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-   -   Rags to Riches/Belmont try? (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=12667)

philcski 05-08-2007 04:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
I have a strong feeling she may regress off the SA efforts when faced with a real horse race. IF she runs her race, it's all over, she will win by 3, but if she takes a step or two back and another takes a step forward, suddenly the event becomes a lot different.

Those eligible to move forward at a price (taking into account the mile and an eighth, pace, etc.): High Heels, Dreaming of Anna, Tough Tiz's Sis, Autobahn Girl, Sealy Hill.

Wow, this group did a lot of running. :rolleyes:
I tried too hard to beat a layup winner. Figured SOMEONE interesting would do some running, but it wasn't meant to be.

She ran great, and galloped out strong. Had nice seats at the clubhouse turn and she hardly looked winded.

Thoroughbred Fan 05-08-2007 04:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by witchdoctor
Wonder if that what the owners of Ruffian were thinking in her match race with Foolish pleasure?

The risk of breakdown is constant. Believe it or not horses even get cast in their stalls. They are fragile, but this is a sport. By definition it means to compete.

NTamm1215 05-08-2007 04:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by somerfrost
Exactly...Silverbulletday was considered equal to or superior to the 3yo colts, she tried the 1999 Belmont went off at 5-1 and finished a tired 7th! She had a good turn of speed and set the pace without being challenged...

Breeding wise it is hard to imagine Silverbulletday was better suited to the Belmont than Rags to Riches.

Silverbulletday, while an extremely nice filly, beat up on a lot of subpar fillies in the spring of '99. In the Belmont that year there was a pretty decent cast of characters, including Charismatic bidding for the Triple Crown. That was a fast running of the race and clearly Silverbulletday wanted no part of 1 1/2 miles.

NT

somerfrost 05-08-2007 04:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thoroughbred Fan
Somer stop being such a wuss. It seems racing can't make anyone happy. If horses dodge one another, we cry about not getting to see the matchups we want. Then ,if someone does something "sporting" (good word for it Cannon)you're already calling them dumb for trying.

She can clearly beat the fillies without a top effort. Racing doesn't need another filly who picks her spots to retire with a nearly pristine record (Azeri, Ashado, etc), they need something over the top. A big G1 win by a filly over males would be a huge boost to the sport. Either way, if she runs, I'll actually be rooting for Pletcher. I can't believe I just said that.

Who are you to call me names? I'm pointing out the facts and I'm every bit as much entitled to state my opinion as you or anyone else...I never called Pletcher "dumb", you don't win as many races as he has and be dumb, I merely stated my damn opinion and asked if maybe he's getting despirate for a classic win. I presented historical facts and even the PF's which indicate why he IS considering the race! Just cause I don't agree with your point of view, you call me a wuss...back at you, wimp!

Cannon Shell 05-08-2007 04:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by somerfrost
Exactly...Silverbulletday was considered equal to or superior to the 3yo colts, she tried the 1999 Belmont went off at 5-1 and finished a tired 7th! She had a good turn of speed and set the pace without being challenged...

How did it hurt her?

philcski 05-08-2007 04:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
I think that this is a pretty weak group of colts and very few have breeding that suggests that they will relish the distance. She has enough speed to get the right trip and will catch the best colts coming off of 2 hard efforts and coming back on short rest. If she loses then she can resume beating up on fillies in the Test/Alabama. Plus Pletcher will make his other owners happy by getting Octave a grade 1 win in the Acorn or Mother Goose without having to mess with Rags.

The problem is the two best colts both are bred to go the mile and a half and look like they will relish it.

The rest of them? Not so much.

Cannon Shell 05-08-2007 04:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by witchdoctor
Wonder if that what the owners of Ruffian were thinking in her match race with Foolish pleasure?

Do you think her leg broke because she was racing against a colt?

somerfrost 05-08-2007 04:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Do you think her leg broke because she was racing against a colt?

No, her leg may well have been injured coming out of the gate (there is some evidence that she struck the metal as the gate opened), it was a tragic event that I suspect had little to do with who she was racing against.

paisjpq 05-08-2007 04:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Her broodmare value is moot because there is only one guy who could afford her now other than her current owners and there is zero chance that Tabor and co. would let him have her.

But it would be a historic win if she won

I heard the lads will be offering her to the sheikhs at the end of the season as a peace offering:D

somerfrost 05-08-2007 04:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
How did it hurt her?


I don't know, you'd have to ask her! Seriously though, I think SBD was a good example of a filly that many thought was better than the colts (Charismatic was not that highly regarded going into the Derby) so her 7th place finish is an example of a top filly going against colts. I agree the breeding is different (SBD vs Rags), but the Belmont has a history of favoring speed types.

Cannon Shell 05-08-2007 04:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by paisjpq
I heard the lads will be offering her to the sheikhs at the end of the season as a peace offering:D

I'd like to be there for the handoff

ateamstupid 05-08-2007 04:38 PM

The question still hasn't been answered of where a better spot to try colts would be.

10 pnt move up 05-08-2007 04:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
Wow, this group did a lot of running. :rolleyes:
I tried too hard to beat a layup winner. Figured SOMEONE interesting would do some running, but it wasn't meant to be.

She ran great, and galloped out strong. Had nice seats at the clubhouse turn and she hardly looked winded.

You stated a real horse race was the reason you did not like her, exactly what are the other filly races that where real horse races compared to the santa anita oaks, i just dont see it in this division this year.

Cannon Shell 05-08-2007 04:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by somerfrost
I don't know, you'd have to ask her! Seriously though, I think SBD was a good example of a filly that many thought was better than the colts (Charismatic was not that highly regarded going into the Derby) so her 7th place finish is an example of a top filly going against colts. I agree the breeding is different (SBD vs Rags), but the Belmont has a history of favoring speed types.

I know what you are saying but it would make a great storyline if SS loses the Preakness or even if he wins, it adds to the intrigue.

Cannon Shell 05-08-2007 04:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
The question still hasn't been answered of where a better spot to try colts would be.

Ohio Derby

ateamstupid 05-08-2007 04:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Ohio Derby

No way.. Birdbirdistheword might show up there.

horseofcourse 05-08-2007 04:41 PM

All I know is if Street Sense beats Hard Spun in the Preakness in a very close race, and both of those show up in the Belmont with Rags to Riches that would be one of the greatest shows horse racing has ever put on.

somerfrost 05-08-2007 04:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215
Breeding wise it is hard to imagine Silverbulletday was better suited to the Belmont than Rags to Riches.

Silverbulletday, while an extremely nice filly, beat up on a lot of subpar fillies in the spring of '99. In the Belmont that year there was a pretty decent cast of characters, including Charismatic bidding for the Triple Crown. That was a fast running of the race and clearly Silverbulletday wanted no part of 1 1/2 miles.

NT

Silverbulletday was bred to get a distance though...Silver Deputy out of Rokeby Rose, she the daughter of Tom Rolfe (C,P) and he the son of Ribot (C,P), SBD's DP=6-1-9-0-6, DI=1.10, CD=0.05, that screams distance/stamina!

Cannon Shell 05-08-2007 04:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
No way.. Birdbirdistheword might show up there.

I have no doubt that Birdbird could have kicked Cowtown cats ass in the Derby!!

philcski 05-08-2007 04:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up
You stated a real horse race was the reason you did not like her, exactly what are the other filly races that where real horse races compared to the santa anita oaks, i just dont see it in this division this year.

That was the point of busting my own balls. The 3YO fillies are horrifically bad this year...

but a great one runs next Friday ;)


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