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-   -   Can a consistent long-term profit be acheived in horseracing markets? (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=23259)

Bobby Fischer 06-21-2008 12:37 PM

woodbine r2 $2 show on #3

Bobby Fischer 06-21-2008 12:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
woodbine r2 $2 show on #3

lose, loss = $2
new bankroll = 1051.00

comments: getting warmed up for a big day.

Bobby Fischer 06-21-2008 01:31 PM

woodbine r4 $4 win on #6

Bobby Fischer 06-21-2008 01:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
woodbine r4 $4 win on #6

lose, loss = $4
new bankroll = 1047.00

Bobby Fischer 06-21-2008 02:02 PM

woodbine r5 $30 show on #7

Bobby Fischer 06-21-2008 02:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
woodbine r5 $30 show on #7

lose, loss = $30
new bankroll = 1017.00

comments: got the easy lead on the front end that I wanted. Horse folded, and a couple unlikely rivals ran big in the stretch to photo him out of third.

TheSpyder 06-21-2008 02:15 PM

I think you're the wrong Fisher....Playing more like Carrie than Bobby and sinking fast

Bobby Fischer 06-21-2008 04:42 PM

colonial race 9 $15 win $30 show on #9

Bobby Fischer 06-21-2008 04:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
colonial race 9 $15 win $30 show on #9

win, return = 126.00 (9.20*7.5+ 3.80*15)
new bankroll = 1098.00


comments: the stars alligned on a tough betting race and the clouds let loose the terenchal downpour. The pick was then naturally Sailor's Cap who swept by foes as lightning flashed to win by half a dozen open lengths.

Bobby Fischer 06-21-2008 05:22 PM

the colonial feed has the colonail fountain on for 10 minutes straight for race 10. I want to see if the hotwalker I know is at colonial for this race. I actually had a tip on a horse, but the race went off the turf and now the value on my horse is negative zilch.

they didn't show the paddock area once:mad:. I guess they don't want to get the camera crew wet. Or they went in to dry off after the feature.

now scratches changes is up forever


your attention please

race 10 is cancelled

Rupert Pupkin 06-21-2008 05:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jcs11204
i am trying to understand.. i am not just ripping you like others. i just dont see it....

If a person is seriously trying to make money in the long run, they will only make bets that they think they have an edge on. If you have a horse that you think is the best horse in the race and you estimate that he has a 50% chance of winning the race, then you would have an edge betting him if he was 6-5. If he was 4-5, you would be making a losing bet in the long run.

I have no idea whether Bobby knows what he's doing or not. But I have no problem with his methods or reasoning. His thought process is correct. If you consistently make bets with a positive ROI, you will make money over time. What it will come down to is whether or not he knows what he's talking about when he makes his estimations of what chance a horse has of winning or hitting the board or whatever.

Bobby Fischer 06-22-2008 12:00 PM

bel r1 $2 show on #4

Bobby Fischer 06-22-2008 12:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
bel r1 $2 show on #4

win, return= 3.10
new bankroll = 1099.10

Bobby Fischer 06-22-2008 12:21 PM

woodbine r3 $2 win $2 show on #6

Bobby Fischer 06-22-2008 12:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
woodbine r3 $2 win $2 show on #6

win, return = 13.50
new bankroll = 1108.6

TheSpyder 06-22-2008 12:43 PM

Hot Streak! Go for it Bobby!

Bobby Fischer 06-22-2008 02:03 PM

woodbine r6 $2 show on #2

Bobby Fischer 06-22-2008 02:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
woodbine r6 $2 show on #2

win, return = $3.80
new bankroll = 1110.4

Bobby Fischer 06-22-2008 02:47 PM

woodbine r7 $30 show on #1


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