Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   Joe Silverio Simulcast Center (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=3)
-   -   Belmont Day Playalong (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=57465)

RHT2004 06-06-2015 05:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman (Post 1030266)
Historically this is a very smart approach.

Hate stuff like this. Why do past running's matter at all? Will AP think to himself that other potential triple crown winners have run 2nd or 3rd so he should not win and run 2nd or 3rd.

pointman 06-06-2015 05:25 PM

Bel 11

$20W 7
$5TRI 6,7,8/5/6,7,8
$10DD 7,8/5,6

pointman 06-06-2015 05:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004 (Post 1030268)
Hate stuff like this. Why do past running's matter at all? Will AP think to himself that other potential triple crown winners have run 2nd or 3rd so he should not win and run 2nd or 3rd.

I don't give a flying f*** what you think, it has nothing to do with what the horse thinks. It has everything to do with how difficult it is to win this race after winning the Derby and Preakness. That last 1/4 mile takes a lot out of a horse and that is where they become vulnerable.

Go jump all over the 3/5 which is a massive underlay considering his actual chances of winning.

Needing the Wire 06-06-2015 05:28 PM

06/06 6:23 PM Santa Anita 8 $0.50 P4 (PWHL) 2, 5, 8, 11, 12 / 8 / 6, 12 / 2, 8, 10 $15.00

06/06 6:24 PM Santa Anita 8 $1.00 TR (PWHL) 2 / 5, 8, 12 / 5, 7, 8, 11, 12, 13 $15.00

Take a swing while we wait.

RHT2004 06-06-2015 05:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman (Post 1030270)
I don't give a flying f*** what you think, it has nothing to do with what the horse thinks. It has everything to do with how difficult it is to win this race after winning the Derby and Preakness.

Go jump all over the 3/5 which is a massive underlay considering his actual chances of winning.

No need to swear, I just gave my opinion. I wasn't disrespectful. Good luck, I like your horses in the 12th, have them both in my pick 3 and 4.

jms62 06-06-2015 05:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004 (Post 1030268)
Hate stuff like this. Why do past running's matter at all? Will AP think to himself that other potential triple crown winners have run 2nd or 3rd so he should not win and run 2nd or 3rd.

You bet a trend until it ends. Trying to bet against an established trend cause you feel it is do is a fools game.

RHT2004 06-06-2015 05:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 1030273)
You bet a trend until it ends. Trying to bet against an established trend cause you feel it is do is a fools game.

I think AP will win, I dont bet 3-5 shots to win. He snaps back and talks about go bet him at 3-5.
Good luck both of you.

Benny 06-06-2015 05:32 PM

Belmont 11 $1.00 P3 5,6 / 5,7,10 / 8,10,11 $18.00
Belmont 11 $1.00 P3 1,3,5,6,8 / 5,7,10 / 10,11 $30.00

pointman 06-06-2015 05:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004 (Post 1030272)
No need to swear, I just gave my opinion. I wasn't disrespectful. Good luck, I like your horses in the 12th, have them both in my pick 3 and 4.

I like to swear Joey. I have said in other spots on the board that my heart wants him to win, but my money says otherwise. I wish him the best of luck, just think that last 1/4 of a mile will get to him as it has so many others.

pointman 06-06-2015 05:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004 (Post 1030274)
I think AP will win, I dont bet 3-5 shots to win. He snaps back and talks about go bet him at 3-5.
Good luck both of you.

My point was you have to try to beat him at 3/5, you have to recognize that he is a massive underlay relative to his true chances to win, right? And if he is a massive underlay that means the rest of the field are all overlays, correct?

RHT2004 06-06-2015 05:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman (Post 1030276)
I like to swear Joey. I have said in other spots on the board that my heart wants him to win, but my money says otherwise. I wish him the best of luck, just think that last 1/4 of a mile will get to him as it has so many others.

Fair enough broski. Good luck. Serling likes Keen Ice as well, out of respect I had to use him underneath. Dougie also liked him in the Derby, thats a lot of sharp people.

casp0555 06-06-2015 05:35 PM

one more play...

$3 Superfecta - 5,6/5,6/7,8/3,7,8
$24
damn....

knickslions2 06-06-2015 05:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by casp0555 (Post 1030279)
one more play...

$3 Superfecta - 5,6/5,6/7,8/3,7,8
$24

Keep it coming in Billy:)

jms62 06-06-2015 05:38 PM

I haven't cashed a ticket all day

APDave 06-06-2015 05:38 PM

Bel. 11

Might as well empty the account

$25 super.

5,8/5,8/6/1
5,6/5,6/8/3

$10 super.

8/6/3,5/3,5
1/5/6,8/6,8
5,6/5,6/8/3

RHT2004 06-06-2015 05:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 1030281)
I haven't cashed a ticket all day

I cashed 1-3 pick 3 and doubles. Have lost about 700$ since then. The tickets are on my FB before everyone calls me a redboarding POS.

jms62 06-06-2015 05:52 PM

Dry track will that make the difference.

pointman 06-06-2015 05:56 PM

Once I saw 1:13 and change I knew we had a triple crown winner, congrats to Baffert and the Zayat's. He is very deserving.

I am still surprised that JV let him get away that easy early though.

knickslions2 06-06-2015 05:56 PM

Well deserved

jms62 06-06-2015 05:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 1030284)
Dry track will that make the difference.

Nope he wins EASILY :tro::tro::tro: How awesome was that guys!!!

Needing the Wire 06-06-2015 06:01 PM

That was excellent!
Congrats to all involved
:tro:

jms62 06-06-2015 06:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 1030198)
Bel 8 $0.50 P4 4,8,9 / 1,4,6,7,9 / 2,3,4,5,7,10 / 3,5,6,7,8 $225.00

$1148.75

Was in position for a big score but seeing a Triple Crown was worth it.

Needing the Wire 06-06-2015 06:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 1030293)
$1148.75

Was in position for a big score but seeing a Triple Crown was worth it.

Nice JMS

pointman 06-06-2015 06:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 1030293)
$1148.75

Was in position for a big score but seeing a Triple Crown was worth it.

Nice job, Jim!

casp0555 06-06-2015 06:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by casp0555 (Post 1030279)
one more play...

$3 Superfecta - 5,6/5,6/7,8/3,7,8
$24

damn...

casp0555 06-06-2015 06:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 1030293)
$1148.75

Was in position for a big score but seeing a Triple Crown was worth it.

great job Jim!!

knickslions2 06-06-2015 06:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 1030293)
$1148.75

Was in position for a big score but seeing a Triple Crown was worth it.

Great cash Jim!!

Needing the Wire 06-06-2015 06:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Needing the Wire (Post 1030267)
06/06 5:55 PM Belmont Park 11 $20.00 EX (PWHL) 5 / 1, 2, 6 $60.00

06/06 5:57 PM Belmont Park 11 $5.00 EX (PWHL) 1 / 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 $35.00

06/06 5:57 PM Belmont Park 11 $10.00 EX (BOX ) 1, 5 $20.00

06/06 6:00 PM Belmont Park 11 $5.00 TR (PWHL) 1, 5 / 1, 5, 6 / 1, 2, 5, 6, 8 $60.00

06/06 6:18 PM Belmont Park 11 $1.00 P3 (PWHL) 1, 5, 6 / 1, 5, 6, 9, 10 / 11 $15.00

Best of Luck and Home Safely


$136


Thought the 1 may hold on for 3rd to make it profitable but...

casp0555 06-06-2015 06:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by casp0555 (Post 1030221)
NICE mtw...

Bel 9

$1.50 Pick3 - 4,7,9,10/1,2,5,7,10/5

$1 iPick3 - 1,4,7/2,5/3,6,8

$48

377.25

jms62 06-06-2015 06:13 PM

Thanks guys.

jms62 06-06-2015 06:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by casp0555 (Post 1030301)
377.25

Nice Billy

casp0555 06-06-2015 06:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 1030304)
Nice Billy

thanks Jim...Tom you were right about Materiality...finished 8th :wf

knickslions2 06-06-2015 06:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by casp0555 (Post 1030301)
377.25

Nice billy

Benny 06-06-2015 06:26 PM

Nice plays Jim and Billy -good to see you guys make it back -me I'm in a big hole.,someday.:wf:wf

casp0555 06-06-2015 06:26 PM

SA 9

$6 iDailyDouble - 8/2,9
$12

dellinger63 06-06-2015 06:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 1030293)
$1148.75

Was in position for a big score but seeing a Triple Crown was worth it.

Very nice...

pointman 06-06-2015 06:34 PM

Nice job, NTW, Billy!

Bel 13

$20W 6
$10DD 5,6/1,10

casp0555 06-06-2015 06:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman (Post 1030316)
Nice job, NTW, Billy!

Bel 13

$20W 6
$10DD 5,6/1,10

nice call on the 5 Nick...I was 7 deep on two pick 3s and guess what....thats right, no 5. :wf:wf

knickslions2 06-06-2015 06:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by casp0555 (Post 1030320)
nice call on the 5 Nick...I was 7 deep on two pick 3s and guess what....thats right, no 5. :wf:wf

I missed paco was riding him.

Needing the Wire 06-06-2015 06:57 PM

Sa R10
$5 Dbl - 6,12/2 = $10

$5 Ex - 12/6,14 = $10


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 08:32 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.