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WRONG. If anything the pace and tough trips accounted for her winning, and I agree that it was fluky. But you are lying to yourself if you think she was closing at TP. I saw her that day, and she was even paced and inder a drive for a half mile and could make up no ground. If you wanna make a little bet on this I'd be happy to. |
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Lemons ran twice on polytrack, winning once and finishing a fast closing third in the stakes falling a length short of winning. I don't see how that is so inconsistent with her form. I'm looking for a good example of an established dirt horse not running well. Say Happy Ticket or Spun Sugar really tank. Then I'd give some more credence to the theory that good dirt horses won't like poly. You know what though, I betcha they wind up running 1-2 because they are the best horses in the race and the best horses won't have a problem with poly. |
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Yeah that loss to Top Notch lady with that "fast closing third place finish" was really powerful. So she misses the board then she gets beat by Top Notch Lady(anybody seen her after that?) and then wins the Oaks. I definitely see the correlation there:rolleyes: |
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I think everybody jumping to conclusions and being prophets of doom is premature at least and plain silly at best. I think we should just watch and observe Keeneland this meet and see how a higher caliber of horse performs over it. This silly notion of it changing the evolution of the horses is pure b.s, and if it were in fact true than we should hardly be complaining, I mean do we really need to preserve the sires that are producing fragile, broken down sprinters capable of 5 races in a campaign?
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Turf horse may like it IF they also handle dirt, but you're already talking about a versatile horse then. |
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Instead i'm going to say I talked to the top trainers but I can't name names and they said their horses did well at Keeneland and they like how their horses transitioned from poly to dirt. They also talked about the season premiere of Lost but that's where I faded out of the convo because I don't watch it. |
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She was under a hard drive for a half mile and spinning her wheels, and got beat by two dregs. WHich part of that do you deny? |
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That day was my first and only day of betting polytrack. I played her that day and keyed her. I was watching her the whole way. Guidry had her in a hard drive on the turn and she couldnt gain an inch. It wasn't a real close, the two horses she was chasing droppewd dead after a duel and she passed those two only after getting passed by the other two. Never at any time did she ever look she had any chance whatsoever of winning. Then WIth A City won, and that was enough polytrack for me thanks!!! |
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Again you speak sense in the midst of "madness". I'll also watch. |
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Guys who really watch races can quote chapter and verse what happened in a race and how a horse was ridden and what they did, I guess thats the difference here. Too bad you have to waste so much time looking up charts on the net in order to talk about a horses's race. Lame. |
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There really is no rule when betting Keeneland. It is a new surface and the best way to bet it is to bet on class alone. It is a good meet to save all the information and charts from. There probably will be all sorts of little angles.
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You have a pretty big mouth so perhaps you could enlighten me as to teh finer points of the race of which I KNOW what happened. Coronados Vision went out and dueled with someone else. My basis of playing the race was that I HATED the favorite sabatini of Biancone's who was a ridiculously overbet odds on fave. Top Notch lady who I believe was casse's horse won teh race and Lemons was under a HARD drive halfway through the turn and spinning her wheels. She then passed the duelers eventually(I cant remember who Coronado dueld with, I admit that) and never looked like a winner. Now please explain to me how that wager clouded my vision. I know what i saw and it was a very lackluster performance with no excuses at all. YOu wanna watch knowledge of this game with me? Go for it, I'll enjoy smoking you right here on any topic you choose!!! Now please give me your take of that race that lemons lost. Tell me how you think it set up and your visual impressions of what the participants that you can recall did. I'm very much looking forward to it. People who comment on races they didn't see or about as absurd as any people I can imagine. How teh hell can anyone question what someone else saw in a race if they didn't see it themselves? Its insane. |
By the way Top Notch went on to win a grass stakes race or high priced allowance at Woodbine later on this past year. But pillow, I'm sure you knew that right?
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How about we duel in a game of tetris? You need me to mock you a little harder until you finally get a clue, punchy? |
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I'm tellin ya what I saw. If you had actaully seen the race you might be able to debate it. But alas, you didnt, so you wanna try and make witty quotes about dueling with tetris. I thought I made a horrible bet at the time to be honest, and didn't blame anyone but me. I cursed myself out for betting Dallas Stewart who I have had VERY little luck wagering on. I sure didn't blame Polytrack. So you can strike that as a theory. |
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You aren't a very good sleuth, to say the very least. |
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Spin spin spin. I GOTTA BE RIGHT! |
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My question to you--how can a horse who spins her wheels close to lose by 1 length? |
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I don't know whats so hard to grasp about a race being so unformful as With A City's being a kinda negative experience in your first start playing Poly. I certainly didn't think Lemons was any kind of cinch, I just though she was value, and it certainly didn't shock me that she lost. WHen you can beat me in knoweldge of something, get back to me. |
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What was so bad about With a City winning that race? The field was dreadful. Would it have been so much better if Hemingway's Key or Superfly won? Seaside Retreat? Malameeze? More than Regal? Pair of Kings? Sharp Attack? Tahoe Warrior? Laity? Silent Times? Starspangled Gator? In a race full of nags someone has to win.
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Seaside Retreat was just about as bad. When they ran 1-2 I said ok, thats it. You devils advocate guys are piss poor. You can make that argument in hindsight with any horse. So how much did you guys have on him? You musta made one hell of a killing because if you can justify him winning that race(of course now its in hindsight, as usual) then you should have had a bundle on him at those odds. WHo exactly is bull****ting who here? You guys wanna get on me because I think an impossible horse won and admit it. Then you guys wanna tell me how he figured. Gee, how much did you guys have on him then? If you didn't bet him then its pretty obvious who the bull****ters are. |
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