Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   Triple Crown Topics/Archive.. (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=9)
-   -   2015: American Pharoah becomes 12th Triple Crown winner (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=56457)

cakes44 04-27-2015 08:15 PM

Oaks/Derby double... Stellar Wind-AP.

That is all.

Scav 04-27-2015 08:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by saratogadew (Post 1024280)
My early Oaks/Derby Double selection:

Condo Commando
By the Moon
Stellar Wind
Lovely Maria
West Coast Belle

OVER

American Pharoah
Mubtaahij
Firing Line
Stanford
Far Right

$4.00 Double
100.

Not to be rude, but are you really gonna play that? I mean, if it comes up Wind / AP, you are looking at getting 40$ or 50$ back on $4

RHT2004 04-27-2015 09:46 PM

Anyone know if they have the 2 day pick 3 this year?

Kitan 04-27-2015 09:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004 (Post 1024314)
Anyone know if they have the 2 day pick 3 this year?

http://www.churchilldowns.com/racing...mes-wager-menu

Yes.

-BT- 04-28-2015 12:06 PM

http://www.washingtonpost.com/sports...9dd_story.html

had no clue Shah was a local boy....Vienna, VA

-bt-

munster705 04-28-2015 12:11 PM

Thoughts on Firing Line? I am leaning towards him with 5 days to post.....love the preps....ran right with the favorite in here and it sounds like they are training him to rate off the pace

Thunder Gulch 04-28-2015 03:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav (Post 1024313)
Not to be rude, but are you really gonna play that? I mean, if it comes up Wind / AP, you are looking at getting 40$ or 50$ back on $4

Not even that. Last year the chalk P3 paid $4.25 per $50c. Everyone had those 3 in their wheels. I won and lost money. The double was $5.70 per $1

Rudeboyelvis 04-28-2015 06:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by munster705 (Post 1024368)
Thoughts on Firing Line? I am leaning towards him with 5 days to post.....love the preps....ran right with the favorite in here and it sounds like they are training him to rate off the pace

He's in my top 3, at the moment

I'd love to see odds on a prop bet that he'd finish ahead of Dortmund, which I believe can very well happen.

Rudeboyelvis 04-28-2015 07:03 PM

Great up to date workout recap from the Courier Journal:

http://www.courier-journal.com/story...ates/26363729/

Kasept 04-28-2015 08:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis (Post 1024436)
Great up to date workout recap from the Courier Journal:

http://www.courier-journal.com/story...ates/26363729/

That's the daily notebook from the Communications Office. Available at kentuckyderby.com without the hoopjumping req'd at the C-J:

http://www.kentuckyderby.com/

http://www.kentuckyderby.com/news/20...-draws-field-1

Darren Rogers Communications Dept. twitter feed with links to all the press releases: https://twitter.com/DerbyMedia

Dunbar 04-29-2015 11:58 AM

Tale of The Verve was entered in the Ky Derby and is now 2nd on the bubble:

http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-raci...d-for-ky-derby

A horse with 0 points might make it in.


--Dunbar

Dunbar 04-30-2015 09:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dunbar (Post 1024081)
I'm failing to see what, if anything, separates Am Pharoah and Dortmund by so much over Upstart and Materiality. I get it that Materiality has only had 3 races. But those races were not cakewalks. His (and to a lesser extent Upstart's) last-race BSF's are significantly superior to AP's and Dortmund's. And I get that AP was wound down late in the Ark Derby, but not IMO to a degree that would have flipped the BSF order.

At this point I'm thinking that Am Pharoah and Dortmund will both be significantly overbet. Carpe Diem will be wildly overbet. There should be a lot of value in several of the other horses.

--Dunbar

FWIW, I'm less confident now that Dortmund will be "significantly overbet". With post positions considered, and most of Dortmund's toughest competition drawing poorly, I'd make Dortmund a 9-2 fav in a no-vig line. So, if he goes off at 4-1 or higher, I wouldn't think that's "overbet".

--Dunbar

pmayjr 05-04-2015 01:31 AM

Any word on El Kabeir?

Kasept 05-04-2015 05:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pmayjr (Post 1025637)
Any word on El Kabeir?

He'll be fine but no Preakness. Issue was a quarter crack on the inside of the hoof. Was with Terranova before Derby as it happens and he said he'll concentrate on down the road opportunities. Nothing set as target yet. He was disappointed but not heartbroken. Just hopes he gets back with another 3yo.

Kasept 05-04-2015 06:26 AM

5/9/15 (BEL): Peter Pan

Madefromlucky (Pletcher)
Two Weeks Off (Pletcher)
Stanford (Pletcher)


5/16/15 (PIM): Preakness Stakes

American Pharoah (Baffert/V. Espinoza)
Firing Line (S. Callaghan/Stevens)
Dortmund (Baffert/M. Garcia)
International Star (Maker/Mena)
Divining Rod (Delacour)

Danzig Moon (Casse/Leparoux)
Materiality (Pletcher)
Carpe Diem (Pletcher)
Competitive Edge (Pletcher)
Bodhisattva (Corrales)



6/6/15 (BEL): Belmont Stakes

Keen Ice (Romans)
Mubtaahij (de Kock)

ateamstupid 05-04-2015 12:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1025644)
Materiality (Pletcher)
Two Weeks Off (Pletcher)

I hope at least one of these two runs.

pointman 05-04-2015 12:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 1025694)
I hope at least one of these two runs.

I would love to see Materiality run back, with a clean trip he is a huge threat in the Preakness.

ateamstupid 05-04-2015 12:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman (Post 1025695)
I would love to see Materiality run back, with a clean trip he is a huge threat in the Preakness.

He'd be on all my tickets. I think TWO has a lot of potential too.

knickslions2 05-04-2015 12:54 PM

I think Stanford plays a huge role in the Preakness if he goes. No way he even comes close to winning but changes everything from a pace projection. Two weeks off is very interesting

Rudeboyelvis 05-04-2015 12:59 PM

Pat Cummings mentioning on Twitter that Mubtaahij is pointing to Belmont

Indian Charlie 05-04-2015 01:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis (Post 1025732)
Pat Cummings mentioning on Twitter that Mubtaahij is pointing to Belmont

Belmont Derby?

Kasept 05-04-2015 02:03 PM

Potential Preakness field perhaps half that of Derby
Jay Privman

Just as in the Kentucky Derby, it looks like trainers Bob Baffert and Todd Pletcher will determine the complexion of the Preakness Stakes, though unlike the Derby, the Preakness is shaping up as having a field perhaps half the size of the Derby.

Eighteen charged out of the gate in the Derby, with favored American Pharoah prevailing over Firing Line, with Dortmund third. As of Monday, those three were all pointing to the Preakness on May 16 at Pimlico. But potential challengers are sparse for the second leg of the Triple Crown. There are seven others whose connections are currently looking at the Preakness, but their degree of interest ranges from certain to merely possible.

Three potential runners – Carpe Diem, Competitive Edge, and Materiality – are all trained by Pletcher, but it is highly unlikely he would run all of them. All three would be coming back on two weeks’s rest. Carpe Diem was 10th in the Derby, Materiality sixth, while Competitive Edge won the Pat Day Mile earlier Saturday at Churchill Downs.

Other potential Preakness runners include Bodhisattva, Danzig Moon, Divining Rod, and International Star.

There are some jockey assignments that need to get ironed out. If Pletcher runs just one horse, John Velazquez likely would ride. If he runs more than one, Velazquez would have to choose.

Similarly, if Danzig Moon and Divining Rod run, Julien Leparoux would have to choose. As of Monday, Divining Rod was certain to run, Danzig Moon merely possible.

Full story -- plus a field box with horse, trainer, jockey, and last start -- up soon at www.drf.com

Kasept 05-05-2015 10:17 AM

International Star OUT of Preakness with ankle chip
Marty McGee , Churchill Downs , 2015-05-05 - DRF Live

INTERNATIONAL STAR, the La. Derby winner who was scratched Saturday from the Kentucky Derby with a sore left front foot, was diagnosed this morning at Churchill Downs with an ankle chip in the same foreleg and will be sidelined indefinitely.

"This is a very depressing moment," owner Ken Ramsey said by phone this morning. "He was jogging unsound again this morning, and after we had extensive X-rays taken, a tiny chip about 2 millimeters in diameter was discovered. He'll have surgery, then 60-90 days off, then 30 more days stall rest. Best-case scenario would be a late-fall campaign."

Ramsey and trainer Mike Maker had said Derby Day they hoped the NY-bred colt would be past his soreness and able to run in the 140th Preakness at Pimlico on May 16, but clearly those plans have to be abandoned.

International Star won three straight stakes at Fair Grounds and was 24-1 in advance wagering for the Derby when he was withdrawn early Saturday.

tector 05-05-2015 11:02 AM

Is Ramsey going to throw another infantile tantrum now?

ElPrado 05-05-2015 04:04 PM

Probably asks the trainer if he'll be ready for the Belmont.

3kings 05-05-2015 04:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tector (Post 1025909)
Is Ramsey going to throw another infantile tantrum now?

What happened? Is there a link? Thanks in advance.

knickslions2 05-05-2015 04:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 3kings (Post 1025961)
What happened? Is there a link? Thanks in advance.

There's an article on drf

Kasept 05-09-2015 09:19 AM

As Mark Casse seemed to hint, Danzig Moon will be a Preakness entrant..

Kasept 05-10-2015 09:21 AM

Tale of Verve will run per Dallas after working this morning..

ElPrado 05-10-2015 10:12 AM

http://m.espn.go.com/general/blogs/blog ... %22%7D&wjb)

Danzig 05-10-2015 10:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ElPrado (Post 1026422)

Doesn't work

Kasept 05-10-2015 11:49 AM

Mr Z will not contest Preakness..

Arletta 05-10-2015 11:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1026441)
Mr Z will not contest Preakness..

Thank God!

cakes44 05-10-2015 12:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Arletta (Post 1026443)
Thank God!

Direct quote from Mr Z?

Arletta 05-11-2015 01:04 PM

Carpe Diem not running.

casp0555 05-11-2015 01:17 PM

Privman drf post

http://live.drf.com/nuggets/14920

jms62 05-11-2015 02:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by casp0555 (Post 1026613)

Wish Stanford was running so we can see an honest pace not Dortmund wearing down Firing Line and setting the table for American Pharaoh

Kasept 05-11-2015 03:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 1026623)
Wish Stanford was running so we can see an honest pace not Dortmund wearing down Firing Line and setting the table for American Pharaoh

Won't Materiality be prompting?

jms62 05-11-2015 03:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1026625)
Won't Materiality be prompting?

If I had to choose between which would DEFINITLEY go it would be Stanford. I don't see Castellano opening up and trying to go as fast as he can as far as he gain and hope no one follows. The only hope that Stanford would have is that scenario. Just my humble opinion.

Kitan 05-11-2015 03:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1026625)
Won't Materiality be prompting?

Not if he doesn't enter the starting gate. There's talk of Grand Bili being entered...prompted the pace in two sprints so far.


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 01:00 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.