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-   -   15 Reasons why AP can't win The Crown (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=57382)

FATPIANO 06-01-2015 11:09 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DonGuido (Post 1029187)
Discounting the fact that he is the most talented 3YO we have . . . here are two reasons that AP will win and essentially make him a lock:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tWMv6VHaiBs

and this

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y86kDFaJ2h4
lol

JJP 06-02-2015 10:11 PM
There's one reason I haven't seen listed yet: Espinoza has a terrible record at Belmont. Isn't it something like 2 for 60 something? And a rider like that figures to come if for live mounts. Very significant he has done poorly there.

DonGuido 06-03-2015 09:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JJP (Post 1029586)
There's one reason I haven't seen listed yet: Espinoza has a terrible record at Belmont. Isn't it something like 2 for 60 something? And a rider like that figures to come if for live mounts. Very significant he has done poorly there.
All he has to do is hang on and don't fall off. The horse will do all the work to win . . . if he's going to. Book it!!!

JJP 06-05-2015 11:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DonGuido (Post 1029687)
All he has to do is hang on and don't fall off. The horse will do all the work to win . . . if he's going to. Book it!!!
Didn't they say the same thing last year?

freddymo 06-06-2015 06:11 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JJP (Post 1030057)
Didn't they say the same thing last year?
no absolutely not

DonGuido 06-06-2015 09:02 AM
Looks like no rain today at Belmont . . . oh me oh my . . . can AP overcome that? :rolleyes: But, but wait Equibase shows a 60% chance of rain . . . we'll just have to wait and see . . . and thank you racing gods for trying.

Danzig 06-06-2015 11:09 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DonGuido (Post 1030089)
Looks like no rain today at Belmont . . . oh me oh my . . . can AP overcome that? :rolleyes: But, but wait Equibase shows a 60% chance of rain . . . we'll just have to wait and see . . . and thank you racing gods for trying.
Are we looking at the same Belmont weather?

freddymo 06-06-2015 08:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar (Post 1028979)
So, if AP wins the TC, it'll probably be because 8 voters (out of 265 total votes) voted for AP instead of Texas Red. (Otherwise, AP would have had a much smaller chance to win.)

I wish I knew who to thank! :)

7 of 8.. In other words 2 year old champs for win first 2 legs are a cinch in Belmont

freddymo 06-06-2015 09:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 1028976)
As opposed to the 0-15 historical statistic from modern times when horses are bred-trained and campaigned differently that he is up against.
Correct


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