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-   -   chances mike smith off in the belmont (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=29733)

SniperSB23 05-22-2009 12:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
a million's a million. not too many of those around for distaffers. at least that way she'd be going vs older, not her overmatched peers..

You think Jess Jackson is that concerned about a few hundred thousand dollars in purse money on his $10 million filly?

Danzig 05-22-2009 01:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
You think Jess Jackson is that concerned about a few hundred thousand dollars in purse money on his $10 million filly?


jackson doesn't strike me as one to turn down a buck if the opportunity arises to get it. like i said, a distaff race with a serious purse. the fact she'd be taking older females wouldn't exactly hurt her reputation. she's going to run somewhere, may as well be for some dough.

SniperSB23 05-22-2009 01:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
jackson doesn't strike me as one to turn down a buck if the opportunity arises to get it. like i said, a distaff race with a serious purse. the fact she'd be taking older females wouldn't exactly hurt her reputation. she's going to run somewhere, may as well be for some dough.

Or she could run one furlong less in the Whitney against what should be one of the worst fields in the history of the race and cement her legacy with a win and then go on to further cement it with a win in the Travers. You think anyone will care two months after she's retired that she won the Delaware Handicap? If she won the Whitney and Travers she'll still be remembered in 100 years.

Danzig 05-22-2009 01:19 PM

lol how would winning the whitney you just described cement her reputation?

SniperSB23 05-22-2009 01:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
lol how would winning the whitney you just described cement her reputation?

Cause no one will remember who she beat. All they'll remember is that a 3yo filly went in and beat older males in the Whitney.

Danzig 05-22-2009 01:20 PM

i don't see her taking on older males at that point in her career.

SniperSB23 05-22-2009 01:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
i don't see her taking on older males at that point in her career.

Why not? Isn't it quite possible that the Jim Dandy or even the Delaware Handicap could wind up a tougher race than the Whitney this year? Somehow cause she's running against slower older males it is magically going to take more out of her than running against faster 3yos or older fillies?

mbahadur 05-22-2009 01:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Why not? Isn't it quite possible that the Jim Dandy or even the Delaware Handicap could wind up a tougher race than the Whitney this year? Somehow cause she's running against slower older males it is magically going to take more out of her than running against faster 3yos or older fillies?

Considering how much he paid for the horse, I think Jess Jackson's goal for the filly would be the Eclipse for HOY. A win in the Whitney or Stephen Foster (which Curlin ran in last year) and then the Travers would go a lot further than a win in the Delaware Handicap towards this Eclipse. The fact that Curlin was being pointed originally to the Arc de Triomphe last summer shows that Jackson can be ambitious when determining where to run his good horses.

letswastemoney 05-22-2009 03:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mbahadur
Considering how much he paid for the horse, I think Jess Jackson's goal for the filly would be the Eclipse for HOY. A win in the Whitney or Stephen Foster (which Curlin ran in last year) and then the Travers would go a lot further than a win in the Delaware Handicap towards this Eclipse. The fact that Curlin was being pointed originally to the Arc de Triomphe last summer shows that Jackson can be ambitious when determining where to run his good horses.

All she has to do to win horse of the year is race against fillies for the rest of the year and stay undefeated.

I'm not saying this is what I want to see, I'd rather see what happens if she goes in the Belmont, but they can play chicken and lock up horse of the year by winning weak G1 races for fillies.

Danzig 05-22-2009 03:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Why not? Isn't it quite possible that the Jim Dandy or even the Delaware Handicap could wind up a tougher race than the Whitney this year? Somehow cause she's running against slower older males it is magically going to take more out of her than running against faster 3yos or older fillies?

so, now my saying she could go to the delaware doesn't sound so crazy, does it?

SniperSB23 05-22-2009 03:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by letswastemoney
All she has to do to win horse of the year is race against fillies for the rest of the year and stay undefeated.

I'm not saying this is what I want to see, I'd rather see what happens if she goes in the Belmont, but they can play chicken and lock up horse of the year by winning weak G1 races for fillies.

What if Einstein wins the Stephen Foster, Arlington Million, Pacific Classic, Jockey Club Gold Cup or Goodwood, and BC Classic? He'd have won three of the biggest turf races in the country, the biggest synthetic races in the country, and a G1 or two on the dirt.

letswastemoney 05-22-2009 03:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
What if Einstein wins the Stephen Foster, Arlington Million, Pacific Classic, Jockey Club Gold Cup or Goodwood, and BC Classic? He'd have won three of the biggest turf races in the country, the biggest synthetic races in the country, and a G1 or two on the dirt.

True, Einstein could win it if he sweeps the rest of his season.

Mine That Bird could win the Belmont, Travers, and BC Classic, and that might be good enough as well.

I guess one more race against males might go a long way.

Handicappy 05-22-2009 04:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by letswastemoney
All she has to do to win horse of the year is race against fillies for the rest of the year and stay undefeated.

I'm not saying this is what I want to see, I'd rather see what happens if she goes in the Belmont, but they can play chicken and lock up horse of the year by winning weak G1 races for fillies.

Jackson might be seduced by her chances of winning the Belmont and then cementing herself as the greatest filly ever. I think it would be dumb to do as there are a great many fun places to put her this year. Personally I would love to see her in a race against Zenyatta. Don't know if it will happen but can you imagine the buzz for that one?

mbahadur 05-22-2009 05:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Handicappy
Jackson might be seduced by her chances of winning the Belmont and then cementing herself as the greatest filly ever. I think it would be dumb to do as there are a great many fun places to put her this year. Personally I would love to see her in a race against Zenyatta. Don't know if it will happen but can you imagine the buzz for that one?

I don't see her running anytime before the Breeder Cup against Zenyatta in a race on a synthetic surface (which is an unknown for RA).

Danzig 05-22-2009 05:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mbahadur
I don't see her running anytime before the Breeder Cup against Zenyatta in a race on a synthetic surface (which is an unknown for RA).

no..i thought that too, but she ran at keeneland and won.


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