|
Bums for Monday:
Albuquerque Race #1: Iron Axe Albuquerque Race #6: House of Dollies and Ragged Descent Albuquerque Race #10: Hoop N Hollar Arlington Park Race #7: Pushin Up Daisy and Saint Patty Ann Canterbury Race #6: Gloriousdemmi Canterbury Race #10: Emperor's Choice Columbus Race #1: Abby Ring Calder Race #9: Adama Del Mar Race #2: Truly a Mist Del Mar Race #10: Paralyzing Eyes Ellis Park Race #3: Short North Emerald Downs Race #1: Doctor Pav Emerald Downs Race #4: Orcas Gold Fairmount Park Race #5: Posh B. Wild Fairmount Park Race #7: Dontflateryourself Golden Gate Race #2: Finest Angel Hastings Race #1: Bueno's Legacy Louisiana Downs Race #9: Jace Jacob Mountaineer Race #2: Erika's Buddy Mountaineer Race #3: Enjoyable Journey Mountaineer Race #4: Cloudy Vision Monmouth Race #10: Festa Time Portland Meadows Race #5: Laurasmadagain Portland Meadows Race #8: A. J.'s Lil Amigo Parx Race #1: Quiet Liveing Parx Race #4: Double Dutch Bus Parx Race #10: Runnin Bull River Downs Race #9: Navajo Park Remington Park Race #1: Road Rage G and Lucky Doobeh Remington Park Race #2: Ruby Pauline Saratoga Race #2: Lake Nona Saratoga Race #10: Sandyinthesun Suffolk Race #1: Double Your Dollar Thistle Downs Race #5: B Moore Bentley Thistle Downs Race #7: Catonine Timonioum Race #6: Catrippi Timonioum Race #7: Askmethequestions Woodbine Race #1: Gobi Gold Woodbine Race #4: Its Jerry Woodbine Race #5: Johnny Neutrino |
Quote:
|
Quote:
As for the bum who gave the scare at Suffolk -- he got a textbook perfect trip. He was a clear 3rd early off of two breakaway speed duelers in a short field.  A lot of the greatest upsets in history happened with similar scenarios. I did a thread about it a few years ago -- and here are some of the pictures I posted in the old thread: * Jim Dandy won the Travers by 8 lengths at "100/1" in a 4-horse field... one bookmaker who offered 500/1 against him at Saratoga tried to jump a fence and runaway and escape after he won.  * Dare And Go stalks a 3-way pace battle between three wildly superior horses from a clear 4th...he blows Cigar and Siphon away in the stretch.  * This wasn't a famous upset -- but Malibu Moonshine paid $31.60 and won by an easy 5 lengths in a 4-horse field.  390 down, only 610 more to go. |
A few others from the thread:
* The impressiveness of this win by El Gato Malo was historically huge. David Flores was the jockey of both El Gato Malo and Zenyatta ...  After this impressive win, Flores took off of undefeated Zenyatta to ride El Gato Malo on the same day in the Santa Anita Derby. El Gato Malo finished 5th as the favorite in the SA Derby -- and Flores never got to ride his mount Zenyatta again. |
Yesterday the bums managed to run away with another $30,613 to bring the grand total up to a very healthy $419,711.
I had a rare chance to make it to the local OTB yesterday and I was reading through the form trying to guess potential bums, and I was surprised you didn't use Big Rock Candi in the 10th at Golden Gate, seeing how he had two lifetime starts where he failed to complete the course either time, very slow works, and low percentage connections. He wound up 4th (placed 3rd by DQ) after being described as "tailed off" on the far turn during the race call. |
Bums for Tuesday:
Evangeline Downs Race #1: Chelsea Diablo Evangeline Race #3: Another Grand Day Fort Erie Race #1: Northern Miners Fort Erie Race #8: O'delle Finger Lakes Race #3: Cathy All the Way Finger Lakes Race #6: Cup of Cee Hoosier Race #1: Jabbawokee and Goodxroll Hoosier Race #2: Drinkability Mountaineer Race #5: Lies and Affairs Presque Isle Downs Race #6: Tribute to a Star Parx Race #3: Val's Honor Parx Race #10: Sherrill's Hero Suffolk Race #3: Flying Son Suffolk Race #6: Uncle Mordecai Suffolk Race #8: Code Taker |
Quote:
Pretty crazy that the horse started his career off with back-to-back DNF's. Even crazier that it only paid #12.60 to show. Talk about terrible value. |
Tuesday's bums were responsible for losing $4,881 which brings the total lost so far to $424,592.
|
405 down, only 595 more to go.
|
Bums for Today:
Del Mar Race #1: Nisus Evangeline Race #3: Big W's La Tee and Bigolecountryboy Evangline Race #9: Cajun Raindance Evangline Race #11: Blessed Easter Hoosier Race #1: Cinco Estrella Hoosier Race #3: Upthemiddle Hoosier Race #4: Still in Front Laurel Race #7: Outfox and Marq Your Bible Laurel Race #9: Victoria Gallops Penn National Race #3: Runfast Presque Isle Downs Race #8: Handle Gently Portland Meadows Race #6: Cougar Bob Suffolk Race #2: Sick Puppy Thistle Downs Race #3: Z Piggy Bank |
14 of the bums ran today, and they all got thrashed, all finshing 5th or worse, and the two that were 5th were in 6 horse fields. They were responsible for $5,943 in failed win bets, bringing the grand total so far to $430,535.
Today also saw a record for the longest priced bum, as Outfox in the 7th at Laurel went off at 209-1. He led for the first half mile before he gave way readily and finished 13th beaten about 53 lengths. |
419 down, only 581 more to go.
|
Unfortunately many of the bums are also becoming a list of horses that should be retired.
|
Bums for Today:
Arlington Race 1: Silver Sunrise Arlington Race 7: Coyote Breeze Calder Race 3: Straightsuccess Finger Lakes Race 1: Great Privilege Finger Lakes Race 7: Missed the Notes Hoosier Race #4: Gijon Hoosier Race #8: Big Rabbit Louisiana Downs Race #9: St Southern Belle Laurel Race #6: Joel's Touch Penn National Race #5: Sea's Sweet Billie Remington Park Race #5: A Toast to Shadow Turfway Race #6: Rocio Storm |
Quote:
Most of these horses can win if placed in the right spots -- there are a lot of clueless trainers out there. |
Quote:
I don't think alot of owners understand the huge difference between say a 25nw2 race at Saratoga to that same race at Parx or Laurel. Hell, you can see a huge difference in those exact races between Parx and Penn National. |
Quote:
Jimmy Gulick, who is a great guy and fun to talk to, enters Holy Rosie in an OPEN MSW off her 19 Beyer. On the same card there is an IL bred MSW going 1/2 furlong more, where the top horse ran a 40 Beyer last time. Its probably a mistake, but something like this is fireable and it isn't like he is loaded with horses. (look at the 130k buy from the Mongolians in the 1st, probably one of the biggest gypsy org's out there). F'n amazing |
Quote:
I'm probably going to give Ranger a much needed weekend off. I'm hanging out at the track at PID the next two days with non-betting company and going out afterwards. Will pick up this thread and the win streak one when feeling returns to my body from 30 straight days of this madness, combined with making figures for about 10 tracks a day, betting, doing picks and writing for the newspaper, and still having the time to post about Knickerbocker and maintain a relationship with my girlfriend. I feel like I just went 10 rounds with Mike Tyson. |
Today's bum report has an interesting quandry, as Silver Sunrise in the first at Arlington ran coupled with another horse, who was clearly the better half of the entry as they went off at 7-2. Seeing how if the entry had won, anyone betting the bums would have cashed, I'm going to include it in the total. The entrymate finished 2nd and the bum was a well-beaten 6th. So the bums were involved with $9,044 in failed win wagers ($2,710 if you don't include the entry) which brings the grand total to $439,579.
Enjoy your time off, I'm sure this seemed a lot easier when it was just talk as opposed to doing all the actual legwork to make it happen. |
Back from the one day hiatus.
Bums for Saturday: Albuquerque Race #7: Mr Caty Albuquerque Race #8: Plaid Lightning Albuquerque Race #10: Robyns Return Arlington Park Race #4: Sin Bin Belmont Park Race #10: Keltic Fighter Calder Race #10: Smoking the Field Charles Town Race #5: Midsummer Lady Charles Town Race #7: Supreme Notion Delaware Park Race #7: Special Energy Emerald Downs Race #9: Thoughtful Guy Evangeline Downs Race #1: Sorcerer's Queen, High on the List, & Last Sweet Deal Evangline Downs Race #8: Ho Lotta Chrome and Rebetta Fairplex Race #2: Miss Ceehok Fairplex Race #8: Act Sweet Fairplex Race #11: Kathleen's Touch Hoosier Race #1: Lilli Soprano Louisiana Race #9: Mr. Mccoy and Sequoyah Wells Mountaineer Race #1: Speedy Bullet Mountaineer Race #6: Starfello Monmouth Race #7: Crafty Time Northlands Park Race #6: Goinup the Country Presque Isle Downs Race #6: Interrogate Remington Park Race #8: Helenthefelon and Chief Me Now Suffolk Race #1: Beautiful Insight Suffolk Race #5: Coby Suffolk Race #10: Castiel Turfway Park Race #2: Outabounds |
29 horses ran today -- all of them got dusted.
In the 10th race at Suffolk -- one of the bums finished dead last beaten 38 lengths at odds of 18.30 The winner of that race went off at odds of 18.50 -- that's happened a few other times so far as well. An eventual winner going off at longer odds than a bum list horse in the same race. 458 down, only 542 more to go. |
This is my favorite thread ever. No way in hell IC could pull this off.
|
Today's bums managed to lose another $18,712 bringing the grand total up to $458,291.
|
Quote:
You know next to nothing about me. There are probably only a few people on here who can do it, that's for sure, but given the motivation, I could do this. |
Bums for Football Sunday:
Albuquerque Race 1: Labeled Descent Belmont Race 9: Tatoo Me Calder Race 6: Star From Argent and Unreal Reply Charles Town Race #1: Mr Balboa Emerald Downs Race 8: Bobbylouie Fairplex Race #11: Rosita Fresa and Copy Irish Mountaineer Race #7: Reba's Storm Monmouth Race #6: Manny Diablo and Derg Master Monmouth Race #9: Tea Party Boy Parx Race #3: Mata Da Hot Tomata Zia Park Race #12: Lily Blue |
14 of them ran today, all lost, but one horse provided a huge scare.
 This horse looked like the proverbial free bingo square. She had no trip excuses at all in those first two races...she simply just broke a bit slow, ran very, very slow early, very, very slow middle, and very very slow late. Maybe they stiffed this horse in those first two races and bet it today -- I don't know. Either way...what looked like an ultimate gimmie on paper almost blew this up while finishing 2nd beaten 0.75 lengths. Her big prior performance coming when she was beaten just 44.5 lengths in a 7f race run in a sparkling 1:27.80 ... the next time I see a horse with a form like that owned by someone called "Tonys Investments" -- I will pass. Even the owners name was shady on that one. 472 down, only 528 more to go. |
She didn't get bet like she was stiffed the first few.
|
Quote:
If not that, I have no idea why she improved so much in one week. |
Quote:
|
Quote:
|
Deputy Wild Cat's out of Yonaguska mares are always dangerous second time off a DNF.
|
Today the bums made off with $12,203 to bring the new grand total up to $470,494.
To put today's close call in perspective, Unreal Reply was only the second horse out of 472 to be beaten less than a length. And even if the unthinkable had happened and he had won, the ROI for anyone betting on these "picks" would only be $0.30. As it is, of course it remains a stellar $0.00. |
Here's the replay for the two prior runs from that horse -- both at the same class level.
* Breaks from post #2: http://www1.drf.com/displayVideo.do?...=D&country=USA * Breaks from far outside post position and finishes last in field of 11: http://www1.drf.com/displayVideo.do?...=D&country=USA Her jockeys took a hold of her early and in the head-on replays of both races -- you can see she was being sort of eased after she got about 20 lengths behind the next to last horse in the field. It's pretty mysterious how a horse can perform like that one week and almost win a race at the same level the next week. I could see if there was a layoff line and some vet work was done on her and a little time was given to fix an ailment. |
Short list of bums for today as I am behind on making my figures and barely had time to look as I have plans for later tonight:
Suffolk Race #2: Candles Onthe Wind Parx Race #2: Michaela's Candi Parx Race #10: Brave Samson |
All 3 of them got dusted ... but upon reviewing the charts -- I was a few minutes late getting Parx Race #2 in.
Only 2 count. 474 down, only 526 more to go. |
Today's duo made off with a relatively paltry $520 to bring the total so far up to $471,014.
|
Bums for today:
Finger Lakes Race #1: Beach Harber Man Finger Lakes Race #3: Overloud Finger Lakes Race #5: First Dine Finger Lakes Race #7: Mom Proof Hoosier Race #7: Great Sky Dancer Mountaineer Race #1: Killian's Advice Mountaineer Race #7: Cihangir Presque Isle Downs Race #3: Moonshot Monkey Presque Isle Downs Race #5: Desi's Demon Parx Race #4: Libbys Legacy Parx Race #10: Wild And Away Suffolk Race #6: Tink's Tiger |
The streak has ended on the 480th try.
Mom Proof (20/1 loading into the gate, but ended up going off at 37/1 odds won the 7th race at Finger Lakes) He won a desperate 3-way photo finish...  It was only a 7 horse field. The horse who finished 7th and last was beaten less than 4 lengths. The final time for the mile was a jaw dropping slow 1:42.31 This was an OPEN claiming race for older males -- not condition -- OPEN! Turned out to be an unbelievably weak race and a 7lbs bug rider taking over for a journeyman beats me. Dead at 480 and no one is happier about it than me. This challenge was brutally hard ... and anyone who thinks other wise is nuts and should try doing it themselves. Much bigger priced horses than this one have won on a daily basis. I've seen days where three or four different hundred dollar horses have won throughout the country on the same day. Thanks for all the good record keeping Ranger. |
Nice run at it Doug. Both attempts (10 wins & 1000 losses) have been very impressive (I can't even imagine the work and time consumed) and fun to watch.
|
Thanks.
|
| All times are GMT -5. The time now is 07:01 PM. |
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.