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If you want to dissect each horse's campaign then I think Zenyatta should have run in the race on Oaks day regardless of track condition, the Californian instead of the Milady, the Hollywood Gold Cup instead of the Vanity, the San Diego Handicap instead of the Clement Hirsch, the Pacific Classic instead of the Lady's Secret. You see they were really ducking the phenomenal west coast handicap horses like Rail Trip, Dakota Phone, and Colonel John. That ridiculous argument that I just posited is roughly equivalent to what you're saying about Rachel Alexandra. NT |
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Neither camp wanted to ship to each others backyard so maybe both can be blamed for this, I do believe 1 extraordinary performance can sway minds, we talked about this with Summer Bird had he won the Classic, what Zenyatta did yesterday superceded the norm for me and she deserves HOY based on this IMO. |
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However, one consistent theme of many on this board throughout the year has been that somehow Zenyatta is inferior to Rachel because she's much "slower" on the Beyer scale. If many let go of their slavish reliance on the Beyers (which are pretty unreliable on synthetic surfaces), they might discover that Zenyatta is not as "slow" as they thought. On the Ragozin Sheets, Zenyatta was the "fastest" route horse in yesterday's Classic. She earned a "0" for her Vanity win and a 1.5 for her much-maligned victory in the Hirsch. The only other Classic horses to run faster than a "2" on the Sheets in a non-turf route race were Summer Bird (.75 in JCGC), Einstein (1.25 in Foster), and Quality Road (1.75 in JCGC - he earned a pair of "2"s for his trumpeted wins in the Fountain of Youth and Florida Derby). |
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But the thing about Zenyatta as I said in my previous post is that we still don't know how good she really is. They've never really gotten to the bottom of her. She's never really been all out. If someone didn't recognize this, I could see how they wouldn't have thought she was that good before yesterday's race. Even after yesterday's race, I could see someone making an argument that she still didn't prove she's a true superstar. I mean it was a relatively weak field for the BC Classic. There were no Roses in Mays, Ghostzappers, Pleasantly Perfects, Curlins, Invasors, Bernardidnis, etc. I admit that it wasn't a great field. But that doesn't matter. It was the way she did it. Everything went against her. She came out of the gate totally flat-footed and didn't switch leads for well over an 1/8th of a mile. So she ends up 15 lengths back on a :24 1/5 opening quarter. Yet she still ended up winning relatively easily and she wasn't even all out. With Rachel Alexander, I thought the sky was the limit after the Ky Oaks. She was winning by 20 lengths and she wasn't even all out. But eventually we did end up seeing her all out in both the Preakness and the Woodward. She barely won those races. She may be the biggest freak in the world at Churchill. But at other tracks, if she is close to a pretty fast pace, she is not invincible. She would have lost both the Preakness and the Woodward if there would have been a really good horse in either one of those races. |
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Macho Again would have won the BC Classic easily yesterday. |
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Macho Again would not win the synthetic classic, because he's a dirt horse as well.
When the Classic is run at Churchill, maybe he has an very small chance. |
In fairness to Rachel, I don't think there is any question that she went way too fast early in the Preakness and the Woodward. The place to be early in both of those races was probably around 5 lengths back instead of being on the lead in :46 2/5.
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Im done arguing about this. He's the last thing I have to say. There is a correct answer to this debate. Rachel is hands down superior to Zenyatta. Most of the points you triy to make about Zen. being HOY are very hypocritical in the sense of easy paths and ducking etc. There are only two reasons why anyone would think Zen is superior and one is a west coast bias, ie you live there and 2 you have a synthetic bias ie you feel running on wax and plastic has a place in horse racing and should determine a champion.
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NT |
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both fillies have had good years. who ends up being judged as having had the better year is yet to be seen. but there's no way of ever knowing which one of the two would triumph in whatever mythical race we want to set up in our minds. suffice it to say that both zenyatta and rachel are very, very special and that both will be remembered fondly in years to come. i'd imagine both will be used as a measuring stick for horses that we haven't yet seen.
native dancer is remembered now as having been a spectacular horse, one for the ages. he suffered only one blemish on his otherwise perfect career when his jock gave him a horrid ride in the derby. many place him on top of the heap as far as horses who only one two thirds of the t.c. not many still bring up the fact that he never faced a top older horse by the name of tom fool, another who is remembered fondly to this day. no one cares anymore that they never got a chance to square off. of course the breadth of years helps; with these two every one is still in the moment. if zenyatta and rachel had faced each other, and i'd have loved to have seen it, one of them wouldn't have their perfect year. now they both do-might not be a panacea to everyone, but all we can do is appreciate what they both did. |
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you are 100% correct. thinking about the bigger picture for the sport...... if they gave it to both i would not mind it at all. it has been done before.... Sprinter - Dr. Patches/J.O.Tobin 2YO Male - Crimson Satan/Ridan 3YO Female - Two Lea/Wistful Sprinter - Delegate/Royal Governor bless you both r.a. and zen |
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NT |
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Cause Equibase says it was run in 1:48.60. NT |
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Scholars maintain that the translation was lost hundreds of years ago. RB |
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Fairbanks and Heatseeker were both SPECIAL. |
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Tiago had just run 4th in the SA Handicap and then ran 2nd in the Californian. They were two of the best horses in the country at the time. Circular Quay was a multiple graded stakes winner coming into the race off a win in the Grade II New Orleans Handicap. Fairbaks was a graded stakes winner (not to mention running 2nd in the Grade I Suburban) coming off a 2nd place finish in the Grade II Gulfstream Handicap. Buzzard's Bay was a multiple graded stakes winner but I admit he appeared to be out of form for the 2008 Oaklawn Handicap. I think the 2008 Oaklawn Handicap was a strong field. |
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the bc is for championships. just like football was used earlier. new england went 17 and 0. lost super bowl. so new england didnt get the reward. even with something that probably wont be repeated again. |
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NT |
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Fairbanks ran a few big races. He made almost $900,000. |
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Horse racing, unlike the NFL is simply a long season that has a culminating day where you can CHOOSE to run in them. That's why BC Classic winners in the past have earned no end of season honors. NT |
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