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-   -   Anyone See the Risen Star? (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=9731)

blackthroatedwind 02-10-2007 10:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215

I just do not see AT ALL how you can say it's absurd how much better Street Sense ran that day. Without using the BC Juvenile to prove your point, I just don't agree that it was absurd how much better SS was than CQ that day. If you felt that way before November 4th then congratulations on what must have been a nice score for you in the Juvenile.

NT


Yeah, this is really silly. The trips were discussed here very shortly after the Keeneland race, which I think you need to watch again, and I picked Street Sense publically and bet him and made a bit of money.

Sadly, I didn't hit the exacta, as while I felt Street Sense was close to ten lengths better than Circular Quay, I incorrectly ( and unfortunately ) thought others were less bad.

NTamm1215 02-10-2007 10:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by T3B
NTamm....not to butt in here...but BTW was on record as choosing Street Sense as his horse of choice in the B Juvy.

I gathered as much, unfortunately I didn't join here until after the BC. I have no doubt about BTW's or anyone else's talent on this board when it comest to handicapping. This is a smart bunch.

NT

GPK 02-10-2007 11:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215
I gathered as much, unfortunately I didn't join here until after the BC. I have no doubt about BTW's or anyone else's talent on this board when it comest to handicapping. This is a smart bunch.

NT

didnt mean to come across as all knowing (Everyone on DT knows I aint), but just wasnt sure if you knew BTW's pick prior to the BC Juvy.

GPK 02-10-2007 11:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Starting trouble again. I get it. ;)


I could single handidly be the most aggresive, confrontational poster you know...:D

GPK 02-10-2007 11:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
True, true. So what's going on man? Counting the days till Saratoga?


something like that...just looking for a day off between now and then. Jonesing for an "all dayer" at the OTB....:o

hoovesupsideyourhead 02-10-2007 11:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by T3B
I could single handidly be the most aggresive, confrontational poster you know...:D

dont make me wrap a nine iron over your wig....damit c q is the best horse sence HELENS DREAM............OR ,MYSTICAL FASTNESS

lemoncrush 02-10-2007 11:20 PM

I'm not holding the race against CQ at all.
After getting completely jammed at the rail, stopping when the jockey flew off the horse like a ragdoll (still can't believe he rode and won the next race), veered all the way outside and finished full of run tells me that he's more than just a closing sprinter. I'm not ready to proclaim him the Derby winner, but I'm not ready to toss him, either.
I was just peeved because I had CQ keyed with the 8-10-12, but didn't bet it without him involved. That was an extremely nice trifecta payout all things considered.
Anyone know where they're going to point CQ to next?

SniperSB23 02-10-2007 11:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
That is so funny you mention him. Did you happen to see him open up at even money today? Quickly shot up to 2-1 and kept rising but who in the world was betting him?

Did he ever make it out of the gate?

SniperSB23 02-10-2007 11:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lemoncrush
I'm not holding the race against CQ at all.
After getting completely jammed at the rail, stopping when the jockey flew off the horse like a ragdoll (still can't believe he rode and won the next race), veered all the way outside and finished full of run tells me that he's more than just a closing sprinter. I'm not ready to proclaim him the Derby winner, but I'm not ready to toss him, either.
I was just peeved because I had CQ keyed with the 8-10-12, but didn't bet it without him involved. That was an extremely nice trifecta payout all things considered.
Anyone know where they're going to point CQ to next?

Hopefully somewhere that a loose buffalo runs across the track in front of him to give him another excuse and give all of us good odds on him for races to come.

SniperSB23 02-10-2007 11:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Kind of. Off horribly and was never a factor. I just want to know who was sending it in early on him.

Yeah, I know, I saw the race and was just commenting on the bad start. No clue who bet that much early on him but it was a bad day for me and my picks being bombarded by early money and then tanking (Storm Treasure/High Heels) so I'm starting to think that early money and smart money have nothing in common.

bear 02-10-2007 11:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35
Circular Quay off the board. Notional wins....Didn't see it.

Circular Quay was cruising in behind leaders and looked as if he would have won easy, until the horse in front of him clipped heels and went down causing Quay to swerve,he is definitly a horse to watch for the derby.

bear 02-11-2007 12:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Notional waqs wonderful today Rand.. Did all O'Neill would want... Grew up a lot. Sat off while outside; moved when asked and fought for lead; looked collared and stayed on between horses before drawing off to win by a couple.

Circular Quay was down inside and marooned. Nowhere to go at the top of the stretch. As is always the problem with horses like him... Bill Kaplan's "W&CGuy" ran very nicely chasing wide and coming on late. Zanjero third but I never really "saw" what he was doing...

Don't know how far Notional wants to stretch, but he's a quality colt and all the way back to his insanely huge debut now...

O'Neill-Reddam and Bill Kaplan... 30% of the Derby field between them? Possible...

Steve watch the race again if the horse in front of Quay had not have gone down he would have made the race very interesting.On the show(ATRAB) the other day one of your guest made a statement about Con Collins being the daddy of all Irish trainers,definitly a great trainer,I have one name who is daddy of them all, not only in Ireland but possible world wide Vincent O'Brien.

jvendetti22 02-11-2007 04:52 AM

I don't think CQ's backers should be jumping off the bandwagon based on the final results of the Risen Star. This could be a blessing in disguise for his future pool backers.

17-1 and probably going up after finishing off the board. There's a lot of bandwagon chasers in the future pool.

Heading into the future pool I liked Street Sense and Ravel the most, but their odds are going to make them unplayable for me in this pool. (add in the fact that I'm moving half a continent away from the track I'd have to place the future wager at and I'm sitting this future pool out)

NoBiz is a tossout for me as the likely favored singular betting interest. Too many supporters at this point, and to me he looks like a horse I'd love on an off track (Go for Gin and Halo in his pedigree), but probably try to beat as the favorite any other day.

Risen Star winner Notional looks like a steal at 37-1. There will be some late money on him I'm sure, but again the breeding doesn't insprire me for a Derby winner. He was my pick for the Risen Star, but he doesn't fit my Derby profile.


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