats on your score! I just seem to be out of sync in recent contests.

Thanks, just do what I've been doing in this contest - don't look at the PP's, make your picks based on jock/trainer/breeding :eek:

Quote:

Originally Posted by DerbyCat

Thanks, just do what I've been doing in this contest - don't look at the PP's, make your picks based on jock/trainer/breeding :eek:

I'm not that good!

Nice picking this week by avance2000 and (of course) DerbyCat who seems to have forgotten how to pick a horse that doesn't win.
Although she stretched out her lead this week, we all have the opportunity to close some ground on her next Saturday on one of the best days of the Arlington meet. Million Preview day features three graded stakes races, and we will be playing all three, so lets hit some big ones.
Thanks again for playing. Here are the updated standings:

Name - Previous Total - This Wk - Current Total

1) DerbyCat - $376.40 + $20.40 = $396.80
2) brianwspencer - $130.70 + $0.00 = $130.70
3) Buffymommy - $116.00 + $8.10 = $124.10
4) ArlJim78 - $118.80 + NP = $118.80
5) avance2000 – $90.00 + $20.40 = $110.40
6) 2 Dollar Bill - $87.50 + $8.80 = $96.30
7) miraja2 - $84.80 + $2.10 = $86.90
8) Gaines2b - $80.80 + $2.10 = $82.90
9) Angelsita - $74.80 + $0.00 = $74.80
10) Cajungator26 - $61.00 + $0.00 = $61.00
11) dylbert - $50.20 + $0.00 = $50.20
12) Scav - $49.60 + $0.00 = $49.60
13) timmgirvan - $35.30 + $0.00 = $35.30
14) Swedejxn - $29.10 + $2.10 = $31.20
15) trifecta124 - $26.20 + NP = $26.20
16) viscount26 - $14.80 + $2.10 = $16.90
17) gamblin4ever – $10.80 + $0.00 = $10.80

Kinda happy to see that two out of the top three are women....

Now if I can only try to stay up there! :eek: