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I know, i know...those horse arent anywhere close to high cotton but i had to give it a shot. |
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I wasn't particularly impressed with Jazil's Belmont win. That race played very weak. Lawyer Ron is better than any of those horses although he can't run 1 1/2 miles like Jazil. With regard to his speed figures, I hear that his sheet figures were actually very good in the Arkansas races. The sheets rated those races much higher than Beyer did. |
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Who did Henny beat last year? I only ask you in gest so that you realize what a silly question it is. I know how good Henny Hughes is. It doesn't matter who he beat last year. I'm not sure if he beat any really good horses last year or not but it doesn't matter. He's a really good horse and he's probably the horse to beat in the BC Sprint. It doesn't matter who he's beaten, it's how he did it. |
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But, I will definitely be betting against Henny this year in the BC sprint. I think he is a nice horse but will be overbet. |
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but if he beat the horse who beat all those horses, than he's the best, right?? lol hey, i'm just having some fun at this point...but if you want to know who i think has beaten the most top three year olds, it's not lawyer ron or bernardini. for the record, i don't think lawyer ron is one of the top three year olds, strong contender either. but every horse mentioned in this thread has faced a bit of everything. some win, and make money, like ron and bern, some don't. |
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Its just an opinion. I have no need to justify it. My impression is that this horse will be fine up to 1 1/8 miles, but I don't believe he can get the extra 1/8th mile at this time. If they ran him in the BC, its "my opinion" that he can't get the distance with the big horses. And conversely,using your logic, he has not shown anything to suggest that he can get the distance.The Derby may be a "throwout", but the FACT of the matter is he has tried it once and was hammered. |
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Thanks for watching the replay of the Haskell. I beg anyone who thinks Cacique and English Channel had bad trips in the Arl Million to watch the first part of the Haskell and Strong Contender. Please.
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Someone wanted to know who Lawyer Ron beat and was quite persistent...got the time??
Lewis Michael Smokeyjonessutton Point Determined...graded stakes winner Steppenwolfer Private Vow...graded stakes winner HIgh Cotton...graded stakes winner Simon Pure Hyte Regency Red Raymond Mark of Success Kip Deville AP Warrior...graded stakes winner Sharp Humor Flashy Bull Bob and John...graded stakes winner Sinister Minister...graded stakes winner Louisborg Costa Rising Saint Augustus With a City...graded stakes winner Music School Keyed Entry...graded stakes winner Cause to Believe...graded stakes winner Sayhellotolarry Well Said Nob Hill Delite Film Fortune Celluloind Hero Malameeze Cielo Gold More than Regal LIke an Eagle Casino Evil Follow the Storm Starspangled Gator His Eyes It's a meaningless list. My thoughts on the race. I dont' think McKee did the wrong thing. Trainers don't want horses to run loose on the lead anymore. What happened to Quincy Hamilton when he did that on Kip Deville?? I believe he was taken off the horse wasn't he? As others have said, the horse has rated in many races...even races he lead like the Risen Star. The connections said he rated very well in the St Louis Derby and he was way back early there as he was in the Rebel. For whatever reason he doesn't always do it. I think they felt they perhaps turned the corner last race and when he shot forward again...McKee I am sure was doing what he was instructed to do. I like the horse. I don't know what the Beyer was, I am guessing that Strong Contender and Lawyer Ron will be in the 100 to 104 range perhaps? They aren't on the DRF leaderboard. The equibase figure for Lawyer Ron was a 107 which was right on the 108 he got for the St Louis Derby and he got a 103 Beyer in that one. I thought Lawyer Ron pretty much ran his race yesterday. Strong Contender was just better that race. I don't know if he is a 10f horse or not. I do know you can't just take the Ky Derby and say based on those results a horse can't go 10f. There were lots of good horses run clunkers in that race who could go 10f. Hansel, Skip Away, Point Given, Tabasco Cat even Holy Bull who eventually won the Travers come to mind. I agree with the writer who stated the Cigar Mile may be a better goal than the BC Classic. And I also agree that going 10f, Lawyer Ron isn't in the same galaxy as Bernardini...but I don't think any other 3 year olds are either. I don't think any older horses are either for that matter. |
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This list must include his derby run when like 1/2 field after being slaughted for 3/4 of a mile never asked their horses to run and save them for another day, thats why that list is meaningless |
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No clue what Beyer did with the figure but the equibase number was a 109 for Strong Contender which translates to about a 95-99 Beyer.
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no way...it's the fastest super derby at that distance, and a few ticks off the track record. beyer is going to be in the hundreds.
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It was a clear victory by Strong Contender. Neither horse is all that good. |
Sweetnorthernsaint is back working again....I'm hoping he can become the monster we all thought he could be pre-Derby. I think his Preakness performance, all things considered, was pretty brave. Many a horse would have gave up that day.
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Merasq- Face it, you couldnt pick a winner after the race. Your so cold you make me look like I know what I am talking about. Please pick against Lava Man and say he has no shot in the BC.
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I believe the Seahawks beat the Giants by 16 or 18 points. Not a football fan, just happened to see the highlights. I wish I could take a nap. Its 2 more hours of work then a pizza and Cold Stone for a huge shake. Its one of those days.
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