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-   -   Showvivor 2 @ Santa Anita (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=10001)

ArlJim78 03-16-2007 04:17 PM

So everyone moves on essentially. Both were winners.

rontheman1964 03-16-2007 10:04 PM

Idiot Proof sounded like it was about right for me today....on to the weekend...:D

jman5581 03-17-2007 09:18 AM

Well, we've certainly got choices today...

Dinner Magic in 1st

La Tormenta and River's Prayer in 4th

Air Commander and Level Red in San Felipe

jman5581 03-17-2007 09:45 AM

think I'm going to take that River's Prayer, for a little luck in the Irish Obrien. His style has been going good on the hill.

Scratch that, I'm going to get this over with in the first with Dinner Magic.

ArlJim78 03-17-2007 10:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jman5581
Well, we've certainly got choices today...

Dinner Magic in 1st

La Tormenta and River's Prayer in 4th

Air Commander and Level Red in San Felipe

Just my two cents;
I don't think the fourth is very clear to me, its looks competetive and I can see it going different ways.

I think Air Commander would be a great choice.

Dinner Magic also looks real strong. The class drop just gives me a little pause, 50K down to 16K

jman5581 03-17-2007 10:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
Just my two cents;
I don't think the fourth is very clear to me, its looks competetive and I can see it going different ways.

I think Air Commander would be a great choice.

Dinner Magic also looks real strong. The class drop just gives me a little pause, 50K down to 16K

Yeah, I've decided to stay away from the 4th.

Air Commander is a great pick, but I think this might be a day to stay off the feature race...we know how fast 3 yr olds progress...especially THIS time of the year.

Dinner Magic, I think 16k keeps him from getting claimed....the ol' psyche out. And, you get more for winning a 16 claimer than you do for 3rd in a 50k. ;)

jman5581 03-17-2007 10:25 AM

I've been getting away with picking the big chalk for too long now...gotta get out of the crowd's way this weekend. That said, now probably half the players remaining will pick Dinner Magic in the 1st! :D

ArlJim78 03-17-2007 10:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jman5581
I've been getting away with picking the big chalk for too long now...gotta get out of the crowd's way this weekend. That said, now probably half the players remaining will pick Dinner Magic in the 1st! :D

I think you've got the right idea. At some point you have to start stepping aside from the crowd once in awhile and hope that a sizable chunk of them crash and burn on some big favorite.

I agree on you idea about the feature, I am putting AC on top but there is some risk with lightly raced horses.

Dinner Magic has the look of a lock. solid form and Jockey/trainer stats. With his speed he should get an easy trip without much pace pressure and have a lot for the finish.

Good luck today guys.

jman5581 03-17-2007 02:27 PM

Nice spread of choices today


35% selected #04 Air Commander in race 9

23% selected #04 Dinner Magic in race 1

10% selected #02 Cobalt Blue in race 9

9% selected #06 River's Prayer in race 4

4% selected #02 Cheyenne Queen in race 3

4% selected #01 Good N Muddy in race 3

3% selected #06 Steelin' in race 7

3% selected #06 Level Red in race 9

3% selected #08 Crafty Role in race 7

2% selected #02 Seeking Answers in race 8

2% selected #03 Really Indian in race 6

jman5581 03-17-2007 05:01 PM

Looked at tomorrow's card...should be able to get through using either Seven Nation Army in the 2nd or Tap it Light in the 3rd.

jman5581 03-18-2007 08:54 AM

I'm more confident in SNA, so that's who I'm going with in a 5 horse field. 128 showvivors remaining.

rontheman1964 03-18-2007 03:36 PM

What are the rules in this contest?? How do we score a 3 horse race? Of course I didn't play that race....I gotta earn my way today....:cool:

jman5581 03-18-2007 06:52 PM

I was given the favorite, since SNA scratched...in what became the 3 horse field. :p

jman5581 03-19-2007 05:39 PM

I like 1 and 6 in the 2nd on Wednesday at the Great Race Place.

PPerfectfan 03-20-2007 12:21 AM

Good going guys. Keep up the good work.

rontheman1964 03-20-2007 10:42 PM

The Wednesday card looks tough. Could see some casualties...:D

jman5581 03-21-2007 10:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rontheman1964
The Wednesday card looks tough. Could see some casualties...:D

Stick with River Glow in the 2nd and should be fine. ;)

jman5581 03-21-2007 02:55 PM

The spread for today

35% selected #01 River Glow in race 2

16% selected #07 Sunshine Ridge in race 7

13% selected #07 Excessive Heat in race 1

12% selected #06 Naughtylilhottie in race 3

11% selected #05 Kalookan Dancer in race 2

5% selected #03 Romanesque in race 4

4% selected #02 Daytona in race 7

3% selected #04 La Chola in race 2

2% selected #01 Perfect Rhyme in race 3

1% selected #03 Luis's Especial in race 7

1% selected #05 Silvers Surprise in race 8

jman5581 03-21-2007 05:32 PM

Fun Logic is the obvious take for tomorrow, but will look closer later on.

rontheman1964 03-21-2007 06:56 PM

Glad to make it through Wednesday. Posted my 3rd winner in a row and poised to make it into the top 10 (sitting at #14 after today.) :D

jman5581 03-21-2007 07:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rontheman1964
Glad to make it through Wednesday. Posted my 3rd winner in a row and poised to make it into the top 10 (sitting at #14 after today.) :D

Congrats!! I noticed one other familiar name...nwaryas....he's been quietly perched away during the contest but he's still alive along with us...3 DT'ers hopefully alive in the top 100!! 101 players remaining in the contest after today...


When should we stop posting picks?? :D :D If anyone is feeling slighted, I'd be fine not posting my picks for the remainder of the contest (well, at least the remainder that i'm alive of course). :cool:

Pedigree Ann 03-21-2007 08:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jman5581

When should we stop posting picks?? :D :D If anyone is feeling slighted, I'd be fine not posting my picks for the remainder of the contest (well, at least the remainder that i'm alive of course). :cool:

I'm still interested. I'm 'capping SA until Kee opens, got closer to the Place-All today with 6 of 8 on a $1 ticket. Liked Kelly Carson, Bandera Negra, and Ginny Winner over the favorites in their races, and Luis Especial nearly lasted for me. Got silly with the 5th (MC32) and blew the 6th. I think the weekday races are generally easier than weekend races.

rontheman1964 03-21-2007 10:14 PM

I have stopped posting my picks until the contest is closed for the day. Just a personal thing....I'd hate to lead someone into taking a horse because of a comment I make and then get them eliminated because of it. :cool: Oh, had Sunshine Ridge today.

jman5581 03-22-2007 07:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pedigree Ann
I'm still interested. I'm 'capping SA until Kee opens, got closer to the Place-All today with 6 of 8 on a $1 ticket. Liked Kelly Carson, Bandera Negra, and Ginny Winner over the favorites in their races, and Luis Especial nearly lasted for me. Got silly with the 5th (MC32) and blew the 6th. I think the weekday races are generally easier than weekend races.

I'll continue to post mine...at least until we're guaranteed $!!! Then it's each man for his own!!! hahaha

Ron, pay attention to the PP's and not me, I haven't picked a winner in a couple days....hey, that means I'm DUE!! :rolleyes:


I'm focusing on the 3rd today... Kailee Rush

jman5581 03-22-2007 03:02 PM

the spread

55 people selected #01 Kailee Rush in race 3

28 people selected #06 King Palm in race 3

3 people selected #06 Nevada Worrier in race 1

3 people selected #01 Brite Shadow in race 8

3 people selected #01 Del Mar Ticket in race 4

2 people selected #05 Getback Time in race 7

2 people selected #11 Rapid Silver in race 8

2 people selected #05 Phil the Usher in race 3

1 person selected #09 Young Joe in race 1

1 person selected #02 Virginia City in race 2

1 person selected #06 Fun Logic in race 4

Pedigree Ann 03-22-2007 04:07 PM

King Palm finally wins! After - what? - 12 times running second? Should have been a slam dunk for the contest, since he nearly always hits the board. And the favorite Kailee RUsh last! Another 55 bite the dust.

jman5581 03-22-2007 04:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pedigree Ann
King Palm finally wins! After - what? - 12 times running second? Should have been a slam dunk for the contest, since he nearly always hits the board. And the favorite Kailee RUsh last! Another 55 bite the dust.


Including me :(

good luck to anyone still in! I guess that last race wasn't the "wet fast" surface after all. I wanted to take KP, but I thought KR would get it done.

rontheman1964 03-22-2007 06:28 PM

Me too...Kailee Rush didn't break like we'd hoped.....looking back King Palm shoulda been the pick. Good luck to all who are left.:D Oh....and I bet next time Kailee's Rush runs; Gomez isn't riding her.

jman5581 03-22-2007 06:59 PM

Hey, TOP 100 is not all that bad, huh? :)

ArlJim78 03-22-2007 07:57 PM

Way to go guys, you gave it a nice run, and yeah not bad!

jman5581 03-23-2007 10:46 AM

One other guy, nwaryas, is still alive... c'mon nwaryas, take down the 5 G's. And then send us a little for the weekend's races. It's the least you could do!!! :)


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